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HOW INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT MATTERS
TO THE WELL-BEING OF THE POPULATION
Some Statistical Evidence
Vienna, 2020
Acknowledgement
This publication was prepared by Kamila Facevicova and Petra Kynclova under the general supervi-
sion of Shyam Upadhyaya, Chief Statistician of UNIDO. The final editing of the report was done
by Niki Rodousakis.
Copyright c 2020 United Nations Industrial Development Organization
The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this document do not imply the
expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations Industrial
Development Organization (UNIDO) concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city
or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries, or its
economic system or degree of development.
Designations such as "developed", "industrialized" and "developing" are intended for statistical
convenience and do not necessarily express a judgment about the stage reached by a particular
country or area in the development process. Mention of firm names or commercial products does
not constitute an endorsement by UNIDO.
Material in this publication may be freely quoted or reprinted, but acknowledgement is requested,
together with a copy of the publication containing the quotation or reprint.
For reference and citation, please use: United Nations Industrial Development Organization, 2020.
How industrial development matters to the well-being of the population: Some statistical evidence.
Vienna.
All photos c UNIDO, Freepik, unless otherwise stated.
Contents
I INTRODUCTION
II INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT
III HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
IV POVERTY AND INEQUALITY
V EMPLOYMENT
VI EDUCATION
VII HEALTH
VIII REFERENCES AND APPENDICES
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59
Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63
Appendix I - List of countries and areas included in selected groupings 63
I
INTRODUCTION
Introduction
The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable
Development, agreed by all UN Member States
in 2015, is a global action plan for people,
planet and prosperity, which is relevant now
and in the future. Building on the Millennium
Development Goals (MDGs), the 17 Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs) and 169 targets have
been established to drive economic prosperity
and social well-being while protecting the envi-
ronment. The 2030 Agenda aims to leave no one
behind and thus represents a shared blueprint for
both developed and developing countries (UN,
2017).
The United Nations Industrial Development
Organization (UNIDO) is fully committed
to contributing to the achievement of the
SDGs, while delivering on its mandate to
support Member States in achieving inclusive
and sustainable industrial development (ISID).
SDG 9 calls for building resilient infrastructure,
promoting sustainable industrialization and fos-
tering innovation. Due to the SDG’s interlinked
nature, many of UNIDO’s activities contribute
to more than just SDG 9.
The main objective of this report is to
provide statistical evidence on how closely
industrial development is linked to people’s liv-
ing conditions and the quality of their lives.
Countries’ development is measured by their eco-
nomic growth, defined in terms of rising levels
of gross domestic product (GDP). The main dis-
advantage of using GDP as the main measure of
development is that it does not capture important
quality of life elements as well as inequalities,
which are essential for the assessment of any
community’s well-being. It also disregards the
effects that economic production and the associ-
ated increased demand for energy, food, services
and consumer goods have on the environment
(Stiglitz et al., 2018).
Although ’well-being’ has become a widely
used term, promoted by both researchers and
policymakers, there is no established definition.
Well-being is a very broad concept that can be de-
scribed by many dimensions and defining it has
been the focus of many research papers (Dodge
et al., 2012). Considering the significance of
well-being for sustainable development, estab-
lishing well-designed measurement frameworks
is crucial for policy-making (Llena-Nozal et al.,
2019).
The OECD Framework for Measuring Well-
Being and Progress was introduced to monitor
not only the economic performance of countries,
but people’s living conditions as well. It builds
around three distinct components: 1) material
conditions, 2) quality of life, and 3) sustainabil-
ity, each with their relevant dimensions. Based
on this framework, the biennial OECD report
“How’s Life?” (OECD, 2017) presents a compre-
hensive set of internationally comparable well-
being indicators for OECD and partner countries.
At the same time, the OECD created the “Better
Life Index” as a communication tool to engage
directly with data users. The set of indicators is,
however, dominated by subjective perspectives
of the surveyed population (OECD, 2013).
The development of this framework to mea-
sure the level of well-being and its progress is
a step towards making such information publicly
available and to highlight priority areas for ac-
tion followed by a reshaping of national policies.
