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The Rise and Rise  of Web Fraud What happens when web businesses shift away from advertising revenues USYD Electrical Engineering, Network Security Guest Lecture David Jones – Founder/CTO ThreatMetrix @djinoz
Speaker brief history ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ThreatMetrix Facts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Anonymity used to be cute… Credit: New Yorker Magazine July 1993 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_the_Internet,_nobody_knows_you're_a_dog
Security/Fraud always morphs from FAME to $$$ Exploit Discovered Disclosure/Notoriety  (defacements, spam spoofing etc) Spam, affiliate fraud etc $     Phishing, Credit Card Fraud, Botnet etc $$$     Organised Crime, Botnet Hire, Kits
Stolen Identities  + Location/Device Anonymity = Perfect Storm for Fraud
“ ” Fraud as a Service” Food-chain Credit: Verisign
Common Internet Fraud types ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
This maps to the following business needs
Botnets and Proxies have changed Fraud forever: Fraudster Miami/Phillipines/Ukraine ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],San Francisco Milwaukee Kalispell New York Store… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Bill Mary Susan Frank Store 1 Store 2
“ Fraud as a Service” (bad guy implementation of “Software as a Service”) Means the Problem is Growing Fast No need to be an expert to be a fraudster Los Angeles New York Kalispell Frank Bill Susan Millions Today BotNets rented to other fraudsters + 100,000 New Each Day
On April 30 2010 TMX systems mapped 106,000 active* compromised hosts in  Australian IP address space** ~2% * Last 7 days. This is just a subset – there is a good chance ACMA or Auscert would be detecting larger amounts ** Around 10million globally
Stolen Credit Cards/Password + Botnets and Proxies = PERFECT FRAUD
Control – Payments Case Study With  ThreatMetrix [Fraud Stopped 1 st  time] Without ThreatMetrix [Fraud stopped on 5 th  try] ThreatMetrix Confidential  Stop fraud first time by detecting and piercing proxies to discover true location of device Stops Fraud First Time
Control – New Accounts Case Study Transaction Time Threatmetrix Device ID Account Email Browser Lang. Masked IP Add. Masked IP City 8/25/2008 17:24 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 66.79.172.10 New York 8/25/2008 18:17 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 208.77.47.109 New York 8/27/2008 12:57 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 78.129.235.30 Brussels 8/28/2008 12:25 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 208.77.43.80 New York 8/28/2008 19:09 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 204.16.192.197 Los Angeles 9/3/2008 13:33 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 64.32.7.84 Kalispell 9/5/2008 12:24 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 66.79.172.10 New York 9/12/2008 13:08 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 78.129.235.35 Brussels 9/12/2008 13:20 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 205.209.175.5 Los Angeles 9/12/2008 16:48 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 66.79.172.100 New York 9/16/2008 14:33 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 204.16.195.71 New York 9/17/2008 14:19 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 75.126.8.13 New York 9/18/2008 11:59 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 75.126.8.13 New York 9/18/2008 12:56 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 208.101.53.226 New York 9/18/2008 15:02 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 75.126.8.10 New York 9/19/2008 12:38 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 208.101.53.230 New York 9/19/2008 13:25 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 78.129.235.34 Brussels 9/19/2008 18:40 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 208.98.30.90 Kalispell 9/22/2008 16:51 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 208.101.53.227 New York 9/22/2008 17:35 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 75.126.8.13 New York 9/22/2008 19:13 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 75.126.8.13 New York 9/24/2008 17:29 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 66.2228.113.2 New York 9/25/2008 12:45 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 64.32.7.97 Kalispell One Month Same Device 23 User Names In China Pretending to be in…
Control – Account Login Case Study Restrict permissions of accounts based on detection of compromised computer (botnet) Risk Hidden Threat Detection
Generalized MITB “proxying” attacks (current generation of malware e.g silentbanker, Zeus)
No silver bullet - Different Customers have Different Goals Average order value, margins, virtual or physical goods, real-time needs, chargeback rates Orders ~9% 2.6% 1.3% Accept Auto Screen 5.1% Reject (Fraud) Review
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The Rise and Rise of Web Fraud

