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Goldman Sachs European Financials Conference

          “Focusing at home or abroad?”

                  Jacobo González-Robatto, Group CFO


                                      June 10th 2010
Disclaimer



  This presentation has been prepared by Banco Popular solely for purposes of
  information. It may contain estimates and forecasts with respect to the future
  development of the business and to the financial results of the Banco Popular
  Group, which stem from the expectations of the Banco Popular Group and
  which, by their very nature, are exposed to factors, risks and circumstances
  that could affect the financial results in such a way that they might not
  coincide with such estimates and forecasts. These factors include, but are not
  restricted to, (i) changes in interest rates, exchange rates or any other
  financial variables, both on the domestic as well as on the international
  securities markets, (ii) the economic, political, social or regulatory situation,
  and (iii) competitive pressures. In the event that such factors or other similar
  factors were to cause the financial results to differ from the estimates and
  forecasts contained in this presentation, or were to bring about changes in
  the strategy of the Banco Popular Group, Banco Popular does not undertake
  to publicly revise the content of this presentation.

  This presentation contains summarised information and may contain
  unaudited information. In no case shall its content constitute an offer,
  invitation or recommendation to subscribe or acquire any security
  whatsoever, nor is it intended to serve as a basis for any contract or
  commitment whatsoever.


                                                                                      2
Agenda

1. Focusing at home or abroad?

2. Conclusions




                                 3
Banco Popular in a nutshell




 Banco Popular ranks 3rd amongst Banks in Spain. 5th, including Saving
   Banks and overall 4th by profits
     • 2,380 branch network, 14,400 employees, 4.8% overall market share.
     • €97bn total loans (over 50% mortgage guaranteed), €63bn customer deposits.
     • 13bn AUMs. 32bn wholesale funding.

 A pure retail and commercial bank whose revenue generation capacity
   outperforms peers.
 Clear focus on SMEs (44% loan book) and individuals (30% loan book)
 High margins, best in class efficiency and fortress capital are the main
   hallmarks of Popular.
 This superior business model has proven successful in Spain for decades
   and we are successfully exporting it abroad i.e. to Portugal and Florida.




                                                                                    4
Spanish financial market: a good choice despite current
             headwinds


         Net Interest Income 2010e                                                    Efficiency ratio 2010e

  2,6%       2,5%                                                                                                      71,0%
                                                                                     57,0%    57,0%    59,0%   61,0%
                        2,1%
                                1,8%
                                                                           41,0%
                                          1,2%    1,2%




 Spanish      UK       Europe   Italy    Germany France                    Spanish Europe      Italy    UK     France Germany
  Banks                                                                     Banks



                                                          RoNAV 2010e
                                        14,3%

                                                 10,0%
                                                           8,8%
                                                                   7,5%       7,3%
                                                                                        5,8%




                                    Spanish France        Europe   Italy    Germany      UK
                                     Banks


                                                                                                                                5
Source: Analyst estimates
Saving banks (cajas) have grown massively over the last
                                 years in volumes but not in profitability


      Lending market share banks vs. cajas                                                                                                                                     Branches market share banks vs. cajas
                                                                                                                                                                              60%
55%
                                                                                                                                                                              55%
50%
                                                                                                                                                                              50%
45%
                                                                                                                                                                              45%
40%                                                                                                                                                                           40%
35%                                                                                                                                                                           35%

30%                                                                                                                                                                           30%




                                                                                                                                                                                    dic-95

                                                                                                                                                                                             dic-96
                                                                                                                                                                                                       dic-97

                                                                                                                                                                                                                dic-98
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          dic-99

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   dic-00

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            dic-01

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     dic-02
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              dic-03

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       dic-04

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                dic-05
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          dic-06

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   dic-07

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            dic-08
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     dic-09
      sep-95


                             sep-97


                                                   sep-99


                                                                         sep-01


                                                                                              sep-03


                                                                                                                   sep-05


                                                                                                                                        sep-07


                                                                                                                                                            sep-09
                                               Banks                     Saving Banks                                                                                                                                    Banks               Saving Banks

