SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 11
Download to read offline
MANGANESE โ€“ THE NEED
FOR A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE
โ€ข FEBRUARY 2016
โ€ข GRAHAM KERR
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
The purpose of this presentation is to provide general information about South32 Limited. This presentation should be read in conjunction with the Annual
Financial Report as at 30 June 2015 and the other announcements made by South32 in accordance with its continuous disclosure obligations.
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
This presentation contains forward looking statements including where the substance involves future matters, expectations or predictions. This includes
statements regarding South32โ€™s strategy, trends in commodity prices and currency exchange rates, demand for commodities, future performance and
opportunities.
These forward looking statements are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors,
many of which are beyond South32โ€™s control, and which may cause the actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the statements. Readers are
cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward looking statements. Except as required by law:
- None of South32, its officers or advisers or any other person gives any representation, assurance or guarantee that the occurrence of the events expressed or
implied in any forward looking statement in this document will actually occur, in part or in whole
- South32 disclaims any obligation or undertaking to publicly update or revise any forward looking statement in this document, whether as a result of new
information or future events
FINANCIAL INFORMATION
To assist shareholders in their understanding, pro forma financial information has been prepared to reflect the business as it is now structured and as though it was
in effect for the period 1 July 2013 to 30 June 2015.
This presentation may include certain non-IFRS financial measures, including Underlying earnings, Underlying EBIT and Underlying EBITDA, Underlying effective
tax rate, net debt, net operating assets and ROIC. These measures are used internally by management to assess the performance of South32โ€™s business, make
decisions on the allocation of its resources and assess operational management. Non-IFRS measures have not been subject to audit or review and should not be
considered as an indication of or alternative to an IFRS measure of profitability, financial performance or liquidity.
NO OFFER OF SECURITIES, FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVICE
Nothing in this presentation should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell South32 securities, or be treated or relied upon
as a recommendation or advice by South32. In particular, South32 does not provide any financial or investment โ€˜adviceโ€™, as that term is defined in the South
African Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act 37 of 2002, and we strongly recommend that you seek professional advice.
CURRENCY
All references to dollars, cents or $ in this document are to US currency, unless otherwise stated.
โ€ขIMPORTANT NOTICES
FEBRUARY 2016
Worsley Alumina,
Western Australia
South Africa
Aluminium
Mozal Aluminium,
Mozambique
Australia Manganese
- GEMCO, Northern Territory
Cannington, Queensland
Illawarra Metallurgical
Coal, New South Wales
South Africa
Manganese
South Africa Energy Coal
Australia Manganese
- TEMCO, Tasmania
Mineracao Rio do Norte
(MRN), Brazil
Brazil Alumina
Perth
Johannesburg
London
Singapore
Offices
Operations
FEBRUARY 2016 SLIDE 3
โ€ขSOUTH32 โ€“ GLOBAL MINING AND METALS
Cerro Matoso,
Colombia
Alumina and Bauxite
Large integrated alumina
refineries with high quality
bauxite resources
Aluminum
An aluminium producer with
industry leading aluminium
smelters
Energy Coal
Third-largest energy coal
exporter in South Africa
Nickel
One of the worldโ€™s largest
and lowest-cost ferronickel
producers
Manganese
Worldโ€™s largest producer of
manganese ore and a top
producer of alloy
Metallurgical Coal
A major exporter of high
quality metallurgical coal
Silver, Lead, Zinc
Worldโ€™s largest silver producer
12 operations
10 commodities
7 countries (including Marketing)
โ€ข Weโ€™re running our business differently
โ€ข We have a simple business strategy
โŽฏ Optimise our existing operations
โŽฏ Unlock their potential
โŽฏ Identify new opportunities to compete
for capital
โ€ข We are focused on value, not volume
โ€ข Our new way of working enables our
operational people to focus on what really
matters โ€“ safety, production, costs and
capital expenditure
โ€ข We fundamentally believe in a strong
balance sheet.
FEBRUARY 2016 SLIDE 4
โ€ขSOUTH32 TODAY
MINING INDABA
FEBRUARY 2016 MINING INDABA SLIDE 5
โ€ขCOMMODITY MARKETS REMAIN CHALLENGING
RBA index of commodity prices
(index 2005=100)
SLIDE 5
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
โ€ข GDP, constant prices and exchange rate
โ€ข (% Change)
Source: Reserve Bank of Australia
Source: Oxford Economics
Commodity prices returning to norm
