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Political Study: perceptions
concerning the issue of
Amnesty and/or Pardon
December 2018
❖Type of study: quantifiable
❖Method of data collection: CATI
❖Number of question sheets / questionnaires: 1064
❖Data collection timeframe: 4th - 11th Dec 2018
❖Representative sample at national level: ±3% margin of error
Methodology
Data Analysis
The current course of events in Romania
Q.1. Generally speaking, do you think that the course of events in Romania is taking a correct or incorrect
turn? (N=1064)
Perceptions of the possibility that the Government may grant an
amnesty and/or pardon
Q.2. Concerning the possibility that the Government may grant an amnesty and/or pardon to those who have been
convicted, how would you rate such a decisioion? (N=1064)
Average: 2.05
Region Average
Moldova 2.04
Transilvania 2.02
Muntenia 2.07
Residency/Habitation
Urban 1.98
Rural 2.14
Age
Under 45 years old 1.98
Over 45 years old 2.11
Education Level
Primary education 2.15
Secondary education 2.03
Higher education/Graduate school 1.79
Perceptions of the possibility that the Government may grant an
amnesty and/or pardon vis-a-vis public expectations at the last
parliamentary elections
Public belief in the last
parliamentary elections
Average
Group 1:
PSD/ALDE/UDMR
2.41
Group 2:
PNL/USR/PMP
1.72
Q.2. Concerning the possibility that the Government may grant an amnesty and/or pardon to those who have been
convicted, how would you rate such a decisioion? (N=1064)
1 - Very wrong
decision
5 - Very good
decision
Approval of Amnesty and/or Pardon generally (after exposure to
resolutions)
For clarification, before responding to this
questionnaire, respondents were given full
details about the Amnesty & Pardon issue:
Pardon: the decision to exempt those already convicted from
the reminder of their sentence
Amnesty: the Government’s decision to remove criminal liability
and to suspend punishment of a certain group/class of people
for a particular infringement
Q.3. In light of the given definitions, do you agree or disagree with the granting of an Amnesty and/or Pardon, in
principle? (N=1064)
Approval of Amnesty and/or Pardon generally (after exposure to resolutions)
Crosstab 1/2
Region
I agree with an
Amnesty and/or
Pardon
I do not agree with an
Amnesty and/or Pardon
NȘ/NR
Moldova 17% 75% 8%
Transilvania 17% 78% 5%
Muntenia 24% 72% 4%
Residency/Habitation
Urban 19% 75% 6%
Rural 22% 73% 5%
Age
Under 45 years old 18% 77% 5%
Over 45 years old 23% 72% 5%
Education
Primary education 22% 72% 6%
Secondary education 20% 76% 4%
Higher education / Graduate
school
17% 78% 5%
% column
Q.3. In light of the given definitions, do you agree or disagree with the granting of an Amnesty and/or Pardon, in
principle? (N=1064)
Acordul cu amnistia și grațierea, în general (după expunerea la definiții)
Crosstab 2/2
Public expectations at the
last parliamentary
elections
I agree with an
Amnesty and/or
Pardon
I do not agree with an
Amnesty and/or Pardon
NȘ/NR
Group 1:
PSD/ALDE/UDMR
31% 64% 5%
Group 2:
PNL/USR/PMP
11% 85% 4%
Q.3. In light of the given definitions, do you agree or disagree with the granting of an Amnesty and/or Pardon, in
principle? (N=1064)
% column
Approval of Amnesty and/or Pardon according to specific named
transgressions
Q.4. Do you agree or disagree with the principle of an Amnesty and/or Pardon in relation to each one of specific
named types of transgression? (N=1064)
Approval of Amnesty and/or Pardon according to specific transgressions Crosstab
1/2
Region
Acts of corruption
involving usage of public
money
Violent acts of personal
injury
Qualified robberies from
private money
Moldova 90% 98% 96%
Transilvania 90% 93% 91%
Muntenia 91% 96% 92%
Residency /Habitation
Urban 92% 96% 92%
Rural 89% 94% 94%
Age
Under 45 years old 91% 95% 91%
Over 45 years old 91% 95% 93%
Education
Primary education 89% 93% 91%
Secondary education 93% 97% 94%
Higher education/Graduate school 93% 96% 92%
Q.4. Do you agree or disagree with the principle of an Amnesty and/or Pardon in relation to each one of specific
named types of transgression? (N=1064)
Approval of amnesty and/or pardon according to transgression Crosstab 2/2
Public belief in the last
parliamentary elections
Acts of corruption from
usage of public money
Violent acts of personal
injury
Qualified robberies from
private money
Group 1:
PSD/ALDE/UDMR
87% 93% 91%
Gruop 2:
PNL/USR/PMP
96% 97% 96%
Q.4. Do you agree or disagree with the principle of an Amnesty and/or Pardon in relation to each one of specific
