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Autumn/Winter Meeting
  1st December 2011 | Taunton
Agenda
1    10.30    News

2    11.00    Green Deal & Affordable Warmth Project
              A community/localism approach to delivering energy efficiency &
3    11.10
              Green Deal - Dr. Jon Kirby (E.ON)
4    11.35    The new HECA Obligation: what should it be? Discussion

    12 noon                                LUNCH
              The View From... Dorset - Peter Bywater will describe a project
5    12.45
              to identify & assist fuel poor households through door-knocking
              A new CWI product that can be used in cavities of <50mm -
6    1.10
              Jamie Robbins (J & J Crump Ltd.)
7    1.30     Partner updates: EST, NEA, Carillion, etc.

8    1.45     Open session: thoughts & views from around the region
Green Deal Consultation
Green Deal Consultation


•   238 pages; 63 questions - responses by 18th January
•   Affordable Warmth Target
•   “Solid Wall Insulation is the key technology which we see
    ECO supporting”
•   LAs likely “...to be crucial in ensuring effective and
    intensive delivery...”
•   householders ‘encouraged’ to take up packages
Energy Company Obligation


•   Carbon Saving Target: 0.52 million tonnes CO2 per year
•   Affordable Warmth Target: £3.4 billion reduction in notional
    lifetime cost of heating
•   AWT expected to benefit 325,000 households by March 2015
•   cost to energy companies estimated at £1.3bn per year
•   funding split 25% Affordable Warmth; 75% Carbon
Green Deal/ECO & the Fuel Poor



•   at least 4.1m fuel poor households in England - and rising
•   intention to eradicate fuel poverty by 2016 re-stated
•   to March 2015 ECO expected to assist 325,000 homes, leaving
    3.8m in fuel poverty
Sample Questions

•   Q11: views on hard-to-treat cavities
•   Q12: should ECO Carbon Saving be used primarily for SWI
•   Q13: should other measures be applied only with SWI
•   Q15: should boiler repairs be scored under Affordable Warmth
    obligation; if so, how
•   Q31: should Affordable Warmth measures be SPG only
•   Question not asked: should all or most of ECO be aimed at fuel
    poor households
Feed-In Tariffs

  •   Consultation?! You probably know
      the key changes...
  •   Tariff reduced from 43.3p to 21p per
      kWh
  •   4% tax-free rate of return
  •   simple payback now 18-20 years
  •   ‘eligibility date’ 12th December 2011
Winter Outlook Report

        •   Met Office “small weighting
            towards colder than normal
            temperatures”
        •   prices strongly favour coal
            rather than gas for power
            generation
        •   low risk of gas supply shortages
        •   electricity generation capacity
            sufficient
Cold Weather Plan
Cold Weather Plan

•   reduce impact of severe cold weather on health
•   27,000 excess winter deaths December to March
•   most deaths amongst elderly; strokes, respiratory problems, cardiac
    disease
•   cost to NHS: £850million/year “winter related disease due to cold
    private housing”
•   £10m extra for Warm Front
•   £20m for Warm Homes Healthy People Fund
Warm Homes Healthy People Fund


•   £20million fund, but this may be increased
•   applications by LA’s only
•   projects completed/money spent by March 2012
•   aim: to reduce death & morbidity due to cold housing
•   contact your NHS public health teams
•   8th December deadline for bids; 16th December notification
Warm Homes Healthy People bids

•   does your project supplement other sources of funding?
•   is your approach innovative?
•   how does your proposal reduce impacts on health?
•   is what we propose targeted at the most vulnerable?
•   which community & voluntary groups should we work with?
•   how does our proposal link with the Cold Weather Plan?
•   can what we propose be delivered before end of March 2012?
Hills Fuel Poverty Review

•   fuel poverty is a distinct and serious issue
•   existing definition is simple but flawed
•   core problem of fuel poverty is diluted by fuel prices
•   every measurement method has flaws
•   low income high cost indicator preferred; fuel poverty exists
    where:
    (i) household has above reasonable costs of warmth AND
    (ii) where meeting those costs would push it below an income
    threshold
Heating Costs
             Fuel                             Heating system                      2-bed    3-bed    4-bed

 Housecoal Grade A                       Open fire, back boiler                    £893     £1,177   £1,663

                                   Electric radiators, immersion
                                                                                  £1,511   £2,013   £2,917
                                               heater
 EDF domestic tariff
                                            ASHP underfloor                        £634     £836     £1,197

                                     Storage heaters; immersion
   EDF Econ7 tariff                                                               £820     £1,083   £1,560
                                               heater