โ€ข Commodity industry cyclical, and high demand
growth and prices during China boom were
unsustainable
โ€ข Commodity producers face headwinds from
structural and cyclical demand slowdown, amidst
oversupply
Prolonged economic headwinds
โ€ข Many emerging countries, including South Africa,
outperformed rest of the world in economic
growth leading up to global financial crisis
โ€ข Economic growth sluggish since 2012
exacerbated by slowdown in China and other
developing economies
โ€ข Global investment expected to slow amidst
slower economic growth, currency volatility, and
capital flight
-5
0
5
10
15
2000 2005 2010 2015
World South Africa China
SOUTH AFRICA ACCOUNTS FOR BULK OF
GLOBAL MANGANESE RESOURCE
FEBRUARY 2016 MINING INDABA SLIDE 6
South Africa
(High and
mid-grade)
100 million
tonnes
500 million
tonnes
1 billion tonnes
Manganese resource base1
(contained manganese)
1) Defined by the US Geological Survey (USGS) as that part of an identified resource that meets specified minimum physical and chemical criteria related to current mining and production
practices. The reserve base includes those resources that are currently economic (reserves), marginally economic (marginal reserves), and some of those that are currently subeconomic
(subeconomic resources). Source: Roskill 2008, USGS.
Brazil
Gabon
(High-grade)
Ghana
(Low-grade, carbonate)
Ukraine
(Mid-grade)
Kazakhstan
(Mid-grade)
China
โ€ข Low-grade deposits
โ€ข Declining grades
โ€ข Domestic markets only
Australia
โ€ข High-grade deposits
โ€ข Resource constrained
India
โ€ข Mid/Low-grade deposits
โ€ข Little capital investment
โ€ข Domestic markets
Brazil
โ€ข High-grade deposits
โ€ข Resource constrained
CIS
โ€ข Mid-grade deposits
โ€ข Captive ores, underground mines
โ€ข Export potential
Gabon
โ€ข High-grade deposits
โ€ข Port and rail constrained
โ€ข Key development ex-SA
South Africa
โ€ข High and mid-grade ore
โ€ข 80% worldโ€™s resource base
โ€ข Open cut / underground
FEBRUARY 2016 MINING INDABA SLIDE 7
โ€ขSTEEL AND MANGANESE DEMAND GROWTH
SLOWING DOWN
Source: IMnI, CRU, Metal Bulletin, South32 analysis
โ€ข Global steel and manganese demand
(index, CY2015=100)
-
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2000 2005 2010 2015
Steel production (LHS)
Manganese (LHS)
Price (RHS)
โ€ข Mn ore price
(US$/dmtu, real Jan 2016)
FEBRUARY 2016 MINING INDABA SLIDE 8
โ€ขCHINAโ€™S STEEL DEMAND HAS PEAKED AND
MARKETS REMAIN IN OVERSUPPLY
โ€ข Mn ore exports
โ€ข (Mt change CY15 vs CY09, Mn content unadjusted)
Source: GTIS, South32 analysis
โ€ข Steel market status
โ€ข Global steel output down, amidst weak demand and
low profitability across most regions
โ€ข China domestic steel consumption peaked in 2013,
as economy rebalances from investment-led to
consumption-led
โ€ข Steel production in other regions remains
constrained by high Chinese exports under weak
demand growth conditions
โ€ข Manganese market in oversupply
โ€ข South African manganese ore exports accounted for
most of the incremental seaborne demand growth in
recent years
โ€ข Development of the Kalahari basin led to increased
number of producers, competing to access the
export market in a sub-optimal manner
โ€ข Outside South Africa, increased supply from Australia
and Gabon offset by reduction of other smaller
producers
โ€ข China crude steel
โ€ข (Mt)
Source: World Steel Association, Platts
Note: Apparent consumption is calculated from steel production minus net exports.
0
6
South Africa Rest of World
+100%
+10%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Net exports
Apparent consumption
Steel production
MINING INDABA SLIDE 9
โ€ข Manganese implications and outlook
โ€ข Amidst the manganese demand slowdown,
increased low-cost South African supply has
displaced higher-cost marginal suppliers
โ€ข Price decline exacerbated by a cost curve
that has flattened over the years
โŽฏ Expansion of lower-cost South African
supply in the middle of the cost curve
โŽฏ Depreciation of major producer
currencies (Australia, South Africa,
Brazil)
โŽฏ Reduction in freight and fuel prices
โ€ข Current prices are forcing producers to cut
some supply, but in the absence of a
demand recovery, prices likely to remain
subdued
โ€ข South African supply no longer constrained
by export capacity in the short term, as
Transnet continues to provide multiple
export channels
โ€ขMORE MANGANESE SUPPLY TO EXIT THE
MARKET
FEBRUARY 2016
โ€ข Manganese ore cost curve
โ€ข (US$/t, 44% Mn, CIF China)
0 5 10 15
2015 2014 2013
South African
supply
Current price level
25% 50% 75% 100%
Industry outlook
โ€ข Commodity prices returning to norm
โ€ข Economic headwinds to continue
โ€ข Global steel output down and manganese demand
slowdown
โ€ข No demand side rescue
โ€ข Manganese market oversupplied
โ€ข South Africa plays a key role in creating a sustainable
manganese industry
South32 response
โ€ข 36% reduction in saleable production at Wessels mine
โ€ข 18% reduction in saleable production at Mamatwan mine
โ€ข Continued operation of only one of four furnaces at the
Metalloys smelter
FEBRUARY 2016 SLIDE 10
โ€ขMANGANESE OUTLOOK
MINING INDABA
mining-indaba-presentation---graham-kerr-2016.pdf

