The document discusses the need for companies to engage in future scenario planning and thinking to deal with increasing uncertainty and change in the business environment. It recommends that companies use scenario planning techniques like the Intuitive Logics method to identify early signs of change, perceive their implications, and act to validate and update strategies accordingly. This allows companies to maintain their competitive advantage by adapting to changes in customer needs, values, and the external environment.

1. Future Versions
Strategic Consulting
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2. Change and Uncertainty
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3. The last 15 years
the pace of Change
increased
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4. Companies
React vs. Proact
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5. Change increases
Uncertainty and Concern
about
The Future of the
Organizations
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6. "UNCERTAINTY
in NOT just an occasional deviation
from a reasonable predictability;
It's a BASIC STRUCTURAL
FEATURE
of the Business Environment"
(Pierre Wack - The "Father" of Scenarios)
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7. Events
Trends
Structures
(Mega trends/
driving forces)
Understanding the
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hidden 80%
keep digging until
structure emerges
Eureka!

8. Outside-in Scenario Thinking
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STIRDEEP
Society
Technology
Innovation
Resources
Demographics
Economics
Environment
Politics
Your
Internal
Environment Customers
Communities
Competitors
Government
Partners
Regulators
Suppliers

9. So we need to ask
ourselves...
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10. Do we ignore
Uncertainty?
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11. Do we see Uncertainty as
A problem or an opportunity?
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12. - Can we utilize Uncertainty?
- Can we adapt to Change?
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13. Do we understand how
Change and Uncertainty
can affect the
VALUES and NEEDS
of OUR CUSTOMERS?
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14. Can we still maintain our
Business Model AND
Competitive Advantage?
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15. Are our
Short-Medium-Long
Strategies still VALID?
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16. How can we deal with
all of the above?
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17. THE SOLUTION is
FUTURE SCENARIO
PLANNING and THINKING
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18. INTUITIVE LOGICS METHOD
based on the
ADAPTIVE ORGANIZATIONAL
LEARNING MODEL (AOL)
IDENTIFY - PERCEIVE - ACT
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19. Assists Companies to
IDENTIFY Early Signs of Change
PERCEIVE their Meaning(+/-ve)
ACT to validate/update their Strategy
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20. Conferring the
ULTIMATE
COMPETITIVE
ADVANTAGE
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21. INTUITIVE LOGICS BENEFITS
Develops the Best Strategic Processes
Improves Reaction time/Survival/Adaptability
Informs Today's Decisions
Provides a Common View of Company's Future
Challenges Business-As-Usual concept
Increases Realization of Underperformance
Utilizes unique insights, harnesses skills,
knowledge & Distinctive Competencies
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22. Will your organization identify
CHANGE and REACT
well ahead of time?
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23. Thank you!
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