The available information allows researchers to
extend the analysis by further indicators and to
investigate potential linkages.
It is indisputable that the achievement of
SDG 9 is linked to meeting the other Goals
and targets of the 2030 Agenda. Inclusive and
8
sustainable industrialization drives sustained eco-
nomic growth, the creation of decent jobs and in-
come (SDG 8); it helps reduce poverty (SDG 1),
hunger (SDG 2) and inequalities (SDG 5 and
10), while improving health and well-being
(SDG 3), increasing resource and energy effi-
ciency (SDG 6, 7, 11, 12) and reducing green-
house gas and other polluting emissions, includ-
ing from chemicals (SDG 13, 14, 15).
There is strong evidence that citizens living
in developed industrialized countries enjoy far
more prosperous and healthy lives than those
who reside in least developed countries (LDCs)
(Upadhyaya and Kepplinger, 2014). The former
benefit from high levels of education, better so-
cial security and health services, sophisticated
transport and communication networks, and ac-
cess to information, knowledge, technology and
financial facilities required by businesses. This
report presents empirical evidence on the corre-
lation between industrial development and other
dimensions of sustainable development, with
a view to improving the understanding of these
correlations among policymakers at both na-
tional and international level. The report does
not draw, however, draw on the causal analysis
of the variables under study.
II
INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT
Industrial Development
Industrial development unleashes dynamic
and competitive economic performance which
generates income and employment, facilitates
international trade and increases resource effi-
ciency, and is thus a major driver of poverty
alleviation and shared prosperity.
Although industrialization contributes to
the universal objective of economic growth,
its impact differs depending on the country’s
stage of development. In developed economies,
industrial growth is reflected in achieving higher
productivity, embracing new technologies, in-
telligent production processes and reducing the
effects of industrial production on the environ-
ment and climate. For developing economies, in-
dustrialization implies structural transformation
of the economy from traditional sectors such as
agriculture and fishery to modern manufacturing
industries fuelled by innovation and technology.
Such an expansion of the manufacturing sector
creates jobs, helps improve incomes and thus
reduces poverty, introduces and promotes new
technologies and produces essential goods and
services for the market.
World manufacturing production reached
USD 13,543 billion (at constant 2010 prices) in
2018, reducing the global MVA growth rate from
3.8 per cent in 2017 to 3.5 per cent in 2018. This
slowdown has primarily been attributed to the
increase in trade and tariff barriers between the
United States, China and the European Union,
exposing the markets to a high level of uncer-
tainty, limiting investments and future growth.
The deceleration in production was observed in
all major country groups.
Industrialized economies continued to dom-
inate global manufacturing production, how-
ever, their share dropped from 67.7 per cent
in 2007 to 55.7 per cent in 2017 (Figure 1).
This long-term trend illustrates the relocation
of manufacturing production from industrialized
economies to the developing world. Developing
and emerging industrial economies have main-
tained a strong pace of manufacturing growth,
much higher than that of the world and of indus-
trialized economies.
MVA in developing and emerging industrial
economies is dominated by China which in-
creased its MVA share from 13.5 per cent in 2007
to 24.3 per cent in 2017. Emerging industrial
economies excluding China accounted for 16.4
per cent of global manufacturing production
in 2017, while the share of other developing
economies and LDCs was negligible at 2.8 per
cent and 0.8 per cent, respectively.
China has been heading the list of the ten
largest manufacturers worldwide since 2010,
with a share of 24.3 per cent in world MVA
in 2017, followed by the United States with
a share of 15.0 per cent (Figure 1). China’s
manufacturing production is inching closer to
Europe’s, which accounted for 25.5 per cent in
2017. The remaining countries in the list of top
ten manufacturers are Japan, Germany, India,
the Republic of Korea, Italy, France, Brazil and
Indonesia. Together, these countries accounted
for over 70 per cent of global MVA in 2017.
