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ENHANCING THE REGULATORY
FRAMEWORK FOR NON-CONVENTIONAL
GEOTHERMAL RESOURCES
NATIONAL GEOTHERMAL ASSOCIATION OF THE PHILIPPINES
F I R S T P H I L I P P I N E A N N U A L G E O T H E R M A L C O N F E R E N C E
0 2 OCTOBER 2019
ATTY. FERNANDO S. PENARROYO
CONTENTS
• Background
• Mitigation and Risk Strategies
• Early-stage Fiscal Incentives
• Alternative Support Strategies
• Diversity in the Electricity System
• Conclusion
MALAMPAYA GAS -TO-POWER PROJECT
DEPLETION
• Employs deepwater technology to draw natural
gas that fuels three gas-fired power plants and
provides 30% of Luzon's power generation
requirements
• Delivers through 6 Gas Sales and Purchase
Agreements and fuels 2,700 MW of power
stations (baseload plants) and 500+ MW (mid-
merit and peaking plants)
• Data from the DOE indicated that given the
present production level and continuous
decrease in reservoir pressure, drop in supply is
expected by 2022.
• SC 38 will expire in 2024 with no certainty in an
extension and while it may have enough gas,
this may not be sufficient to last beyond five
years.
• Geothermal energy is a viable alternative.
TOP TEN GEOTHERMAL COUNTRIES
BOOSTING GEOTHERMAL AROUND THE
WORLD
CONTENTS
• Background
• Mitigation and Risk Strategies
• Early-stage Fiscal Incentives
• Alternative Support Strategies
• Diversity in the Electricity System
• Conclusion
LICENSE TO OPERATE A STEAM FIELD
• Technical and financial qualifications to engage in geothermal
operations in the Philippines;
• The area being applied for is open and available for geothermal
activities and is not located within any of the areas where it is
prohibited;
• An approved ECC, showing that the impacts of in the area can be
mitigated and/or remediated through proper environmental protection
measures;
• An approved Declaration of Commerciality, showing that the field can
be operated profitability, and can give government a fair share in
revenues.
• The endorsement/approval of the local government units (Province,
Municipality/City, and Barangays) that will be impacted by the
proposed activity;
• The consent of the indigenous peoples, if the area being applied for is
within their ancestral domains; and
• Requirements for power plant operation - GIS, Approved PPSA,
Certificate of Compliance as a Generation Company
MITIGATION AND RISK STRATEGIES
• National Geothermal Database - serves as a central depository for
geothermal resource data available to the public on a centralized web
application to encourage both investors and developers to access
information
• Geothermal Resource Classification System - addresses the
probability of risk based on a standardized set of geothermal resource
criteria and attributes
• Structured Co-Funded Exploration Drilling Program - undertaken in two
ways: (i) government-led exploration and resource confirmation is
conducted before the development rights are transferred to the private
sector to complete, and (ii) the private sector is responsible for
developing all stages of a geothermal project, but the government
shares the cost of the high risk exploration stage
MITIGATION AND RISK STRATEGIES
• Structured Loan Guarantee Program Supporting Early Investment - loan guarantee
program be directed at an entity, Investment Aggregator, or a group of entities, that
would make direct equity investments and loans to geothermal projects in the
identification, exploration, or delineation drilling phases of development
• Geothermal Resource Risk Insurance - seeks to pool exploration risks across a
portfolio of development projects by insuring the productivity of a well prior to
drilling, where some or all of the losses would be covered if certain pre-specified
goals are not achieved. Two types of insurance may apply: a post-damage
guarantee or a guaranteed loan. Limited application for two main reasons:
(1) globally, geothermal development is a small sector, and insurance companies
have, to date, been unable to amass an appropriate scale for such coverage to be
efficient; and
(2) given the significant uncertainty during the exploration stage, the premiums are
typically high.
CONTENTS
• Background
• Mitigation and Risk Strategies
• Early-stage Fiscal Incentives
• Alternative Support Strategies
• Diversity in the Electricity System
• Conclusion
EARLY-STAGE FISCAL INCENTIVES
Not risk mitigation mechanisms, but
reduce the up-front cost of geothermal
exploration and lower the financial
exposure developers would face during
exploration drilling.
• Investment Tax Credit approach is
available in the US and provides a tax
credit of 10 to 30% of the capital
investment costs in a project.