        Business per branch banks vs. cajas                                                                                                                                    Net Profit market share banks vs. cajas

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        25%
8.400                                                                                                                                                                               40%               40%                            43%             40%                                 36%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     45%                                               45%
6.400

4.400
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        75%
2.400                                                                                                                                                                               60%               60%                            57%             60%                                 64%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     55%                                               55%
  400
               dic-95
                        dic-96
                                      dic-97
                                               dic-98
                                                            dic-99
                                                                     dic-00
                                                                                  dic-01
                                                                                           dic-02
                                                                                                       dic-03
                                                                                                                dic-04
                                                                                                                            dic-05
                                                                                                                                     dic-06
                                                                                                                                                 dic-07
                                                                                                                                                          dic-08
                                                                                                                                                                     dic-09




                                                                                                                                                                                1994                  1995         1998             2001             2004              2007              2008          2009
                                               Banks                          Saving Banks
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Banks                 Saving Banks                                                        6
  Source: BoS; Only Spanish operations , Lending market share over system
As a consequence, the restructuring of these saving banks
      is on the way
       Merger (under                                                                                                                  SIP (agreed)
       development)
                                            SIP (agreed)                                   Merger (agreed)
                                                                            Caja                  Caixa            Caixa
                                                 Caja          Caja                                       Caixa
                                                Navarra       Burgos      Canarias              Terrassa Manlleu Sabadell
                           Caixa                                           15,909                12,889           13,318
                                                19,451        12,578                                      2,642
                           Nova
                          31,737

             Caixa
                                                                                                Merger (agreed)                                             La Caixa
            Galicia
            46,339
                                                   SIP (under discussion)                                                                                   271,873

                                                        Caja
                                                                  Caja        Caja                                      Caixa
                                                      Insular
                                                                 Ávila      Segovia                                    Manresa                   Caixa
                                                     Canarias
                                                                 7,115       6,172                           Caixa      6,545                    Girona
                                                       9,305                                               Catalunya
             Merger (agreed)                                                          Caixa                 63,649       Caixa
                                                                                                                                                 7,815
                                                      Caja       Caja                Laietana
                                                                Círculo                                                Tarragona
                                                      Rioja                           9,191
                                                                 5,200                                                  10,929
                                                      3,813                  Caja
                   Caja             Caja
                  España           Duero                                    Badajoz
                  25,253           21,385                                    4,250

                                                                                                 SIP (agreed)                           SIP (under
                                                                 Caja Madrid
                                                                                                                                        discussion)
                                                                  191,904
                                        CCM                                                                                   Caja       Caja Murcia
                                       26,048                                                                               Cantabria      22,140
         Merger (Under                                                                                       CAM
                                                                                                                             10,342
                                                                                                                                                       Sa Nostra
                                                                                                                                                        14,114
                                                                                                            75,532
         development)                                                                                 Caja
                                                                                                  Exremadura                  Caja
                                                                                                     7,915                    Astur         Caixa
                                                                                                                                                            Caja
                                                                                                                             15,828        Penedés
                                                                                                                                                          Granada
                                                                                                                                            23,039
                                                                                                                                                          13,759
            Caja Sol
            29,243
                                                              Merger (agreed)
                                                                                                   Caja
                                                                                                   Sur
                    Caja
                                                                                                  18,690
                 Guadalajara                                      Unicaja
                   1,754
                                                                  34,184
                                                                                Caja
                                                                                Jaen
                                                                                981
    Source: BoS, Company reports




 Until now, 37 out of 45 saving banks are in process of being restructured.
According to the BoS, the projects consider reductions of the offices of 25%
          on average and reductions of staff between 15%-18%.                                                                                                          7
Our nationwide presence allow us to take
     advantage of all market opportunities…
     provided they are sound and sensible
                                 Banco Popular Retail Network distribution
(Number of branches)
                                   Asturias: 38            Basque Country,
                Coruña, Lugo: 46                           Cantabria: 96
                                    Leon,                            Navarre: 62                        Girona: 74
                Vigo 54             Zamora: 50                                            Lleida: 54
               Santiago, Orense: 58                           Burgos,                           Barcelona: 125
                                          Valladolid,
                                                              Segovia, Aragón, La Rioja: 50
                                          Palencia: 44
                                                              Soria: 40
                                                                                          Tarragona: 45



