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The Status of APNIC’s IPv4 Resources:
Exhaustion & Transfers
Geoff Huston
APNIC Labs
2
1. IPv4 Exhaustion
What’s Left in IPv4
RIPE NCC’s final /8
LACNIC’s 2 final /11’s
ARIN’s IPv6 Transition /10
ARIN’s IPv6 Transition /10
!
APNIC’s final /8
Where Are We?
• LACNIC running a split pool of two /11 blocks
6 – 9 months to go
• APNIC running out of their last /8
2 – 3 years to go
• AFRINIC still have a pool of 1.5 /8s to go
2 years to go
• RIPE NCC running out of their last /8
4 ½ years to go
• ARIN reserved a /10 for V6 transition
345 years to go
Where Are We?
• LACNIC running a split pool of two /11 blocks
6 – 9 months to go
• APNIC running out of their last /8
2 – 3 years to go
• AFRINIC still have a pool of 1.5 /8s to go
2 years to go
• RIPE NCC running out of their last /8
4 ½ years to go
• ARIN reserved a /10 for V6 transition
345 years to go
11
2. APNIC’s Last /8
APNIC’s IPv4 Address Pools:
August 2016
Pool Assigned Available Reserved
Last	/8 16,771,584 8,798,720 7,790,336 182,528
IANA	Returns 4,060,160 4,020,224 0 39,936
Various 120,366,336 117,288,448 0 3,077,888
APNIC	Allocations 738,150,656 737,881,088 0 269,568
RIR	Transfers 383,488 383,488 0 0
Total 879,732,224 868,371,968 7,790,336 3,569,920
APNIC Allocation from the last /8
“This means that Members can still get IPv4 address space;
however, each Member is entitled to a total maximum of a
/22 (or 1,024 addresses) from each pool.”
Assigned
53%
Available
46%
Reserved
1%
Status	of	103/8
Status of 103/8
Assigned: 8,798,720
Available: 7,790,336
Reserved: 182,528
APNIC’s Last /8
Oldest
Most Recent
Allocation Sizes - APNIC
Larger Holdings in 103/8?
There are 100 instances where the same end entity is listed as holding more than
1,024 addresses assigned from 103/8
These are probably the result of post-allocation mergers, acquisitions and transfers
1 x 1,280
17 x 1,536
1 x 1,792
185 x 2,048
1 x 2,304
1 x 2,560
26 x 3,072
8 x 4,096
1 x 4,352
3 x 5,120
1 x 7,168
1 x 8,192
1 x 10,240
1 x 13,312
1 x 14,336
1 x 67,840
Cumulatively, this accounts
for 66,368 addresses, or
8.5% of all addresses that
have been assigned from
103/8
Country Allocations from 103/8
Country Allocations from 103/8
Huh?
Transfer Activity in the Last /8
6 Inter-RIR transfers:
2,048 addresses transferred to RIPE NCC, Netherlands (2015)
1,024 addresses transferred to RIPE NCC, Iran (2016)
3,072 addresses transferred to ARIN, United States (2016)
195 APNIC transfers:
172,032 addresses transferred
Advertised vs Assigned in 103/8
Assigned Addresses:
8,804,352
Advertised Addresses:
5,865,984
Unadvertised Addresses:
2,938,368
1/3 of the assigned space from the
last /8 is not advertised
Advertised/Unadvertised Map of 103/8
103/8 Consumption Modelling
Projection for the last /8
We probably have 2 – 3 years left!
