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2009 AIFA Conference
Scottsdale, AZ


Jack McGarry
Sr. Vice President and Chief Risk Officer
Unum US

March 2, 2009
Safe Harbor Statement

Statements in this presentation that are not historical facts, such as our earnings per share, return on
equity and our Unum US group disability benefit ratio guidance, constitute “forward-looking
statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and involve
risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the
forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include such general matters as general
economic or business conditions, particularly the current financial market disruptions and deteriorating
economic conditions; events or consequences relating to terrorism, acts of war and catastrophes,
including natural and man-made disasters; competitive factors, including pricing pressures; legislative,
regulatory, accounting, or tax law changes; and the interest rate environment. More specifically, they
include fluctuations in insurance reserve liabilities; changes in projected new sales and renewals;
variations between projections and actual experience in persistency rates, incidence and recovery
rates, pricing and underwriting; retained risks in our reinsurance operations; availability and cost of
reinsurance; the level and results of litigation, rating agency actions, and regulatory actions and
investigations; negative media attention; changes in assumptions relating to deferred acquisition costs,
value of business acquired or goodwill; the level of pension benefit costs and funding; investment
results, including credit deterioration of investments; the ability of our insurance company subsidiaries
to pay dividends or extend credit to us and certain of our intermediate holding company subsidiaries
and/or finance subsidiaries; and effectiveness of product support and customer service. For further
information of risks and uncertainties that could affect actual results, see our filings with the Securities
and Exchange Commission, including information in the sections titled “Cautionary Statement
Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” and “Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the
fiscal year ended December 31, 2008. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are being
made as of the date of this presentation, and we expressly disclaim any obligation to update or revise
any forward-looking statement contained herein.


                                                                                                           2
Agenda


• Economic and Business Environment

• Growth Strategy

• Progress to Date




                                      3
Economic and Business Environment




                                    4
Business Environment: Economic Landscape

                         US Non-Farm Employment Lives                                                                                                                                                                Consumer Confidence
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Recession
140,000                                                                                                                                                                  150                                                                                                                             Dec 07-

                                                                                                                                                                         125                        Recession
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Jul 90-Mar
130,000                   Recession                                                                                                  Recession
                          Jul 90-Mar 91                                                                                              Dec 07-                             100

120,000                                                                                                    Recession                                                      75
                                                                                                           Mar 01-Nov 01
                                                                                                                                                                          50                                                                                                       Recession
110,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Mar 01-Nov
                                                                                                                                                                          25

                                                                                                                                                                           0
100,000




                                                                                                                                                                               1Q89

                                                                                                                                                                                      1Q90

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1Q05

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1Q06

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1Q07

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1Q08

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              1Q09
           1Q89

                  1Q90

                         1Q91

                                1Q92

                                       1Q93

                                                1Q94

                                                       1Q95

                                                              1Q96

                                                                     1Q97

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                                                                                                                              1Q05

                                                                                                                                      1Q06

                                                                                                                                             1Q07

                                                                                                                                                    1Q08

                                                                                                                                                           1Q09
                                                                     GDP                                                                                                                                                  Yields to Maturity
10.0%                                                                                                                                                             12.0

 8.0%

 6.0%                                                                                                                                                             10.0

 4.0%
                                                                                                                                                                   8.0
 2.0%

 0.0%
                                                                                                                                                                   6.0
-2.0%

-4.0%
                                                                                                                                                                   4.0
-6.0%
          2000           2001                 2002            2003            2004               2005            2006                2007           2008
   1Q     1.0%           -0.5%                2.7%            1.2%            3.0%               3.0%            4.8%                0.1%           0.9%           2.0
   2Q     6.4%           1.2%                 2.2%            3.5%            3.5%               2.6%            2.7%                4.8%           2.8%
   3Q     -0.5%          -1.4%                2.4%            7.5%            3.6%               3.8%            0.8%                4.8%           -0.5%
   4Q     2.1%           1.6%                 0.2%            2.7%            2.5%               1.3%            1.5%            -0.2%              -3.8%          0.0


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Copyright © 2008
                                                                                                                                                                                              A Corp              Baa Corp              UST 7-10 Yr                 UST 20+ Yr                             Lehman Brothers Inc .