More Related Content

Similar to mining-indaba-presentation---graham-kerr-2016.pdf

05 12-15 agm slides final
05 12-15 agm slides final05 12-15 agm slides final
05 12-15 agm slides final
Teranga Gold
ย 
Denver gold forum screencast
Denver gold forum screencastDenver gold forum screencast
Denver gold forum screencast
RoyalGold
ย 
Nap investor presentation december 2013
Nap investor presentation december 2013Nap investor presentation december 2013
Nap investor presentation december 2013
North American Palladium
ย 
10.29-31.2013, PRESENTATION, MARKET DYNAMICS FOR MONGOLIAN COKING COAL IN THE...
10.29-31.2013, PRESENTATION, MARKET DYNAMICS FOR MONGOLIAN COKING COAL IN THE...10.29-31.2013, PRESENTATION, MARKET DYNAMICS FOR MONGOLIAN COKING COAL IN THE...
10.29-31.2013, PRESENTATION, MARKET DYNAMICS FOR MONGOLIAN COKING COAL IN THE...
The Business Council of Mongolia
ย 
European Gold Forum 2014
European Gold Forum 2014European Gold Forum 2014
European Gold Forum 2014
Teranga Gold
ย 

Similar to mining-indaba-presentation---graham-kerr-2016.pdf (20)

NAP Investor Presentation August 2014
NAP Investor Presentation August 2014NAP Investor Presentation August 2014
NAP Investor Presentation August 2014
ย 
Investor Presentation - October 2013
Investor Presentation - October 2013Investor Presentation - October 2013
Investor Presentation - October 2013
ย 
Glen investor-day-2014-print
Glen investor-day-2014-printGlen investor-day-2014-print
Glen investor-day-2014-print
ย 
05 12-15 agm slides final
05 12-15 agm slides final05 12-15 agm slides final
05 12-15 agm slides final
ย 
Platinum business overview and update
Platinum business overview and updatePlatinum business overview and update
Platinum business overview and update
ย 
Denver gold forum screencast
Denver gold forum screencastDenver gold forum screencast
Denver gold forum screencast
ย 
Nap investor presentation december 2013
Nap investor presentation december 2013Nap investor presentation december 2013
Nap investor presentation december 2013
ย 
30.10.2013 Market dynamics for Mongolian coking coal in the Chinese market, G...
30.10.2013 Market dynamics for Mongolian coking coal in the Chinese market, G...30.10.2013 Market dynamics for Mongolian coking coal in the Chinese market, G...
30.10.2013 Market dynamics for Mongolian coking coal in the Chinese market, G...
ย 
10.29-31.2013, PRESENTATION, MARKET DYNAMICS FOR MONGOLIAN COKING COAL IN THE...
10.29-31.2013, PRESENTATION, MARKET DYNAMICS FOR MONGOLIAN COKING COAL IN THE...10.29-31.2013, PRESENTATION, MARKET DYNAMICS FOR MONGOLIAN COKING COAL IN THE...
10.29-31.2013, PRESENTATION, MARKET DYNAMICS FOR MONGOLIAN COKING COAL IN THE...
ย 
Kumba Iron Ore Interim Results - for the six months ended 20 June 2013
Kumba Iron Ore Interim Results - for the six months ended 20 June 2013Kumba Iron Ore Interim Results - for the six months ended 20 June 2013
Kumba Iron Ore Interim Results - for the six months ended 20 June 2013
ย 
Agnico Eagle update
Agnico Eagle updateAgnico Eagle update
Agnico Eagle update
ย 
European Gold Forum 2014
European Gold Forum 2014European Gold Forum 2014
European Gold Forum 2014
ย 
KBL Mining (ASX:KBL) Company Presentation, Symposium Investor Roadshow April ...
KBL Mining (ASX:KBL) Company Presentation, Symposium Investor Roadshow April ...KBL Mining (ASX:KBL) Company Presentation, Symposium Investor Roadshow April ...
KBL Mining (ASX:KBL) Company Presentation, Symposium Investor Roadshow April ...
ย 
Investor Presentation - June 2013
Investor Presentation - June 2013Investor Presentation - June 2013
Investor Presentation - June 2013
ย 
Kirkland Lake Gold - European Marketing - April 2015
Kirkland Lake Gold - European Marketing - April 2015Kirkland Lake Gold - European Marketing - April 2015
Kirkland Lake Gold - European Marketing - April 2015
ย 
Kirkland Lake Gold - European Marketing - April 2015
Kirkland Lake Gold - European Marketing - April 2015Kirkland Lake Gold - European Marketing - April 2015
Kirkland Lake Gold - European Marketing - April 2015
ย 
Sibanye aqp presentation
Sibanye aqp presentationSibanye aqp presentation
Sibanye aqp presentation
ย 
Young-Davidson Analyst Tour
Young-Davidson Analyst TourYoung-Davidson Analyst Tour
Young-Davidson Analyst Tour
ย 
Corporate presentation September 15 2014
Corporate presentation September 15 2014Corporate presentation September 15 2014
Corporate presentation September 15 2014
ย 
Investor Presentation - August 2013
Investor Presentation - August 2013Investor Presentation - August 2013
Investor Presentation - August 2013
ย 