  • 1. The Rise and Rise of Web Fraud What happens when web businesses shift away from advertising revenues USYD Electrical Engineering, Network Security Guest Lecture David Jones – Founder/CTO ThreatMetrix @djinoz
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Anonymity used to be cute… Credit: New Yorker Magazine July 1993 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_the_Internet,_nobody_knows_you're_a_dog
  • 5. Security/Fraud always morphs from FAME to $$$ Exploit Discovered Disclosure/Notoriety (defacements, spam spoofing etc) Spam, affiliate fraud etc $  Phishing, Credit Card Fraud, Botnet etc $$$  Organised Crime, Botnet Hire, Kits
  • 6. Stolen Identities + Location/Device Anonymity = Perfect Storm for Fraud
  • 7. “ ” Fraud as a Service” Food-chain Credit: Verisign
  • 8.
  • 9. This maps to the following business needs
  • 10.
  • 11. “ Fraud as a Service” (bad guy implementation of “Software as a Service”) Means the Problem is Growing Fast No need to be an expert to be a fraudster Los Angeles New York Kalispell Frank Bill Susan Millions Today BotNets rented to other fraudsters + 100,000 New Each Day
  • 12. On April 30 2010 TMX systems mapped 106,000 active* compromised hosts in Australian IP address space** ~2% * Last 7 days. This is just a subset – there is a good chance ACMA or Auscert would be detecting larger amounts ** Around 10million globally
  • 13. Stolen Credit Cards/Password + Botnets and Proxies = PERFECT FRAUD
  • 14. Control – Payments Case Study With ThreatMetrix [Fraud Stopped 1 st time] Without ThreatMetrix [Fraud stopped on 5 th try] ThreatMetrix Confidential Stop fraud first time by detecting and piercing proxies to discover true location of device Stops Fraud First Time
  • 15. Control – New Accounts Case Study Transaction Time Threatmetrix Device ID Account Email Browser Lang. Masked IP Add. Masked IP City 8/25/2008 17:24 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 66.79.172.10 New York 8/25/2008 18:17 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 208.77.47.109 New York 8/27/2008 12:57 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 78.129.235.30 Brussels 8/28/2008 12:25 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 208.77.43.80 New York 8/28/2008 19:09 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 204.16.192.197 Los Angeles 9/3/2008 13:33 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 64.32.7.84 Kalispell 9/5/2008 12:24 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 66.79.172.10 New York 9/12/2008 13:08 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 78.129.235.35 Brussels 9/12/2008 13:20 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 205.209.175.5 Los Angeles 9/12/2008 16:48 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 66.79.172.100 New York 9/16/2008 14:33 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 204.16.195.71 New York 9/17/2008 14:19 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 75.126.8.13 New York 9/18/2008 11:59 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 75.126.8.13 New York 9/18/2008 12:56 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 208.101.53.226 New York 9/18/2008 15:02 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 75.126.8.10 New York 9/19/2008 12:38 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 208.101.53.230 New York 9/19/2008 13:25 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 78.129.235.34 Brussels 9/19/2008 18:40 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 208.98.30.90 Kalispell 9/22/2008 16:51 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 208.101.53.227 New York 9/22/2008 17:35 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 75.126.8.13 New York 9/22/2008 19:13 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 75.126.8.13 New York 9/24/2008 17:29 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 66.2228.113.2 New York 9/25/2008 12:45 cf3fad94727611dd800000167e5d5632 [email_address] zh-cn 64.32.7.97 Kalispell One Month Same Device 23 User Names In China Pretending to be in…
  • 16. Control – Account Login Case Study Restrict permissions of accounts based on detection of compromised computer (botnet) Risk Hidden Threat Detection
  • 17. Generalized MITB “proxying” attacks (current generation of malware e.g silentbanker, Zeus)
  • 18. No silver bullet - Different Customers have Different Goals Average order value, margins, virtual or physical goods, real-time needs, chargeback rates Orders ~9% 2.6% 1.3% Accept Auto Screen 5.1% Reject (Fraud) Review

Editor's Notes

  1. I modified this slide from a Verisign presentation – it shows how only a few ‘fronts ’of the identity theft/fraud ecosystem
  2. ThreatMetrix Device Identification is used for three principal applications. These are i) New Account Sign-up which is broadly applicable to the financial services industry, social networking, alternative payments, credit card applications and so forth, ii) Account takeover which is broadly applicable to the same set of industries, and iii) Card not present “CNP” purchases which is applicable to the retail community. ThreatMetrix is a rules based application so the same product can be easily deployed across multiple industry types with a minimum of effort.
  3. 05/17/10