ML Will Redesign, Not Replace, Jobs
•Download as PPTX, PDF•
0 likes•28 views
A session by Stephen Deason, Member Of The Board Of Advisors, Vinix on the topic of 'ML Will Redesign, Not Replace, Jobs' at InterCon USA 2019, held at Caesars Palace, Las Vegas on 18-20 June, 2019.
Recommended
Recommended
More Related Content
More from InterCon
More from InterCon (10)
Recently uploaded
Recently uploaded (20)
ML Will Redesign, Not Replace, Jobs
- 1. ML Will Redesign, Not Replace, Jobs Stephen Deason Founder & CEO
- 2. PAGE OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM Machine Learning Kurzweil – A Futurist 1 Faster Computing Faster Innovation 2 Faster Solutions to Hard Problems 3 Disease, Hunger, Energy, etc. = SOLVED 4 Immortality + Bodies become Obsolete 5 One interconnected Hive Mind 2Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA Leads to… The Singularity!
- 3. PAGE OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM JK – Well, maybe… Q&A Really, I just wanted to see if I could shock you into wakefulness…. 3Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA
- 4. PAGE OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM Scott Raba opened Tuesday morning by discussing security breaches related to phishing. Dr. GP followed with Reinforcement Learning. Let’s tie back to Day 1 Whether we use Supervised Learning, Unsupervised Learning, or Reinforcement Learning to help with this task isn’t nearly as relevant as… 4Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA Changes in technology changes in the way we interact. And, as inherently social creatures, this drives changes in the ways we work and live.
- 5. PAGE OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM What’s the trend between wages and production telling us? Let’s play (Macro) Economics ML Functions are Utility Functions 5Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA Future Scenarios, Frameworks, Foundations, and Accelerators New Power Dynamics
- 6. PAGE OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM 1947 to 2009 Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA Around 1980, we see a significant disconnect between: 1. Productivity & 2. Wages We, humans, fuss about this… A LOT!
- 7. PAGE OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM What’s the trend between wages and production telling us? The delta between wages and production is likely to accelerate. The reason is…technology.Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA What does this have to do with Reinforcement Learning (and where’s the cool math already)? This is the Bellman Equation: Which is just an Utility Function:
- 8. PAGE OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM …Are ALL just Utility Functions Machine Learning Functions Utility Functions (behavioral economics) take four types of input: 8Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA Form, Time, Place, Possession (more information in the notes) Utility (Form, Time, Place, Possession) = Happiness
- 9. PAGE OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM What are all the inputs to this “Happiness” Function? 9Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA There are a TON of them... How about another futurist with some example inputs…
- 10. OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA 10
- 11. PAGE OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM What are all the inputs to this “Happiness” Function? 11Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA There are a TON of them... How about another futurist with some example inputs… And, some sample jobs
- 12. OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA 12
- 13. PAGE OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM Yet more futurists 13Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA Jeremy Heimans & Henry Timms Power Dynamics
- 14. PAGE OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM Power Values Change 14Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA
- 15. PAGE OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM Power Companies Change 15Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA
- 16. PAGE OPARASA RECOVERY IS FREEDOM To Summarize 16Copyright @ 2019 OPARASA We are a looong way from being replaced. We are entering a time of unprecedented change, and unprecedented opportunities. Machine Learning has us on the brink of the greatest period of job creation in human history. ML will create more space for humanness in our work, and generate greater utility (happiness)….
- 17. Thank you! Stephen Deason Founder & CEO
Editor's Notes
- Changes in technology lead to changes in the way we interact and, as social creatures, to changes in the way we work and live. When Scott Raba opened Tuesday morning, he discussed security breaches related to phishing. This is probably a perfect task for ML to handle. Whether we’re going to use Supervised Learning, Unsupervised Learning, or Reinforcement Learning to help with this task isn’t nearly as relevant as the fact that phishing did not exist before we had email and computer systems to hack. Both Scott and Dr. GP have jobs related to technologies that put mail carriers and night watchmen out of business, or at least reduced the need for these as forms of skilled labor.
