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Findings on the effectiveness of Outdoor
advertising from Econometric studies
conducted by BrandScience

- Retailers (and highlights from FMCG study)
21 September 2009
Agenda

Background & Objectives


Overview of the BrandScience Results Vault


Highlights from the FMCG study


Results of the Retailer Meta analysis


Summary and Conclusions




              2
Retailer Meta Analysis: Key questions to be answered
                                                                            Question
                                                                            answered

How effective is Outdoor advertising for Retailers?

How does the efficiency of Outdoor compare with other media?

How does the efficiency of Outdoor advertising change at different levels
of spend?
How does Outdoor advertising impact on the performance of other media
channels?

Is Outdoor advertising becoming more or less efficient over time?

What are the implications for budget allocation by media?




                  3
Agenda

Background & Objectives


Overview of the BrandScience Results Vault


Highlights from the FMCG study


Results of the Retailer Meta analysis


Summary and Conclusions




              4
BrandScience Results Vault

• The BrandScience Results Vault collates data from over 400
  econometric studies conducted by BrandScience to provide a unique
  insight into how different media drive sales independently, and in
  combination with other media.
• The Results Vault contains:
     – 71 Retail studies
     – 57 of the Retail studies have Outdoor advertising spend
     – 34 of the Retail studies have a measured Outdoor effect
• The Results Vault allows for detailed examination of media performance
  by channel and sector and contains lots of findings on how Outdoor
  advertising works:
     . Absolutely
     . Relative to and in synergy with other media
     . Over time
• Partly due to poor data quality, the impact of Outdoor could not be
  measured in 40% of studies. The comparable figure is 4% of studies for
  TV and 10% for Print
            5
Retailer ATL Media Mix:
Studies in the BrandScience Results Vault are fairly representative of the
UK: Outdoor makes up 9% of ATL media spend for Retailers in the Results
Vault compared to the UK Norm of 6%

BrandScience Results Vault*:                                          Nielsen Media Research
ALL Retail Studies                                                     Top 100 UK Retailers




The average retailer in the
                                                                      The average UK retailer
BrandScience Results Vault
                                                                      spends £6.4m pa on ATL
spends £5m pa on ATL
                                                                      advertising with this media split
advertising with this media split

              6


           *Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
Retailer TOTAL Media Mix:
Studies in the BrandScience Results Vault are fairly representative of the
UK: Outdoor makes up 6% of total media spend for Retailers in the Results
Vault compared to the UK Norm of 5%

BrandScience Results Vault*:                                          Nielsen Media Research
ALL Retail Studies                                                     Top 100 UK Retailers




The average retailer in the
                                                                      The average UK retailer
BrandScience Results Vault
                                                                      spends £7.5m pa on advertising
spends £7.1m pa on advertising
                                                                      with this media split
with this media split

              7


           *Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
What types of Retail clients are we studying?



• 57 of the 71 retailers spend on outdoor
• The majority of the cases are UK firms with 80% being top 5 in their
  category




              8
Agenda


Background & Objectives


Overview of the BrandScience Results Vault


Highlights from the FMCG study


Results of the Retailer Meta analysis


Summary and Conclusions




              9
Recap: How effective is Outdoor
advertising for FMCG brands?




 10
FMCG: TV is only 5% more efficient than Outdoor advertising




              11


        Sample Set: All FMCG Results Vault studies (2002 -2008) with measured Outdoor RROI
FMCG: If production costs are included, Outdoor becomes the most
efficient medium




               12


        Sample Set: All FMCG Results Vault studies (2002 -2008) with measured Outdoor RROI
FMCG Results Vault
How does ROI vary according
to proportion of outdoor spend?