Despite being home to over 12 per cent of
world population, LDCs only accounted for 0.8
per cent of total worldwide manufacturing pro-
duction in 2017. By comparison, industrialized
economies with a share of around 17 per cent of
global population, accounted for over 55 per cent
of global manufacturing output. It is thus crucial
for LDCs to expand their capacities to reach
an overall higher growth trajectory (UNIDO,
2019e).
12
Figure 1: MVA and its distribution by country groups, billions of constant 2010 US dollars (left).
Top 10 largest manufacturing producers in the world in 2017, share of countries’ MVA in global
MVA (right).
Source: UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
Manufacturing value added per capita
A country’s level of industrial development
is often reflected by its MVA per capita which
measures a countries’ level of manufacturing pro-
duction relative to their population size. Value
added is a sector’s net output after adding up all
outputs and subtracting all intermediate inputs. It
is calculated without deducting the depreciation
of fabricated assets or the depletion and degra-
dation of natural resources. The origin of value
added is determined by the International Stan-
dard Industrial Classification (ISIC), revision 3.
Data are expressed in constant 2010 US dollars
and sourced from the UNIDO MVA Database
(UNIDO, 2019d). Manufacturing refers to indus-
tries that belong to ISIC divisions 15-37.
The process of industrialization is facing
a number of fundamental challenges, particu-
larly because industrial production capacity has
been concentrated in a few countries, including
China, the United States, Japan and Germany.
The regional patterns are depicted in Figure 2
indicating that the highest levels of MVA per
capita are attained in North America and Europe.
Despite the rapid growth of MVA per capita in
developing and emerging industrial economies,
they still lag significantly behind industrialized
countries.
Global MVA per capita has continued to
grow, accounting for USD 1,736 in 2017 com-
pared to USD 1,251 in 2000. The median value
of MVA per capita in 2017 was around USD 500,
i.e. the majority of countries in the world achieve
only USD 500 compared with USD 5,770 for in-
dustrialized economies.
Figure 2 shows that the lowest levels of
MVA per capita are mostly located in LDCs in
Africa and Asia. Somalia (USD 2), Timor-Leste
(USD 7) and Sierra Leone (USD 9) registered the
lowest MVA per capita in 2017, while Liechten-
stein (USD 44,349), Ireland (USD 24,077) and
San Marino (USD 15,462) had the highest MVA
per capita in 2017.
13
Figure 2: World map of MVA per capita in 2010 constant US dollars, all measured in 2017.
Source: UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
Competitive Industrial Performance index
The Competitive Industrial Performance
(CIP) index represents a composite measure
to benchmark industrial competitiveness across
economies, providing valuable information on
countries’ strengths and weaknesses in national
manufacturing industries. By promoting com-
petitiveness, economic efficiency in the alloca-
tion of scarce resources can be maximized while
greater prosperity for the population is gener-
ated.
An increase in industrial competitiveness
can contribute to a country’s overall prosper-
ity in many different ways. For example, it
can encourage more investment from national
and international firms, increase industries’ re-
silience to external shocks, including surges
in commodity prices or economy-wide reces-
sions. Competitiveness is decisive if a coun-
try’s industrial sector is to flourish, it determines
the pace and quality of the country’s structural
change as its economy develops, as well as the
extent to which these changes will contribute to
society’s well-being. The industrial sector’s con-
tribution to prosperity depends on its capacity to
produce manufactured goods, to exchange those
goods in global markets and to specialize in com-
plex production processes (UNIDO, 2019b).
The CIP Index is widely used by
international development agencies to rank coun-
tries within the context of their development
priorities. The global manufacturing ranking is
based on the analysis of eight indicators reflect-
ing three dimensions: 1) the capacity to produce
and export manufactured goods, 2) the extent of
technological deepening and upgrading, and 3)
the impact on the world market.
The 2019 edition of the CIP Index assesses
150 economies covering around 99 per cent of
14
global manufactured exports and MVA in 2017.
Figure 3 presents the distribution of CIP scores
in the world. The countries at the top of the
2017 CIP ranking are Germany (0.515), Japan
(0.404), China (0.369), the Republic of Korea
(0.365) and the United States (0.355). By con-
trast, the economies with the lowest levels of
manufacturing capacity include Burundi, Eritrea
and Tonga.
