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Lecture 17
Macroeconomics
Opening
Prayer
Quiz Master
Chapter 18
Fiscal Policy
P4
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Fiscal Policy and Negative Supply Shock
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
P2
P3
Inflation and
Recession
Stagflation
P2
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Aggregate Demand
Lower Taxes and/or Increase Spending
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Unemployment
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Decrease Aggregate Demand
Raise Taxes and/or Decrease Spending
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1 Aggregate
Demand
17
Inflation
Where does
government get
money?
Crowding Out
More Taxes
Cancel
No effect
More Borrowing
Crowding Out
Increase interest
rates
Lower Taxes
People may just save
more and not spend
More Spending
Now get free stuff.
No new spending
Get a free iPhone
But your taxes
will go up to
pay for it
No change in total
spending
Where does
government get
the money?
GDP
= C + I + G + X - M
If there are inactive capitals
Output will increase
If all capitals are active
Prices will increase
Tax Rate %
$

Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Dropped Top Marginal Income
Tax Rate

from 70% to 28%
Supply Side Tax
Changes
Lower marginal tax rates
incentivize people to
work more and firms to
create more.
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Long Run Aggregate Supply
Lower Marginal Tax Rates
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Lower Prices
Increase

Output
Time Lags
Do you really know?
Congress approve
Effect lag
Take 1- 3 years
Counterproductive
Multiplier
May not be as large as
Keynes calculated
Automatic Stabilizers
Job Unemployed Job
Taxes
Insurance
Taxes
What two questions do economists always
ask?
What answer do economists always give?
Quiz
Compared to what?
Then what happens?
It depends.
Spending more than Tax
Revenue
Budget Deficit
Borrow to Spend
IOUs
U.S. Government
Bonds
If the the public loans money to the
government, no change in money supply.
If the Central Bank loans money to the
government, it may increase the money
supply
Inflation
U.S. Government
Fiscal Policy
Central Bank
Monetary Policy
I.O.U.
U.S. Government Bonds

IOUs
Federal Reserve Bank

Printing Currency
Ability to Pay
Who Should Pay the Taxes?
Benefits
Depends on your definition of
fairness
You
Which Country?
Everyone else
A. $30,000 $30,000
B.
C.
$60,000 $100,000
$20,000 $10,000
Chapter 19
International
Trade
https://oec.world/
$300 $300
The Balance of
Trade and Trade
Deficits
All Exports = All Imports
Countries don’t buy
and sell
Individuals do
Why trade?
Value creation
Make it or trade for it
Trade can only take
us so far
We must have
production
Poverty is the rule
Prosperity is the
exception
Poverty has no
causes
Poverty is default
Specialization
Reduces time
Increases skill
Automation
Automation
A machine to do one
task
Trading 480 minutes
for 28,800 seconds
from many others
Produce one thing
Consume many
Improvement creates potential
Competition makes reality
Restricting trade
Reduces competition
Reduces productivity
Foreigners take
dollars because they
value dollars
Follow the Dollars
Why do people want dollars?
Buy American Products
Invest in America
Trade for other currencies
Hold and hope

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