More from XolaniRadebeRadebe

dokumen.tips_sbm-offshore-nv.pdf
dokumen.tips_sbm-offshore-nv.pdfdokumen.tips_sbm-offshore-nv.pdf
dokumen.tips_sbm-offshore-nv.pdf
XolaniRadebeRadebe
ย 
dokumen.tips_the-blowout-contingency-plan-contingency-and-response-.pdf
dokumen.tips_the-blowout-contingency-plan-contingency-and-response-.pdfdokumen.tips_the-blowout-contingency-plan-contingency-and-response-.pdf
dokumen.tips_the-blowout-contingency-plan-contingency-and-response-.pdf
XolaniRadebeRadebe
ย 
21_tips_of_telephone_etiquettes_157.ppt
21_tips_of_telephone_etiquettes_157.ppt21_tips_of_telephone_etiquettes_157.ppt
21_tips_of_telephone_etiquettes_157.ppt
XolaniRadebeRadebe
ย 
Day 1 Leadership and Change Management Tunisia Hmam[1].ppt
Day 1 Leadership and Change Management Tunisia Hmam[1].pptDay 1 Leadership and Change Management Tunisia Hmam[1].ppt
Day 1 Leadership and Change Management Tunisia Hmam[1].ppt
XolaniRadebeRadebe
ย 
10803_Laying_The_Groundwork.pdf
10803_Laying_The_Groundwork.pdf10803_Laying_The_Groundwork.pdf
10803_Laying_The_Groundwork.pdf
XolaniRadebeRadebe
ย 
private_equity_fund_portofolio.pdf
private_equity_fund_portofolio.pdfprivate_equity_fund_portofolio.pdf
private_equity_fund_portofolio.pdf
XolaniRadebeRadebe
ย 
Schools Greening Project.pdf
Schools Greening Project.pdfSchools Greening Project.pdf
Schools Greening Project.pdf
XolaniRadebeRadebe
ย 
Peer Educator Programme - Wits University.pdf
Peer Educator Programme - Wits University.pdfPeer Educator Programme - Wits University.pdf
Peer Educator Programme - Wits University.pdf
XolaniRadebeRadebe
ย 
Pres-GALLO-SA-IT-Summit-2015.pdf
Pres-GALLO-SA-IT-Summit-2015.pdfPres-GALLO-SA-IT-Summit-2015.pdf
Pres-GALLO-SA-IT-Summit-2015.pdf
XolaniRadebeRadebe
ย 

More from XolaniRadebeRadebe (20)