25
3. IANA Recovered
Space:
Returns to APNIC
APNIC’s IPv4 Address Pools:
August 2016
Pool Assigned Available Reserved
Last	/8 16,771,584 8,798,720 7,790,336 182,528
IANA	Returns 4,060,160 4,020,224 0 39,936
Various 120,366,336 117,288,448 0 3,077,888
APNIC	Allocations 738,150,656 737,881,088 0 269,568
RIR	Transfers 383,488 383,488 0 0
Total 879,732,224 868,371,968 7,790,336 3,569,920
Recovered Pool Status
Advertised Unadvertised
Total_Pool 4,063,232 2,241,536 1,821,696 45%
Transferred 3,072 2,048 1,024 33%
APNIC	Pool 4,060,160 2,239,488 1,820,672 45%
Available 0 0 0
Reserved 40,960 4,096 36,864 90%
Assigned 4,019,200 2,235,392 1,783,808 44%
Allocation Size Distribution
Economy Distribution
Advertised vs UnAdvertised
Last /8 IANA Returned
Advertised 5,865,984 2,239,488
UnAdvertised 2,938,368 1,820,672
Total 8,804,352 4,060,140
66% advertised 55% advertised
Who Has What
APNIC	Allocated ERX/Legacy Last	/8 Recovered	 XFR	IN Count
3,836
680
126
3,836
1,476
17
47
20
6
1
3,228
554
14
25
3
1
1
2
7
1
4
4
3
4
6,089 919 9,222 3,863 30 13,896
Of the 6,803 distinct
holders of pre-exhaustion
address space, only 2,159
entities also hold last /8
and/or IANA recovered
space.
There are more entities
holding only last /8 and/or
IANA recovered space
(7,090) than holders of the
pre-exhaustion address
space
Returned Pool Consumption
?
33
4. Transfers
IPv4 Address Transfers
Total Transfers Registered with APNIC: 1,672
Internal (APNIC -> APNIC): 1,425
Inter-RIR: ARIN->APNIC 229
APNIC ->ARIN 9
APNIC->RIPE NCC 9
Total Address Volume Transferred: 21,702,400
Internal (APNIC -> APNIC): 12,554,944
Inter-RIR: ARIN->APNIC 8,012,288
APNIC->ARIN 19,456
APNIC->RIPENCC 115,712
Transfers started in APNIC in late
2010
The average number of transfers
per month has risen from 2 – 3 per
month to 30 – 80 per month in 2016
The volume of addresses
transferred has risen from some 10
x /24s per to a total monthly
volume of of 1,000 – 6,000 /24s in
2015 - 2016.
0
50
100
150
200
250
2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 2016 2017
NumberofTransfers/Month
Date
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 2016 2017
NumberofAddressesTransferred(/24s)
Date
Original Allocation
(Registration) date of the
Transferred Addresses
There are two visible peaks
here: one is the so-called
“legacy” space which was
originally allocated pre 1994
The other is the address blocks
allocated in 2009 – 2011,
immediately prior to APNIC
address exhaustion.
These relative peaks are
visible when looking at the
volumes of transferred
addresses,
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018
NumberofTransfers/Month
Registration Date
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018
NumberofAddressesTransferred(/24s)
Registration Date
Age (since initial allocation)
of the Transferred Addresses
There are again two visible
clusters here: one is the so-
called “legacy” space which is
transferred some 20 - 25 years
after the initial allocation and
the second is a peak of
transferred addresses that
were transferred within 2 - 8
years following the initial
allocation.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
05101520253035
NumberofTransfers/Month
Initial Registration Period (Years)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
05101520253035
NumberofAddressesTransferred(/24s)
Initial Registration Period (Years)
An Economy View of Transfers
• The next few slides look at transfers from a national
perspective.
