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A D A M H A N F O R D
Stock Pitch Tutorial
Main Points
 Company Description
 Investment Thesis
 Estimate
 Valuation
 Risks
General Questions about the Company
 Market Position
 Market Growth
 Market Share Trends
 Business Cycle Risk
 FCF
 ROCE
 Market Stability
Investment Thesis
 What will drive growth in this company?
 Why is the market undervaluing the company?
Free Cash Flow and Return on Capital Employed
 “Real” Cash Flow
 FCF = EBITDA – Interest Expense – Income Tax –
Change in Net Operating Working Capital +
Deferred Taxes + Adjustments
 NOWC = A/R + Inventory – A/P
 Return on Capital Employed
 ROCE = EBIT / (Total Assets – Intangible Assets –
Current Debt – Cash)
 Use Investopedia or Wikipedia!!!
Estimates
 Need to predict revenue and EBITDA going forward
 Revenue:
 Use five year average
 Management Guidance
 Use Comparables
 Capital IQ or Bloomberg
 Earnings
 Use five year average
 EBITDA or Expense Margins
 Management Guidance
 Use Comparables
Valuation
 EV/EBITDA
 Need to predict EV/EBITDA Multiple
 Five year average
 Comparables
 EV = Market Capitalization + Net Debt
 EBITDA * EV/EBITDA – Net Debt = Market Cap.
 Market Cap. / Outstanding Shares = Price
Risks
 Outline general risks to your thesis
 Eg. A Fed rate increase will raise interest rates
leading to a much higher level of interest rate
expense
Suggestions for Pitch
 Larger Companies
 Straightforward
 One line of business versus several
 Looking for about 10% return over a year

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Stock Pitch Tutorial

  • 1. A D A M H A N F O R D Stock Pitch Tutorial
  • 2. Main Points  Company Description  Investment Thesis  Estimate  Valuation  Risks
  • 3. General Questions about the Company  Market Position  Market Growth  Market Share Trends  Business Cycle Risk  FCF  ROCE  Market Stability
  • 4. Investment Thesis  What will drive growth in this company?  Why is the market undervaluing the company?
  • 5. Free Cash Flow and Return on Capital Employed  “Real” Cash Flow  FCF = EBITDA – Interest Expense – Income Tax – Change in Net Operating Working Capital + Deferred Taxes + Adjustments  NOWC = A/R + Inventory – A/P  Return on Capital Employed  ROCE = EBIT / (Total Assets – Intangible Assets – Current Debt – Cash)  Use Investopedia or Wikipedia!!!
  • 6. Estimates  Need to predict revenue and EBITDA going forward  Revenue:  Use five year average  Management Guidance  Use Comparables  Capital IQ or Bloomberg  Earnings  Use five year average  EBITDA or Expense Margins  Management Guidance  Use Comparables
  • 7. Valuation  EV/EBITDA  Need to predict EV/EBITDA Multiple  Five year average  Comparables  EV = Market Capitalization + Net Debt  EBITDA * EV/EBITDA – Net Debt = Market Cap.  Market Cap. / Outstanding Shares = Price
  • 8. Risks  Outline general risks to your thesis  Eg. A Fed rate increase will raise interest rates leading to a much higher level of interest rate expense
  • 9. Suggestions for Pitch  Larger Companies  Straightforward  One line of business versus several  Looking for about 10% return over a year