                                 Salamanca,            Madrid: 271
                                 Ávila,                                            Valencia,
                                 Cáceres: 64                                       Castellon:
                                                       Castilla la Mancha: 49      106                   Balearic Islands: 103



                                                                                      Alicante: 78

                       Huelva, Badajoz: 47                                      Murcia: 51
                                               Granada, Cordoba, Jaen: 106

                                        Sevilla: 100                    Almeria: 36

                                                   Malaga: 83
                                   Cadiz: 42
                                                                                        Canary Islands: 50




        Total Branches Spain: 2,085                                                   Total Staff Spain: 12,639
                                                                                                                                 8
Popular has shown in the past that “organic” is a not
                      always a bad route to increase market share in a
                      consolidation environment…




Santander banks market share              BBVA banks market share                      Popular banks market share

                  -300 b.p.                             -500 b.p.                                 +300 b.p.




      14%                                      14%


                                28%                                      27%                                      11%
                                                                                           8%
      17%                                      18%




       1997                      2009           1997                     2009              1997                   2009

        Central + Hispano                Bilbao + Vizcaya   Argentaria    BBVA Spain              Banco Popular
       Santander       Santander Spain
 Note: Lending market share vs. banks
 Source: Company data; BoS                                                                                               9
As a consequence we are the leading retail and SME
                         franchise
                                                                       Loan to Assets
                                                              77%
                                                                         69%        67%
                                                                                              58%




                                                                        Spanish    Spanish    Euro
                                                                         Banks     Saving    Sector
                                                                                    banks

                Claims per volume                                                                               Cost to Income ratio
                                                                       Retail Franchise
      B1                                                                                                                                60%
                                                                                                                               46%
                                                                                                                     41%
      B3
                                                                                                              31%
      B4

      B5                      3rd quarter 08
                                                      Quality of                               Efficiency
      B6                      4th quarter 08           service
      B7
                                                                                                                    Spanish   Spanish    Euro
      B8                                                                                                             Banks    Saving    Sector
      B9

     B 10
                                                                          Profitability
                                                                                                                               banks


     B 11

            0    1   2   3    4       5        6            Pre-Provision profit over loans
Source: BoS; Latest available data
                                                               2.83%

                                                                         2.15%               2.12%
                                                                                   1.80%




                                                                         Spanish   Saving     Euro
                                                                          peers    Banks     sector
                                                                                                                                                 10
… enjoying an unique financial position
                                      2010 M&L Term maturities & funding evolution
                                        (€, million)
                                                            1.1x pre-funded
                                                                                3,601
                                                   3,273
                                                                                1,000
        Fortress capital
8.74%
                                                                                2,601



                        8.00%
                                                 2010 Maturities         Pre-funded 1Q10
         7.75%
                                                  Second line of liquidity (EUR m)
                                      Coverage short
                                      term funding         103%               168%
        Spanish peers   Euro sector
                                                                          16,197
                                                           14,321




                                                                                           11
                                                           1Q09               1Q10
Agenda

1. Focusing at home or abroad?

2. Conclusions




                                 12
Conclusions



•   Still cautious with the economic & markets situation: preserving
    capital & reinforcing liquidity.

•   This tough environment is leading to a huge re-structuring process
    of the Spanish system.

•   Popular has a “winner” business model and is the natural
    beneficiary from a consolidation process.