named types of transgression? (N=1064)
Assessing punishment for specific types of crime
Q.5. How do you rate the current penalties for given categories of criminal act: too lenient, appropriate, or too
severe? (N=1064)
Assessing punishment for specific types of crime
Crosstab 1/2
Region
Acts of corruption from
usage of public money
Violent acts of personal
injury
Qualified robberies from
private money
Moldova 62% 70% 64%
Transilvania 63% 67% 65%
Muntenia 63% 70% 63%
Residency/ Habitation
Urban 63% 68% 62%
Rural 63% 69% 66%
Age
Under 45 years old 61% 63% 58%
Over 45 years old 65% 74% 69%
Education
Primary education 60% 65% 63%
Secondary education 68% 74% 69%
Higher education/Graduate school 60% 63% 52%
Q.5. How do you rate the current penalties for given categories of criminal act: too lenient, appropriate, or too
severe? (N=1064)
Assessing punishment for specific types of crime Crosstab 1/2
Public belief in the last
parliamentary elections
Acts of corruption from
usage of public money
Violent acts of personal
injury
Qualified robberies from
private money
Group 1:
PSD/ALDE/UDMR
55% 69% 64%
Group 2:
PNL/USR/PMP
75% 75% 69%
Q.5. How do you rate the current penalties for given categories of criminal act: too lenient, appropriate, or too
severe? (N=1064)
The impact on citizens of corruption policies used by politicians
Crosstab 1/2 Average data
Region Average
Moldova 4.01
Transilvania 4.18
Muntenia 4.13
Residency/ Habitation
Urban 4.24
Rural 3.99
Age
Under 45 years old 4.17
Over 45 years old 4.09
Education
Primary education 3.86
Secondary education 4.35
Higher education / Graduate
school
4.38
Q.6. In general, do you think the corruption policies adopted by politicians affect you personally? Please answer
using a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 means very little / not at all, and 5, to a very large extent (N=1064)
Average:
4.13
The impact on citizens of corruption policies used by politicians
Crosstab 2/2 Average data
Public belief in the last
parliamentary elections
Average
Group 1:
PSD/ALDE/UDMR
3.73
Group 2:
PNL/USR/PMP
4.44
Q.6. In general, personally speaking, do you think the corruption policies adopted by politicians affect you? Please
answer using a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 means very little / not at all, and 5, to a very large extent. (N=1064)
Public perception of the importance of the fight against corruption
Crosstab 1/2 Average data
Region Medie
Moldova 4.32
Transilvania 4.40
Muntenia 4.34
Residency/ Habitation
Urban 4.46
Rural 4.22
Age
Under 45 years old 4.38
Over 45 years old 4.33
Education Level
Primary education 4.15
Secondary education 4.50
Higher education / Graduate
school
4.54
Q.7. How important is the fight against corruption for you? Please answer using a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 means
very little / not at all, and 5, to a very large extent (N=1064)
Average:
4.35
Public perception of the importance of the fight against corruption
Crosstab 2/2 Average data
Public belief in the last
parliamentary elections
Average
Group 1:
PSD/ALDE/UDMR
4.04
Group 2:
PNL/USR/PMP
4.70
Q.7. How important is the fight against corruption for you? Please answer using a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 means
very little / not at all, and 5, to a very large extent. (N=1064)
Early release of those sentenced to imprisonment, on compensatory
appeal
Q.8. How would you view the early release of those sentenced to imprisonment, on compensatory appeal? (N=1064)
Early release of those sentenced to imprisonment
Crosstab 1/2
Region Right Neutral Wrong NȘ/NR
Moldova 12% 21% 57% 10%
Transilvania 7% 24% 58% 11%
Muntenia 14% 22% 58% 6%
Residency/ Habitation
Urban 11% 22% 59% 8%
Rural 12% 24% 55% 9%
Age
Under 45 years old 13% 24% 54% 9%
Over 45 years old 10% 22% 60% 8%
Education Level
Primary education 14% 22% 54% 10%
Secondary education 8% 26% 60% 6%
Higher education/ Graduate
school
11% 17% 62% 10%
Q.8. How would you view the early release of those sentenced to imprisonment, on compensatory appeal? (N=1064)
%column
Early release of those sentenced to imprisonment
Crosstab 2/2
Public belief in the
last parliamentary
elections
Right Neutral Wrong NȘ/NR
Group 1:
PSD/ALDE/UDMR
15% 27% 49% 9%
Group 2:
PNL/USR/PMP
5% 13% 75% 7%
Q.8. How would you view the early release of those sentenced to imprisonment, on compensatory appeal? (N=1064)
% column
Assessing changes made to the laws of justice and penal/criminal codes
over the past 2 years.