Figure 3: World map of CIP index scores, all measured in 2017.
Source: UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a)
III
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
Human Development
Human development is a concept that goes
beyond economic growth and is defined as the
process of expanding people’s freedoms and op-
portunities and improving their well-being. The
human development approach aims to increase
the richness of human life rather than the rich-
ness of the economy human beings live in. Peo-
ple and their opportunities and choices are the
main focus of human development.
Figure 4: World map of HDI scores, all measured in 2017.
Source: UNDP HDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018)
Improving people’s lives by expanding their
freedoms and opportunities is a principle that is
applicable to everyone in the world. The human
development approach thus reinforces the pledge
to leave no one behind as promoted by the 2030
Agenda for Sustainable Development, which in-
corporates human development in a number of
dimensions.
Significant progress has been made over
the past 25 years on many fronts of human
development, with people living longer, more
people rising out of extreme poverty and fewer
18
people suffering from malnutrition. Human
development has enriched human lives —- unfor-
tunately, however, not all have benefited equally,
and even worse, not everyone has been included
(UNDP, 2016).
There are many reasons why industrializa-
tion is fundamental for human development.
First, its is an essential means for incorporat-
ing technological progress and innovation and
promoting its use. That is, it offers a unique op-
portunity for learning, improvement and transfor-
mation. Moreover, industrialization empowers
people to access productive resources by expand-
ing human capabilities through education, skills
development, and sociocultural changes as well
as to produce goods that are essential for nu-
trition, health care, and other human needs to
improve the quality of life.
The Human Development Index (HDI) de-
veloped by UNDP, together with its adjusted
version that takes inequality factors into ac-
count, belong to the important measure of human
development.
Human Development Index
The Human Development Index (HDI) is a
composite index that focuses on three basic di-
mensions of human development: (i) the ability
to lead a long and healthy life, measured by life
expectancy at birth; (ii) the ability to acquire
knowledge, measured by mean years of school-
ing and expected years of schooling; and (iii)
and the ability to achieve a decent standard of
living, measured by gross national income per
capita.
Figure 5: Comparison of the HDI with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in 2017.
Source: UNDP HDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019
Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
The HDI’s 2018 Update presents values for
189 economies around the world from 1990 up
to the most recent data available for 2017. The
HDI’s regional patterns are illustrated on the
world map in Figure 4. We find clear similarities
with the global distribution of MVA per capita
(Figure 2). Countries with the highest HDI
scores are located in Europe and North America,
i.e. industrialized economies. By contrast, LDCs
in Africa and Asia are clustered at the bottom of
the HDI ranking. The top five countries in the
global HDI ranking are Norway (0.953), Switzer-
19
land (0.944), Australia (0.939), Ireland (0.938)
and Germany (0.936). The bottom five are all
located in Africa, namely – Burundi (0.417),
Chad (0.404), South Sudan (0.388), the Central
African Republic (0.367) and Niger (0.354).
A comparison of HDI scores with MVA per
capita in 2017 (Figure 5) reveals a positive as-
sociation between both indicators. High HDI
scores are observed in industrialized countries
with a high MVA per capita. The distribution
of HDI values creates clusters of countries cor-
responding to country groupings by stage of
industrial development.
The countries with the highest HDI values
belong to the group of industrialized economies,
while low HDI values are typically found in
LDCs. Samoa is an interesting example, which
reported a very high HDI value (0.71) in 2017,
normally achieved by the group of other devel-
oping economies, and Samoa thus seems to have
untapped industrial potential.
Similar patterns are also evident when we
compare the HDI with the CIP index (Figure 5).
HDI scores are positively correlated with the
industrial competitiveness of nations.
Figure 6: Progression of the relationship between the HDI and MVA per capita and the CIP index
since 1995.