•   Network capillarity is the name of the game, as it gives institutions
    the capacity to gain market share organically and extract potential
    synergies

•   Future growth should maintain the DNA of the group, at home or
    abroad: SME and family focus, high margins, efficiency and
    outstanding profitability.
                                                                            13
14

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Angel Ron: Banco Popular Gs conference Crisis Junio 2010

  • 1. Goldman Sachs European Financials Conference “Focusing at home or abroad?” Jacobo González-Robatto, Group CFO June 10th 2010
  • 2. Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by Banco Popular solely for purposes of information. It may contain estimates and forecasts with respect to the future development of the business and to the financial results of the Banco Popular Group, which stem from the expectations of the Banco Popular Group and which, by their very nature, are exposed to factors, risks and circumstances that could affect the financial results in such a way that they might not coincide with such estimates and forecasts. These factors include, but are not restricted to, (i) changes in interest rates, exchange rates or any other financial variables, both on the domestic as well as on the international securities markets, (ii) the economic, political, social or regulatory situation, and (iii) competitive pressures. In the event that such factors or other similar factors were to cause the financial results to differ from the estimates and forecasts contained in this presentation, or were to bring about changes in the strategy of the Banco Popular Group, Banco Popular does not undertake to publicly revise the content of this presentation. This presentation contains summarised information and may contain unaudited information. In no case shall its content constitute an offer, invitation or recommendation to subscribe or acquire any security whatsoever, nor is it intended to serve as a basis for any contract or commitment whatsoever. 2
  • 3. Agenda 1. Focusing at home or abroad? 2. Conclusions 3
  • 4. Banco Popular in a nutshell  Banco Popular ranks 3rd amongst Banks in Spain. 5th, including Saving Banks and overall 4th by profits • 2,380 branch network, 14,400 employees, 4.8% overall market share. • €97bn total loans (over 50% mortgage guaranteed), €63bn customer deposits. • 13bn AUMs. 32bn wholesale funding.  A pure retail and commercial bank whose revenue generation capacity outperforms peers.  Clear focus on SMEs (44% loan book) and individuals (30% loan book)  High margins, best in class efficiency and fortress capital are the main hallmarks of Popular.  This superior business model has proven successful in Spain for decades and we are successfully exporting it abroad i.e. to Portugal and Florida. 4
  • 5. Spanish financial market: a good choice despite current headwinds Net Interest Income 2010e Efficiency ratio 2010e 2,6% 2,5% 71,0% 57,0% 57,0% 59,0% 61,0% 2,1% 1,8% 41,0% 1,2% 1,2% Spanish UK Europe Italy Germany France Spanish Europe Italy UK France Germany Banks Banks RoNAV 2010e 14,3% 10,0% 8,8% 7,5% 7,3% 5,8% Spanish France Europe Italy Germany UK Banks 5 Source: Analyst estimates
  • 6. Saving banks (cajas) have grown massively over the last years in volumes but not in profitability Lending market share banks vs. cajas Branches market share banks vs. cajas 60% 55% 55% 50% 50% 45% 45% 40% 40% 35% 35% 30% 30% dic-95 dic-96 dic-97 dic-98 dic-99 dic-00 dic-01 dic-02 dic-03 dic-04 dic-05 dic-06 dic-07 dic-08 dic-09 sep-95 sep-97 sep-99 sep-01 sep-03 sep-05 sep-07 sep-09 Banks Saving Banks Banks Saving Banks Business per branch banks vs. cajas Net Profit market share banks vs. cajas 25% 8.400 40% 40% 43% 40% 36% 45% 45% 6.400 4.400 75% 2.400 60% 60% 57% 60% 64% 55% 55% 400 dic-95 dic-96 dic-97 dic-98 dic-99 dic-00 dic-01 dic-02 dic-03 dic-04 dic-05 dic-06 dic-07 dic-08 dic-09 1994 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2008 2009 Banks Saving Banks Banks Saving Banks 6 Source: BoS; Only Spanish operations , Lending market share over system