• An “Import” is where the receiver of the transferred address
is registered within the country
• An “Export” is where the disposer of the transferred
address is registered within the country
• A “Domestic” transfer is where the disposer and receiver
are both in the same country
Imports and Exports
CC	Code Imports Exports Internal Total Name
Number Addresses Number AddressesNumber Addresses Number Addresses
AF 2 33,792 1 1,024 0 0 3 34,816 Afghanistan
APNIC 21 310,784 11 150,784 7 76,800 39 538,368 APNIC	-	AP	Code
ARIN 9 19,456 229 8,012,288 0 0 238 8,031,744 ARIN
AU 24 545,024 28 467,968 175 597,760 227 1,610,752 Australia
BD 4 2,560 2 9,216 22 49,152 28 60,928 Bangladesh
CN 32 3,916,544 13 1,447,936 54 1,801,984 99 7,166,464 China
FJ 0 0 1 256 0 0 1 256 Fiji
HK 43 2,002,176 40 1,786,368 93 328,192 176 4,116,736 Hong	Kong
ID 1 8,192 7 43,008 44 53,248 52 104,448 Indonesia
IN 107 2,643,200 2 8,192 128 337,152 237 2,988,544 India
JP 33 1,225,984 7 98,816 603 3,012,096 643 4,336,896 Japan
KH 3 18,432 0 0 6 13,312 9 31,744 Cambodia
KR 2 2,048 0 0 0 0 2 2,048 Republic	of	Korea
MM 2 3,072 0 0 0 0 2 3,072 Myanmar
MN 2 8,448 1 256 3 17,408 6 26,112 Mongolia
MY 20 187,136 3 1,536 9 8,704 32 197,376 Malaysia
NP 0 0 1 2,048 3 18,432 4 20,480 Nepal
NZ 11 33,024 11 101,632 17 72,192 39 206,848 New	Zealand
PF 1 16,384 0 0 0 0 1 16,384 French	Polynesia
PG 0 0 0 0 2 2,048 2 2,048 Papua	New	Guinea
PH 7 77,568 12 48,128 9 61,440 28 187,136 Philippines
PK 1 4,096 0 0 27 24,576 28 28,672 Pakistan
RIPE 9 115,712 0 0 0 0 9 115,712 RIPE	NCC
SG 55 3,112,448 36 2,546,944 10 40,704 101 5,700,096 Singapore
TH 9 434,176 0 0 42 391,168 51 825,344 Thailand
TL 3 2,304 0 0 0 0 3 2,304 Timor-Leste
TO 0 0 0 0 1 512 1 512 Tonga
TW 4 4,096 2 1,536 8 65,536 14 71,168 Taiwan
VN 4 3,328 0 0 0 0 4 3,328 Vietnam
WS 0 0 2 2,048 0 0 2 2,048 Samoa
409 14,729,984 409 14,729,984 1,263 6,972,416 2,081 36,432,384
Imports and Exports
• The Asia Pacific region is a net importer of IPv4 addresses
(8.0M addresses have been imported from ARIN via
transfers)
• Japan is the largest domestic market for IPv4 addresses
• Singapore is the largest regional exporter of addresses,
and China is the largest regional importer
How Many are Buying and Selling?
502 different sellers
478 different buyers
913 participants
Transfer Size
• The transfer log records a transfer in terms of individual
CIDR blocks
• We can group these together by using a common key of
source entity, destination entity and date.
• Using this we see that the transfer log contains distinct 740
transactions
Transfer Size Distribution
Transfers in APNIC
This is still a relatively small scale activity in this region.
Out of the 879,732,224 addresses in the APNIC registry,
transfers account for the movement of 21,702,400 addresses
(2.5%)
Transfers involved 913 entities out of a total of 13,897 unique
holders of IP addresses (6.6%)
Questions?
46

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An update on IPv4 Addresses

  • 1. The Status of APNIC’s IPv4 Resources: Exhaustion & Transfers Geoff Huston APNIC Labs
  • 9. Where Are We? • LACNIC running a split pool of two /11 blocks 6 – 9 months to go • APNIC running out of their last /8 2 – 3 years to go • AFRINIC still have a pool of 1.5 /8s to go 2 years to go • RIPE NCC running out of their last /8 4 ½ years to go • ARIN reserved a /10 for V6 transition 345 years to go
  • 10. Where Are We? • LACNIC running a split pool of two /11 blocks 6 – 9 months to go • APNIC running out of their last /8 2 – 3 years to go • AFRINIC still have a pool of 1.5 /8s to go 2 years to go • RIPE NCC running out of their last /8 4 ½ years to go • ARIN reserved a /10 for V6 transition 345 years to go
  • 12. APNIC’s IPv4 Address Pools: August 2016 Pool Assigned Available Reserved Last /8 16,771,584 8,798,720 7,790,336 182,528 IANA Returns 4,060,160 4,020,224 0 39,936 Various 120,366,336 117,288,448 0 3,077,888 APNIC Allocations 738,150,656 737,881,088 0 269,568 RIR Transfers 383,488 383,488 0 0 Total 879,732,224 868,371,968 7,790,336 3,569,920
  • 13. APNIC Allocation from the last /8 “This means that Members can still get IPv4 address space; however, each Member is entitled to a total maximum of a /22 (or 1,024 addresses) from each pool.”