5-27-09 Presentation2.ppt
5-27-09 Presentation2.ppt5-27-09 Presentation2.ppt
5-27-09 Presentation2.ppt
ย 
Module4 - Session1.ppt
Module4 - Session1.pptModule4 - Session1.ppt
Module4 - Session1.ppt
ย 
egg laying.pdf
egg laying.pdfegg laying.pdf
egg laying.pdf
ย 
dokumen.tips_sbm-offshore-nv.pdf
dokumen.tips_sbm-offshore-nv.pdfdokumen.tips_sbm-offshore-nv.pdf
dokumen.tips_sbm-offshore-nv.pdf
ย 
dokumen.tips_the-blowout-contingency-plan-contingency-and-response-.pdf
dokumen.tips_the-blowout-contingency-plan-contingency-and-response-.pdfdokumen.tips_the-blowout-contingency-plan-contingency-and-response-.pdf
dokumen.tips_the-blowout-contingency-plan-contingency-and-response-.pdf
ย 
2005_baraza_wake_up.ppt
2005_baraza_wake_up.ppt2005_baraza_wake_up.ppt
2005_baraza_wake_up.ppt
ย 
21_tips_of_telephone_etiquettes_157.ppt
21_tips_of_telephone_etiquettes_157.ppt21_tips_of_telephone_etiquettes_157.ppt
21_tips_of_telephone_etiquettes_157.ppt
ย 
1.ppt
1.ppt1.ppt
1.ppt
ย 
Day 1 Leadership and Change Management Tunisia Hmam[1].ppt
Day 1 Leadership and Change Management Tunisia Hmam[1].pptDay 1 Leadership and Change Management Tunisia Hmam[1].ppt
Day 1 Leadership and Change Management Tunisia Hmam[1].ppt
ย 
10803_Laying_The_Groundwork.pdf
10803_Laying_The_Groundwork.pdf10803_Laying_The_Groundwork.pdf
10803_Laying_The_Groundwork.pdf
ย 
private_equity_fund_portofolio.pdf
private_equity_fund_portofolio.pdfprivate_equity_fund_portofolio.pdf
private_equity_fund_portofolio.pdf
ย 
Public-Art-201-compressed.pdf
Public-Art-201-compressed.pdfPublic-Art-201-compressed.pdf
Public-Art-201-compressed.pdf
ย 
King-IV-Register-2021.pdf
King-IV-Register-2021.pdfKing-IV-Register-2021.pdf
King-IV-Register-2021.pdf
ย 
Schools Greening Project.pdf
Schools Greening Project.pdfSchools Greening Project.pdf
Schools Greening Project.pdf
ย 
CSAE-Programme-Review-2021.pdf
CSAE-Programme-Review-2021.pdfCSAE-Programme-Review-2021.pdf
CSAE-Programme-Review-2021.pdf
ย 
bayman.pdf
bayman.pdfbayman.pdf
bayman.pdf
ย 
Peer Educator Programme - Wits University.pdf
Peer Educator Programme - Wits University.pdfPeer Educator Programme - Wits University.pdf
Peer Educator Programme - Wits University.pdf
ย 
OLIVERO-Paolo.pdf
OLIVERO-Paolo.pdfOLIVERO-Paolo.pdf
OLIVERO-Paolo.pdf
ย 
Pres-GALLO-SA-IT-Summit-2015.pdf
Pres-GALLO-SA-IT-Summit-2015.pdfPres-GALLO-SA-IT-Summit-2015.pdf
Pres-GALLO-SA-IT-Summit-2015.pdf
ย 
School Safety Framework 2016.pdf
School Safety Framework 2016.pdfSchool Safety Framework 2016.pdf
School Safety Framework 2016.pdf
ย 

Recently uploaded

VIP Model Call Girls Mundhwa ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to ...
VIP Model Call Girls Mundhwa ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to ...VIP Model Call Girls Mundhwa ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to ...
VIP Model Call Girls Mundhwa ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to ...
SUHANI PANDEY
ย 
young Whatsapp Call Girls in Jamuna Vihar ๐Ÿ” 9953056974 ๐Ÿ” escort service
young Whatsapp Call Girls in Jamuna Vihar ๐Ÿ” 9953056974 ๐Ÿ” escort serviceyoung Whatsapp Call Girls in Jamuna Vihar ๐Ÿ” 9953056974 ๐Ÿ” escort service
young Whatsapp Call Girls in Jamuna Vihar ๐Ÿ” 9953056974 ๐Ÿ” escort service
9953056974 Low Rate Call Girls In Saket, Delhi NCR
ย 
VIP Model Call Girls Wadgaon Sheri ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From ...
VIP Model Call Girls Wadgaon Sheri ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From ...VIP Model Call Girls Wadgaon Sheri ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From ...
VIP Model Call Girls Wadgaon Sheri ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From ...
SUHANI PANDEY
ย 
VIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
VIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 BookingVIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
VIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
dharasingh5698
ย 
The Billo Photo Gallery - Cultivated Cuisine T1
The Billo Photo Gallery - Cultivated Cuisine T1The Billo Photo Gallery - Cultivated Cuisine T1
The Billo Photo Gallery - Cultivated Cuisine T1
davew9
ย 
VIP Model Call Girls Wakad ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 25...
VIP Model Call Girls Wakad ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 25...VIP Model Call Girls Wakad ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 25...
VIP Model Call Girls Wakad ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 25...
SUHANI PANDEY
ย 
VIP Model Call Girls Alandi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...
VIP Model Call Girls Alandi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...VIP Model Call Girls Alandi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...
VIP Model Call Girls Alandi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...
SUHANI PANDEY
ย 

Recently uploaded (20)