- Changes in technology lead to changes in the way we interact and, as social creatures, to changes in the way we work and live. When Scott Raba opened Tuesday morning, he discussed security breaches related to phishing. This is probably a perfect task for ML to handle. Whether we’re going to use Supervised Learning, Unsupervised Learning, or Reinforcement Learning to help with this task isn’t nearly as relevant as the fact that phishing did not exist before we had email and computer systems to hack. Both Scott and Dr. GP have jobs related to technologies that put mail carriers and night watchmen out of business, or at least reduced the need for these as forms of skilled labor.
- How about a quick digression into the underlying mathematics. I promise this will be brief…I do not promise that it won’t be painful. The fundamental equations that model Reinforcement Learning, for example, are the Bellman Optimality Equations. Without getting into the underlying mathematics, we remove the infinite sums using a discount factor, and we look to define and describe a dynamic program method utility (over a finite agent lifetime) which we define as the expected sum of the immediate reward and the long-time reward under the best possible policy. We do some math magic, and we pop out a Utility function with present value and future value expressed in a manner that is tractable. OK, you got my attention with the cool math, but I’m a leader. So what?
- Form The utility of form refers to the specific product or service that a company offers. For example, a manufacturing firm might offer the raw material of rubber in the form of automobile tires. A company engages in research to pinpoint exactly what products or services consumers desire and then attempts to offer what the company's management believes is the best possible form of the specific product or service that is needed or desired by potential customers. This aspect of form utility includes offering consumers lower costs, greater convenience or a wider selection of products. All of these efforts by a company are aimed at maximizing the perception of the added value the company offers. Time The utility of time refers to easy availability of products or services at the time when customers need or want to purchase them. Addressing the utility of time involves a company's business plan and the logistical planning of manufacturing and delivery issues. For service providers, time utility is addressed by seeking to make services available at the times that they are most necessary or desirable for consumers. It includes considering the hours and days of the week a company chooses to make its services available. The goal is to offer potential customers an added value. A time element such as 24-hour availability might be a value that a company chooses to offer. Place The utility of place refers primarily to making goods or services readily and conveniently available to potential customers. Examples of place utility range from a retail store's location to how easy a company's website or services are to find on the Internet. Increasing convenience for customers can be a key element in attracting business. A company that offers easy access to technical assistance, for example, offers an added value in comparison to a similar company that does not offer similar ease of access. Making a product available in a wide variety of stores and locations is considered an added value addressing the issue of consumer convenience. Possession The utility of possession refers to the benefit customers derive from ownership of a company's product once they have purchased it. For example, if a company sells headphones, then it offers customers an added value in listening to music available through using the headphones to improve the functionality of a stereo system. Offering favorable financing terms toward ownership is another way a company might choose to improve the value of possessing its products.
- Form The utility of form refers to the specific product or service that a company offers. For example, a manufacturing firm might offer the raw material of rubber in the form of automobile tires. A company engages in research to pinpoint exactly what products or services consumers desire and then attempts to offer what the company's management believes is the best possible form of the specific product or service that is needed or desired by potential customers. This aspect of form utility includes offering consumers lower costs, greater convenience or a wider selection of products. All of these efforts by a company are aimed at maximizing the perception of the added value the company offers. Time The utility of time refers to easy availability of products or services at the time when customers need or want to purchase them. Addressing the utility of time involves a company's business plan and the logistical planning of manufacturing and delivery issues. For service providers, time utility is addressed by seeking to make services available at the times that they are most necessary or desirable for consumers. It includes considering the hours and days of the week a company chooses to make its services available. The goal is to offer potential customers an added value. A time element such as 24-hour availability might be a value that a company chooses to offer. Place The utility of place refers primarily to making goods or services readily and conveniently available to potential customers. Examples of place utility range from a retail store's location to how easy a company's website or services are to find on the Internet. Increasing convenience for customers can be a key element in attracting business. A company that offers easy access to technical assistance, for example, offers an added value in comparison to a similar company that does not offer similar ease of access. Making a product available in a wide variety of stores and locations is considered an added value addressing the issue of consumer convenience. Possession The utility of possession refers to the benefit customers derive from ownership of a company's product once they have purchased it. For example, if a company sells headphones, then it offers customers an added value in listening to music available through using the headphones to improve the functionality of a stereo system. Offering favorable financing terms toward ownership is another way a company might choose to improve the value of possessing its products.