  • 7. As a consequence, the restructuring of these saving banks is on the way Merger (under SIP (agreed) development) SIP (agreed) Merger (agreed) Caja Caixa Caixa Caja Caja Caixa Navarra Burgos Canarias Terrassa Manlleu Sabadell Caixa 15,909 12,889 13,318 19,451 12,578 2,642 Nova 31,737 Caixa Merger (agreed) La Caixa Galicia 46,339 SIP (under discussion) 271,873 Caja Caja Caja Caixa Insular Ávila Segovia Manresa Caixa Canarias 7,115 6,172 Caixa 6,545 Girona 9,305 Catalunya Merger (agreed) Caixa 63,649 Caixa 7,815 Caja Caja Laietana Círculo Tarragona Rioja 9,191 5,200 10,929 3,813 Caja Caja Caja España Duero Badajoz 25,253 21,385 4,250 SIP (agreed) SIP (under Caja Madrid discussion) 191,904 CCM Caja Caja Murcia 26,048 Cantabria 22,140 Merger (Under CAM 10,342 Sa Nostra 14,114 75,532 development) Caja Exremadura Caja 7,915 Astur Caixa Caja 15,828 Penedés Granada 23,039 13,759 Caja Sol 29,243 Merger (agreed) Caja Sur Caja 18,690 Guadalajara Unicaja 1,754 34,184 Caja Jaen 981 Source: BoS, Company reports Until now, 37 out of 45 saving banks are in process of being restructured. According to the BoS, the projects consider reductions of the offices of 25% on average and reductions of staff between 15%-18%. 7
  • 8. Our nationwide presence allow us to take advantage of all market opportunities… provided they are sound and sensible Banco Popular Retail Network distribution (Number of branches) Asturias: 38 Basque Country, Coruña, Lugo: 46 Cantabria: 96 Leon, Navarre: 62 Girona: 74 Vigo 54 Zamora: 50 Lleida: 54 Santiago, Orense: 58 Burgos, Barcelona: 125 Valladolid, Segovia, Aragón, La Rioja: 50 Palencia: 44 Soria: 40 Tarragona: 45 Salamanca, Madrid: 271 Ávila, Valencia, Cáceres: 64 Castellon: Castilla la Mancha: 49 106 Balearic Islands: 103 Alicante: 78 Huelva, Badajoz: 47 Murcia: 51 Granada, Cordoba, Jaen: 106 Sevilla: 100 Almeria: 36 Malaga: 83 Cadiz: 42 Canary Islands: 50 Total Branches Spain: 2,085 Total Staff Spain: 12,639 8
  • 9. Popular has shown in the past that “organic” is a not always a bad route to increase market share in a consolidation environment… Santander banks market share BBVA banks market share Popular banks market share -300 b.p. -500 b.p. +300 b.p. 14% 14% 28% 27% 11% 8% 17% 18% 1997 2009 1997 2009 1997 2009 Central + Hispano Bilbao + Vizcaya Argentaria BBVA Spain Banco Popular Santander Santander Spain Note: Lending market share vs. banks Source: Company data; BoS 9
  • 10. As a consequence we are the leading retail and SME franchise Loan to Assets 77% 69% 67% 58% Spanish Spanish Euro Banks Saving Sector banks Claims per volume Cost to Income ratio  Retail Franchise B1 60% 46% 41% B3 31% B4 B5 3rd quarter 08  Quality of  Efficiency B6 4th quarter 08 service B7 Spanish Spanish Euro B8 Banks Saving Sector B9 B 10  Profitability banks B 11 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Pre-Provision profit over loans Source: BoS; Latest available data 2.83% 2.15% 2.12% 1.80% Spanish Saving Euro peers Banks sector 10
  • 11. … enjoying an unique financial position 2010 M&L Term maturities & funding evolution (€, million) 1.1x pre-funded 3,601 3,273 1,000 Fortress capital 8.74% 2,601 8.00% 2010 Maturities Pre-funded 1Q10 7.75% Second line of liquidity (EUR m) Coverage short term funding 103% 168% Spanish peers Euro sector 16,197 14,321 11 1Q09 1Q10
  • 12. Agenda 1. Focusing at home or abroad? 2. Conclusions 12
  • 13. Conclusions • Still cautious with the economic & markets situation: preserving capital & reinforcing liquidity. • This tough environment is leading to a huge re-structuring process of the Spanish system. • Popular has a “winner” business model and is the natural beneficiary from a consolidation process. • Network capillarity is the name of the game, as it gives institutions the capacity to gain market share organically and extract potential synergies • Future growth should maintain the DNA of the group, at home or abroad: SME and family focus, high margins, efficiency and outstanding profitability. 13
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