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       5
Business Environment: Corporate Diversification

         More Diversified Earned Premium Base


                                                                                                     Colonial
                                                                               IDI-Closed Block
                                  Colonial                                                            13%
        IDI-Closed Block                                                             12%
                                    9%
              16%
                                             Unum UK
                                               4%
                                                  Other                                                         Unum UK
                                                   1%                                                             11%


                                                     Unum US
                                                   Supplemental                                                    Other
                                                    & Voluntary                                                     0%
                                                       13%

                                                                   Unum US
                                                                  Large-Case                                       Unum US
 Unum US                                                             21%                                         Supplemental
Large-Case                                                                                                        & Voluntary
   33%                                                                                                               19%


                                          Unum US
                                         Core Market
                                            24%                                     Unum US
                                                                                   Core Market
                                                                                      24%



                           2002                                                                   2008


                                                                                                                           6
Business Environment: Unum US Industry
       Diversification


                                 In-force Premium - Group, VWB & GLTC

           Other 18.7%                                              Other 18.4%


                                                                                                  Cyclical 28.6%

                                             Cyclical 35.3%




  Education /
Services 20.6%                                             Education /
                                                         Services 24.3%
                                                                                                    Finance 7.4%




                                        Finance 8.2%

                         Healthcare                                                  Healthcare
                           17.1%                                                       21.3%



                           2002                                                   2008

         • Cyclical industries include Manufacturing & Construction, Transportation &
           Utilities, Wholesale / Retail


                                                                                                                   7
Economic Environment: Submitted Incidence
Trends by Case Size

Group Long-term Disability: Submitted Incidence Trend by Case Size

                           Submitted Incidence




                                                `




          2002    2003       2004        2005         2006     2007   2008

                         0-499      500-1,999       2,000+   Total




                                                                             8
Economic Environment: LTD Recessionary Impact




                         Age Adjusted Submitted Incidence
                   Cumulative Quarterly change from employment peak
    6%
    5%
    4%
    3%
    2%
    1%
    0%
   0%
   -1%
   -2%
   -3%
             -8     -7     -6     -5     -4     -3     -2     -1     0      1       2    3   4
                           Avg Sub Inc from 90&01 recessions                    07 Sub Inc


Quarter 0 represents quarter of peak employment lives for recessionary period




                                                                                                 9
Growth Strategy




                  10
Growth Strategy: Employee Benefit Market
  Trends - US

  Total US Employee Benefits Revenue % by Category
           Retirement                                                                                             Retirement
              18%                                                                                                    16%
                                                  HR
                                               Operations
                                                 15%
                                                                                                                                  HR
                                                                                                                               Operations
                                                                                                                                 10%

                                                        Other
                                                       Benefits                                                                   Other
                                                         8%                                                                      Benefits
                                                                                                                                   4%




                                                                                Health
 Health
                                                                                 70%
  59%


                                                                                                      2016
                        2006                                                                     (Estimates)

                                              Increased propensity to
                                               package “other benefits”

Source: Current Data - LIMRA Feb. 2007 report, “Group Insurance market Potential”.   Trend Data – Bain research


                                                                                                                                      11
Growth Strategy: Premium Per Life Trends vs.
LTD Industry

                                         Inforce Premium per Life
          $
                                                                                    $303

                                                                        $290

                                                            $270

                                               $252

                                                                        $232        $234
                                   $229                     $229
                     $217                      $218
                                  $216

                                                            $219        $219        $222
              $205
                                    $211         $209
                $201