VIP Model Call Girls Mundhwa ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to ...
VIP Model Call Girls Mundhwa ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to ...VIP Model Call Girls Mundhwa ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to ...
VIP Model Call Girls Mundhwa ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to ...
ย 
(MAYA) Baner Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Escorts
(MAYA) Baner Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Escorts(MAYA) Baner Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Escorts
(MAYA) Baner Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Escorts
ย 
young Whatsapp Call Girls in Jamuna Vihar ๐Ÿ” 9953056974 ๐Ÿ” escort service
young Whatsapp Call Girls in Jamuna Vihar ๐Ÿ” 9953056974 ๐Ÿ” escort serviceyoung Whatsapp Call Girls in Jamuna Vihar ๐Ÿ” 9953056974 ๐Ÿ” escort service
young Whatsapp Call Girls in Jamuna Vihar ๐Ÿ” 9953056974 ๐Ÿ” escort service
ย 
VIP Model Call Girls Wadgaon Sheri ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From ...
VIP Model Call Girls Wadgaon Sheri ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From ...VIP Model Call Girls Wadgaon Sheri ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From ...
VIP Model Call Girls Wadgaon Sheri ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From ...
ย 
VIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
VIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 BookingVIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
VIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
ย 
Shake Shack: A Sustainable Burger Strategy
Shake Shack: A Sustainable Burger StrategyShake Shack: A Sustainable Burger Strategy
Shake Shack: A Sustainable Burger Strategy
ย 
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Sanaswadi 6297143586 Call Hot Indian ...
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Sanaswadi  6297143586 Call Hot Indian ...Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Sanaswadi  6297143586 Call Hot Indian ...
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Sanaswadi 6297143586 Call Hot Indian ...
ย 
The Billo Photo Gallery - Cultivated Cuisine T1
The Billo Photo Gallery - Cultivated Cuisine T1The Billo Photo Gallery - Cultivated Cuisine T1
The Billo Photo Gallery - Cultivated Cuisine T1
ย 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls JM road โŸŸ 6297143586 โŸŸ Call Me For Genuine Sex Ser...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls JM road โŸŸ 6297143586 โŸŸ Call Me For Genuine Sex Ser...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls JM road โŸŸ 6297143586 โŸŸ Call Me For Genuine Sex Ser...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls JM road โŸŸ 6297143586 โŸŸ Call Me For Genuine Sex Ser...
ย 
VIP Call Girls In Singar Nagar ( Lucknow ) ๐Ÿ” 8923113531 ๐Ÿ” Cash Payment Avai...
VIP Call Girls In Singar Nagar ( Lucknow  ) ๐Ÿ” 8923113531 ๐Ÿ”  Cash Payment Avai...VIP Call Girls In Singar Nagar ( Lucknow  ) ๐Ÿ” 8923113531 ๐Ÿ”  Cash Payment Avai...
VIP Call Girls In Singar Nagar ( Lucknow ) ๐Ÿ” 8923113531 ๐Ÿ” Cash Payment Avai...
ย 
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Hadapsar 8250192130 Will You Miss This Ch...
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Hadapsar 8250192130 Will You Miss This Ch...The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Hadapsar 8250192130 Will You Miss This Ch...
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Hadapsar 8250192130 Will You Miss This Ch...
ย 
VIP Model Call Girls Wakad ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 25...
VIP Model Call Girls Wakad ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 25...VIP Model Call Girls Wakad ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 25...
VIP Model Call Girls Wakad ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 25...
ย 
Hadapsar ( Call Girls ) Pune 6297143586 Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready For...
Hadapsar ( Call Girls ) Pune  6297143586  Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready For...Hadapsar ( Call Girls ) Pune  6297143586  Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready For...
Hadapsar ( Call Girls ) Pune 6297143586 Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready For...
ย 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Dehu road โŸŸ 6297143586 โŸŸ Call Me For Genuine Sex S...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Dehu road โŸŸ 6297143586 โŸŸ Call Me For Genuine Sex S...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Dehu road โŸŸ 6297143586 โŸŸ Call Me For Genuine Sex S...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Dehu road โŸŸ 6297143586 โŸŸ Call Me For Genuine Sex S...
ย 
VIP Model Call Girls Alandi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...
VIP Model Call Girls Alandi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...VIP Model Call Girls Alandi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...
VIP Model Call Girls Alandi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...
ย 
(ANJALI) Shikrapur Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune ...
(ANJALI) Shikrapur Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune ...(ANJALI) Shikrapur Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune ...
(ANJALI) Shikrapur Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune ...
ย 
Katraj ( Call Girls ) Pune 6297143586 Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready For S...
Katraj ( Call Girls ) Pune  6297143586  Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready For S...Katraj ( Call Girls ) Pune  6297143586  Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready For S...
Katraj ( Call Girls ) Pune 6297143586 Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready For S...
ย 
Book Sex Workers Available Pune Call Girls Lavasa 6297143586 Call Hot Indian...
Book Sex Workers Available Pune Call Girls Lavasa  6297143586 Call Hot Indian...Book Sex Workers Available Pune Call Girls Lavasa  6297143586 Call Hot Indian...
Book Sex Workers Available Pune Call Girls Lavasa 6297143586 Call Hot Indian...
ย 
5th Annual International OMGD Grand Chapitre: A Spanish Wine Journey
5th Annual International OMGD Grand Chapitre: A Spanish Wine Journey5th Annual International OMGD Grand Chapitre: A Spanish Wine Journey
5th Annual International OMGD Grand Chapitre: A Spanish Wine Journey
ย 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Yashwant Nagar โŸŸ 6297143586 โŸŸ Call Me For Genuine ...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Yashwant Nagar โŸŸ 6297143586 โŸŸ Call Me For Genuine ...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Yashwant Nagar โŸŸ 6297143586 โŸŸ Call Me For Genuine ...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Yashwant Nagar โŸŸ 6297143586 โŸŸ Call Me For Genuine ...
ย 