• Production Tax Credits -single most
important program supporting
renewable generation in the US,
which pays 1.5 cents/kWh for
electricity produced and sold
• Carbon Limitations - either by pricing
carbon emissions into the cost of
electricity or through the production of
carbon offsets via emission-free
electric generation
CONTENTS
• Background
• Mitigation and Risk Strategies
• Early-stage Fiscal Incentives
• Alternative Support Strategies
• Diversity in the Electricity System
• Conclusion
ALTERNATIVE SUPPORT STRATEGIES
• Renewable portfolio standards, which
include a mandated target percentage
of renewable power in the energy
portfolio of a country or utility
company
• Feed-in tariff, which sets the minimum
prices for renewable energy and
mandates off take
• Loan guarantees for geothermal
projects
• Development of associated
infrastructure (roads and transmission
lines) is another way to facilitate
geothermal development, particularly
in remote areas
CONTENTS
• Background
• Mitigation and Risk Strategies
• Early-stage Fiscal Incentives
• Alternative Support Strategies
• Diversity in the Electricity System
• Conclusion
DIVERSITY IN THE ELECTRICITY SYSTEM
• Removing the Automatic Pass (ERC) - removing the ability for generators
to automatically pass-through fuel and foreign exchange fluctuations
would help level the playing field among differing energy resources.
• Issuing Stranded Asset Risk Warnings across the financial value chain
(BSP and SEC) - “carve-out clause” can reduce the amount of power a
utility must buy from a generator and exempt DUs from the consequences
of coal plant overbuilding and high coal costs.
• Overhauling procurement practices by introducing least-cost mechanism
auctions (DUs and ERC) - enforcement of a competitive selection process
with transparent bidding would put an end to self-negotiated generation
rates and a significant step toward open competition for the procurement
of the lowest-cost option for power capacity.
CONCLUSION
• Resource risk and high upfront investment costs are major barriers to
geothermal development.
• To mobilize risk capital during the uncertain early stages of geothermal
development, governments must take action to reduce the risks to
developers and/or otherwise incentivize developers to invest in
geothermal exploration.
• In some cases, public intervention is needed to absorb some of the
resource risk.
• It is important that any specific risk mitigation instrument is applied in
coordination with other incentives that enhance the overall investment
climate for geothermal development.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS AND REFERENCES
• Department of Energy
• ThinkGeoEnergy
• “Innovative risk finance solutions: Insights for geothermal power development in Kenya and
Ethiopia”, Paula Rolffs, Julian Richardson and Amal-Lee Amin (February 2017)
• Deloitte: “Department of Energy – Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Geothermal
Program Geothermal Risk Mitigation Strategies Report” (15 February 2008)
• ESMAP: “Comparative Analysis of Approaches to Geothermal Resource Risk Mitigation” (March
2016)
• “Geothermal Risk Guarantee Fund: Recommendations for Poland” (October 2017)
• Climate Policy Initiative: “Lessons on the Role of Public Finance in Deploying Geothermal Energy in
Developing Countries”, Micale Valerio and Oliver Padraig (August 2015)
• Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis: “The Philippine Energy Transition - Building a
Robust Power Market to Attract Investment, Reduce Prices, Improve Efficiency and Reliability”,
Sarah Jane Ahmed (March 2019)
ABOUT THE
SPEAKER
• Master of Laws (Univ. of Melbourne), Bachelor
of Laws & BS Geo, (UP)
• Group’s Legal Counsel Philippines and
General Manager for Business Development,
Polyard Petroleum International Group Co. Ltd
• Clean Rock Renewable Energy Resources
• Past President, Geological Society of the
Philippines
• VP and Trustee, Philippine Mineral Exploration
Association
• Legal Counsel - National Geothermal
Association of the Philippines and Philippine
Chamber of Coal Mines
• Legal Committee, Petroleum Association of
the Philippines
• Former Director, International Geothermal
Association
• http://www.philippine-resources.com/
ENHANCING THE REGULATORY
FRAMEWORK FOR NON-CONVENTIONAL
GEOTHERMAL RESOURCES
NATIONAL GEOTHERMAL ASSOCIATION OF THE PHILIPPINES
