Political analysts estimate the probability that Politician A will run as the Democrat candidate for president in 2016 is 45%, and the probability that Politician B will run as the Republican candidate is 20%. If their political decisions are independent, then what is the probability that only Politican A runs for president? Solution the probabilty of required event = P(politixian A is democrat candidate)*P(politician B is not a Republican candidate) this is true since their political decisions are independant. HENCE ANSWER = 0.45*0.8=0.36 hence 36% chances.