3. General Questions about the Company
Market Position
Market Growth
Market Share Trends
Business Cycle Risk
FCF
ROCE
Market Stability
4. Investment Thesis
What will drive growth in this company?
Why is the market undervaluing the company?
5. Free Cash Flow and Return on Capital Employed
“Real” Cash Flow
FCF = EBITDA – Interest Expense – Income Tax –
Change in Net Operating Working Capital +
Deferred Taxes + Adjustments
NOWC = A/R + Inventory – A/P
Return on Capital Employed
ROCE = EBIT / (Total Assets – Intangible Assets –
Current Debt – Cash)
Use Investopedia or Wikipedia!!!
6. Estimates
Need to predict revenue and EBITDA going forward
Revenue:
Use five year average
Management Guidance
Use Comparables
Capital IQ or Bloomberg
Earnings
Use five year average
EBITDA or Expense Margins
Management Guidance
Use Comparables
7. Valuation
EV/EBITDA
Need to predict EV/EBITDA Multiple
Five year average
Comparables
EV = Market Capitalization + Net Debt
EBITDA * EV/EBITDA – Net Debt = Market Cap.
Market Cap. / Outstanding Shares = Price
8. Risks
Outline general risks to your thesis
Eg. A Fed rate increase will raise interest rates
leading to a much higher level of interest rate
expense
9. Suggestions for Pitch
Larger Companies
Straightforward
One line of business versus several
Looking for about 10% return over a year