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Subnational Children’s Climate and Disaster
Risk model
NCCAP III Regional Youth Workshop
June 21, 2023
The Children’s Climate Risk Index (CCRI)
Global model, 2020 version
CCRI – What is it?
CCRI is a composite index that helps to understand and measure the likelihood of climate and environmental
shocks or stresses leading to the erosion of development progress, the deepening of deprivation and/or
humanitarian crisis affecting children or vulnerable households and groups.
Risk formula RISK = Average (Shock Exposure Score, Child Vulnerability
CCRI – What is it?
The Children's Climate Risk Index (CCRI) brings 57 variables together to measure risk across 163 Countries
to map children's climate risk on a global scale.
The CCRI is made up of 2 Pillars:
1. Hazard exposure
2. Child vulnerability
Adaptation of a subnational Children’s
Climate and Disaster Risk model (CCDRM) at
country level - Kenya
VISUALISATION - The usefulness of data
Source: INFORM Index for Risk Management: Subnational adaptation process
BASIC PRINCIPLES:
• Complete coverage – Every County
• Reliable
• Open source
• Consultation process and multi-sectoral collaboration
Subnational Children’s Climate and Disaster Risk model
(CCDRM) at country level - Kenya
• Consultation Workshop was held in April 2023 hosted by the Climate Change
Directorate at the Ministry of Environment, GoK.
• Continuous consultations on indicators and datasets to use by data hosting agencies
such as MoH, Kenya Metrological Department, MoE etc.
• Multi-stakeholders: different ministries/departments, NGOs, UN partners, UNICEF
sectors/Divisions and HQ and the youths.
• Validation of the model outputs set for 11th July 2023 in Nairobi.
• Consultation workshop:
• Define indicators: what defines climate change for children in Kenya?
• Insights on data sources, access and reliability
• Validation: Does the model outputs speak the realities of Risk for every county???
Consultation process
Developing the Kenya CCDRM theoretical framework
Source: Based on the INFORM Index for Risk Management: Subnational adaptation process
PILLARS
COMPONENTS
CONSTANT
for all models
TAILORED
to Kenyan
context
Review the risk factors (components) covered by the global
model to determine which are relevant to the country.
Decide which to keep and remove. Identify new country-
specific risks to add to the model.
Subnational Children’s Climate and Disaster Risk model (CCDRM)
A METHOD THAT:
• Gets the conversation going on climate change
A TOOL THAT SHOWS:
• Which areas (County Level for now) in Kenya have high climate risk for children
• Why that is (indicators – exposure and Vulnerability)
• How and where we should response – evidence based
• A way of measuring impact in terms of climate action/resilience etc.
 A WAY TO BRING IN FUNDING TO MAKE THE CHILDREN LESS VULNERABLE
Results, Challenges and Way forward
• Results
• Most datasets acquired and analyzed
• Model construction almost done
• Key partners involved throughout - Inclusive
• Results will be validated to ensure reliability
• Will be hosted by the Government moving forward with technical and financial support from UNICEF
where possible.
• Key challenges
• Delayed datasets acquisitions
• Some datasets aren’t full coverage but cover only Arid and Semi-Arid (ASAL) counties
• Time frame was short, Experts had to stretch to have it done
• Government partners are on board but busy with climate summit and NCCAP too. (Running concurrently)
• Way forward (timeline and key milestones)
• June/July - Model developed, validated and ready for Dissemination and use
• September – Launched and published through the Africa Climate summit in Nairobi
Subnational Children’s Climate and Disaster Risk model (CCDRM)
PURPOSE: Strengthen risk-informed programming and planning processes through the
creation of child centered evidence and the strengthening of subnational analysis of
children’s climate and disaster risks.
PRODUCT: Subnational CCDRM model integrated in an interactive dashboard to visualize
and analyze subnational climate and disaster risks and underlying risk factors
INTENDED USE:
• Support the implementation of child-centered multi-hazard risk analysis at subnational
level for risk-informed programming and emergency preparedness
• Support cross-sector coordination and decision-making processes based on a common
understanding of risk.
• Serve as foundation for emergency response prioritization processes.
PROCESS: The model is developed collaboratively with national partners and relevant UN
agencies resulting in an open, shared risk analysis that can be used by a wide range of
actors for decision-making processes
THANK YOU & QUESTIONS

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UNICEF-CCDRM Overview _Kenya for the NCCAP workshops.pptx

