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Chapter 8

                              Hypothesis Testing with Two
                                       Samples




Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui                                 1
Chapter Outline

 • 8.1 Testing the Difference Between Means (Large
       Independent Samples)
 • 8.2 Testing the Difference Between Means (Small
       Independent Samples)
 • 8.3 Testing the Difference Between Means
       (Dependent Samples)
 • 8.4 Testing the Difference Between Proportions




                                                     2
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Section 8.1

                 Testing the Difference Between
               Means (Large Independent Samples)
                        (2 sample Z- test)



                                                   3
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Section 8.1 Objectives

 • Determine whether two samples are independent or
   dependent
 • Perform a two-sample z-test for the difference
   between two means μ1 and μ2 using large independent
   samples




                                                         4
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two Sample Hypothesis Test

•      Compares two parameters from two populations.
•      Sampling methods:
       Independent Samples
        • The sample selected from one population is not
           related to the sample selected from the second
           population.
       Dependent Samples (paired or matched samples)
        • Each member of one sample corresponds to a
           member of the other sample.

                                                            5
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Independent and Dependent Samples

     Independent Samples                 Dependent Samples




     Sample 1                 Sample 2   Sample 1   Sample 2




                                                               6
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Example: Independent and Dependent
                   Samples
 Classify the pair of samples as independent or
 dependent.
 •Sample 1: Resting heart rates of 35 individuals before
 drinking coffee.
 •Sample 2: Resting heart rates of the same individuals
 after drinking two cups of coffee.

Solution:
Dependent Samples (The samples can be paired with
respect to each individual)

                                                           7
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Example: Independent and Dependent
                   Samples
 Classify the pair of samples as independent or
 dependent.
 •Sample 1: Test scores for 35 statistics students.
 •Sample 2: Test scores for 42 biology students who do
 not study statistics.
Solution:
Independent Samples (Not possible to form a pairing
between the members of the samples; the sample sizes
are different, and the data represent scores for different
individuals.)
                                                             8
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two Sample Hypothesis Test with
                 Independent Samples
 1. Null hypothesis H0
       
      A statistical hypothesis that usually states there is
      no difference between the parameters of two
      populations.
     Always contains the symbol ≤, =, or ≥.
 1. Alternative hypothesis Ha
              A statistical hypothesis that is true when H0 is
               false.
              Always contains the symbol >, ≠, or <.
                                                                  9
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two Sample Hypothesis Test with
                 Independent Samples


    H0: μ1 = μ2               H0: μ1 ≤ μ2   H0: μ1 ≥ μ2
    Ha: μ1 ≠ μ2               Ha: μ1 > μ2   Ha: μ1 < μ2


    Regardless of which hypotheses you use, you
    always assume there is no difference between the
    population means, or μ1 = μ2.



                                                          10
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two Sample z-Test for the Difference
                Between Means

 Three conditions are necessary to perform a z-test for
 the difference between two population means μ1 and μ2.
 1.The samples must be randomly selected.
 2.The samples must be independent.
 3.Each sample size must be at least 30, or, if not, each
 population must have a normal distribution with a
 known standard deviation.



                                                            11
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two Sample z-Test for the Difference
                Between Means
 If these requirements are met, the sampling distribution
 for x1 − x2 (the difference of the sample means) is a
 normal distribution with
 Mean: µ x − x = µ x − µ x = µ1 − µ 2
                     1    2   1            2




                                                       σ 12 σ 2
                                                              2
 Standard error: σ x − x          1   2
                                          = σ x +σ x =
                                              2
                                               1
                                                   2
                                                           +
                                                       n1 n2
                                                           2




 Sampling distribution
 for x1 − x2 :

                                                                                   x1 − x2
                                               −σ x − x
                                                   1   2
                                                               µ − µ2
                                                                1       σ x −x
                                                                           1   2




                                                                                             12
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two Sample z-Test for the Difference
                Between Means
 • Test statistic is x1 − x2
 • The standardized test statistic is

               z=
                  ( x1 − x2) − ( µ1 − µ2) where σ = σ12 + σ 2
                                                            2

                          σ x −x
                              1   2
                                              1
                                                 x −x
                                                  2
                                                      n1 n2
 • When the samples are large, you can use s1 and s2 in place
   of σ1 and σ2. If the samples are not large, you can still use
   a two-sample z-test, provided the populations are
   normally distributed and the population standard
   deviations are known.


                                                                   13
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Using a Two-Sample z-Test for the
            Difference Between Means (Large
                  Independent Samples)
    In Words                            In Symbols
1. State the claim mathematically.      State H0 and Ha.
   Identify the null and alternative
   hypotheses.
2. Specify the level of significance.     Identify α.




                                                           14
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Using a Two-Sample z-Test for the
            Difference Between Means (Large
                  Independent Samples)
    In Words                         In Symbols
3. Find the standardized test
                                    z=
                                         ( x1 − x2) − ( µ1 − µ2)
   statistic.                                    σ x −x
                                                    1   2




4. Make a decision to reject or     If P-value is SMALL,
   fail to reject the null          reject the NULL.
   hypothesis.                      Otherwise, fail to
5. Interpret the decision in the    reject H0.
   context of the original claim.



