BCO221 GLOBAL ECONOMICS – Task brief & rubrics
Task brief
Description:
• Individual task.
• First, answer the following two questions (60%) Then, write a report (40%).
Questions (60%)
Question 1 (30%). Explain the Bretton Woods system. You should refer to:
o As a result of the Bretton Woods system, what happened with the exchange rates?
Was it fixed? Was it floating? (10p)
o Why did the Bretton Woods system collapse? (10p)
o Would be such a system feasible nowadays?
Question 2 (30%). With reference to real world examples assess the pros and cons of different
exchange rate systems. In your answer you should refer to:
o Floating exchange rate regimes – you should in particular consider whether floating
currencies are condusive to promoting international trade.
o Pegged exchange rate regimes and pegged with bands exchange rate regimes – you
should consider the possibility of currency crises in relation to the pegged with bands
currency regimes and should consider an actual currency crisis such as the 1992 Black
Wednesday Crisis for the pound and its membership of the ERM.
o Single currencies – in relation to single currencies you should consider the pros and
cons of the Euro, you should bring in the Optimal Currency Area argument, and you
should in particular consider whether a nation like Greece in the aftermath of the
2008 Financial Crisis suffered more than it would have if it had not been a part of the
Eurozone (due to its inability to devalue its currency or implement a looser monetary
policy) and you should also consider whether the ECB has reponsed adequately to the
economic challenges of the current coronavirus crisis (i.e. should the ECB be
implementing a looser monetary policy in particular right now). You should consider
whether a one size monetary policy does fit all.
Report (40%)
You are asked to develop and write a final report to assess the case study of the transition to electric
mobility and its effects in global economics. Your work should come with in-depth reasoning and
justification with well founded facts, events, figures and academic arguments. Please also refer to
authors, models, themes and concepts learned in the course. You may define, evaluate and apply
these when needed. Critical thinking is welcomed when justyfiying your alternatives and answers.
Please read the following case study summary about the 2019 edition of the Global EV Outlook,
which is the flagship publication of the Electric Vehicles Initiative (EVI) within the IEA (International
energy agency), at the 10th Clean Energy Ministerial (CEM) meeting that was held in Vancouver on 27
May 2019.
Electric car deployment has been growing rapidly over the past ten years, with the global stock of
electric passenger cars passing 5 million in 2018, an increase of 63% from the previous year. Around
Stas Nepomnyashchiy
45% of electric cars on the road in 2018 were in China – a total of 2. ...
1. BCO221 GLOBAL ECONOMICS – Task brief & rubrics
Task brief
Description:
• Individual task.
• First, answer the following two questions (60%) Then, write a
report (40%).
Questions (60%)
Question 1 (30%). Explain the Bretton Woods system. You
should refer to:
o As a result of the Bretton Woods system, what happened with
the exchange rates?
Was it fixed? Was it floating? (10p)
o Why did the Bretton Woods system collapse? (10p)
o Would be such a system feasible nowadays?
Question 2 (30%). With reference to real world examples assess
the pros and cons of different
exchange rate systems. In your answer you should refer to:
o Floating exchange rate regimes – you should in particular
consider whether floating
currencies are condusive to promoting international trade.
2. o Pegged exchange rate regimes and pegged with bands
exchange rate regimes – you
should consider the possibility of currency crises in relation to
the pegged with bands
currency regimes and should consider an actual currency crisis
such as the 1992 Black
Wednesday Crisis for the pound and its membership of the
ERM.
o Single currencies – in relation to single currencies you should
consider the pros and
cons of the Euro, you should bring in the Optimal Currency
Area argument, and you
should in particular consider whether a nation like Greece in the
aftermath of the
2008 Financial Crisis suffered more than it would have if it had
not been a part of the
Eurozone (due to its inability to devalue its currency or
implement a looser monetary
policy) and you should also consider whether the ECB has
reponsed adequately to the
economic challenges of the current coronavirus crisis (i.e.
should the ECB be
implementing a looser monetary policy in particular right now).
You should consider
whether a one size monetary policy does fit all.
3. Report (40%)
You are asked to develop and write a final report to assess the
case study of the transition to electric
mobility and its effects in global economics. Your work should
come with in-depth reasoning and
justification with well founded facts, events, figures and
academic arguments. Please also refer to
authors, models, themes and concepts learned in the course. You
may define, evaluate and apply
these when needed. Critical thinking is welcomed when
justyfiying your alternatives and answers.