                                   Gas boiler, rads, HW cylinder                  £907     £1,160   £1,601
    BGas DD tariff
                                    Gas condensing boiler, rads,
                                                                                  £764     £969     £1,330
                                          HW cylinder
                                     LPG-fired boiler, rads, HW
            LPG                                                                   £1,618   £2,119   £2,993
                                             cylinder

             Oil                              Oil fired boiler                     £1,099   £1,449   £2,061

Source: Sutherland Tables, October 2011. Data for Wales and South West England.
Room Heating Costs
                 Fuel                                                  Heating System         Cost of 2800kW

   Housecoal - Grade A                                                      Open fire              £250

        Anthracite nuts                                            Closed roomheater              £201

 Standard domestic tariff                                                 Electric fire            £424

           Economy 7                         Night storage heater (90%); electric fire (10%)       £261

                                                                 Radiant/convector fire            £442
           British Gas
                                                             Decorative effect open fire           £914

                                                                 Radiant/convector fire            £573

                 LPG                                         Decorative effect open fire           £1,193

                                                                        Butane heater             £459

Source: Sutherland Tables, October 2011. Data for Wales and South West England.
Source: Sutherland Tables, October 2011.
Source: Sutherland Tables, October 2011.
Energy Prices: Plymouth Sep 2011
                             Credit                         Direct Debit                    Prepayment


                      Gas          Electricity           Gas          Electricity         Gas     Electricity


   Largest           £816              £478             £788             £440             £730      £476



  Average            £681              £449             £642             £413             £677      £455



  Smallest           £639              £418             £607             £379             £659      £432




Source: http://www.decc.gov.uk/assets/decc/11/stats/publications/qep/2867-qep-sep11.pdf
http://www.ukace.org/publications/ACE%20Research%20(2011-11)%20-%20Scaling%20the%20solid%20wall%20full%20report
Scaling the Solid Wall

•   SWIGA should be implemented at earliest opportunity
•   urgent need for investment in product development
•   ECO scores must be flexible enough to take into account multiple
    wall products
•   “very high” ECO subsidy levels required for low-income private
    sector
•   substantial incentives needed to encourage uptake
•   “HECA officers will play an essential role...”
•   area-based ‘zoning’ to maximise uptake
Ofgem publications
Green Deal & Affordable Warmth


•   DECC-funded project, delivered by NEA
•   10 projects: 2 in south west (Plymouth & Bournemouth)
•   aim to develop Green Deal Delivery Plans by March 2012
•   find & evaluate how fuel-poor households can benefit from Green
    Deal/ECO and related policies
•   15-20 days of NEA technical, policy & delivery expertise

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SW CAN meeting 1 December 2011