                                                                   15
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Example: Two-Sample z-Test for the
            Difference Between Means
 A consumer education organization claims that there is a
 difference in the mean credit card debt of males and
 females in the United States. The results of a random
 survey of 200 individuals from each group are shown
 below. The two samples are independent. Do the results
 support the organization’s claim? Use α = 0.05.
                              Females (1)   Males (2)
                              x1 = $2290    x2 = $2370
                              s1 = $750     s2 = $800
                               n1 = 200     n2 = 200
                                                            16
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the
             Difference Between Means
 • H0: μ1 = μ2                 • Test Statistic:
 • Ha: μ1 ≠ μ2                     (2290 − 2370) − 0
                               z=                      = −1.03
 • α = 0.05                            7502 8002
                                             +
 • n1= 200, n2 = 200                    200    200
 • P-value = 0.302            • Decision: Fail to Reject H0
                              At the 5% level of significance,
                              there is not enough evidence to
                              support the organization’s
                              claim that there is a difference
                              in the mean credit card debt of
                              males and females.
                                                             17
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Example: Using Technology to Perform a
            Two-Sample z-Test
 The American Automobile Association claims that the
 average daily cost for meals and lodging for vacationing in
 Texas is less than the same average costs for vacationing in
 Virginia. The table shows the results of a random survey of
 vacationers in each state. The two samples are independent.
 At α = 0.01, is there enough evidence to support the claim?
                              Texas (1)   Virginia (2)
                              x1 = $248    x2 = $252
                              s1 = $15      s2 = $22
                               n1 = 50      n2 = 35

                                                                18
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Solution: Using Technology to Perform a
             Two-Sample z-Test
 • H0: μ1 ≥ μ2                Calculate:
 • Ha: μ1 < μ2


  TI-83/84set up:


                              Draw:




                                            19
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Section 8.1 Summary

 • Determined whether two samples are independent or
   dependent
 • Performed a two-sample z-test for the difference
   between two means μ1 and μ2 using large independent
   samples




                                                         20
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Section 8.2

                 Testing the Difference Between
               Means (Small Independent Samples)
                        (2 sample T- test)



                                                   21
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Section 8.2 Objectives

 • Perform a t-test for the difference between two means
   μ1 and μ2 using small independent samples




                                                           22
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two Sample t-Test for the Difference
                Between Means
• If samples of size less than 30 are taken from normally-
  distributed populations, a t-test may be used to test the
  difference between the population means μ1 and μ2.
• Three conditions are necessary to use a t-test for small
  independent samples.
    1. The samples must be randomly selected.
    2. The samples must be independent.
    3. Each population must have a normal distribution.


                                                              23
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two Sample t-Test for the Difference
                Between Means
 • The standardized test statistic is

                         t=
                            ( x1 − x2) − ( µ1 − µ2)
                                    σ x −x
                                        1   2




 • The standard error and the degrees of freedom of the
   sampling distribution depend on whether the
   population variances σ 1 and σ 2 are equal.
                          2       2




                                                          24
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two Sample t-Test for the Difference
                Between Means
 • Variances are not equal
 (choose Not POOLED in you calculator)
         If the population variances are not equal, then the
          standard error is
                              2    2
                             s1 s2
                  σ x −x =      +
                             n1 n2
                              1   2




         d.f = smaller of n1 – 1 or n2 – 1




                                                                25
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two Sample t-Test for the Difference
                    Between Means
    • Variances are equal (choose POOLED in you calculator)
        Information from the two samples is combined to
         calculate a pooled estimate of the standard deviation
         σ.
          ˆ
             σ=
              ˆ
                    ( n1 − 1) s12 + ( n2 − 1) s2
                                               2

                            n1 + n2 − 2
        The standard error for the sampling distribution of
         x1 − x2 is
                                             1 1
                              σ x −x     =σ × +
                                           ˆ
                                 1   2
                                             n1 n2
             d.f.= n1 + n2 – 2
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
                                                                 26
Normal or t-Distribution?
Are both sample sizes                    2 Sample z-test.
                                   Yes
        at least 30?
                   No

   Are both population
                                              Are the                       2 Sample t-test
   standard deviations             No                               Yes
                                            population                      “POOLED s.d”
        known?                                                              d.f = n + n – 2.
                                         variances equal?
                                                   No
                                                                                    1   2



                   Yes
                                                 2 Sample t-test
        2 Sample z-test.                        “not POOLED s.d”
                                               d.f = smaller of n1 – 1 or n2 – 1.




Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
                                                                                            27
Example: Two-Sample t-Test for the
             Difference Between Means
 The braking distances of 8 Volkswagen GTIs and 10 Ford
 Focuses were tested when traveling at 60 miles per hour on
 dry pavement. The results are shown below. Can you
 conclude that there is a difference in the mean braking
 distances of the two types of cars? Use α = 0.01. Assume the
 populations are normally distributed and the population
 variances are not equal. (Adapted from Consumer Reports)
                              GTI (1)       Focus (2)
                              x1 = 134 ft   x2 = 143ft
                              s1 = 6.9 ft   s2 = 2.6 ft
                                n1 = 8       n2 = 10
                                                                28
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Solution: Two-Sample t-Test for the
              Difference Between Means
 • H0: μ1 = μ2                 • Test Statistic:
 • Ha: μ1 ≠ μ2                      (134 − 143) − 0
                                t=                  = −3.496
 • α = 0.01                            6.92 2.62
                                            +
 • d.f. = 8 – 1 = 7                     8     10
 • P-value = 0.0073           • Decision: Reject H0
                              At the 1% level of significance,
                              there is enough evidence to
                              conclude that the mean braking
                              distances of the cars are
                              different.