F I R S T P H I L I P P I N E A N N U A L G E O T H E R M A L C O N F E R E N C E
0 2 OCTOBER 2019
ATTY. FERNANDO S. PENARROYO

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Enhancing The Regulatory Framework for Non Conventional Geothermal Resources

  • 1. ENHANCING THE REGULATORY FRAMEWORK FOR NON-CONVENTIONAL GEOTHERMAL RESOURCES NATIONAL GEOTHERMAL ASSOCIATION OF THE PHILIPPINES F I R S T P H I L I P P I N E A N N U A L G E O T H E R M A L C O N F E R E N C E 0 2 OCTOBER 2019 ATTY. FERNANDO S. PENARROYO
  • 2. CONTENTS • Background • Mitigation and Risk Strategies • Early-stage Fiscal Incentives • Alternative Support Strategies • Diversity in the Electricity System • Conclusion
  • 3. MALAMPAYA GAS -TO-POWER PROJECT DEPLETION • Employs deepwater technology to draw natural gas that fuels three gas-fired power plants and provides 30% of Luzon's power generation requirements • Delivers through 6 Gas Sales and Purchase Agreements and fuels 2,700 MW of power stations (baseload plants) and 500+ MW (mid- merit and peaking plants) • Data from the DOE indicated that given the present production level and continuous decrease in reservoir pressure, drop in supply is expected by 2022. • SC 38 will expire in 2024 with no certainty in an extension and while it may have enough gas, this may not be sufficient to last beyond five years. • Geothermal energy is a viable alternative.
  • 4. TOP TEN GEOTHERMAL COUNTRIES
  • 6. CONTENTS • Background • Mitigation and Risk Strategies • Early-stage Fiscal Incentives • Alternative Support Strategies • Diversity in the Electricity System • Conclusion
  • 7. LICENSE TO OPERATE A STEAM FIELD • Technical and financial qualifications to engage in geothermal operations in the Philippines; • The area being applied for is open and available for geothermal activities and is not located within any of the areas where it is prohibited; • An approved ECC, showing that the impacts of in the area can be mitigated and/or remediated through proper environmental protection measures; • An approved Declaration of Commerciality, showing that the field can be operated profitability, and can give government a fair share in revenues. • The endorsement/approval of the local government units (Province, Municipality/City, and Barangays) that will be impacted by the proposed activity; • The consent of the indigenous peoples, if the area being applied for is within their ancestral domains; and • Requirements for power plant operation - GIS, Approved PPSA, Certificate of Compliance as a Generation Company
  • 8.
  • 9. MITIGATION AND RISK STRATEGIES • National Geothermal Database - serves as a central depository for geothermal resource data available to the public on a centralized web application to encourage both investors and developers to access information • Geothermal Resource Classification System - addresses the probability of risk based on a standardized set of geothermal resource criteria and attributes • Structured Co-Funded Exploration Drilling Program - undertaken in two ways: (i) government-led exploration and resource confirmation is conducted before the development rights are transferred to the private sector to complete, and (ii) the private sector is responsible for developing all stages of a geothermal project, but the government shares the cost of the high risk exploration stage
  • 10. MITIGATION AND RISK STRATEGIES • Structured Loan Guarantee Program Supporting Early Investment - loan guarantee program be directed at an entity, Investment Aggregator, or a group of entities, that would make direct equity investments and loans to geothermal projects in the identification, exploration, or delineation drilling phases of development • Geothermal Resource Risk Insurance - seeks to pool exploration risks across a portfolio of development projects by insuring the productivity of a well prior to drilling, where some or all of the losses would be covered if certain pre-specified goals are not achieved. Two types of insurance may apply: a post-damage guarantee or a guaranteed loan. Limited application for two main reasons: (1) globally, geothermal development is a small sector, and insurance companies have, to date, been unable to amass an appropriate scale for such coverage to be efficient; and (2) given the significant uncertainty during the exploration stage, the premiums are typically high.