Please read the following case study summary about the 2019
edition of the Global EV Outlook,
which is the flagship publication of the Electric Vehicles
Initiative (EVI) within the IEA (International
energy agency), at the 10th Clean Energy Ministerial (CEM)
meeting that was held in Vancouver on 27
May 2019.
Electric car deployment has been growing rapidly over the past
ten years, with the global stock of
electric passenger cars passing 5 million in 2018, an increase of
63% from the previous year. Around
4. Stas Nepomnyashchiy
45% of electric cars on the road in 2018 were in China – a total
of 2.3 million – compared to 39% in
2017. In comparison, Europe accounted for 24% of the global
fleet, and the United States 22%.
Table 1. Global electric car sales and market share, 2013-18
The number of charging points worldwide was estimated to be
approximately 5.2 million at the end
of 2018, up 44% from the year before. Most of this increase was
in private charging points, accounting
for more than 90% of the 1.6 million installations last year.
Electric mobility is expanding at a rapid pace. In 2018, the
global electric car fleet exceeded 5.1
million, up 2 million from the previous year and almost
doubling the number of new electric car sales.
The People’s Republic of China remains the world’s largest
electric car market, followed by Europe
and the United States. Norway is the global leader in terms of
electric car market share.
5. Policies play a critical role. Leading countries in electric
mobility use a variety of measures such as
fuel economy standards coupled with incentives for zero- and
low-emissions vehicles, economic
instruments that help bridge the cost gap between electric and
conventional vehicles and support for
the deployment of charging infrastructure. Increasingly, policy
support is being extended to address
the strategic importance of the battery technology value chain.
Policies continue to have a major
influence on the development of electric mobility. EV uptake
typically starts with the establishment
of a set of targets, followed by the adoption of vehicle and
charging standards. An EV deployment plan
often includes procurement programmes to stimulate demand for
electric vehicles and to enable an
initial roll-out of publicly accessible charging infrastructure.
Fiscal incentives, especially important as
long as EVs purchase prices are higher than for ICE vehicles,
are often coupled with regulatory
measures that boost the value proposition of EVs (e.g. waivers
to access restrictions, lower toll or
parking fees) or embedding incentives for vehicles with low
tailpipe emissions (e.g. fuel economy
6. standards) or setting zero-emissions mandates. Policies to
support deployment of charging
infrastructure include minimum requirements to ensure EV
readiness in new or refurbished buildings
and parking lots, and the roll-out of publicly accessible chargers
in cities and on highway networks.
Adoption of standards facilitates inter-operability of various
types of charging infrastructure.
Table 2. EV-related policies in selected regions
Technology advances are delivering substantial cost cuts. Key
enablers are developments in battery
chemistry and expansion of production capacity in
manufacturing plants. Other solutions include the
redesign of vehicle manufacturing platforms using simpler and
innovative design architecture, and the
application of big data to right size batteries. Technology
developments are delivering substantial cost
reductions. Advances in technology and cost cutting are
expected to continue. Key enablers are
developments in battery chemistry and expansion of production
capacity in manufacturing plants. The
7. dynamic development of battery technologies as well as
recognition of the importance of EVs to
achieve further cost reductions in the broad realm of battery
storage has put the strategic relevance
of large-scale battery manufacturing in the limelight of policy
attention.
Other technology developments are also expected to contribute
to cost reductions. These include the
possibility to redesign vehicle manufacturing platforms using
simpler and innovative design
architecture that capitalise on the compact dimensions of
electric motors, and that EVs have much
fewer moving parts than ICE vehicles. As well as the use of big
data to customise battery size to travel
needs and avoid over sizing the batteries, which is especially
relevant for heavy-duty vehicles.
The private sector is responding proactively to the policy
signals and technology developments. An
increasing number of original equipment manufacturers (OEMs)
have declared intentions to electrify
the models they offer, not only for cars, but also for other
modes of road transport. Investment in
battery manufacturing is growing, notably in China and Europe.
Utilities, charging point operators,
8. charging hardware manufacturers and other stakeholders in the
power sector are also increasing
investment in the roll-out of charging infrastructure. This takes
place in an environment that is
increasingly showing signs of consolidation, with several
acquisitions by utilities and major energy
companies.