                   2002            2003        2004         2005        2006        2007

                                Unum LTD      Industry excluding Unum    Industry


Source: JHA Disability Market Surveys




                                                                                           12
Growth Strategy: Shifting Size

Group Long-term Disability Business Mix


                  2002              2008
                New Sales         New Sales



                  28%
                  Small             43%
                                    Small

                  17%
                  Mid
                                    21%
                                    Mid


                  55%
                  Large
                                    36%
                                    Large




                                              13
Growth Strategy: Reducing Average Case Size

    Group Long-term Disability - Average Case Size

 $ in millions

        $50,000




                      $38,469 $39,426   $40,086
        $40,000



                                                  $30,298             $28,461
        $30,000
                                                            $26,412

                                                                                $23,339
                                                                                          $22,833


        $20,000




        $10,000
                      2001    2002      2003      2004      2005      2006      2007      2008


* Fully Insured New Sales




                                                                                                    14
Growth Strategy: Shifting Product Mix

  Business Mix – Sales Premium

                                                        LTC
                     LTC                               5.8%
                    6.1%                         IDI RI
           IDI RI                                8.2%          Group
           8.9%
                                                               Large
                                                               21.0%
     VWB                           Group
     8.3%                          Large
                                   43.1%          VB
                                                22.6%


              Group                                           Group
               Core                                            Core
              33.6%                                           42.4%




                     2002                                2008
* 2002 Data do not include AD&D Sales Premium



                                                                       15
Risk Results

   Group Disability Benefit Ratio*
100%

              94.6%                            94.8%
 95%                                   93.8%
                               92.7%                   92.4%

                                                                89.9%
 90%



 85%



 80%



 75%



 70%
             2003             2004     2005    2006    2007    2008

• Benefit ratio continues to reflect improving claims management performance.
• Benefit Operations continues to achieve greater consistency in results and
  sustain underlying long term performance assumptions.
* Excludes impact of RSA settlement


                                                                           16
Benefit Center Performance


• Management Involvement

• Staffing


• Inventory Management


• Quality Review




                             17
Risk Results

      Group Life and AD&D Benefit Ratio

80%
         77.0%
                   76.6%
                             76.0%        76.3%


75%
                                                   72.8%



                                                            69.5%
70%




65%




60%
        2003      2004      2005          2006    2007     2008




                                                                    18
Risk Results

      Voluntary Benefits Benefit Ratio


75%       72.5%


                    69.0%
70%
                               66.3%


65%
                                         62.6%

                                                  60.1%

60%                                                        58.0%




55%




50%
         2003       2004       2005      2006    2007     2008




                                                                   19
Risk Results

      Group Disability, GL and AD&D, Voluntary Benefits Benefit Ratio

90%
          87.0%

                    85.5%      85.6%      85.8%

85%
                                                    83.1%



                                                               80.1%
80%




75%




70%
         2003       2004      2005       2006      2007       2008




                                                                        20
Growth Strategy: Increasing Customer Base

New Sales Case Counts
                        Unum US Group Disability
         10,000
                                       %
                                            8,856
                                 +12
                        7,901

          7,000




          4,000
                        2007                   2008
                          Unum US Group Life
          10,000

                                      %
                                +21
                                            7,914

           7,000        6,531




           4,000
                         2007                  2008

                                                      21
Growth Strategy: Voluntary Market



$ in millions
                         Unum US Voluntary Benefits Sales Growth
            $200




                                                                           $158.6


            $150                                                  $138.4
                                                         $134.2
                                                $130.2


                                       $114.1
                              $105.8

            $100
                      $79.1




                $50
                      2002    2003     2004     2005     2006     2007     2008




                                                                                    22
2009 Outlook and Opportunities

Earned Premium Growth – Unum US
                                                                    2008-2013
                                                                    5 Yr CAGR
               Total      Core & Supp      Group Large

                                                                    4.4% Total


                                                                       8.4%
                                                                      Core &
                                                                   Supplemental



                                                                       - 1.5%
                                                                    Group Large




2003                          2008                          2013

 Earned premium growth emerges in 2009 as large case earned premium
 flattens and growth accelerates in group core and supplemental benefits
 segment.