  • 1. Autumn/Winter Meeting 1st December 2011 | Taunton
  • 2. Agenda 1 10.30 News 2 11.00 Green Deal & Affordable Warmth Project A community/localism approach to delivering energy efficiency & 3 11.10 Green Deal - Dr. Jon Kirby (E.ON) 4 11.35 The new HECA Obligation: what should it be? Discussion 12 noon LUNCH The View From... Dorset - Peter Bywater will describe a project 5 12.45 to identify & assist fuel poor households through door-knocking A new CWI product that can be used in cavities of <50mm - 6 1.10 Jamie Robbins (J & J Crump Ltd.) 7 1.30 Partner updates: EST, NEA, Carillion, etc. 8 1.45 Open session: thoughts & views from around the region
  • 4. Green Deal Consultation • 238 pages; 63 questions - responses by 18th January • Affordable Warmth Target • “Solid Wall Insulation is the key technology which we see ECO supporting” • LAs likely “...to be crucial in ensuring effective and intensive delivery...” • householders ‘encouraged’ to take up packages
  • 5. Energy Company Obligation • Carbon Saving Target: 0.52 million tonnes CO2 per year • Affordable Warmth Target: £3.4 billion reduction in notional lifetime cost of heating • AWT expected to benefit 325,000 households by March 2015 • cost to energy companies estimated at £1.3bn per year • funding split 25% Affordable Warmth; 75% Carbon
  • 6. Green Deal/ECO & the Fuel Poor • at least 4.1m fuel poor households in England - and rising • intention to eradicate fuel poverty by 2016 re-stated • to March 2015 ECO expected to assist 325,000 homes, leaving 3.8m in fuel poverty
  • 7. Sample Questions • Q11: views on hard-to-treat cavities • Q12: should ECO Carbon Saving be used primarily for SWI • Q13: should other measures be applied only with SWI • Q15: should boiler repairs be scored under Affordable Warmth obligation; if so, how • Q31: should Affordable Warmth measures be SPG only • Question not asked: should all or most of ECO be aimed at fuel poor households
  • 8. Feed-In Tariffs • Consultation?! You probably know the key changes... • Tariff reduced from 43.3p to 21p per kWh • 4% tax-free rate of return • simple payback now 18-20 years • ‘eligibility date’ 12th December 2011
  • 9. Winter Outlook Report • Met Office “small weighting towards colder than normal temperatures” • prices strongly favour coal rather than gas for power generation • low risk of gas supply shortages • electricity generation capacity sufficient
  • 11. Cold Weather Plan • reduce impact of severe cold weather on health • 27,000 excess winter deaths December to March • most deaths amongst elderly; strokes, respiratory problems, cardiac disease • cost to NHS: £850million/year “winter related disease due to cold private housing” • £10m extra for Warm Front • £20m for Warm Homes Healthy People Fund
  • 12. Warm Homes Healthy People Fund • £20million fund, but this may be increased • applications by LA’s only • projects completed/money spent by March 2012 • aim: to reduce death & morbidity due to cold housing • contact your NHS public health teams • 8th December deadline for bids; 16th December notification
  • 13. Warm Homes Healthy People bids • does your project supplement other sources of funding? • is your approach innovative? • how does your proposal reduce impacts on health? • is what we propose targeted at the most vulnerable? • which community & voluntary groups should we work with? • how does our proposal link with the Cold Weather Plan? • can what we propose be delivered before end of March 2012?
  • 14. Hills Fuel Poverty Review • fuel poverty is a distinct and serious issue • existing definition is simple but flawed • core problem of fuel poverty is diluted by fuel prices • every measurement method has flaws • low income high cost indicator preferred; fuel poverty exists where: (i) household has above reasonable costs of warmth AND (ii) where meeting those costs would push it below an income threshold
  • 15. Heating Costs Fuel Heating system 2-bed 3-bed 4-bed Housecoal Grade A Open fire, back boiler £893 £1,177 £1,663 Electric radiators, immersion £1,511 £2,013 £2,917 heater EDF domestic tariff ASHP underfloor £634 £836 £1,197 Storage heaters; immersion EDF Econ7 tariff £820 £1,083 £1,560 heater Gas boiler, rads, HW cylinder £907 £1,160 £1,601 BGas DD tariff Gas condensing boiler, rads, £764 £969 £1,330 HW cylinder LPG-fired boiler, rads, HW LPG £1,618 £2,119 £2,993 cylinder Oil Oil fired boiler £1,099 £1,449 £2,061 Source: Sutherland Tables, October 2011. Data for Wales and South West England.
  • 16. Room Heating Costs Fuel Heating System Cost of 2800kW Housecoal - Grade A Open fire £250 Anthracite nuts Closed roomheater £201 Standard domestic tariff Electric fire £424 Economy 7 Night storage heater (90%); electric fire (10%) £261 Radiant/convector fire £442 British Gas Decorative effect open fire £914 Radiant/convector fire £573 LPG Decorative effect open fire £1,193 Butane heater £459 Source: Sutherland Tables, October 2011. Data for Wales and South West England.
  • 17. Source: Sutherland Tables, October 2011.
  • 18. Source: Sutherland Tables, October 2011.
  • 19. Energy Prices: Plymouth Sep 2011 Credit Direct Debit Prepayment Gas Electricity Gas Electricity Gas Electricity Largest £816 £478 £788 £440 £730 £476 Average £681 £449 £642 £413 £677 £455 Smallest £639 £418 £607 £379 £659 £432 Source: http://www.decc.gov.uk/assets/decc/11/stats/publications/qep/2867-qep-sep11.pdf
  • 21. Scaling the Solid Wall • SWIGA should be implemented at earliest opportunity • urgent need for investment in product development • ECO scores must be flexible enough to take into account multiple wall products • “very high” ECO subsidy levels required for low-income private sector • substantial incentives needed to encourage uptake • “HECA officers will play an essential role...” • area-based ‘zoning’ to maximise uptake
  • 23. Green Deal & Affordable Warmth • DECC-funded project, delivered by NEA • 10 projects: 2 in south west (Plymouth & Bournemouth) • aim to develop Green Deal Delivery Plans by March 2012 • find & evaluate how fuel-poor households can benefit from Green Deal/ECO and related policies • 15-20 days of NEA technical, policy & delivery expertise