Amazon was recognized as a Top Stock Pick from I Know First's Top 20 Stock Picks.

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2. Since AMZN missed Q4 earnings mainly
due to weak revenue growth in the
international market, most notably,
international sales slowed to 13% in
Q4 from 21% 4Q12 plus higher holiday
shipping costs

3. Has caused AMZN’s share price to
have fallen around 10% YTD making
now a buying opportunity for the
worlds largest online retailer

4. The Good
Net sales improved 22% to $74.5 billion year over
year in 2013
In 4Q13, net sales augmented 20% to $25.59
billion, an increase from $21.27 billion in 4Q12
Over 20 million Amazon Prime members
Amazon Growth in 2013
Source: Google Finance

5. Estimated Quarterly U.S. Retail E-Commerce
Sales as a Percent of Total Quarterly Sales
E-commerce sales accounted for only 5.8% of total retail sales in 2013
Plenty of room for growth in e-commerce
Source: US Department of Commerce

6. Pushing Boundaries With Amazon Drones

7. Amazon Drones
Delivery in 30 minutes
10 Mile Delivery Radius (16 Kilometers) from the strategically located
fulfillment centers
Can hold products under five pounds (90% of all Amazons offerings)
"The FAA is actively working on rules and an
approach for unmanned aerial vehicles that
will prioritize public safety. Safety will be our
top priority, and our vehicles will be built with
multiple redundancies and designed to
commercial aviation standards.”
- Statement From Amazon

8. The Bad
After posting disappointing fourth-quarter results on
January 30th, Amazon stated it was considering raising
the price of the Prime service by $20 to $40

9. UBS Downgraded
AMZN To Neutral
UBS commissioned a survey to see how a price hike would affect
current customer sentiment.

94% of Amazon Prime customers were likely going to renew
their subscription as is

A raise of $20 or $40 caused that percentage to drop to 58%
and 24% respectively.

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Our live portfolio from 2013 returned 60.66%
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Firms that can consistently recognize the most opportunities and
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12. I Know First Prediction
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13. How To Read The Prediction
Two indicators:
Signal – Predicted movement of the asset
Predictability Indicator – Historical correlation between the prediction and the
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14. Read Our Full Analysis
Amazon: The Good, The Bad And The Algorithm

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