  • 1. Subnational Children’s Climate and Disaster Risk model NCCAP III Regional Youth Workshop June 21, 2023
  • 2. The Children’s Climate Risk Index (CCRI) Global model, 2020 version
  • 3. CCRI – What is it? CCRI is a composite index that helps to understand and measure the likelihood of climate and environmental shocks or stresses leading to the erosion of development progress, the deepening of deprivation and/or humanitarian crisis affecting children or vulnerable households and groups. Risk formula RISK = Average (Shock Exposure Score, Child Vulnerability
  • 4. CCRI – What is it? The Children's Climate Risk Index (CCRI) brings 57 variables together to measure risk across 163 Countries to map children's climate risk on a global scale. The CCRI is made up of 2 Pillars: 1. Hazard exposure 2. Child vulnerability
  • 5. Adaptation of a subnational Children’s Climate and Disaster Risk model (CCDRM) at country level - Kenya
  • 6. VISUALISATION - The usefulness of data
  • 7. Source: INFORM Index for Risk Management: Subnational adaptation process BASIC PRINCIPLES: • Complete coverage – Every County • Reliable • Open source • Consultation process and multi-sectoral collaboration Subnational Children’s Climate and Disaster Risk model (CCDRM) at country level - Kenya
  • 8. • Consultation Workshop was held in April 2023 hosted by the Climate Change Directorate at the Ministry of Environment, GoK. • Continuous consultations on indicators and datasets to use by data hosting agencies such as MoH, Kenya Metrological Department, MoE etc. • Multi-stakeholders: different ministries/departments, NGOs, UN partners, UNICEF sectors/Divisions and HQ and the youths. • Validation of the model outputs set for 11th July 2023 in Nairobi. • Consultation workshop: • Define indicators: what defines climate change for children in Kenya? • Insights on data sources, access and reliability • Validation: Does the model outputs speak the realities of Risk for every county??? Consultation process
  • 9. Developing the Kenya CCDRM theoretical framework Source: Based on the INFORM Index for Risk Management: Subnational adaptation process PILLARS COMPONENTS CONSTANT for all models TAILORED to Kenyan context Review the risk factors (components) covered by the global model to determine which are relevant to the country. Decide which to keep and remove. Identify new country- specific risks to add to the model.
  • 10. Subnational Children’s Climate and Disaster Risk model (CCDRM) A METHOD THAT: • Gets the conversation going on climate change A TOOL THAT SHOWS: • Which areas (County Level for now) in Kenya have high climate risk for children • Why that is (indicators – exposure and Vulnerability) • How and where we should response – evidence based • A way of measuring impact in terms of climate action/resilience etc.  A WAY TO BRING IN FUNDING TO MAKE THE CHILDREN LESS VULNERABLE
  • 11. Results, Challenges and Way forward • Results • Most datasets acquired and analyzed • Model construction almost done • Key partners involved throughout - Inclusive • Results will be validated to ensure reliability • Will be hosted by the Government moving forward with technical and financial support from UNICEF where possible. • Key challenges • Delayed datasets acquisitions • Some datasets aren’t full coverage but cover only Arid and Semi-Arid (ASAL) counties • Time frame was short, Experts had to stretch to have it done • Government partners are on board but busy with climate summit and NCCAP too. (Running concurrently) • Way forward (timeline and key milestones) • June/July - Model developed, validated and ready for Dissemination and use • September – Launched and published through the Africa Climate summit in Nairobi
  • 12. Subnational Children’s Climate and Disaster Risk model (CCDRM) PURPOSE: Strengthen risk-informed programming and planning processes through the creation of child centered evidence and the strengthening of subnational analysis of children’s climate and disaster risks. PRODUCT: Subnational CCDRM model integrated in an interactive dashboard to visualize and analyze subnational climate and disaster risks and underlying risk factors INTENDED USE: • Support the implementation of child-centered multi-hazard risk analysis at subnational level for risk-informed programming and emergency preparedness • Support cross-sector coordination and decision-making processes based on a common understanding of risk. • Serve as foundation for emergency response prioritization processes. PROCESS: The model is developed collaboratively with national partners and relevant UN agencies resulting in an open, shared risk analysis that can be used by a wide range of actors for decision-making processes
  • 13. THANK YOU & QUESTIONS

Editor's Notes

  1. Margreet
  2. Sophie Overview of the subnational CCRI – CCDRM model Move the global CCRI from an advocacy tool to a programmatic tool – and to incorporate children's risks to a wider range of hazards – not just climate & environmental shocks  This initiative aims to …  EPP collaboration: working with EMOPS on how to incorporate the CCDRM in the EPP version 2 or 3  This model will become a standardized tool used for the Risk Analysis proportion of the EPP  - pilot countries will experiment this in the development/update of their EPP
  3. Sophie Overview of the subnational CCRI – CCDRM model Move the global CCRI from an advocacy tool to a programmatic tool – and to incorporate children's risks to a wider range of hazards – not just climate & environmental shocks  This initiative aims to …  EPP collaboration: working with EMOPS on how to incorporate the CCDRM in the EPP version 2 or 3  This model will become a standardized tool used for the Risk Analysis proportion of the EPP  - pilot countries will experiment this in the development/update of their EPP
  4. Margreet
  5. Sophie Overview of the subnational CCRI – CCDRM model Move the global CCRI from an advocacy tool to a programmatic tool – and to incorporate children's risks to a wider range of hazards – not just climate & environmental shocks  This initiative aims to …  EPP collaboration: working with EMOPS on how to incorporate the CCDRM in the EPP version 2 or 3  This model will become a standardized tool used for the Risk Analysis proportion of the EPP  - pilot countries will experiment this in the development/update of their EPP
  6. Margreet