Q.9. How do you view the changes made to the laws of justice and penal/criminal codes over the past 2
years? (N=1064)
Assessing changes made to the laws of justice and penal/criminal codes
over the past 2 years. Crosstab 1/2
Region Right Neutral Wrong NȘ/NR
Moldova 12% 21% 55% 12%
Transilvania 6% 24% 57% 13%
Muntenia 12% 22% 56% 10%
Residency/ Habitation
Urban 10% 22% 58% 10%
Rural 10% 23% 54% 13%
Age
Age under 45 years old 7% 23% 61% 9%
Age over 45 years old 13% 22% 51% 14%
Education Level
Primary school 9% 26% 49% 16%
Secondary education 12% 21% 59% 8%
Higher education/ Graduate
school
9% 16% 67% 8%
Q.9. How do you view the changes made to the laws of justice and penal/criminal codes over the past 2 years? (N=1064)
% column
Assessing changes made to the laws of justice and penal/criminal codes
over the past 2 years. Crosstab 2/2
Public belief in the last
parliamentary elections
Right Neutral Wrong NȘ/NR
Group 1:
PSD/ALDE/UDMR
16% 31% 41% 12%
Group 2:
PNL/USR/PMP
5% 15% 72% 8%
Q.9. How do you view the changes made to the laws of justice and penal/criminal codes over the past 2 years?
(N=1064)
% column
Romania and the European Union
Q.10. Do you believe that Romania is ready to take over the EU presidency? (N=1064)
Q.11. Do you wish Romania to remain a member of the EU? (N=1064)
Takeover of the EU
Presidency by Romania
The aspiration for
Romania to remain a
member of the EU
The aspiration for Romania to remain a member of the EU
Crosstab
Public belief in the last
parliamentary elections
YES NO NȘ/NR
Group 1:
PSD/ALDE/UDMR
93% 4% 3%
Group 2:
PNL/USR/PMP
93% 5% 2%
% column
Q.11. Do you wish Romania to remain a member of the EU? (N=1064)
Most watched TV stations for information
Q.12. Which TV channel do you watch the most for information? (Unique Answer) (N=1064)
Conclusions
Conclusions 1/3
❖ The majority of Romanians agree that, in Romania, matters are heading in the wrong direction (80%).
❖ The granting of an Amnesty to, and/or pardoning of convicts, are considered to be bad for society (70%). Romanians
who consider that an amnesty or pardon are good or very good measures tend to have the following social profile: live in
rural areas, are over 45 years of age, have only primary-level education, and voted with PSD / ALDE / UDMR at the last
parliamentary elections.
❖ Three-quarters of the country's population are opposed to any amnesty or pardon measures. Romanians who agree
with such measures tend to have the following social profile: rural inhabitant in the historic region of Muntenia, over 45
years of age, have primary level or, at best, secondary-level education, and voted with PSD / ALDE / UDMR at the last
parliamentary elections.
❖ When the survey participants were shown examples of criminal actions that could be forgiven by the Romanian
state, the percentage of those opposed to amnesty or pardon increased. Romanians have a more lenient attitude
towards those who have committed qualified robberies from usage of private money, and are less tolerant of groups of
people guilty of violent crimes (robbery, rape, etc).