  • 17. Larger Holdings in 103/8? There are 100 instances where the same end entity is listed as holding more than 1,024 addresses assigned from 103/8 These are probably the result of post-allocation mergers, acquisitions and transfers 1 x 1,280 17 x 1,536 1 x 1,792 185 x 2,048 1 x 2,304 1 x 2,560 26 x 3,072 8 x 4,096 1 x 4,352 3 x 5,120 1 x 7,168 1 x 8,192 1 x 10,240 1 x 13,312 1 x 14,336 1 x 67,840 Cumulatively, this accounts for 66,368 addresses, or 8.5% of all addresses that have been assigned from 103/8
  • 20. Transfer Activity in the Last /8 6 Inter-RIR transfers: 2,048 addresses transferred to RIPE NCC, Netherlands (2015) 1,024 addresses transferred to RIPE NCC, Iran (2016) 3,072 addresses transferred to ARIN, United States (2016) 195 APNIC transfers: 172,032 addresses transferred
  • 21. Advertised vs Assigned in 103/8 Assigned Addresses: 8,804,352 Advertised Addresses: 5,865,984 Unadvertised Addresses: 2,938,368 1/3 of the assigned space from the last /8 is not advertised
  • 24. Projection for the last /8 We probably have 2 – 3 years left!
  • 26. APNIC’s IPv4 Address Pools: August 2016 Pool Assigned Available Reserved Last /8 16,771,584 8,798,720 7,790,336 182,528 IANA Returns 4,060,160 4,020,224 0 39,936 Various 120,366,336 117,288,448 0 3,077,888 APNIC Allocations 738,150,656 737,881,088 0 269,568 RIR Transfers 383,488 383,488 0 0 Total 879,732,224 868,371,968 7,790,336 3,569,920
  • 27. Recovered Pool Status Advertised Unadvertised Total_Pool 4,063,232 2,241,536 1,821,696 45% Transferred 3,072 2,048 1,024 33% APNIC Pool 4,060,160 2,239,488 1,820,672 45% Available 0 0 0 Reserved 40,960 4,096 36,864 90% Assigned 4,019,200 2,235,392 1,783,808 44%
  • 30. Advertised vs UnAdvertised Last /8 IANA Returned Advertised 5,865,984 2,239,488 UnAdvertised 2,938,368 1,820,672 Total 8,804,352 4,060,140 66% advertised 55% advertised
  • 31. Who Has What APNIC Allocated ERX/Legacy Last /8 Recovered XFR IN Count 3,836 680 126 3,836 1,476 17 47 20 6 1 3,228 554 14 25 3 1 1 2 7 1 4 4 3 4 6,089 919 9,222 3,863 30 13,896 Of the 6,803 distinct holders of pre-exhaustion address space, only 2,159 entities also hold last /8 and/or IANA recovered space. There are more entities holding only last /8 and/or IANA recovered space (7,090) than holders of the pre-exhaustion address space
  • 34. IPv4 Address Transfers Total Transfers Registered with APNIC: 1,672 Internal (APNIC -> APNIC): 1,425 Inter-RIR: ARIN->APNIC 229 APNIC ->ARIN 9 APNIC->RIPE NCC 9 Total Address Volume Transferred: 21,702,400 Internal (APNIC -> APNIC): 12,554,944 Inter-RIR: ARIN->APNIC 8,012,288 APNIC->ARIN 19,456 APNIC->RIPENCC 115,712
  • 35. Transfers started in APNIC in late 2010 The average number of transfers per month has risen from 2 – 3 per month to 30 – 80 per month in 2016 The volume of addresses transferred has risen from some 10 x /24s per to a total monthly volume of of 1,000 – 6,000 /24s in 2015 - 2016. 0 50 100 150 200 250 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 2016 2017 NumberofTransfers/Month Date 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 2016 2017 NumberofAddressesTransferred(/24s) Date
  • 36. Original Allocation (Registration) date of the Transferred Addresses There are two visible peaks here: one is the so-called “legacy” space which was originally allocated pre 1994 The other is the address blocks allocated in 2009 – 2011, immediately prior to APNIC address exhaustion. These relative peaks are visible when looking at the volumes of transferred addresses, 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 NumberofTransfers/Month Registration Date 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 NumberofAddressesTransferred(/24s) Registration Date
