1. World Trade Report 2014
Class: International Business
Professor: oh, Joon Seok
Presenter: Kuy, Daranita
2. Content
• Developed vs. developing economies
I. Worldwide Convergence in GDP
II. What Factors Determine Growth?
III. Rising Share of Developing Countries in the World
Economy
IV. Heterogeneity of Developing Experience
V. Trade Opening in Developing Countries
VI. Conclusion
3. “developed” vs. “developing”
• Countries categorized as either “developed” vs. “developing”
countries
• Developed economies: 27 members states of EU, non-EU
Western European countries and territories.
• Developing economies:
• Least-developed countries (LCDs)
• G-20 countries
• Other developing countries
4. I. World Convergence in GDP
• Faster growth in developing world and slower growth in developed
world
(a) Strong growth in developing economies since 2000
• Exporters of natural resources benefits from large increases in
commodity price
(b) Diverging rates of income convergence among developing countries
• Per capita real GDP has increased dramatically which boost up the
whole economies, 1990-2011
• Average per capita income in developing economies as a whole
increase by 54%
• G-20 developing economies = 61%
• LCDs = 43%
• Other developing economies = 43%
5.
6. II. What Factors Determine Growth?
(a) Resources, technology, institution
• Resources:
• Accumulate resources and investment in HR
• Utilize these resources
• Technology:
• Create new investment opportunities
• Increase productivity
• Institution
• Incentive for firm to invest in human and physical capital or R&D
(b) Trade and growth
• Improve efficiency of its resource allocation
• Extend the size of markets
• Allows us to select the most productive firms in market; variety of choices
7. The graph shoes that a rising share of world trade in GDP has
been accompanied by raising per capita GDP since 1980
10. IV. Heterogeneity of Development Experience
• Rising of output and higher incomes not only increase growth development
but also better standard of living and higher income
(a) Increase human development indicators and income growth
• Well-being, nutrition and opportunity/social equity
(b) Growth and inequality within countries
• Kuznets Curve:
1. Migration of rural people to cities increase,
therefore GDP growth also increasing inequality.
1. At certain point, GDP has reach certain level,
inequality falls then welfare states allows for
better redistribution policies
11. (c) Environment impact of economic development
Environment Kuznets Curve ((EKC)
1st: Production changes
2nd: Growing preference for environmentally friendly goods
3th: institutions improves, better capacity to enforce
regulations to address environment problems
4th: Higher GDP enhances, exploits economies of scale
associated with pollution through technologies
12. V. Trade Opening in Developing Countries
• Increasing of trade opening in developing countries has dramatically
changed the pattern of international trade
• G-20 countries have reduced their MFN by over 5%, committed to a
“bound” rate over 80% of their tariff lines and reduced bound rates by
approximately 10% in the last decade
Ex: China’s average tariff was 40% in 1985 but under only 10% today
• Trade opening in G-20 developing economies has expanded export
opportunities for the economies in general and for LDCs in particular.
13. VI. Conclusion
• Show the rapid rise of large developing countries over the past 15 years
and their increased important in international trade
• Trade opening has been an integral part of this process, which enable us
to access to today market and enormous opportunity for other developing
countries
• The share of developing economies in world output increased from 23%
to 40% between 2000-2012, and the share of these countries in world
trade also rose from 33% to 48%
As said earlier in the part A last week, the world economic growth has increased and we have seen that there is a faster growth in developing world and a little bit slower growth in developed world
(a). There was a significant growth in developing economies since 2000 due to the increase price of commodities goods which give a lot of benefits to the exporters of the natural resource rich countries.
(b). When the world GDP growth increase, the income per capita rate also diverging among developing countries.......
This graph shows the evolution of incomes by level of development between 1990 and 2011
In 2011 the total percentage increase in average per capital incomes for developed economies since 1990 was less than the world averages,
whereas developed economies’ income had risen more than the world average as a recently as 2006
There are mainly 4 factors that push toward the growth:
1. Resource
- Countries accumulate resources, including investments in physical capital (machinery or infrastructure) and investment in Human Capital (training or enhance the other for workers.
- Utilized those resources more efficiency
Growth can’t be sustained only through accumulated resource, but it will be sustained with the growth of technology
2. Technology
- Technology help with better research and development, and this innovation could needs the company to discover more and create new investment opportunities
- Technology also leads to increased productivity of capital and labor
3. Institution
- Better quality of regulation, law, property rights, or contract enforceability could be an incentive for future investment and R&D
4. Trade and growth
- Openness of trade helps to improves the efficiency of its resource allocation like allow company to produce and focus on what it’s good at or mainly competitive advantages
- Allow firm to operates beyond nationals borders as well as extend the size of markets
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The fastest average growth in the post-2000 period was recorded by oil-exporting LDCs (growth from 1.2 to 6.6% per year on average)
due to the increase of the commodity price. while the growth of developed countries growth quite slowly
Illustrates the increasing share of developing economies in world GDP at purchasing power parity
(b). As a country develops, income inequality get worsens at first, then improves as the country attains a certain level of development.
And based on Kuznets curves: at the early industrialization, wages are held down by the migration of rural people to the cities and therefore the GDP growth is accompanied by increasing inequality,
but the at point when GDP per capita has reached a certain level, inequality falls because the rise of the welfare states allows for better redistribution policies.
This suggest that countries with higher incomes are better able to pay for preserving their environment.
There are 4 reasons based on EKC:
1. Pollution increases as an economy industrializers and moves from agriculture to manufacturing.
2. Changes in consumptions and a growth preference for environmentally friendly goods emerge at higher levels of income
3. A country’s level of development increases, the quality of institution improves also so they could make better capacity to enforce........
4. A higher GDP per capita also enhances the possibility for country to find better or new technology to cut down or eliminate the pollution
MFN – Most Favored Nation refers to the level of treatment by one states to another in international trade,
and receive equal advantages like other country that granting such treatment. Like low tariffs or high import quotas