- Form The utility of form refers to the specific product or service that a company offers. For example, a manufacturing firm might offer the raw material of rubber in the form of automobile tires. A company engages in research to pinpoint exactly what products or services consumers desire and then attempts to offer what the company's management believes is the best possible form of the specific product or service that is needed or desired by potential customers. This aspect of form utility includes offering consumers lower costs, greater convenience or a wider selection of products. All of these efforts by a company are aimed at maximizing the perception of the added value the company offers. Time The utility of time refers to easy availability of products or services at the time when customers need or want to purchase them. Addressing the utility of time involves a company's business plan and the logistical planning of manufacturing and delivery issues. For service providers, time utility is addressed by seeking to make services available at the times that they are most necessary or desirable for consumers. It includes considering the hours and days of the week a company chooses to make its services available. The goal is to offer potential customers an added value. A time element such as 24-hour availability might be a value that a company chooses to offer. Place The utility of place refers primarily to making goods or services readily and conveniently available to potential customers. Examples of place utility range from a retail store's location to how easy a company's website or services are to find on the Internet. Increasing convenience for customers can be a key element in attracting business. A company that offers easy access to technical assistance, for example, offers an added value in comparison to a similar company that does not offer similar ease of access. Making a product available in a wide variety of stores and locations is considered an added value addressing the issue of consumer convenience. Possession The utility of possession refers to the benefit customers derive from ownership of a company's product once they have purchased it. For example, if a company sells headphones, then it offers customers an added value in listening to music available through using the headphones to improve the functionality of a stereo system. Offering favorable financing terms toward ownership is another way a company might choose to improve the value of possessing its products.
- Form The utility of form refers to the specific product or service that a company offers. For example, a manufacturing firm might offer the raw material of rubber in the form of automobile tires. A company engages in research to pinpoint exactly what products or services consumers desire and then attempts to offer what the company's management believes is the best possible form of the specific product or service that is needed or desired by potential customers. This aspect of form utility includes offering consumers lower costs, greater convenience or a wider selection of products. All of these efforts by a company are aimed at maximizing the perception of the added value the company offers. Time The utility of time refers to easy availability of products or services at the time when customers need or want to purchase them. Addressing the utility of time involves a company's business plan and the logistical planning of manufacturing and delivery issues. For service providers, time utility is addressed by seeking to make services available at the times that they are most necessary or desirable for consumers. It includes considering the hours and days of the week a company chooses to make its services available. The goal is to offer potential customers an added value. A time element such as 24-hour availability might be a value that a company chooses to offer. Place The utility of place refers primarily to making goods or services readily and conveniently available to potential customers. Examples of place utility range from a retail store's location to how easy a company's website or services are to find on the Internet. Increasing convenience for customers can be a key element in attracting business. A company that offers easy access to technical assistance, for example, offers an added value in comparison to a similar company that does not offer similar ease of access. Making a product available in a wide variety of stores and locations is considered an added value addressing the issue of consumer convenience. Possession The utility of possession refers to the benefit customers derive from ownership of a company's product once they have purchased it. For example, if a company sells headphones, then it offers customers an added value in listening to music available through using the headphones to improve the functionality of a stereo system. Offering favorable financing terms toward ownership is another way a company might choose to improve the value of possessing its products.