❖ In terms of penalties, 7 out of 10 Romanians claim that they are too light for acts of violence involving personal injury
(robbery, rape, etc). However, it should be noted that around 15% of respondents were unable to assess the extent to
which actual punishments are appropriate for given offenses. PSD, ALDE and UDMR voters have a more lenient attitude
towards punishment for aggressors than do opposition voters.
Conclusions 2/3
❖ Three-quarters of Romanians consider that the corrupt acts of politicians affect their everyday lives to a great or
very great extent.
❖ The fight against corruption is an important measure for 8 out of 10 Romanians.
❖ The release of convicts/detainees from prison on compensatory appeal is considered a bad measure by over half of
Romanians. Citizens who believe that the release of these detainees was a very good idea tend to have the following social
profile: live in the regions of Muntenia or Moldova, are under 45 years old, have no more than secondary-level education,
and voted with the ruling Coalition at the last election.
❖ More than half of citizens are appalled at the changes applied to the laws of justice and to the criminal/penal codes
over the past 2 years. The Romanians who expressed this assessment mainly live in the urban area, are under 45 years old,
have higher-education studies, and voted with the opposition parties at the last parliamentary elections.
Conclusions 3/3
❖ Half of Romanians believe that Romania is not ready to take over the EU presidency.
❖ An overwhelming majority of Romanians desire to see the country remaining a member of the EU. Those Romanians
who tend more to favour Romania leaving the EU are mainly over 45 years of age, with primary-evel education. However,
there are no differences in terms of the political preferences manifested in voting in the last parliamentary elections.
❖ The most watched TV channel for information is PRO TV. Among the news broadcasts, Romanians prefer Romania TV
for information.
Socio-demographics
Sociodemographic
Demographics (sex, age, education)
Male 49%
Female 51%
48%
52%
Under 45 years old
Over 45 years old
No high-school graduation (Primary
only)
High-school graduate (secondary education)
Higher education (third-level studies)
45%
42%
13%
Demographics (by residence and by historical region)
Rural
Urban
56%
44%
Moldova
Muntenia
Transilvania
16%
50%
34%

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Political study perceptions concerning the issue of amnesty and/or pardon of the corruption offences in Romania (December 2018)

  • 1. Political Study: perceptions concerning the issue of Amnesty and/or Pardon December 2018
  • 2. ❖Type of study: quantifiable ❖Method of data collection: CATI ❖Number of question sheets / questionnaires: 1064 ❖Data collection timeframe: 4th - 11th Dec 2018 ❖Representative sample at national level: ±3% margin of error Methodology
  • 4. The current course of events in Romania Q.1. Generally speaking, do you think that the course of events in Romania is taking a correct or incorrect turn? (N=1064)
  • 5. Perceptions of the possibility that the Government may grant an amnesty and/or pardon Q.2. Concerning the possibility that the Government may grant an amnesty and/or pardon to those who have been convicted, how would you rate such a decisioion? (N=1064) Average: 2.05 Region Average Moldova 2.04 Transilvania 2.02 Muntenia 2.07 Residency/Habitation Urban 1.98 Rural 2.14 Age Under 45 years old 1.98 Over 45 years old 2.11 Education Level Primary education 2.15 Secondary education 2.03 Higher education/Graduate school 1.79
  • 6. Perceptions of the possibility that the Government may grant an amnesty and/or pardon vis-a-vis public expectations at the last parliamentary elections Public belief in the last parliamentary elections Average Group 1: PSD/ALDE/UDMR 2.41 Group 2: PNL/USR/PMP 1.72 Q.2. Concerning the possibility that the Government may grant an amnesty and/or pardon to those who have been convicted, how would you rate such a decisioion? (N=1064) 1 - Very wrong decision 5 - Very good decision