Source: UNDP HDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019
Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
Figure 6 depicts the relationship between
HDI scores and MVA per capita (left) and
CIP scores (right) in five subsequent time pe-
riods since 1995. Both indicators reflect coun-
tries’ industrial performance and show improv-
ing trends over time. An overall growth in HDI
scores is clearly linked to increases in MVA per
capita and CIP scores. A change in the distri-
bution of HDI scores over the last 20 years is
visible. The median values are slowly rising and
the values of countries with low HDI scores are
increasing more rapidly than those of economies
at the top of the HDI ranking.
A slowdown in the growth of HDI scores can
be observed in recent years. This overall trend
can be explained not only by the global financial
crisis of 2008-2009, but also by the natural limit
of various HDI components, i.e. life expectancy,
years of schooling and rates of enrolment cannot
grow indefinitely.
20
Inequality-adjusted Human Development Index
The Inequality-adjusted Human Development
Index (IHDI) adjusts the HDI for inequality in
the distribution of each dimension across the pop-
ulation. The IHDI combines a country’s average
achievements in health, education and income
with how those achievements are distributed
among the country’s population by “discount-
ing” each dimension’s average value according
to its level of inequality. The IHDI equals the
HDI when there is no inequality across a popula-
tion but falls below the HDI scores as inequality
rises. In this sense, the IHDI measures the
level of human development when inequality is
accounted for.
The difference between the IHDI and HDI
is the human development cost of inequality,
also termed loss to human development due to
inequality. The IHDI identifies inequalities in
the different dimensions, and can inform poli-
cies to reduce inequality, and leads to a bet-
ter understanding of inequalities across popula-
tions and their contribution to the overall human
development cost. A recent measure of inequal-
ity in the HDI, the coefficient of human inequal-
ity, is calculated as an average inequality across
all three dimensions of the HDI, namely – the
ability to lead a long and healthy life, the ability
to acquire knowledge and the ability to achieve
a decent standard of living (UNDP, 2018).
The IHDI measure corresponds to the ref-
erence year 2017. It uses the HDI indicators
for 2017, measures of inequality that are based
on the most recent household surveys available
from 2006 to 2017 and life tables that refer to
the period 2015-2020. The development of the
IHDI over time is only available from 2010 to
2017.
Figure 7: Comparison of the IHDI with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in 2017.
Source: UNDP IHDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019
Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
The adjustment for inequality seems to re-
duce the HDI scores, regardless of the stage of
industrial development in accordance with coun-
try groups (Figure 7). As is the case for the HDI,
the IHDI scores are also closely related to the
values of both MVA per capita and CIP, with
high values typical for industrialized economies.
21
Figure 8: Progression of the relationship between the IHDI and MVA per capita and the CIP index
since 2010.
Source: UNDP IHDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019
Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
Despite data sparsity for the calculation
of IHDI scores and thus limited availability,
Figure 8 suggests an overall upward trend over
the period 2010-2017. Although the HDI scores
are adjusted to corresponding levels of inequality,
the link with industrial development indicators
remains very strong suggesting positive correla-
tion patterns and overall improvement over time.
The HDI and IHDI as composite measures of
human development are crucial indicators used
by policymakers and researchers alike. How-
ever, new challenges to human development,
particularly inequality and environmental sus-
tainability, require concerted measurement and
more-in-depth analysis. Data availability is
expanding with new opportunities to measure
innovation and disaggregation, and possibili-
ties to establish new partnerships to track the
progress towards achieving the 2030 Agenda
for Sustainable Development. For this reason,
other indicators should be considered as sup-
plementary to human development measures
to track countries’ achievement of sustainable
development.
IV
POVERTY AND INEQUALITY
Poverty and Inequality
Economic growth driven by industrial
development is often essential for reducing ab-
solute poverty. Nevertheless, economic growth
may also be associated with increased income
inequality, which does not automatically address
the entire poverty problem.
Figure 9: World map of the poverty headcount ratio at USD 1.90 per day, most recent available
values
Source: The World Bank’s Poverty and Equity Database (World Bank, 2019a)
Inclusive and sustainable industrial
development, when adequately linked to formal
job markets and health, safety and environmen-
tal standards, is widely recognized as having
a crucial impact on job creation, sustainable
livelihoods, technology and skills development,
food security and equitable growth – some of
the key requirements for eradicating poverty by
2030.