- Form The utility of form refers to the specific product or service that a company offers. For example, a manufacturing firm might offer the raw material of rubber in the form of automobile tires. A company engages in research to pinpoint exactly what products or services consumers desire and then attempts to offer what the company's management believes is the best possible form of the specific product or service that is needed or desired by potential customers. This aspect of form utility includes offering consumers lower costs, greater convenience or a wider selection of products. All of these efforts by a company are aimed at maximizing the perception of the added value the company offers. Time The utility of time refers to easy availability of products or services at the time when customers need or want to purchase them. Addressing the utility of time involves a company's business plan and the logistical planning of manufacturing and delivery issues. For service providers, time utility is addressed by seeking to make services available at the times that they are most necessary or desirable for consumers. It includes considering the hours and days of the week a company chooses to make its services available. The goal is to offer potential customers an added value. A time element such as 24-hour availability might be a value that a company chooses to offer. Place The utility of place refers primarily to making goods or services readily and conveniently available to potential customers. Examples of place utility range from a retail store's location to how easy a company's website or services are to find on the Internet. Increasing convenience for customers can be a key element in attracting business. A company that offers easy access to technical assistance, for example, offers an added value in comparison to a similar company that does not offer similar ease of access. Making a product available in a wide variety of stores and locations is considered an added value addressing the issue of consumer convenience. Possession The utility of possession refers to the benefit customers derive from ownership of a company's product once they have purchased it. For example, if a company sells headphones, then it offers customers an added value in listening to music available through using the headphones to improve the functionality of a stereo system. Offering favorable financing terms toward ownership is another way a company might choose to improve the value of possessing its products.
- Form The utility of form refers to the specific product or service that a company offers. For example, a manufacturing firm might offer the raw material of rubber in the form of automobile tires. A company engages in research to pinpoint exactly what products or services consumers desire and then attempts to offer what the company's management believes is the best possible form of the specific product or service that is needed or desired by potential customers. This aspect of form utility includes offering consumers lower costs, greater convenience or a wider selection of products. All of these efforts by a company are aimed at maximizing the perception of the added value the company offers. Time The utility of time refers to easy availability of products or services at the time when customers need or want to purchase them. Addressing the utility of time involves a company's business plan and the logistical planning of manufacturing and delivery issues. For service providers, time utility is addressed by seeking to make services available at the times that they are most necessary or desirable for consumers. It includes considering the hours and days of the week a company chooses to make its services available. The goal is to offer potential customers an added value. A time element such as 24-hour availability might be a value that a company chooses to offer. Place The utility of place refers primarily to making goods or services readily and conveniently available to potential customers. Examples of place utility range from a retail store's location to how easy a company's website or services are to find on the Internet. Increasing convenience for customers can be a key element in attracting business. A company that offers easy access to technical assistance, for example, offers an added value in comparison to a similar company that does not offer similar ease of access. Making a product available in a wide variety of stores and locations is considered an added value addressing the issue of consumer convenience. Possession The utility of possession refers to the benefit customers derive from ownership of a company's product once they have purchased it. For example, if a company sells headphones, then it offers customers an added value in listening to music available through using the headphones to improve the functionality of a stereo system. Offering favorable financing terms toward ownership is another way a company might choose to improve the value of possessing its products.
- Form The utility of form refers to the specific product or service that a company offers. For example, a manufacturing firm might offer the raw material of rubber in the form of automobile tires. A company engages in research to pinpoint exactly what products or services consumers desire and then attempts to offer what the company's management believes is the best possible form of the specific product or service that is needed or desired by potential customers. This aspect of form utility includes offering consumers lower costs, greater convenience or a wider selection of products. All of these efforts by a company are aimed at maximizing the perception of the added value the company offers. Time The utility of time refers to easy availability of products or services at the time when customers need or want to purchase them. Addressing the utility of time involves a company's business plan and the logistical planning of manufacturing and delivery issues. For service providers, time utility is addressed by seeking to make services available at the times that they are most necessary or desirable for consumers. It includes considering the hours and days of the week a company chooses to make its services available. The goal is to offer potential customers an added value. A time element such as 24-hour availability might be a value that a company chooses to offer. Place The utility of place refers primarily to making goods or services readily and conveniently available to potential customers. Examples of place utility range from a retail store's location to how easy a company's website or services are to find on the Internet. Increasing convenience for customers can be a key element in attracting business. A company that offers easy access to technical assistance, for example, offers an added value in comparison to a similar company that does not offer similar ease of access. Making a product available in a wide variety of stores and locations is considered an added value addressing the issue of consumer convenience. Possession The utility of possession refers to the benefit customers derive from ownership of a company's product once they have purchased it. For example, if a company sells headphones, then it offers customers an added value in listening to music available through using the headphones to improve the functionality of a stereo system. Offering favorable financing terms toward ownership is another way a company might choose to improve the value of possessing its products.