mining-indaba-presentation---graham-kerr-2016.pdf

  • 1. MANGANESE โ€“ THE NEED FOR A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE โ€ข FEBRUARY 2016 โ€ข GRAHAM KERR CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
  • 2. The purpose of this presentation is to provide general information about South32 Limited. This presentation should be read in conjunction with the Annual Financial Report as at 30 June 2015 and the other announcements made by South32 in accordance with its continuous disclosure obligations. FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation contains forward looking statements including where the substance involves future matters, expectations or predictions. This includes statements regarding South32โ€™s strategy, trends in commodity prices and currency exchange rates, demand for commodities, future performance and opportunities. These forward looking statements are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond South32โ€™s control, and which may cause the actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the statements. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward looking statements. Except as required by law: - None of South32, its officers or advisers or any other person gives any representation, assurance or guarantee that the occurrence of the events expressed or implied in any forward looking statement in this document will actually occur, in part or in whole - South32 disclaims any obligation or undertaking to publicly update or revise any forward looking statement in this document, whether as a result of new information or future events FINANCIAL INFORMATION To assist shareholders in their understanding, pro forma financial information has been prepared to reflect the business as it is now structured and as though it was in effect for the period 1 July 2013 to 30 June 2015. This presentation may include certain non-IFRS financial measures, including Underlying earnings, Underlying EBIT and Underlying EBITDA, Underlying effective tax rate, net debt, net operating assets and ROIC. These measures are used internally by management to assess the performance of South32โ€™s business, make decisions on the allocation of its resources and assess operational management. Non-IFRS measures have not been subject to audit or review and should not be considered as an indication of or alternative to an IFRS measure of profitability, financial performance or liquidity. NO OFFER OF SECURITIES, FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVICE Nothing in this presentation should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell South32 securities, or be treated or relied upon as a recommendation or advice by South32. In particular, South32 does not provide any financial or investment โ€˜adviceโ€™, as that term is defined in the South African Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act 37 of 2002, and we strongly recommend that you seek professional advice. CURRENCY All references to dollars, cents or $ in this document are to US currency, unless otherwise stated. โ€ขIMPORTANT NOTICES FEBRUARY 2016
  • 3. Worsley Alumina, Western Australia South Africa Aluminium Mozal Aluminium, Mozambique Australia Manganese - GEMCO, Northern Territory Cannington, Queensland Illawarra Metallurgical Coal, New South Wales South Africa Manganese South Africa Energy Coal Australia Manganese - TEMCO, Tasmania Mineracao Rio do Norte (MRN), Brazil Brazil Alumina Perth Johannesburg London Singapore Offices Operations FEBRUARY 2016 SLIDE 3 โ€ขSOUTH32 โ€“ GLOBAL MINING AND METALS Cerro Matoso, Colombia Alumina and Bauxite Large integrated alumina refineries with high quality bauxite resources Aluminum An aluminium producer with industry leading aluminium smelters Energy Coal Third-largest energy coal exporter in South Africa Nickel One of the worldโ€™s largest and lowest-cost ferronickel producers Manganese Worldโ€™s largest producer of manganese ore and a top producer of alloy Metallurgical Coal A major exporter of high quality metallurgical coal Silver, Lead, Zinc Worldโ€™s largest silver producer 12 operations 10 commodities 7 countries (including Marketing)
  • 4. โ€ข Weโ€™re running our business differently โ€ข We have a simple business strategy โŽฏ Optimise our existing operations โŽฏ Unlock their potential โŽฏ Identify new opportunities to compete for capital โ€ข We are focused on value, not volume โ€ข Our new way of working enables our operational people to focus on what really matters โ€“ safety, production, costs and capital expenditure โ€ข We fundamentally believe in a strong balance sheet. FEBRUARY 2016 SLIDE 4 โ€ขSOUTH32 TODAY MINING INDABA