                                                                             23
Non-GAAP Reconciliation




                          24
Non-GAAP Reconciliation



                                                               Three Months Ended            Twelve Months Ended           Twelve Months Ended           Twelve Months Ended
                                                                  June 30, 2007               December 31, 2007             December 31, 2006             December 31, 2005
                                                           (in millions) benefit ratio   (in millions)  benefit ratio   (in millions) benefit ratio   (in millions) benefit ratio

Unum US Group Disability Ratio
    Premium Income                                          $    609.3                   $ 2,381.3                      $   2,483.5                   $   2,527.9
    Benefits and Change in Reserves for Future Benefits          641.2       105.2%        2,277.4            95.6%         2,702.5       108.8%          2,397.7         94.8%
    Regulatory Reassessment Charge                               (76.5)                      (76.5)                          (349.2)                        (27.3)
    Benefits and Change in Reserves for Future Benefits,
       Excluding Regulatory Reassessment Charge                  564.7        92.7%         2,200.9           92.4%         2,353.3         94.8%         2,370.4         93.8%

                                                              Twelve Months Ended            Twelve Months Ended
                                                               December 31, 2004              December 31, 2003
                                                           (in millions) benefit ratio   (in millions)  benefit ratio

Unum US Group Disability Ratio
    Premium Income                                          $ 2,644.7                    $ 2,662.6
    Benefits and Change in Reserves for Future Benefits       2,533.1         95.8%        3,412.1           128.1%
    Regulatory Reassessment Charge                              (80.2)                      (894.0)
    Benefits and Change in Reserves for Future Benefits,
       Excluding Regulatory Reassessment Charge                 2,452.9       92.7%         2,518.1           94.6%




                                                                                                                                                                          25

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unum group library.corporate-ir.net