  • 37. Age (since initial allocation) of the Transferred Addresses There are again two visible clusters here: one is the so- called “legacy” space which is transferred some 20 - 25 years after the initial allocation and the second is a peak of transferred addresses that were transferred within 2 - 8 years following the initial allocation. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 05101520253035 NumberofTransfers/Month Initial Registration Period (Years) 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 05101520253035 NumberofAddressesTransferred(/24s) Initial Registration Period (Years)
  • 38. An Economy View of Transfers • The next few slides look at transfers from a national perspective. • An “Import” is where the receiver of the transferred address is registered within the country • An “Export” is where the disposer of the transferred address is registered within the country • A “Domestic” transfer is where the disposer and receiver are both in the same country
  • 39. Imports and Exports CC Code Imports Exports Internal Total Name Number Addresses Number AddressesNumber Addresses Number Addresses AF 2 33,792 1 1,024 0 0 3 34,816 Afghanistan APNIC 21 310,784 11 150,784 7 76,800 39 538,368 APNIC - AP Code ARIN 9 19,456 229 8,012,288 0 0 238 8,031,744 ARIN AU 24 545,024 28 467,968 175 597,760 227 1,610,752 Australia BD 4 2,560 2 9,216 22 49,152 28 60,928 Bangladesh CN 32 3,916,544 13 1,447,936 54 1,801,984 99 7,166,464 China FJ 0 0 1 256 0 0 1 256 Fiji HK 43 2,002,176 40 1,786,368 93 328,192 176 4,116,736 Hong Kong ID 1 8,192 7 43,008 44 53,248 52 104,448 Indonesia IN 107 2,643,200 2 8,192 128 337,152 237 2,988,544 India JP 33 1,225,984 7 98,816 603 3,012,096 643 4,336,896 Japan KH 3 18,432 0 0 6 13,312 9 31,744 Cambodia KR 2 2,048 0 0 0 0 2 2,048 Republic of Korea MM 2 3,072 0 0 0 0 2 3,072 Myanmar MN 2 8,448 1 256 3 17,408 6 26,112 Mongolia MY 20 187,136 3 1,536 9 8,704 32 197,376 Malaysia NP 0 0 1 2,048 3 18,432 4 20,480 Nepal NZ 11 33,024 11 101,632 17 72,192 39 206,848 New Zealand PF 1 16,384 0 0 0 0 1 16,384 French Polynesia PG 0 0 0 0 2 2,048 2 2,048 Papua New Guinea PH 7 77,568 12 48,128 9 61,440 28 187,136 Philippines PK 1 4,096 0 0 27 24,576 28 28,672 Pakistan RIPE 9 115,712 0 0 0 0 9 115,712 RIPE NCC SG 55 3,112,448 36 2,546,944 10 40,704 101 5,700,096 Singapore TH 9 434,176 0 0 42 391,168 51 825,344 Thailand TL 3 2,304 0 0 0 0 3 2,304 Timor-Leste TO 0 0 0 0 1 512 1 512 Tonga TW 4 4,096 2 1,536 8 65,536 14 71,168 Taiwan VN 4 3,328 0 0 0 0 4 3,328 Vietnam WS 0 0 2 2,048 0 0 2 2,048 Samoa 409 14,729,984 409 14,729,984 1,263 6,972,416 2,081 36,432,384
  • 40. Imports and Exports • The Asia Pacific region is a net importer of IPv4 addresses (8.0M addresses have been imported from ARIN via transfers) • Japan is the largest domestic market for IPv4 addresses • Singapore is the largest regional exporter of addresses, and China is the largest regional importer
  • 41. How Many are Buying and Selling? 502 different sellers 478 different buyers 913 participants
  • 42. Transfer Size • The transfer log records a transfer in terms of individual CIDR blocks • We can group these together by using a common key of source entity, destination entity and date. • Using this we see that the transfer log contains distinct 740 transactions
  • 44. Transfers in APNIC This is still a relatively small scale activity in this region. Out of the 879,732,224 addresses in the APNIC registry, transfers account for the movement of 21,702,400 addresses (2.5%) Transfers involved 913 entities out of a total of 13,897 unique holders of IP addresses (6.6%)
  • 46. 46