Factfulness Lecture 2 - Recognizing Dramatic Instincts
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This document contains summaries and guidelines from Hans Rosling's lecture on factfulness and recognizing common cognitive biases that can lead to misinterpreting facts. It discusses 10 common "dramatic instincts" that distort our perspective, such as the urgency instinct, negativity instinct, and blame instinct. It also provides "rules of thumb" to help control for these biases, such as checking proportions to control for the size instinct and imagining bending lines to control for seeing trends as straight lines. The document advocates developing the habit of questioning dramatic stories that trigger instincts and making decisions gradually with continuous reassessment.
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Factfulness Lecture 2 - Recognizing Dramatic Instincts
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- 11. It never changes! The Destiny Instinct This is the solution! The Single Perspective Instinct Dramatic Instincts The Fear Instinct It’s scary! The Negativity Instinct It’s getting worse! The Size Instinct It’s big! The Blame Instinct That’s the bad guy! The Urgency Instinct It’s now or never! This poster is part of Gapminder’s free teaching resources. Gapminder is an independent Swedish foundation with no political, religious or economic affiliations. We fight devastating misconceptions with a fact-based worldview which everyone can understand. LICENSE: Freely available under Creative Commons Attribution License. Please copy, share, modify, integrate and even sell them, as long as you mention ”Based on a free teaching material from www.gapminder.org”. The Straight Line Instinct It just continues! The Generalization Instinct They are all the same! The gap instinct Look at the gap! Learn to recognize the ten common story types that often make us misinterpret facts and see them as more dramatic than they are. 1 3 5 7 9 2 4 6 8 10 www.gapminder.org/factfulness
- 12. Rules of Thumb Is there really a gap? Locate the majority TO CONTROL THE GAP INSTINCT Would improvement get attention? Expect negative news TO CONTROL THE NEGATIVITY INSTINCT Is it really dangerous? Calculate the risk TO CONTROL THE FEAR INSTINCT Is it big in comparison? Check the proportions TO CONTROL THE SIZE INSTINCT Isn’t it always changing slowly? Notice slow changes TO CONTROL THE DESTINY INSTINCT What other solutions exist? Use multiple tools TO CONTROL THE SINGLE PERSPECTIVE INSTINCT What system made this possible? Resist pointing finger TO CONTROL THE BLAME INSTINCT Can we make decisions as we go? Take small steps TO CONTROL THE URGENCY INSTINCT FACTFULNESS Why would this line not bend? Imagine bending lines TO CONTROL THE STRAIGHT LINE INSTINCT How are they different? Question your categories TO CONTROL THE GENERALIZATION INSTINCT Control your dramatic instincts by making it a habit to always question dramatic stories that trigger your dramatic instincts. 1 3 5 7 9 2 4 6 8 10 www.gapminder.org/factfulness
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