Other developments to induce continued cost cuts include
options to redesign vehicle manufacturing
platforms to use simpler and innovative design architecture,
taking advantage of the compact
dimensions of electric motors and capitalising on the presence
of much fewer moving parts in EVs
than in ICE vehicles. This is in line with a recent statement
from Volkswagen concerning the
development of a new vehicle manufacturing platform to
achieve cost parity between EV and ICE
vehicles. Adapting battery sizes to travel needs (matching the
range of vehicles to consumer travel
habits) is also critical to reduce cost by avoiding “oversizing”
of batteries in vehicles. For example,
instruments allowing real-time tracking of truck positioning to
facilitate rightsizing of batteries. Close
9. co-operation between manufacturers to design purpose-built
EVs are not only relevant for freight
transport, but also in order to meet range, passenger capacity
and cargo space requirements for
vehicles used in shared passenger fleets (e.g. taxis and ride-
sharing).
Technology is progressing for chargers, partly because of
increasing interest in EVs for heavy-duty
applications (primarily buses, but also trucks). Standards have
been developed for high-power
chargers (up to 600 kilowatts [kW]). There is growing interest
in mega-chargers that could charge at 1
megawatt (MW) or more (e.g. for use in heavy trucks, shipping
and aviation).
Private sector response to public policy signals confirms the
escalating momentum for
electrification of transport. In particular, recent announcements
by vehicle manufacturers are
ambitious regarding intentions to electrify the car and bus
markets. Battery manufacturing is also
undergoing important transitions, including major investments
to expand production. Utilities,
charging point operators, charging hardware manufacturers and
10. other power sector stakeholders are
also boosting investment in charging infrastructure. The private
sector is responding proactively to
the EV-related policy signals and technology developments.
Recently, German auto manufacturers
such as Volkswagen announced ambitious plans to electrify the
car market. Chinese manufacturers
such as BYD and Yutong have been active in Europe and Latin
America to deploy electric buses.
European manufacturers such as Scania, Solaris, VDL, Volvo
and others, and North American
companies (Proterra, New Flyer) have been following suit. In
2018, several truck manufacturers
announced plans to increase electrification of their product
lines.
Battery manufacturing is undergoing important transitions,
notably with increasing investment in
China and Europe from a variety of companies, such as BYD
and CATL (Chinese); LG Chem, Samsung
SDI, SK Innovation (Korean) and Panasonic (Japanese). This
adds to the already vast array of battery
producers, which led to overcapacity in recent years, and
confirms that major manufacturers have
increased confidence in rising demand for battery cells, not
11. least because major automakers such as
BMW, Daimler and Volkswagen are looking to secure supply of
automotive batteries.
Utilities, charging point operators, charging hardware
manufacturers and other stakeholders in the
power sector are increasing investment in charging
infrastructure. This is taking place in a business
climate that is increasingly showing signs of consolidation, with
several acquisitions from utilities as
well as major energy companies that traditionally focus on oil.
This covers private charging at home,
publicly accessible chargers at key destinations and workplaces,
as well as fast chargers, especially on
highways. Examples of investments covering various types of
chargers come from ChargePoint, EDF,
Enel (via Enel X), Engie (via EV-Box). Some utilities (e.g.
Iberdrola), automakers and consortia including
auto industry stakeholders (e.g. Ionity) focus mostly on
highway fast charging.
The projected EV stock in the New Policies Scenario would cut
demand for oil products by 127
million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe) (about 2.5 million
barrels per day [mb/d]) in 2030, while
with more EVs the in the [email protected] Scenario the reduced
12. oil demand is estimated at 4.3 mb/d.
Absent adjustments to current taxation schemes, this could
affect governments’ tax revenue base
derived from vehicle and fuel taxes, which is an important
source of revenue for the development and
maintenance of transport infrastructure, among other goals.
Opportunities exist to balance potential
reductions in revenue, but their implementation will require
careful attention to social acceptability
of the measures. In the near term, possible solutions include
adjusting the emissions thresholds (or
the emissions profile) that define the extent to which vehicle
registration taxes are subject to
differentiated fees (or rebates), adjustments of the taxes applied
to oil-based fuels and revisions of
the road-use charges (e.g. tolls) applied to vehicles with
different environmental performances. In the
longer term, gradually increasing taxes on carbon-intensive
fuels, combined with the use of location-
specific distance-based approached can support the long-term
transition to zero-emissions mobility
while maintaining revenue from transport taxes. Location-
specific distance-based charges are also
13. well suited to manage the impacts of disruptive technologies in
road transport, including those related
to electrification, automation and shared mobility services.