 13
FMCG: Outdoor ROI increases with proportion of spend




               14


        Sample Set: All FMCG Results Vault studies (2002 -2008) with measured Outdoor RROI
FMCG: Increasing share of spend on Outdoor boosts the ROI on
other main media




             15


        Sample Set: All Results Vault studies (2002 -2008) with measured Outdoor RROI
FMCG Results Vault
Carryover rates – the medium
term effect of media spend.
By proportion of outdoor spend




 16
Higher Outdoor spend drives higher carryover rates (lagged effect
of advertising). 1) For Outdoor 2) for TV




             17



         Sample Set: All FMCG Results Vault studies (2002 -2008) with measured Outdoor RROI
FMCG Results Vault
ROI trends over time by medium

Our models categorised by year
of evaluated campaign




 18
Outdoor is becoming more efficient, whereas TV is becoming less
efficient




              19


         Sample Set: All FMCG Results Vault studies (2002 -2008)
Given different ROIs by
     medium and changes in
     ROI over time, FMCG
     advertisers should increase
     their share of spend on
     outdoor



20
Outdoor optimal share of spend should be 16%
We can apply ROI by medium by year figures to determine optimal media
split for the average FMCG brand




            21
Agenda


Background & Objectives


Overview of the BrandScience Results Vault


Highlights from the FMCG study


Results of the Retailer Meta analysis


Summary and Conclusions




             22
How effective is Outdoor
     advertising for Retailers?




23
Outdoor performs just as well as TV and both media are second only to
Print




Incremental
Sales revenue
generated for
each £1 of
media cost




                  24


                Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
RROI calculations are often based on media space costs and
exclude production costs which can be a sizeable percentage of
total ad spend
TV production costs make up for a larger share of spend than any other
medium
           ATL Media            Production Costs as a
                                percentage of
                                media/production total
           TV                                        14.4%

           Print                                      8.1%

           Outdoor                                    7.8%

           Internet                                   7.6%

           Radio                                         7%


Incorporating production costs into the RROI calculation changes the
ranking of the media channels

                 25


                Source: WARC
RROI calculations are based solely on media space costs and
 exclude production costs - which can be a sizeable percentage
 of total spend




Incremental
Sales revenue
generated for
each £1 of
media and
production
cost




                  26


                Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
The Print, DM and Radio RROIs are far higher when Outdoor is
used




                 +34%




        +84%

                                                       +61%




                 27


               Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
How does the efficiency of
Outdoor advertising change at
  different levels of spend?




 28
Outdoor RROI increases slightly as spend increases, implying
there is room for retailers to increase their share of spend on
Outdoor




                                                                           +22%




              29


            Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
Outdoor Carryover rate increases significantly as spend
increases, implying there is room for retailers to increase their
share of spend on Outdoor




                                                                           +145%




              30


            Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
“Life”of campaign vs. Outdoor spend




                                                                                  +131%




          Based on time taken for advertising to have 95% of its “total” effect

               31


            Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
How does Outdoor advertising
impact on the efficiency of other
       media channels?




  32
Increased spend on Outdoor boosts the RROI on TV and Print




                                 +19%                                     +28%




             33


           Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
Higher spend on Outdoor is associated with a higher carryover
rate on TV and Print




                                           +18%                           +50%




             34


           Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
Higher Outdoor spend elongates the life of TV and Print
campaigns




                                             +30%                                  +62%




           Based on time taken for advertising to have 95% of its “total” effect
                35


             Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
Is Outdoor advertising
becoming more or less efficient
          over time?




 36
Trends in RROI over time: 1) Major Media vs Outdoor




          *Two year moving average
              37


           Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
Trends in RROI over time: 2) Support Media vs Outdoor




           *Two year moving average
               38


            Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
What are the implications for
budget allocation by media?




39
The Retailer category includes brands with very disparate media
strategies.

By calculating diminishing returns curves and projecting trends
in ROI over time, we suggest that overall Outdoor investment
should increase, and on average should be doubled.


Television, radio and cinema should be reduced.




            40
Agenda

Background & Objectives


Overview of the BrandScience Results Vault


Highlights from the FMCG study


Results of the Retailer Meta Analysis


Summary and Conclusions




             41
Summary of findings for Retailers and FMCG study


Outdoor delivers High ROI for both FMCG brands and Retailers


When production costs are taken into account, Outdoor
outperforms TV by 3% for FMCG brands & by 8% for Retailers.