                                                             29
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Example: Two-Sample t-Test for the
             Difference Between Means
 A manufacturer claims that the calling range (in feet) of its
 2.4-GHz cordless telephone is greater than that of its leading
 competitor. You perform a study using 14 randomly selected
 phones from the manufacturer and 16 randomly selected
 similar phones from its competitor. The results are shown
 below. At α = 0.05, can you support the manufacturer’s
 claim? Assume the populations are normally distributed and
 the population variances are equal.
                   Manufacturer (1)         Competition (2)
                              x1 = 1275ft     x2 = 1250 ft
                              s1 = 45 ft       s2 = 30 ft
                              n1 = 14          n2 = 16
                                                                  30
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Solution: Two-Sample t-Test for the
              Difference Between Means
 • H0: μ1 ≤ μ2                • Test Statistic:
 • Ha: μ1 > μ2                       t = 1.811
 • α = 0.05

 •    P-value = 0.0404
                              • Decision: Reject H0
                              At the 5% level of significance,
                              there is enough evidence to
                              support the manufacturer’s
                              claim that its phone has a
                              greater calling range than its
                              competitors.
                                                             31
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Section 8.2 Summary

 • Performed a t-test for the difference between two
   means μ1 and μ2 using small independent samples




                                                       32
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Section 8.3

                      Testing the Difference Between
                       Means (Dependent Samples)
                             (t- test “for L3 !!”)



                                                       33
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Section 8.3 Objectives

 • Perform a t-test to test the mean of the difference for
   a population of paired data




                                                             34
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
t-Test for the Difference Between Means

 • To perform a two-sample hypothesis test with
   dependent samples, the difference between each data
   pair is first found:
     d = x1 – x2 Difference between entries for a data pair

 • The test statistic is the mean d of these differences.
     d = ∑ d Mean of the differences between paired
                        n     data entries in the dependent samples




                                                                      35
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
t-Test for the Difference Between Means

 Three conditions are required to conduct the test.
 1. The samples must be randomly selected.
 2. The samples must be dependent (paired).
 3. Both populations must be normally distributed.
 If these conditions are met, then the sampling
    distribution for d is approximated by a t-distribution
    with n – 1 degrees of freedom, where n is the number
    of data pairs.

                                              d
                              -t0   μd   t0
                                                             36
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Symbols used for the t-Test for μd

Symbol                                Description
      n                   The number of pairs of data

      d                   The difference between entries for a data pair,
                          d = x1 – x2

     µd                   The hypothesized mean of the differences of
                          paired data in the population



                                                                        37
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Symbols used for the t-Test for μd

Symbol                               Description
     d                 The mean of the differences between the paired
                       data entries in the dependent samples
                                         ∑d
                                   d=
                                          n
      sd               The standard deviation of the differences
                       between the paired data entries in the dependent
                       samples         Σ(d − d ) 2
                                sd =
                                          n −1


                                                                          38
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
t-Test for the Difference Between Means

 • The test statistic is
                                   ∑d
                              d=
                                    n
 • The standardized test statistic is
                 d − µd
             t=
                 sd n
 • The degrees of freedom are
            d.f. = n – 1



                                             39
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
t-Test for the Difference Between Means
             (Dependent Samples)
    In Words                            In Symbols
1. State the claim mathematically.      State H0 and Ha.
   Identify the null and alternative
   hypotheses.
2. Specify the level of significance.     Identify α.
3. Use t-Test
(NOT 2 sample t-Test!!)




                                                           40
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
t-Test for the Difference Between Means
              (Dependent Samples)
    In Words                        In Symbols
4. Calculate d and sd.
                                      d = ∑d
                                           n
(Hint: L3 = L1-L2)
                                         ∑(d − d ) 2
                                    sd =
                                           n −1


                                        d − µd
•      Find the standardized test    t=
                                        sd n
       statistic.



                                                       41
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
t-Test for the Difference Between Means
             (Dependent Samples)
    In Words                        In Symbols
6. Make a decision to reject or    If P-value is SMALL,
   fail to reject the null         reject the NULL.
   hypothesis.                     Otherwise, fail to
                                   reject H0.

7. Interpret the decision in the
   context of the original
   claim.



                                                          42
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Example: t-Test for the Difference
                   Between Means
A golf club manufacturer claims that golfers can lower their
scores by using the manufacturer’s newly designed golf
clubs. Eight golfers are randomly selected, and each is asked
to give his or her most recent score. After using the new
clubs for one month, the golfers are again asked to give their
most recent score. The scores for each golfer are shown in
the table. Assuming the golf scores are normally distributed,
is there enough evidence to support the manufacturer’s claim
at α = 0.10?
     Golfer                   1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8
     Score (old)              89   84   96   82   74   92   85   91
     Score                    83   83   92   84   76   91   80   91
     (new)
                                                                      43
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Solution: Two-Sample t-Test for the
              Difference Between Means
 d = (old score) – (new score)
 • H0: μd ≤ 0                    • Test Statistic:
 • Ha: μd > 0
 • α = 0.10

                                 • Decision:




                                                     44
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Solution: Two-Sample t-Test for the
              Difference Between Means
 d = (old score) – (new score)
 • H0: μd ≤ 0                     • Test Statistic:
 • Ha: μd > 0                             d − µd
                                       t=        = 1.498
 • α = 0.10                               sd n