  • 5. FEBRUARY 2016 MINING INDABA SLIDE 5 โ€ขCOMMODITY MARKETS REMAIN CHALLENGING RBA index of commodity prices (index 2005=100) SLIDE 5 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 โ€ข GDP, constant prices and exchange rate โ€ข (% Change) Source: Reserve Bank of Australia Source: Oxford Economics Commodity prices returning to norm โ€ข Commodity industry cyclical, and high demand growth and prices during China boom were unsustainable โ€ข Commodity producers face headwinds from structural and cyclical demand slowdown, amidst oversupply Prolonged economic headwinds โ€ข Many emerging countries, including South Africa, outperformed rest of the world in economic growth leading up to global financial crisis โ€ข Economic growth sluggish since 2012 exacerbated by slowdown in China and other developing economies โ€ข Global investment expected to slow amidst slower economic growth, currency volatility, and capital flight -5 0 5 10 15 2000 2005 2010 2015 World South Africa China
  • 6. SOUTH AFRICA ACCOUNTS FOR BULK OF GLOBAL MANGANESE RESOURCE FEBRUARY 2016 MINING INDABA SLIDE 6 South Africa (High and mid-grade) 100 million tonnes 500 million tonnes 1 billion tonnes Manganese resource base1 (contained manganese) 1) Defined by the US Geological Survey (USGS) as that part of an identified resource that meets specified minimum physical and chemical criteria related to current mining and production practices. The reserve base includes those resources that are currently economic (reserves), marginally economic (marginal reserves), and some of those that are currently subeconomic (subeconomic resources). Source: Roskill 2008, USGS. Brazil Gabon (High-grade) Ghana (Low-grade, carbonate) Ukraine (Mid-grade) Kazakhstan (Mid-grade) China โ€ข Low-grade deposits โ€ข Declining grades โ€ข Domestic markets only Australia โ€ข High-grade deposits โ€ข Resource constrained India โ€ข Mid/Low-grade deposits โ€ข Little capital investment โ€ข Domestic markets Brazil โ€ข High-grade deposits โ€ข Resource constrained CIS โ€ข Mid-grade deposits โ€ข Captive ores, underground mines โ€ข Export potential Gabon โ€ข High-grade deposits โ€ข Port and rail constrained โ€ข Key development ex-SA South Africa โ€ข High and mid-grade ore โ€ข 80% worldโ€™s resource base โ€ข Open cut / underground
  • 7. FEBRUARY 2016 MINING INDABA SLIDE 7 โ€ขSTEEL AND MANGANESE DEMAND GROWTH SLOWING DOWN Source: IMnI, CRU, Metal Bulletin, South32 analysis โ€ข Global steel and manganese demand (index, CY2015=100) - 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 2000 2005 2010 2015 Steel production (LHS) Manganese (LHS) Price (RHS) โ€ข Mn ore price (US$/dmtu, real Jan 2016)
  • 8. FEBRUARY 2016 MINING INDABA SLIDE 8 โ€ขCHINAโ€™S STEEL DEMAND HAS PEAKED AND MARKETS REMAIN IN OVERSUPPLY โ€ข Mn ore exports โ€ข (Mt change CY15 vs CY09, Mn content unadjusted) Source: GTIS, South32 analysis โ€ข Steel market status โ€ข Global steel output down, amidst weak demand and low profitability across most regions โ€ข China domestic steel consumption peaked in 2013, as economy rebalances from investment-led to consumption-led โ€ข Steel production in other regions remains constrained by high Chinese exports under weak demand growth conditions โ€ข Manganese market in oversupply โ€ข South African manganese ore exports accounted for most of the incremental seaborne demand growth in recent years โ€ข Development of the Kalahari basin led to increased number of producers, competing to access the export market in a sub-optimal manner โ€ข Outside South Africa, increased supply from Australia and Gabon offset by reduction of other smaller producers โ€ข China crude steel โ€ข (Mt) Source: World Steel Association, Platts Note: Apparent consumption is calculated from steel production minus net exports. 0 6 South Africa Rest of World +100% +10% 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Net exports Apparent consumption Steel production
  • 9. MINING INDABA SLIDE 9 โ€ข Manganese implications and outlook โ€ข Amidst the manganese demand slowdown, increased low-cost South African supply has displaced higher-cost marginal suppliers โ€ข Price decline exacerbated by a cost curve that has flattened over the years โŽฏ Expansion of lower-cost South African supply in the middle of the cost curve โŽฏ Depreciation of major producer currencies (Australia, South Africa, Brazil) โŽฏ Reduction in freight and fuel prices โ€ข Current prices are forcing producers to cut some supply, but in the absence of a demand recovery, prices likely to remain subdued โ€ข South African supply no longer constrained by export capacity in the short term, as Transnet continues to provide multiple export channels โ€ขMORE MANGANESE SUPPLY TO EXIT THE MARKET FEBRUARY 2016 โ€ข Manganese ore cost curve โ€ข (US$/t, 44% Mn, CIF China) 0 5 10 15 2015 2014 2013 South African supply Current price level 25% 50% 75% 100%
  • 10. Industry outlook โ€ข Commodity prices returning to norm โ€ข Economic headwinds to continue โ€ข Global steel output down and manganese demand slowdown โ€ข No demand side rescue โ€ข Manganese market oversupplied โ€ข South Africa plays a key role in creating a sustainable manganese industry South32 response โ€ข 36% reduction in saleable production at Wessels mine โ€ข 18% reduction in saleable production at Mamatwan mine โ€ข Continued operation of only one of four furnaces at the Metalloys smelter FEBRUARY 2016 SLIDE 10 โ€ขMANGANESE OUTLOOK MINING INDABA