Above average Outdoor spend increases the medium term/brand
effect of Outdoor AND TV



Outdoor ROIs are increasing over time whereas TV is decreasing



           42
Findings on the effectiveness of Outdoor
advertising from Econometric studies
conducted by BrandScience

Retailers and highlights from FMCG study

21 September 2009
O A A  Brand Science  Econometric  F M C G &  Retail  Studies 2009

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O A A Brand Science Econometric F M C G & Retail Studies 2009

  • 1. Findings on the effectiveness of Outdoor advertising from Econometric studies conducted by BrandScience - Retailers (and highlights from FMCG study) 21 September 2009
  • 2. Agenda Background & Objectives Overview of the BrandScience Results Vault Highlights from the FMCG study Results of the Retailer Meta analysis Summary and Conclusions 2
  • 3. Retailer Meta Analysis: Key questions to be answered Question answered How effective is Outdoor advertising for Retailers? How does the efficiency of Outdoor compare with other media? How does the efficiency of Outdoor advertising change at different levels of spend? How does Outdoor advertising impact on the performance of other media channels? Is Outdoor advertising becoming more or less efficient over time? What are the implications for budget allocation by media? 3
  • 4. Agenda Background & Objectives Overview of the BrandScience Results Vault Highlights from the FMCG study Results of the Retailer Meta analysis Summary and Conclusions 4
  • 5. BrandScience Results Vault • The BrandScience Results Vault collates data from over 400 econometric studies conducted by BrandScience to provide a unique insight into how different media drive sales independently, and in combination with other media. • The Results Vault contains: – 71 Retail studies – 57 of the Retail studies have Outdoor advertising spend – 34 of the Retail studies have a measured Outdoor effect • The Results Vault allows for detailed examination of media performance by channel and sector and contains lots of findings on how Outdoor advertising works: . Absolutely . Relative to and in synergy with other media . Over time • Partly due to poor data quality, the impact of Outdoor could not be measured in 40% of studies. The comparable figure is 4% of studies for TV and 10% for Print 5
  • 6. Retailer ATL Media Mix: Studies in the BrandScience Results Vault are fairly representative of the UK: Outdoor makes up 9% of ATL media spend for Retailers in the Results Vault compared to the UK Norm of 6% BrandScience Results Vault*: Nielsen Media Research ALL Retail Studies Top 100 UK Retailers The average retailer in the The average UK retailer BrandScience Results Vault spends £6.4m pa on ATL spends £5m pa on ATL advertising with this media split advertising with this media split 6 *Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
  • 7. Retailer TOTAL Media Mix: Studies in the BrandScience Results Vault are fairly representative of the UK: Outdoor makes up 6% of total media spend for Retailers in the Results Vault compared to the UK Norm of 5% BrandScience Results Vault*: Nielsen Media Research ALL Retail Studies Top 100 UK Retailers The average retailer in the The average UK retailer BrandScience Results Vault spends £7.5m pa on advertising spends £7.1m pa on advertising with this media split with this media split 7 *Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
  • 8. What types of Retail clients are we studying? • 57 of the 71 retailers spend on outdoor • The majority of the cases are UK firms with 80% being top 5 in their category 8
  • 9. Agenda Background & Objectives Overview of the BrandScience Results Vault Highlights from the FMCG study Results of the Retailer Meta analysis Summary and Conclusions 9
  • 10. Recap: How effective is Outdoor advertising for FMCG brands? 10
  • 11. FMCG: TV is only 5% more efficient than Outdoor advertising 11 Sample Set: All FMCG Results Vault studies (2002 -2008) with measured Outdoor RROI
  • 12. FMCG: If production costs are included, Outdoor becomes the most efficient medium 12 Sample Set: All FMCG Results Vault studies (2002 -2008) with measured Outdoor RROI
  • 13. FMCG Results Vault How does ROI vary according to proportion of outdoor spend? 13
  • 14. FMCG: Outdoor ROI increases with proportion of spend 14 Sample Set: All FMCG Results Vault studies (2002 -2008) with measured Outdoor RROI
  • 15. FMCG: Increasing share of spend on Outdoor boosts the ROI on other main media 15 Sample Set: All Results Vault studies (2002 -2008) with measured Outdoor RROI
  • 16. FMCG Results Vault Carryover rates – the medium term effect of media spend. By proportion of outdoor spend 16