  • 7. Approval of Amnesty and/or Pardon generally (after exposure to resolutions) For clarification, before responding to this questionnaire, respondents were given full details about the Amnesty & Pardon issue: Pardon: the decision to exempt those already convicted from the reminder of their sentence Amnesty: the Government’s decision to remove criminal liability and to suspend punishment of a certain group/class of people for a particular infringement Q.3. In light of the given definitions, do you agree or disagree with the granting of an Amnesty and/or Pardon, in principle? (N=1064)
  • 8. Approval of Amnesty and/or Pardon generally (after exposure to resolutions) Crosstab 1/2 Region I agree with an Amnesty and/or Pardon I do not agree with an Amnesty and/or Pardon NȘ/NR Moldova 17% 75% 8% Transilvania 17% 78% 5% Muntenia 24% 72% 4% Residency/Habitation Urban 19% 75% 6% Rural 22% 73% 5% Age Under 45 years old 18% 77% 5% Over 45 years old 23% 72% 5% Education Primary education 22% 72% 6% Secondary education 20% 76% 4% Higher education / Graduate school 17% 78% 5% % column Q.3. In light of the given definitions, do you agree or disagree with the granting of an Amnesty and/or Pardon, in principle? (N=1064)
  • 9. Acordul cu amnistia și grațierea, în general (după expunerea la definiții) Crosstab 2/2 Public expectations at the last parliamentary elections I agree with an Amnesty and/or Pardon I do not agree with an Amnesty and/or Pardon NȘ/NR Group 1: PSD/ALDE/UDMR 31% 64% 5% Group 2: PNL/USR/PMP 11% 85% 4% Q.3. In light of the given definitions, do you agree or disagree with the granting of an Amnesty and/or Pardon, in principle? (N=1064) % column
  • 10. Approval of Amnesty and/or Pardon according to specific named transgressions Q.4. Do you agree or disagree with the principle of an Amnesty and/or Pardon in relation to each one of specific named types of transgression? (N=1064)
  • 11. Approval of Amnesty and/or Pardon according to specific transgressions Crosstab 1/2 Region Acts of corruption involving usage of public money Violent acts of personal injury Qualified robberies from private money Moldova 90% 98% 96% Transilvania 90% 93% 91% Muntenia 91% 96% 92% Residency /Habitation Urban 92% 96% 92% Rural 89% 94% 94% Age Under 45 years old 91% 95% 91% Over 45 years old 91% 95% 93% Education Primary education 89% 93% 91% Secondary education 93% 97% 94% Higher education/Graduate school 93% 96% 92% Q.4. Do you agree or disagree with the principle of an Amnesty and/or Pardon in relation to each one of specific named types of transgression? (N=1064)
  • 12. Approval of amnesty and/or pardon according to transgression Crosstab 2/2 Public belief in the last parliamentary elections Acts of corruption from usage of public money Violent acts of personal injury Qualified robberies from private money Group 1: PSD/ALDE/UDMR 87% 93% 91% Gruop 2: PNL/USR/PMP 96% 97% 96% Q.4. Do you agree or disagree with the principle of an Amnesty and/or Pardon in relation to each one of specific named types of transgression? (N=1064)
  • 13. Assessing punishment for specific types of crime Q.5. How do you rate the current penalties for given categories of criminal act: too lenient, appropriate, or too severe? (N=1064)
  • 14. Assessing punishment for specific types of crime Crosstab 1/2 Region Acts of corruption from usage of public money Violent acts of personal injury Qualified robberies from private money Moldova 62% 70% 64% Transilvania 63% 67% 65% Muntenia 63% 70% 63% Residency/ Habitation Urban 63% 68% 62% Rural 63% 69% 66% Age Under 45 years old 61% 63% 58% Over 45 years old 65% 74% 69% Education Primary education 60% 65% 63% Secondary education 68% 74% 69% Higher education/Graduate school 60% 63% 52% Q.5. How do you rate the current penalties for given categories of criminal act: too lenient, appropriate, or too severe? (N=1064)
  • 15. Assessing punishment for specific types of crime Crosstab 1/2 Public belief in the last parliamentary elections Acts of corruption from usage of public money Violent acts of personal injury Qualified robberies from private money Group 1: PSD/ALDE/UDMR 55% 69% 64% Group 2: PNL/USR/PMP 75% 75% 69% Q.5. How do you rate the current penalties for given categories of criminal act: too lenient, appropriate, or too severe? (N=1064)