  • 1. 2009 AIFA Conference Scottsdale, AZ Jack McGarry Sr. Vice President and Chief Risk Officer Unum US March 2, 2009
  • 2. Safe Harbor Statement Statements in this presentation that are not historical facts, such as our earnings per share, return on equity and our Unum US group disability benefit ratio guidance, constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include such general matters as general economic or business conditions, particularly the current financial market disruptions and deteriorating economic conditions; events or consequences relating to terrorism, acts of war and catastrophes, including natural and man-made disasters; competitive factors, including pricing pressures; legislative, regulatory, accounting, or tax law changes; and the interest rate environment. More specifically, they include fluctuations in insurance reserve liabilities; changes in projected new sales and renewals; variations between projections and actual experience in persistency rates, incidence and recovery rates, pricing and underwriting; retained risks in our reinsurance operations; availability and cost of reinsurance; the level and results of litigation, rating agency actions, and regulatory actions and investigations; negative media attention; changes in assumptions relating to deferred acquisition costs, value of business acquired or goodwill; the level of pension benefit costs and funding; investment results, including credit deterioration of investments; the ability of our insurance company subsidiaries to pay dividends or extend credit to us and certain of our intermediate holding company subsidiaries and/or finance subsidiaries; and effectiveness of product support and customer service. For further information of risks and uncertainties that could affect actual results, see our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including information in the sections titled “Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” and “Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2008. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are being made as of the date of this presentation, and we expressly disclaim any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement contained herein. 2
  • 3. Agenda • Economic and Business Environment • Growth Strategy • Progress to Date 3
  • 4. Economic and Business Environment 4
  • 5. Business Environment: Economic Landscape US Non-Farm Employment Lives Consumer Confidence Recession 140,000 150 Dec 07- 125 Recession Jul 90-Mar 130,000 Recession Recession Jul 90-Mar 91 Dec 07- 100 120,000 Recession 75 Mar 01-Nov 01 50 Recession 110,000 Mar 01-Nov 25 0 100,000 1Q89 1Q90 1Q91 1Q92 1Q93 1Q94 1Q95 1Q96 1Q97 1Q98 1Q99 1Q00 1Q01 1Q02 1Q03 1Q04 1Q05 1Q06 1Q07 1Q08 1Q09 1Q89 1Q90 1Q91 1Q92 1Q93 1Q94 1Q95 1Q96 1Q97 1Q98 1Q99 1Q00 1Q01 1Q02 1Q03 1Q04 1Q05 1Q06 1Q07 1Q08 1Q09 GDP Yields to Maturity 10.0% 12.0 8.0% 6.0% 10.0 4.0% 8.0 2.0% 0.0% 6.0 -2.0% -4.0% 4.0 -6.0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q 1.0% -0.5% 2.7% 1.2% 3.0% 3.0% 4.8% 0.1% 0.9% 2.0 2Q 6.4% 1.2% 2.2% 3.5% 3.5% 2.6% 2.7% 4.8% 2.8% 3Q -0.5% -1.4% 2.4% 7.5% 3.6% 3.8% 0.8% 4.8% -0.5% 4Q 2.1% 1.6% 0.2% 2.7% 2.5% 1.3% 1.5% -0.2% -3.8% 0.0 Copyright © 2008 A Corp Baa Corp UST 7-10 Yr UST 20+ Yr Lehman Brothers Inc . 5
  • 6. Business Environment: Corporate Diversification More Diversified Earned Premium Base Colonial IDI-Closed Block Colonial 13% IDI-Closed Block 12% 9% 16% Unum UK 4% Other Unum UK 1% 11% Unum US Supplemental Other & Voluntary 0% 13% Unum US Large-Case Unum US Unum US 21% Supplemental Large-Case & Voluntary 33% 19% Unum US Core Market 24% Unum US Core Market 24% 2002 2008 6
  • 7. Business Environment: Unum US Industry Diversification In-force Premium - Group, VWB & GLTC Other 18.7% Other 18.4% Cyclical 28.6% Cyclical 35.3% Education / Services 20.6% Education / Services 24.3% Finance 7.4% Finance 8.2% Healthcare Healthcare 17.1% 21.3% 2002 2008 • Cyclical industries include Manufacturing & Construction, Transportation & Utilities, Wholesale / Retail 7
  • 8. Economic Environment: Submitted Incidence Trends by Case Size Group Long-term Disability: Submitted Incidence Trend by Case Size Submitted Incidence ` 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 0-499 500-1,999 2,000+ Total 8
  • 9. Economic Environment: LTD Recessionary Impact Age Adjusted Submitted Incidence Cumulative Quarterly change from employment peak 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% -1% -2% -3% -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 Avg Sub Inc from 90&01 recessions 07 Sub Inc Quarter 0 represents quarter of peak employment lives for recessionary period 9