 • P-value = 0.089                • Decision: Reject H0
                                 At the 10% level of significance,
                                 the results of this test indicate
                                 that after the golfers used the
                                 new clubs, their scores were
                                 significantly lower.
                                                                45
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Section 8.3 Summary

 • Performed a t-test to test the mean of the difference
   for a population of paired data




                                                           46
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Section 8.4

                      Testing the Difference Between
                                Proportions
                              (2 Prop. Z test)



                                                       47
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Section 8.4 Objectives

 • Perform a z-test for the difference between two
   population proportions p1 and p2




                                                       48
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two-Sample z-Test for Proportions

 • Used to test the difference between two population
   proportions, p1 and p2.
 • Three conditions are required to conduct the test.
   1. The samples must be randomly selected.
   2. The samples must be independent.
   3. The samples must be large enough to use a
      normal sampling distribution. That is,
      n1p1 ≥ 5, n1q1 ≥ 5, n2p2 ≥ 5, and n2q2 ≥ 5.


                                                        49
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference
              Between Proportions
 • If these conditions are met, then the sampling
   distribution for p1 − p2 is a normal distribution
                     ˆ ˆ
 • Mean: µ p − p = p1 − p2
              ˆ ˆ             1     2




 • A weighted estimate of p1 and p2 can be found by
   using p = x1 + x2 , where x = n p and x = n p
                n1 + n2          1   1 ˆ1     2    2 ˆ2


 • Standard error:
                                  σ p − p = pq  1 + 1 
                                    ˆ ˆ        n n ÷
                                        1   2
                                                1 2

                                                           50
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference
              Between Proportions
 • The test statistic is p1 − p2
                         ˆ ˆ
 • The standardized test statistic is
                                   ( p1 − p2) − ( p1 − p2)
                                     ˆ ˆ
                              z=
                                         pq  + 
                                              1 1
                                            n n ÷
                                             1 2
      where
                x1 + x2
             p=         and q = 1 − p
                n1 + n2




                                                             51
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference
              Between Proportions
    In Words                            In Symbols
1. State the claim. Identify the null   State H0 and Ha.
      and alternative hypotheses.
2. Specify the level of significance.     Identify α.
3. Find the weighted estimate of            x1 + x2
                                         p=
   p1 and p2.                               n1 + n2




                                                           52
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference
              Between Proportions
  In Words                               In Symbols
6. Find the standardized test            ( p1 − p2) − ( p1 − p2)
                                           ˆ ˆ
                                    z=
   statistic.
                                               pq  + 
                                                    1 1
                                                  n n ÷
                                                   1 2

7. Make a decision to reject or      If P-value is SMALL,
   fail to reject the null           reject the NULL.
   hypothesis.                       Otherwise, fail to
                                     reject H0.
8. Interpret the decision in the
   context of the original claim.
                                                                   53
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Example: Two-Sample z-Test for the
          Difference Between Proportions
 In a study of 200 randomly selected adult female and
 250 randomly selected adult male Internet users, 30% of
 the females and 38% of the males said that they plan to
 shop online at least once during the next month. At
 α = 0.10 test the claim that there is a difference between
 the proportion of female and the proportion of male
 Internet users who plan to shop online.
 Solution:
 1 = Females                  2 = Males

                                                              54
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the
             Difference Between Means
 • H0: p1 = p2                • Test Statistic:
 • Ha: p1 ≠ p2
 • α = 0.10
 • n1= 200, n2 = 250
 • P-value =                  • Decision:




                                                  55
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the
             Difference Between Means

                      x1 = n1 p1 = 60
                              ˆ            x2 = n2 p2 = 95
                                                   ˆ
                            x1 + x2    60 + 95
                         p=         =           ≈ 0.3444
                            n1 + n2   200 + 250

                         q = 1 − p = 1 − 0.3444 = 0.6556

                Note:
                n1 p = 200(0.3444) ≥ 5 n1q = 200(0.6556) ≥ 5
                n2 p = 250(0.3444) ≥ 5 n2q = 250(0.6556) ≥ 5

                                                               56
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the
             Difference Between Means

         ( p1 − p2 ) − ( p1 − p2 )
           ˆ    ˆ                              ( 0.30 − 0.38) − ( 0 )
  z=                                 ≈
               1   1                                            1    1 
           pq × + ÷                     ( 0.3444 ) ×( 0.6556 ) ×    +    ÷
                n1 n2                                           200 250 
     ≈ −1.77




                                                                               57
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the
             Difference Between Means
 • H0: p1 = p2                • Test Statistic:
 • Ha: p1 ≠ p2                       z = −1.77
 • α = 0.10
                              • Decision: Reject H0
 • n1= 200, n2 = 250
                              At the 10% level of
 • P-value = 0.076            significance, there is enough
                              evidence to conclude that there
                              is a difference between the
                              proportion of female and the
                              proportion of male Internet
                              users who plan to shop online.
                                                                58
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Example: Two-Sample z-Test for the
          Difference Between Proportions
 A medical research team conducted a study to test the effect
 of a cholesterol reducing medication. At the end of the
 study, the researchers found that of the 4700 randomly
 selected subjects who took the medication, 301 died of
 heart disease. Of the 4300 randomly selected subjects who
 took a placebo, 357 died of heart disease. At α = 0.01 can
 you conclude that the death rate due to heart disease is
 lower for those who took the medication than for those who
 took the placebo? (Adapted from New England Journal of
 Medicine)
   Solution:
   1 = Medication             2 = Placebo
                                                                59
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the
             Difference Between Means
 • H0: p1 ≥ p2                • Test Statistic:
 • Ha: p1 < p2
 • α = 0.01
 • n1= 4700, n2 = 4300
 • P-value =                  • Decision:




                                                  60
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the
             Difference Between Means
                      x1   301                      x2   357
             p1 =
             ˆ           =     = 0.064       p2 =
                                             ˆ         =     = 0.083
                      n1 4700                       n2 4300
                         x1 + x2    301 + 357
                      p=         =             ≈ 0.0731
                         n1 + n2   4700 + 4300

                         q = 1 − p = 1 − 0.0731 = 0.9269

              Note:
              n1 p = 4700(0.0731) ≥ 5 n1q = 4700(0.9269) ≥ 5
              n2 p = 4300(0.0731) ≥ 5 n2q = 4300(0.9269) ≥ 5

                                                                       61
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the
             Difference Between Means

        ( p1 − p2 ) − ( p1 − p2 )
          ˆ    ˆ                              ( 0.064 − 0.083) − ( 0 )
 z=                                 ≈
              1   1                                           1     1 
          pq × + ÷                     ( 0.0731) ×( 0.9269 ) ×     +     ÷
               n1 n2                                          4700 4300 
    ≈ −3.46




                                                                               62
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the
             Difference Between Means
 • H0: p1 ≥ p2                • Test Statistic:
 • Ha: p1 < p2                       z = −3.46
 • α = 0.01
                              • Decision: Reject H0
 • n1= 4700 , n2 = 4300
                              At the 1% level of significance,
 • P-value = 0.000275         there is enough evidence to
                              conclude that the death rate due
                              to heart disease is lower for
                              those who took the medication
                              than for those who took the
                              placebo.
                                                             63
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
Section 8.4 Summary

 • Performed a z-test for the difference between two
   population proportions p1 and p2