  • 16. The impact on citizens of corruption policies used by politicians Crosstab 1/2 Average data Region Average Moldova 4.01 Transilvania 4.18 Muntenia 4.13 Residency/ Habitation Urban 4.24 Rural 3.99 Age Under 45 years old 4.17 Over 45 years old 4.09 Education Primary education 3.86 Secondary education 4.35 Higher education / Graduate school 4.38 Q.6. In general, do you think the corruption policies adopted by politicians affect you personally? Please answer using a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 means very little / not at all, and 5, to a very large extent (N=1064) Average: 4.13
  • 17. The impact on citizens of corruption policies used by politicians Crosstab 2/2 Average data Public belief in the last parliamentary elections Average Group 1: PSD/ALDE/UDMR 3.73 Group 2: PNL/USR/PMP 4.44 Q.6. In general, personally speaking, do you think the corruption policies adopted by politicians affect you? Please answer using a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 means very little / not at all, and 5, to a very large extent. (N=1064)
  • 18. Public perception of the importance of the fight against corruption Crosstab 1/2 Average data Region Medie Moldova 4.32 Transilvania 4.40 Muntenia 4.34 Residency/ Habitation Urban 4.46 Rural 4.22 Age Under 45 years old 4.38 Over 45 years old 4.33 Education Level Primary education 4.15 Secondary education 4.50 Higher education / Graduate school 4.54 Q.7. How important is the fight against corruption for you? Please answer using a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 means very little / not at all, and 5, to a very large extent (N=1064) Average: 4.35
  • 19. Public perception of the importance of the fight against corruption Crosstab 2/2 Average data Public belief in the last parliamentary elections Average Group 1: PSD/ALDE/UDMR 4.04 Group 2: PNL/USR/PMP 4.70 Q.7. How important is the fight against corruption for you? Please answer using a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 means very little / not at all, and 5, to a very large extent. (N=1064)
  • 20. Early release of those sentenced to imprisonment, on compensatory appeal Q.8. How would you view the early release of those sentenced to imprisonment, on compensatory appeal? (N=1064)
  • 21. Early release of those sentenced to imprisonment Crosstab 1/2 Region Right Neutral Wrong NȘ/NR Moldova 12% 21% 57% 10% Transilvania 7% 24% 58% 11% Muntenia 14% 22% 58% 6% Residency/ Habitation Urban 11% 22% 59% 8% Rural 12% 24% 55% 9% Age Under 45 years old 13% 24% 54% 9% Over 45 years old 10% 22% 60% 8% Education Level Primary education 14% 22% 54% 10% Secondary education 8% 26% 60% 6% Higher education/ Graduate school 11% 17% 62% 10% Q.8. How would you view the early release of those sentenced to imprisonment, on compensatory appeal? (N=1064) %column
  • 22. Early release of those sentenced to imprisonment Crosstab 2/2 Public belief in the last parliamentary elections Right Neutral Wrong NȘ/NR Group 1: PSD/ALDE/UDMR 15% 27% 49% 9% Group 2: PNL/USR/PMP 5% 13% 75% 7% Q.8. How would you view the early release of those sentenced to imprisonment, on compensatory appeal? (N=1064) % column
  • 23. Assessing changes made to the laws of justice and penal/criminal codes over the past 2 years. Q.9. How do you view the changes made to the laws of justice and penal/criminal codes over the past 2 years? (N=1064)
  • 24. Assessing changes made to the laws of justice and penal/criminal codes over the past 2 years. Crosstab 1/2 Region Right Neutral Wrong NȘ/NR Moldova 12% 21% 55% 12% Transilvania 6% 24% 57% 13% Muntenia 12% 22% 56% 10% Residency/ Habitation Urban 10% 22% 58% 10% Rural 10% 23% 54% 13% Age Age under 45 years old 7% 23% 61% 9% Age over 45 years old 13% 22% 51% 14% Education Level Primary school 9% 26% 49% 16% Secondary education 12% 21% 59% 8% Higher education/ Graduate school 9% 16% 67% 8% Q.9. How do you view the changes made to the laws of justice and penal/criminal codes over the past 2 years? (N=1064) % column
  • 25. Assessing changes made to the laws of justice and penal/criminal codes over the past 2 years. Crosstab 2/2 Public belief in the last parliamentary elections Right Neutral Wrong NȘ/NR Group 1: PSD/ALDE/UDMR 16% 31% 41% 12% Group 2: PNL/USR/PMP 5% 15% 72% 8% Q.9. How do you view the changes made to the laws of justice and penal/criminal codes over the past 2 years? (N=1064) % column