The EV uptake and related battery production requirements
imply bigger demand for new materials
in the automotive sector, requiring increased attention to raw
materials supply. Traceability and
transparency of raw material supply chains are key instruments
to help address the criticalities
associated with raw material supply by fostering sustainable
sourcing of minerals. The development
of binding regulatory frameworks is important to ensure that
international multi-stakeholder co-
operation can effectively address these challenges. The battery
end-of-life management – including
second-life applications of automotive batteries, standards for
battery waste management and
environmental requirements on battery design – is also crucial
to reduce the volumes of critical raw
materials needed for batteries and to limit risks of shortages.
Absent adjustments to current transport-related taxation
schemes, the increasing uptake of electric
14. vehicles has the potential to change the tax revenue base
derived from vehicle and fuel taxes.
Gradually increasing taxes on carbon-intensive fuels, combined
with the use of location-specific
distance-based charges can support the long-term transition to
zero-emissions mobility while
maintaining revenue from taxes on transportation.
Questions to answer in your report (10% each):
The electric car is an innovation that will be a high disruptive
change and that will have an important
effect into the global economics and the geopolitical
international relations. As you know, petroleum
is a key driver for geopolitics and an innovation from the
technological point of view can imply
different global economics relations and geopolitics relations.
Please answer the following questions
based on the previous text
1) What will be the effects of the transition to electric mobility
on the oil market (demand, price,
supply, …). What will be the economic impacts and
consequences in the world’s top oil
15. producers?
2) What type of trading and economic policies should be
developed and promoted by the
economic blocs (BRICS, EU, …) to enhance this transition and
prospect for their enhanced
growth? How will this transition impact into their trade
balances? How will this transition
affect the exchanges rates of the main world currencies?
3) What will be the effects on the multinational automotive
companies and their international
operations? How should they react to this disruptive innovation
in order to adapt to this
transition? How will this innovation affect their 3 main types of
foreign investments (vertical,
horizontal and conglomerate)?
4) How the international relations could be changed because of
this disruptive innovation and its
international consequences? Do you consider these new
international relations could add new
values for the society so the corporate social responsibility can
be developed and it can imply
a positive impact into society welfare?
16. Formalities:
• Wordcount: From 2000 to 3000 words.
• Cover, Table of Contents, References and Appendix are
excluded of the total wordcount.
• Font: Arial 12,5 pts.
• Text alignment: Justified.
• The in-text References and the Bibliography have to be in
Harvard’s citation style.
Assignment Launch: Week 10.
Submission: Week 13 – Via Moodle (Turnitin). Submission will
be accepted all Week 13: From the
4
th
to the 10
th
of May.
Weight: This task is a 40% of your total grade for this subject.
Outcomes: This task assesses the following learning outcomes:
• Develop a complex understanding of the main concepts of
international economics and how
to apply them.
• Understand and analyze the different global economic
theories.
19. relevant
theoretical
paradigms/mod
els and data for
analysis (a few
key aspects
might be
missing).
Student makes
an attempt to
engage with
theory/data in
a critical
manner.
Student
employs a
limited range of
theoretical
20. paradigms/mod
els and/or data
for analysis
(although some
key aspects
might be
missing).
Student may be
unsuccessful in
attempts to
engage
critically with
theory/data.
Student employs
insufficient/irrelev
ant theoretical
paradigms/model
21. s and/or data for
analysis.
Student makes no
attempt to engage
with theory/data
in a critical
manner.
Critical
evaluation
(30%)
Student
effectively
engages in
critical
evaluation of all
aspects
presented in
22. the brief.
Student makes
a good attempt
at engaging in
critical
evaluation of
most aspects
presented in
the brief.
Student makes
a fair attempt
at engaging in
critical
evaluation of
some aspects
presented in
the brief
(argument
23. might be
weak).
Student makes an
insufficient
attempt to
critically evaluate
aspects presented
in the brief.
Critical
discussion &
formulation
of proposals
(30%)
Student
effectively
leads discussion
towards strong
25. proposals.
Student fails to
lead discussion
towards relevant
proposals.
Communicati
on
(10%)
Student
includes all
relevant
sections,
meeting
professional
standards of
presentation.
Correct
referencing