  • 17. Higher Outdoor spend drives higher carryover rates (lagged effect of advertising). 1) For Outdoor 2) for TV 17 Sample Set: All FMCG Results Vault studies (2002 -2008) with measured Outdoor RROI
  • 18. FMCG Results Vault ROI trends over time by medium Our models categorised by year of evaluated campaign 18
  • 19. Outdoor is becoming more efficient, whereas TV is becoming less efficient 19 Sample Set: All FMCG Results Vault studies (2002 -2008)
  • 20. Given different ROIs by medium and changes in ROI over time, FMCG advertisers should increase their share of spend on outdoor 20
  • 21. Outdoor optimal share of spend should be 16% We can apply ROI by medium by year figures to determine optimal media split for the average FMCG brand 21
  • 22. Agenda Background & Objectives Overview of the BrandScience Results Vault Highlights from the FMCG study Results of the Retailer Meta analysis Summary and Conclusions 22
  • 23. How effective is Outdoor advertising for Retailers? 23
  • 24. Outdoor performs just as well as TV and both media are second only to Print Incremental Sales revenue generated for each £1 of media cost 24 Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
  • 25. RROI calculations are often based on media space costs and exclude production costs which can be a sizeable percentage of total ad spend TV production costs make up for a larger share of spend than any other medium ATL Media Production Costs as a percentage of media/production total TV 14.4% Print 8.1% Outdoor 7.8% Internet 7.6% Radio 7% Incorporating production costs into the RROI calculation changes the ranking of the media channels 25 Source: WARC
  • 26. RROI calculations are based solely on media space costs and exclude production costs - which can be a sizeable percentage of total spend Incremental Sales revenue generated for each £1 of media and production cost 26 Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
  • 27. The Print, DM and Radio RROIs are far higher when Outdoor is used +34% +84% +61% 27 Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
  • 28. How does the efficiency of Outdoor advertising change at different levels of spend? 28
  • 29. Outdoor RROI increases slightly as spend increases, implying there is room for retailers to increase their share of spend on Outdoor +22% 29 Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
  • 30. Outdoor Carryover rate increases significantly as spend increases, implying there is room for retailers to increase their share of spend on Outdoor +145% 30 Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
  • 31. “Life”of campaign vs. Outdoor spend +131% Based on time taken for advertising to have 95% of its “total” effect 31 Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
  • 32. How does Outdoor advertising impact on the efficiency of other media channels? 32
  • 33. Increased spend on Outdoor boosts the RROI on TV and Print +19% +28% 33 Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
  • 34. Higher spend on Outdoor is associated with a higher carryover rate on TV and Print +18% +50% 34 Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
  • 35. Higher Outdoor spend elongates the life of TV and Print campaigns +30% +62% Based on time taken for advertising to have 95% of its “total” effect 35 Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
  • 36. Is Outdoor advertising becoming more or less efficient over time? 36
  • 37. Trends in RROI over time: 1) Major Media vs Outdoor *Two year moving average 37 Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
  • 38. Trends in RROI over time: 2) Support Media vs Outdoor *Two year moving average 38 Sample Set: Retail Results Vault studies as at 15th May 2009
  • 39. What are the implications for budget allocation by media? 39
  • 40. The Retailer category includes brands with very disparate media strategies. By calculating diminishing returns curves and projecting trends in ROI over time, we suggest that overall Outdoor investment should increase, and on average should be doubled. Television, radio and cinema should be reduced. 40
  • 41. Agenda Background & Objectives Overview of the BrandScience Results Vault Highlights from the FMCG study Results of the Retailer Meta Analysis Summary and Conclusions 41
  • 42. Summary of findings for Retailers and FMCG study Outdoor delivers High ROI for both FMCG brands and Retailers When production costs are taken into account, Outdoor outperforms TV by 3% for FMCG brands & by 8% for Retailers. Above average Outdoor spend increases the medium term/brand effect of Outdoor AND TV Outdoor ROIs are increasing over time whereas TV is decreasing 42
  • 43. Findings on the effectiveness of Outdoor advertising from Econometric studies conducted by BrandScience Retailers and highlights from FMCG study 21 September 2009