  • 26. Romania and the European Union Q.10. Do you believe that Romania is ready to take over the EU presidency? (N=1064) Q.11. Do you wish Romania to remain a member of the EU? (N=1064) Takeover of the EU Presidency by Romania The aspiration for Romania to remain a member of the EU
  • 27. The aspiration for Romania to remain a member of the EU Crosstab Public belief in the last parliamentary elections YES NO NȘ/NR Group 1: PSD/ALDE/UDMR 93% 4% 3% Group 2: PNL/USR/PMP 93% 5% 2% % column Q.11. Do you wish Romania to remain a member of the EU? (N=1064)
  • 28. Most watched TV stations for information Q.12. Which TV channel do you watch the most for information? (Unique Answer) (N=1064)
  • 30. Conclusions 1/3 ❖ The majority of Romanians agree that, in Romania, matters are heading in the wrong direction (80%). ❖ The granting of an Amnesty to, and/or pardoning of convicts, are considered to be bad for society (70%). Romanians who consider that an amnesty or pardon are good or very good measures tend to have the following social profile: live in rural areas, are over 45 years of age, have only primary-level education, and voted with PSD / ALDE / UDMR at the last parliamentary elections. ❖ Three-quarters of the country's population are opposed to any amnesty or pardon measures. Romanians who agree with such measures tend to have the following social profile: rural inhabitant in the historic region of Muntenia, over 45 years of age, have primary level or, at best, secondary-level education, and voted with PSD / ALDE / UDMR at the last parliamentary elections. ❖ When the survey participants were shown examples of criminal actions that could be forgiven by the Romanian state, the percentage of those opposed to amnesty or pardon increased. Romanians have a more lenient attitude towards those who have committed qualified robberies from usage of private money, and are less tolerant of groups of people guilty of violent crimes (robbery, rape, etc). ❖ In terms of penalties, 7 out of 10 Romanians claim that they are too light for acts of violence involving personal injury (robbery, rape, etc). However, it should be noted that around 15% of respondents were unable to assess the extent to which actual punishments are appropriate for given offenses. PSD, ALDE and UDMR voters have a more lenient attitude towards punishment for aggressors than do opposition voters.
  • 31. Conclusions 2/3 ❖ Three-quarters of Romanians consider that the corrupt acts of politicians affect their everyday lives to a great or very great extent. ❖ The fight against corruption is an important measure for 8 out of 10 Romanians. ❖ The release of convicts/detainees from prison on compensatory appeal is considered a bad measure by over half of Romanians. Citizens who believe that the release of these detainees was a very good idea tend to have the following social profile: live in the regions of Muntenia or Moldova, are under 45 years old, have no more than secondary-level education, and voted with the ruling Coalition at the last election. ❖ More than half of citizens are appalled at the changes applied to the laws of justice and to the criminal/penal codes over the past 2 years. The Romanians who expressed this assessment mainly live in the urban area, are under 45 years old, have higher-education studies, and voted with the opposition parties at the last parliamentary elections.
  • 32. Conclusions 3/3 ❖ Half of Romanians believe that Romania is not ready to take over the EU presidency. ❖ An overwhelming majority of Romanians desire to see the country remaining a member of the EU. Those Romanians who tend more to favour Romania leaving the EU are mainly over 45 years of age, with primary-evel education. However, there are no differences in terms of the political preferences manifested in voting in the last parliamentary elections. ❖ The most watched TV channel for information is PRO TV. Among the news broadcasts, Romanians prefer Romania TV for information.
  • 34. Demographics (sex, age, education) Male 49% Female 51% 48% 52% Under 45 years old Over 45 years old No high-school graduation (Primary only) High-school graduate (secondary education) Higher education (third-level studies) 45% 42% 13%
  • 35. Demographics (by residence and by historical region) Rural Urban 56% 44% Moldova Muntenia Transilvania 16% 50% 34%