                                                       64
Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui

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117 chap8 slides

  • 1. Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing with Two Samples Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui 1
  • 2. Chapter Outline • 8.1 Testing the Difference Between Means (Large Independent Samples) • 8.2 Testing the Difference Between Means (Small Independent Samples) • 8.3 Testing the Difference Between Means (Dependent Samples) • 8.4 Testing the Difference Between Proportions 2 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 3. Section 8.1 Testing the Difference Between Means (Large Independent Samples) (2 sample Z- test) 3 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 4. Section 8.1 Objectives • Determine whether two samples are independent or dependent • Perform a two-sample z-test for the difference between two means μ1 and μ2 using large independent samples 4 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 5. Two Sample Hypothesis Test • Compares two parameters from two populations. • Sampling methods:  Independent Samples • The sample selected from one population is not related to the sample selected from the second population.  Dependent Samples (paired or matched samples) • Each member of one sample corresponds to a member of the other sample. 5 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 6. Independent and Dependent Samples Independent Samples Dependent Samples Sample 1 Sample 2 Sample 1 Sample 2 6 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 7. Example: Independent and Dependent Samples Classify the pair of samples as independent or dependent. •Sample 1: Resting heart rates of 35 individuals before drinking coffee. •Sample 2: Resting heart rates of the same individuals after drinking two cups of coffee. Solution: Dependent Samples (The samples can be paired with respect to each individual) 7 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 8. Example: Independent and Dependent Samples Classify the pair of samples as independent or dependent. •Sample 1: Test scores for 35 statistics students. •Sample 2: Test scores for 42 biology students who do not study statistics. Solution: Independent Samples (Not possible to form a pairing between the members of the samples; the sample sizes are different, and the data represent scores for different individuals.) 8 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 9. Two Sample Hypothesis Test with Independent Samples 1. Null hypothesis H0  A statistical hypothesis that usually states there is no difference between the parameters of two populations.  Always contains the symbol ≤, =, or ≥. 1. Alternative hypothesis Ha  A statistical hypothesis that is true when H0 is false.  Always contains the symbol >, ≠, or <. 9 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 10. Two Sample Hypothesis Test with Independent Samples H0: μ1 = μ2 H0: μ1 ≤ μ2 H0: μ1 ≥ μ2 Ha: μ1 ≠ μ2 Ha: μ1 > μ2 Ha: μ1 < μ2 Regardless of which hypotheses you use, you always assume there is no difference between the population means, or μ1 = μ2. 10 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 11. Two Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means Three conditions are necessary to perform a z-test for the difference between two population means μ1 and μ2. 1.The samples must be randomly selected. 2.The samples must be independent. 3.Each sample size must be at least 30, or, if not, each population must have a normal distribution with a known standard deviation. 11 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 12. Two Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means If these requirements are met, the sampling distribution for x1 − x2 (the difference of the sample means) is a normal distribution with Mean: µ x − x = µ x − µ x = µ1 − µ 2 1 2 1 2 σ 12 σ 2 2 Standard error: σ x − x 1 2 = σ x +σ x = 2 1 2 + n1 n2 2 Sampling distribution for x1 − x2 : x1 − x2 −σ x − x 1 2 µ − µ2 1 σ x −x 1 2 12 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 13. Two Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means • Test statistic is x1 − x2 • The standardized test statistic is z= ( x1 − x2) − ( µ1 − µ2) where σ = σ12 + σ 2 2 σ x −x 1 2 1 x −x 2 n1 n2 • When the samples are large, you can use s1 and s2 in place of σ1 and σ2. If the samples are not large, you can still use a two-sample z-test, provided the populations are normally distributed and the population standard deviations are known. 13 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 14. Using a Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means (Large Independent Samples) In Words In Symbols 1. State the claim mathematically. State H0 and Ha. Identify the null and alternative hypotheses. 2. Specify the level of significance. Identify α. 14 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 15. Using a Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means (Large Independent Samples) In Words In Symbols 3. Find the standardized test z= ( x1 − x2) − ( µ1 − µ2) statistic. σ x −x 1 2 4. Make a decision to reject or If P-value is SMALL, fail to reject the null reject the NULL. hypothesis. Otherwise, fail to 5. Interpret the decision in the reject H0. context of the original claim. 15 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 16. Example: Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means A consumer education organization claims that there is a difference in the mean credit card debt of males and females in the United States. The results of a random survey of 200 individuals from each group are shown below. The two samples are independent. Do the results support the organization’s claim? Use α = 0.05. Females (1) Males (2) x1 = $2290 x2 = $2370 s1 = $750 s2 = $800 n1 = 200 n2 = 200 16 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 17. Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means • H0: μ1 = μ2 • Test Statistic: • Ha: μ1 ≠ μ2 (2290 − 2370) − 0 z= = −1.03 • α = 0.05 7502 8002 + • n1= 200, n2 = 200 200 200 • P-value = 0.302 • Decision: Fail to Reject H0 At the 5% level of significance, there is not enough evidence to support the organization’s claim that there is a difference in the mean credit card debt of males and females. 17 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 18. Example: Using Technology to Perform a Two-Sample z-Test The American Automobile Association claims that the average daily cost for meals and lodging for vacationing in Texas is less than the same average costs for vacationing in Virginia. The table shows the results of a random survey of vacationers in each state. The two samples are independent. At α = 0.01, is there enough evidence to support the claim? Texas (1) Virginia (2) x1 = $248 x2 = $252 s1 = $15 s2 = $22 n1 = 50 n2 = 35 18 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 19. Solution: Using Technology to Perform a Two-Sample z-Test • H0: μ1 ≥ μ2 Calculate: • Ha: μ1 < μ2 TI-83/84set up: Draw: 19 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 20. Section 8.1 Summary • Determined whether two samples are independent or dependent • Performed a two-sample z-test for the difference between two means μ1 and μ2 using large independent samples 20 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 21. Section 8.2 Testing the Difference Between Means (Small Independent Samples) (2 sample T- test) 21 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 22. Section 8.2 Objectives • Perform a t-test for the difference between two means μ1 and μ2 using small independent samples 22 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 23. Two Sample t-Test for the Difference Between Means • If samples of size less than 30 are taken from normally- distributed populations, a t-test may be used to test the difference between the population means μ1 and μ2. • Three conditions are necessary to use a t-test for small independent samples. 