  • 11. Growth Strategy: Employee Benefit Market Trends - US Total US Employee Benefits Revenue % by Category Retirement Retirement 18% 16% HR Operations 15% HR Operations 10% Other Benefits Other 8% Benefits 4% Health Health 70% 59% 2016 2006 (Estimates) Increased propensity to package “other benefits” Source: Current Data - LIMRA Feb. 2007 report, “Group Insurance market Potential”. Trend Data – Bain research 11
  • 12. Growth Strategy: Premium Per Life Trends vs. LTD Industry Inforce Premium per Life $ $303 $290 $270 $252 $232 $234 $229 $229 $217 $218 $216 $219 $219 $222 $205 $211 $209 $201 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Unum LTD Industry excluding Unum Industry Source: JHA Disability Market Surveys 12
  • 13. Growth Strategy: Shifting Size Group Long-term Disability Business Mix 2002 2008 New Sales New Sales 28% Small 43% Small 17% Mid 21% Mid 55% Large 36% Large 13
  • 14. Growth Strategy: Reducing Average Case Size Group Long-term Disability - Average Case Size $ in millions $50,000 $38,469 $39,426 $40,086 $40,000 $30,298 $28,461 $30,000 $26,412 $23,339 $22,833 $20,000 $10,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 * Fully Insured New Sales 14
  • 15. Growth Strategy: Shifting Product Mix Business Mix – Sales Premium LTC LTC 5.8% 6.1% IDI RI IDI RI 8.2% Group 8.9% Large 21.0% VWB Group 8.3% Large 43.1% VB 22.6% Group Group Core Core 33.6% 42.4% 2002 2008 * 2002 Data do not include AD&D Sales Premium 15
  • 16. Risk Results Group Disability Benefit Ratio* 100% 94.6% 94.8% 95% 93.8% 92.7% 92.4% 89.9% 90% 85% 80% 75% 70% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 • Benefit ratio continues to reflect improving claims management performance. • Benefit Operations continues to achieve greater consistency in results and sustain underlying long term performance assumptions. * Excludes impact of RSA settlement 16
  • 17. Benefit Center Performance • Management Involvement • Staffing • Inventory Management • Quality Review 17
  • 18. Risk Results Group Life and AD&D Benefit Ratio 80% 77.0% 76.6% 76.0% 76.3% 75% 72.8% 69.5% 70% 65% 60% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 18
  • 19. Risk Results Voluntary Benefits Benefit Ratio 75% 72.5% 69.0% 70% 66.3% 65% 62.6% 60.1% 60% 58.0% 55% 50% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 19
  • 20. Risk Results Group Disability, GL and AD&D, Voluntary Benefits Benefit Ratio 90% 87.0% 85.5% 85.6% 85.8% 85% 83.1% 80.1% 80% 75% 70% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20
  • 21. Growth Strategy: Increasing Customer Base New Sales Case Counts Unum US Group Disability 10,000 % 8,856 +12 7,901 7,000 4,000 2007 2008 Unum US Group Life 10,000 % +21 7,914 7,000 6,531 4,000 2007 2008 21
  • 22. Growth Strategy: Voluntary Market $ in millions Unum US Voluntary Benefits Sales Growth $200 $158.6 $150 $138.4 $134.2 $130.2 $114.1 $105.8 $100 $79.1 $50 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 22
  • 23. 2009 Outlook and Opportunities Earned Premium Growth – Unum US 2008-2013 5 Yr CAGR Total Core & Supp Group Large 4.4% Total 8.4% Core & Supplemental - 1.5% Group Large 2003 2008 2013 Earned premium growth emerges in 2009 as large case earned premium flattens and growth accelerates in group core and supplemental benefits segment. 23
  • 25. Non-GAAP Reconciliation Three Months Ended Twelve Months Ended Twelve Months Ended Twelve Months Ended June 30, 2007 December 31, 2007 December 31, 2006 December 31, 2005 (in millions) benefit ratio (in millions) benefit ratio (in millions) benefit ratio (in millions) benefit ratio Unum US Group Disability Ratio Premium Income $ 609.3 $ 2,381.3 $ 2,483.5 $ 2,527.9 Benefits and Change in Reserves for Future Benefits 641.2 105.2% 2,277.4 95.6% 2,702.5 108.8% 2,397.7 94.8% Regulatory Reassessment Charge (76.5) (76.5) (349.2) (27.3) Benefits and Change in Reserves for Future Benefits, Excluding Regulatory Reassessment Charge 564.7 92.7% 2,200.9 92.4% 2,353.3 94.8% 2,370.4 93.8% Twelve Months Ended Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2004 December 31, 2003 (in millions) benefit ratio (in millions) benefit ratio Unum US Group Disability Ratio Premium Income $ 2,644.7 $ 2,662.6 Benefits and Change in Reserves for Future Benefits 2,533.1 95.8% 3,412.1 128.1% Regulatory Reassessment Charge (80.2) (894.0) Benefits and Change in Reserves for Future Benefits, Excluding Regulatory Reassessment Charge 2,452.9 92.7% 2,518.1 94.6% 25