  • 11. CONTENTS • Background • Mitigation and Risk Strategies • Early-stage Fiscal Incentives • Alternative Support Strategies • Diversity in the Electricity System • Conclusion
  • 12. EARLY-STAGE FISCAL INCENTIVES Not risk mitigation mechanisms, but reduce the up-front cost of geothermal exploration and lower the financial exposure developers would face during exploration drilling. • Investment Tax Credit approach is available in the US and provides a tax credit of 10 to 30% of the capital investment costs in a project. • Production Tax Credits -single most important program supporting renewable generation in the US, which pays 1.5 cents/kWh for electricity produced and sold • Carbon Limitations - either by pricing carbon emissions into the cost of electricity or through the production of carbon offsets via emission-free electric generation
  • 13. CONTENTS • Background • Mitigation and Risk Strategies • Early-stage Fiscal Incentives • Alternative Support Strategies • Diversity in the Electricity System • Conclusion
  • 14. ALTERNATIVE SUPPORT STRATEGIES • Renewable portfolio standards, which include a mandated target percentage of renewable power in the energy portfolio of a country or utility company • Feed-in tariff, which sets the minimum prices for renewable energy and mandates off take • Loan guarantees for geothermal projects • Development of associated infrastructure (roads and transmission lines) is another way to facilitate geothermal development, particularly in remote areas
  • 15. CONTENTS • Background • Mitigation and Risk Strategies • Early-stage Fiscal Incentives • Alternative Support Strategies • Diversity in the Electricity System • Conclusion
  • 16. DIVERSITY IN THE ELECTRICITY SYSTEM • Removing the Automatic Pass (ERC) - removing the ability for generators to automatically pass-through fuel and foreign exchange fluctuations would help level the playing field among differing energy resources. • Issuing Stranded Asset Risk Warnings across the financial value chain (BSP and SEC) - “carve-out clause” can reduce the amount of power a utility must buy from a generator and exempt DUs from the consequences of coal plant overbuilding and high coal costs. • Overhauling procurement practices by introducing least-cost mechanism auctions (DUs and ERC) - enforcement of a competitive selection process with transparent bidding would put an end to self-negotiated generation rates and a significant step toward open competition for the procurement of the lowest-cost option for power capacity.
  • 17. CONCLUSION • Resource risk and high upfront investment costs are major barriers to geothermal development. • To mobilize risk capital during the uncertain early stages of geothermal development, governments must take action to reduce the risks to developers and/or otherwise incentivize developers to invest in geothermal exploration. • In some cases, public intervention is needed to absorb some of the resource risk. • It is important that any specific risk mitigation instrument is applied in coordination with other incentives that enhance the overall investment climate for geothermal development.
  • 18. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS AND REFERENCES • Department of Energy • ThinkGeoEnergy • “Innovative risk finance solutions: Insights for geothermal power development in Kenya and Ethiopia”, Paula Rolffs, Julian Richardson and Amal-Lee Amin (February 2017) • Deloitte: “Department of Energy – Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Geothermal Program Geothermal Risk Mitigation Strategies Report” (15 February 2008) • ESMAP: “Comparative Analysis of Approaches to Geothermal Resource Risk Mitigation” (March 2016) • “Geothermal Risk Guarantee Fund: Recommendations for Poland” (October 2017) • Climate Policy Initiative: “Lessons on the Role of Public Finance in Deploying Geothermal Energy in Developing Countries”, Micale Valerio and Oliver Padraig (August 2015) • Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis: “The Philippine Energy Transition - Building a Robust Power Market to Attract Investment, Reduce Prices, Improve Efficiency and Reliability”, Sarah Jane Ahmed (March 2019)
  • 19. ABOUT THE SPEAKER • Master of Laws (Univ. of Melbourne), Bachelor of Laws & BS Geo, (UP) • Group’s Legal Counsel Philippines and General Manager for Business Development, Polyard Petroleum International Group Co. Ltd • Clean Rock Renewable Energy Resources • Past President, Geological Society of the Philippines • VP and Trustee, Philippine Mineral Exploration Association • Legal Counsel - National Geothermal Association of the Philippines and Philippine Chamber of Coal Mines • Legal Committee, Petroleum Association of the Philippines • Former Director, International Geothermal Association • http://www.philippine-resources.com/
  • 20. ENHANCING THE REGULATORY FRAMEWORK FOR NON-CONVENTIONAL GEOTHERMAL RESOURCES NATIONAL GEOTHERMAL ASSOCIATION OF THE PHILIPPINES F I R S T P H I L I P P I N E A N N U A L G E O T H E R M A L C O N F E R E N C E 0 2 OCTOBER 2019 ATTY. FERNANDO S. PENARROYO