1. The samples must be randomly selected. 2. The samples must be independent. 3. Each population must have a normal distribution. 23 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 24. Two Sample t-Test for the Difference Between Means • The standardized test statistic is t= ( x1 − x2) − ( µ1 − µ2) σ x −x 1 2 • The standard error and the degrees of freedom of the sampling distribution depend on whether the population variances σ 1 and σ 2 are equal. 2 2 24 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 25. Two Sample t-Test for the Difference Between Means • Variances are not equal (choose Not POOLED in you calculator)  If the population variances are not equal, then the standard error is 2 2 s1 s2 σ x −x = + n1 n2 1 2  d.f = smaller of n1 – 1 or n2 – 1 25 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 26. Two Sample t-Test for the Difference Between Means • Variances are equal (choose POOLED in you calculator)  Information from the two samples is combined to calculate a pooled estimate of the standard deviation σ. ˆ σ= ˆ ( n1 − 1) s12 + ( n2 − 1) s2 2 n1 + n2 − 2  The standard error for the sampling distribution of x1 − x2 is 1 1 σ x −x =σ × + ˆ 1 2 n1 n2  d.f.= n1 + n2 – 2 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui 26
  • 27. Normal or t-Distribution? Are both sample sizes 2 Sample z-test. Yes at least 30? No Are both population Are the 2 Sample t-test standard deviations No Yes population “POOLED s.d” known? d.f = n + n – 2. variances equal? No 1 2 Yes 2 Sample t-test 2 Sample z-test. “not POOLED s.d” d.f = smaller of n1 – 1 or n2 – 1. Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui 27
  • 28. Example: Two-Sample t-Test for the Difference Between Means The braking distances of 8 Volkswagen GTIs and 10 Ford Focuses were tested when traveling at 60 miles per hour on dry pavement. The results are shown below. Can you conclude that there is a difference in the mean braking distances of the two types of cars? Use α = 0.01. Assume the populations are normally distributed and the population variances are not equal. (Adapted from Consumer Reports) GTI (1) Focus (2) x1 = 134 ft x2 = 143ft s1 = 6.9 ft s2 = 2.6 ft n1 = 8 n2 = 10 28 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 29. Solution: Two-Sample t-Test for the Difference Between Means • H0: μ1 = μ2 • Test Statistic: • Ha: μ1 ≠ μ2 (134 − 143) − 0 t= = −3.496 • α = 0.01 6.92 2.62 + • d.f. = 8 – 1 = 7 8 10 • P-value = 0.0073 • Decision: Reject H0 At the 1% level of significance, there is enough evidence to conclude that the mean braking distances of the cars are different. 29 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 30. Example: Two-Sample t-Test for the Difference Between Means A manufacturer claims that the calling range (in feet) of its 2.4-GHz cordless telephone is greater than that of its leading competitor. You perform a study using 14 randomly selected phones from the manufacturer and 16 randomly selected similar phones from its competitor. The results are shown below. At α = 0.05, can you support the manufacturer’s claim? Assume the populations are normally distributed and the population variances are equal. Manufacturer (1) Competition (2) x1 = 1275ft x2 = 1250 ft s1 = 45 ft s2 = 30 ft n1 = 14 n2 = 16 30 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 31. Solution: Two-Sample t-Test for the Difference Between Means • H0: μ1 ≤ μ2 • Test Statistic: • Ha: μ1 > μ2 t = 1.811 • α = 0.05 • P-value = 0.0404 • Decision: Reject H0 At the 5% level of significance, there is enough evidence to support the manufacturer’s claim that its phone has a greater calling range than its competitors. 31 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 32. Section 8.2 Summary • Performed a t-test for the difference between two means μ1 and μ2 using small independent samples 32 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 33. Section 8.3 Testing the Difference Between Means (Dependent Samples) (t- test “for L3 !!”) 33 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 34. Section 8.3 Objectives • Perform a t-test to test the mean of the difference for a population of paired data 34 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 35. t-Test for the Difference Between Means • To perform a two-sample hypothesis test with dependent samples, the difference between each data pair is first found:  d = x1 – x2 Difference between entries for a data pair • The test statistic is the mean d of these differences.  d = ∑ d Mean of the differences between paired n data entries in the dependent samples 35 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 36. t-Test for the Difference Between Means Three conditions are required to conduct the test. 1. The samples must be randomly selected. 2. The samples must be dependent (paired). 3. Both populations must be normally distributed. If these conditions are met, then the sampling distribution for d is approximated by a t-distribution with n – 1 degrees of freedom, where n is the number of data pairs. d -t0 μd t0 36 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 37. Symbols used for the t-Test for μd Symbol Description n The number of pairs of data d The difference between entries for a data pair, d = x1 – x2 µd The hypothesized mean of the differences of paired data in the population 37 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 38. Symbols used for the t-Test for μd Symbol Description d The mean of the differences between the paired data entries in the dependent samples ∑d d= n sd The standard deviation of the differences between the paired data entries in the dependent samples Σ(d − d ) 2 sd = n −1 38 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 39. t-Test for the Difference Between Means • The test statistic is ∑d d= n • The standardized test statistic is d − µd t= sd n • The degrees of freedom are d.f. = n – 1 39 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 40. t-Test for the Difference Between Means (Dependent Samples) In Words In Symbols 1. State the claim mathematically. State H0 and Ha. Identify the null and alternative hypotheses. 2. Specify the level of significance. Identify α. 3. Use t-Test (NOT 2 sample t-Test!!) 40 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 41. t-Test for the Difference Between Means (Dependent Samples) In Words In Symbols 4. Calculate d and sd. d = ∑d n (Hint: L3 = L1-L2) ∑(d − d ) 2 sd = n −1 d − µd • Find the standardized test t= sd n statistic. 41 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 42. t-Test for the Difference Between Means (Dependent Samples) In Words In Symbols 6. Make a decision to reject or If P-value is SMALL, fail to reject the null reject the NULL. hypothesis. Otherwise, fail to reject H0. 7. Interpret the decision in the context of the original claim. 