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Machine Learning for Web
Data
Hilary Mason
Web Directions USA 2010
= new capacities
(superpowers)
Machine learning is a way of
thinking about data.
http://www.meetup.com/NYC-Tech-Talks/calendar/12939544/
?from=list&offset=0
http://bit.ly/9N7VB1
6
wicked hard problem
10s of
millions of
URLs /day
100s of
millions of
events /
day
1000s of
millions of
@hmason
[archive photo]
ELIZA
ML Today
Algorithms +
On-demand computing +
Ubiquitous data
Algorithms
New frames for modeling the world with
data.
[moar data and new kinds of data]
Examples
[spam filters]
[netflix movie recommendations]
Language Identification
Face Identification
Machine Learning
Supervised Learning
Vs
Unsupervised Learning
Clustering
immunity
ultrasound
medical
imaging
medical
devices
thermoelectric
devices
fault-tolerant
circuits
low power
devices
Entity disambiguation
This is important.
ME
UGLY HAG
Entity disambiguation
This is important.
Company disambiguation is a very common
problem – Are “Microsoft”, “Microsoft
Corporation”, and “MS” the same
company?
Classification
classification
Text
Feature
Extractor
Trained
Classifier
Cats
Dogs
Fire
Training
Data
Feature
Extractor
<math>
Probability
P(A) is the probability that A is true.
Axioms of Probability
0 ≤ P(A) ≤ 1
P(True) = 1
P(False) = 0
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)
P(A)
P(B)
P(A and B)
Bayes Law
Example
There are
10,000 people.
1% have a rare
disease.
Example
• Population of 10,000
• 1% have rare disease
• There’s a test that is 99% effective.
– 99% of sick patients test positive
– 99% of healthy patients test negative
Given a positive test result, what is the probability
that the patient is sick?
Disease Diagnosis
99 sick patients test positive, 99 healthy
patients test positive
Given a positive test, there is a 50%
probability that the patient is sick.
Bayesian Disease
Know the prob. of testing sick given healthy,
and healthy given sick
Use Bayes theorem to invert probabilities
</math>
Obtain
Scrub
Explore
Model
iNterpret
1. Obtain Data
“pointing and clicking does not scale!”
http://www.delicious.com/pskomoroch/dataset
lynx –dump
http://www.nytimes.com
Lynx: http://bit.ly/a6Pumm
2. Scrub
3. Explore
http://vis.stanford.edu/protovis/
4. Model
Google Prediction API
http://code.google.com/apis/predict/
4. Model
Python
• NLTK - http://www.nltk.org/
• Scikits Learn - http://scikit-
learn.sourceforge.net/
4. Model
http://www.alchemyapi.com/
5. Interpret
Andrew Vande Moore – Visual Poetry 06
http://www.dataists.com
One Final Example
Twitter is full of noise.
Sports – down
Math – UP!
Narcissism - down
Code!
Filtering & Relevance Ordering
http://github.com/hmason/tc
What’s next?
Soon:
Natural Language Generation
Rich media classification
Contextual everything
Algorithms-As-A-Service
infer links in data
Filtering
Relevance
h@bit.ly @hmason
Thank you!

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Machine Learning for Web Data

Editor's Notes

  1. Sad puppy.
  2. The netflix prize was $1 million for a 10% increase in accuracy. Just 10%!!
  3. P(A) is the fraction of possible universes in which A is true.