42 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 43. Example: t-Test for the Difference Between Means A golf club manufacturer claims that golfers can lower their scores by using the manufacturer’s newly designed golf clubs. Eight golfers are randomly selected, and each is asked to give his or her most recent score. After using the new clubs for one month, the golfers are again asked to give their most recent score. The scores for each golfer are shown in the table. Assuming the golf scores are normally distributed, is there enough evidence to support the manufacturer’s claim at α = 0.10? Golfer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Score (old) 89 84 96 82 74 92 85 91 Score 83 83 92 84 76 91 80 91 (new) 43 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 44. Solution: Two-Sample t-Test for the Difference Between Means d = (old score) – (new score) • H0: μd ≤ 0 • Test Statistic: • Ha: μd > 0 • α = 0.10 • Decision: 44 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 45. Solution: Two-Sample t-Test for the Difference Between Means d = (old score) – (new score) • H0: μd ≤ 0 • Test Statistic: • Ha: μd > 0 d − µd t= = 1.498 • α = 0.10 sd n • P-value = 0.089 • Decision: Reject H0 At the 10% level of significance, the results of this test indicate that after the golfers used the new clubs, their scores were significantly lower. 45 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 46. Section 8.3 Summary • Performed a t-test to test the mean of the difference for a population of paired data 46 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 47. Section 8.4 Testing the Difference Between Proportions (2 Prop. Z test) 47 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 48. Section 8.4 Objectives • Perform a z-test for the difference between two population proportions p1 and p2 48 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 49. Two-Sample z-Test for Proportions • Used to test the difference between two population proportions, p1 and p2. • Three conditions are required to conduct the test. 1. The samples must be randomly selected. 2. The samples must be independent. 3. The samples must be large enough to use a normal sampling distribution. That is, n1p1 ≥ 5, n1q1 ≥ 5, n2p2 ≥ 5, and n2q2 ≥ 5. 49 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 50. Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Proportions • If these conditions are met, then the sampling distribution for p1 − p2 is a normal distribution ˆ ˆ • Mean: µ p − p = p1 − p2 ˆ ˆ 1 2 • A weighted estimate of p1 and p2 can be found by using p = x1 + x2 , where x = n p and x = n p n1 + n2 1 1 ˆ1 2 2 ˆ2 • Standard error: σ p − p = pq  1 + 1  ˆ ˆ n n ÷ 1 2  1 2 50 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 51. Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Proportions • The test statistic is p1 − p2 ˆ ˆ • The standardized test statistic is ( p1 − p2) − ( p1 − p2) ˆ ˆ z= pq  +  1 1 n n ÷  1 2 where x1 + x2 p= and q = 1 − p n1 + n2 51 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 52. Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Proportions In Words In Symbols 1. State the claim. Identify the null State H0 and Ha. and alternative hypotheses. 2. Specify the level of significance. Identify α. 3. Find the weighted estimate of x1 + x2 p= p1 and p2. n1 + n2 52 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 53. Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Proportions In Words In Symbols 6. Find the standardized test ( p1 − p2) − ( p1 − p2) ˆ ˆ z= statistic. pq  +  1 1 n n ÷  1 2 7. Make a decision to reject or If P-value is SMALL, fail to reject the null reject the NULL. hypothesis. Otherwise, fail to reject H0. 8. Interpret the decision in the context of the original claim. 53 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 54. Example: Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Proportions In a study of 200 randomly selected adult female and 250 randomly selected adult male Internet users, 30% of the females and 38% of the males said that they plan to shop online at least once during the next month. At α = 0.10 test the claim that there is a difference between the proportion of female and the proportion of male Internet users who plan to shop online. Solution: 1 = Females 2 = Males 54 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 55. Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means • H0: p1 = p2 • Test Statistic: • Ha: p1 ≠ p2 • α = 0.10 • n1= 200, n2 = 250 • P-value = • Decision: 55 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 56. Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means x1 = n1 p1 = 60 ˆ x2 = n2 p2 = 95 ˆ x1 + x2 60 + 95 p= = ≈ 0.3444 n1 + n2 200 + 250 q = 1 − p = 1 − 0.3444 = 0.6556 Note: n1 p = 200(0.3444) ≥ 5 n1q = 200(0.6556) ≥ 5 n2 p = 250(0.3444) ≥ 5 n2q = 250(0.6556) ≥ 5 56 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 57. Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means ( p1 − p2 ) − ( p1 − p2 ) ˆ ˆ ( 0.30 − 0.38) − ( 0 ) z= ≈ 1 1   1 1  pq × + ÷ ( 0.3444 ) ×( 0.6556 ) × + ÷  n1 n2   200 250  ≈ −1.77 57 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 58. Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means • H0: p1 = p2 • Test Statistic: • Ha: p1 ≠ p2 z = −1.77 • α = 0.10 • Decision: Reject H0 • n1= 200, n2 = 250 At the 10% level of • P-value = 0.076 significance, there is enough evidence to conclude that there is a difference between the proportion of female and the proportion of male Internet users who plan to shop online. 58 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 59. Example: Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Proportions A medical research team conducted a study to test the effect of a cholesterol reducing medication. At the end of the study, the researchers found that of the 4700 randomly selected subjects who took the medication, 301 died of heart disease. Of the 4300 randomly selected subjects who took a placebo, 357 died of heart disease. At α = 0.01 can you conclude that the death rate due to heart disease is lower for those who took the medication than for those who took the placebo? (Adapted from New England Journal of Medicine) Solution: 1 = Medication 2 = Placebo 59 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 60. Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means • H0: p1 ≥ p2 • Test Statistic: • Ha: p1 < p2 • α = 0.01 • n1= 4700, n2 = 4300 • P-value = • Decision: 60 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 61. Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means x1 301 x2 357 p1 = ˆ = = 0.064 p2 = ˆ = = 0.083 n1 4700 n2 4300 x1 + x2 301 + 357 p= = ≈ 0.0731 n1 + n2 4700 + 4300 q = 1 − p = 1 − 0.0731 = 0.9269 Note: n1 p = 4700(0.0731) ≥ 5 n1q = 4700(0.9269) ≥ 5 n2 p = 4300(0.0731) ≥ 5 n2q = 4300(0.9269) ≥ 5 61 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 62. Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means ( p1 − p2 ) − ( p1 − p2 ) ˆ ˆ ( 0.064 − 0.083) − ( 0 ) z= ≈ 1 1   1 1  pq × + ÷ ( 0.0731) ×( 0.9269 ) × + ÷  n1 n2   4700 4300  ≈ −3.46 62 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 63. Solution: Two-Sample z-Test for the Difference Between Means • H0: p1 ≥ p2 • Test Statistic: • Ha: p1 < p2 z = −3.46 • α = 0.01 • Decision: Reject H0 • n1= 4700 , n2 = 4300 At the 1% level of significance, • P-value = 0.000275 there is enough evidence to conclude that the death rate due to heart disease is lower for those who took the medication than for those who took the placebo. 63 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui
  • 64. Section 8.4 Summary • Performed a z-test for the difference between two population proportions p1 and p2 64 Math 117 --- Eddie Laanaoui