There is evidence that rapid industrializa-
tion has lifted several millions of people out of
poverty by providing them with jobs and an in-
come. Yet progress has been uneven and many
remain stuck in a poverty trap, particularly in
26
areas where industrialization levels remain low
or have stagnated. Countries, especially in sub-
Saharan Africa, are lagging far behind and the
share of poor people has actually even increased
in some countries. Inclusive and sustainable
industrial development can contribute to poverty
reduction efforts and ensures that “no one is left
behind” by 2030.
Poverty headcount ratio at USD 1.90 per day (2011 PPP)
When assessing poverty in a given country,
and trying to define how best to reduce it, one nat-
urally chooses a poverty line considered appro-
priate for that country. Poverty lines across coun-
tries vary in terms of their purchasing power, and
have a strong economic gradient, implying that
richer countries tend to adopt higher standards of
living in their definition of poverty. But to consis-
tently measure global absolute poverty in terms
of consumption we need to treat two people with
the same purchasing power over commodities
the same way—both are either poor or not poor
-— even if they live in different countries.
Figure 10: Comparison of the poverty headcount ratio at USD 1.90 a day with MVA per capita and
the CIP index, all measured in the period 2015-2017
Source: The World Bank’s Poverty and Equity Database (World Bank, 2019a), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO,
2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
Poverty measures based on international
poverty lines attempt to hold the poverty line’s
real value constant across countries, as is the
case when making comparisons over time. The
poverty headcount ratio at USD 1.90 a day is
an indicator that expresses the percentage of the
population living on less than USD 1.90 a day
at 2011 international prices. As a result of revi-
sions in PPP exchange rates, poverty rates for
individual countries cannot be compared with
poverty rates reported in earlier editions (World
Bank, 2019a).
The distribution of the poverty headcount ra-
tio at USD 1.90 a day (2011 PPP) is shown in
Figure 9. Since this indicator was only reported
for a fraction of countries in 2017, the world
map combines the most recent values available
for each country. The majority of figures were re-
ported for the period of 2013-2017, however, for
some of the African countries, only data from be-
fore 2010 were available. The map shows clear
differences between African and South Amer-
27
ican countries, where the ratio of the popula-
tion below the international poverty line is much
higher than in the rest of the world. The highest
values were reported for Madagascar with 77.6
per cent in 2012, the Democratic Republic of the
Congo with 76.6 per cent in 2012 and Burundi
with 71.8 per cent in 2013.
A comparison of the poverty headcount ratio
at USD 1.90 a day (2011 PPP) with the value
of MVA per capita and the CIP index is de-
picted in Figure 10. It reveals substantially dif-
ferent patterns for various levels of industrial
development. Industrialized economies and
emerging industrial economies have very low
poverty headcount ratio values concentrated
around a value of zero. Other developing
economies and least developed countries, on
the other hand, report values of 10 per cent and
higher. For instance, in Zambia, 57.5 per cent
of the population lived below the international
poverty line, and in Malawi, 70.3 per cent did.
Figure 10 indicates that as countries industrial-
ize the percentage of people living in poverty is
decreasing significantly.
Figure 11: Progression of the relationship between the poverty headcount ratio at USD 1.90 per
day and MVA per capita and the CIP index since 1995.
Source: The World Bank’s Poverty and Equity Database (World Bank, 2019a), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO,
2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
The systematic decline of the overall value
of the poverty headcount ratio over the last 20
years is depicted in Figure 11. Major differences
are visible over the different time periods, par-
ticularly as regards lower MVA per capita val-
ues and CIP scores in least developed countries.
The percentage of the population living on less
than USD 1.90 per day has decreased by half
since 1995–1999. In the case of developed coun-
tries with an MVA per capita that is higher than
USD 1,000 or with a CIP score of more than 0.5,
the decline has not been as dramatic. Figure 11
demonstrates that the poverty headcount ratio
at USD 1.90 per day decreased over the last 20
years from around 10 per cent to almost zero in
countries that have successfully industrialized.
28
Inequality-adjusted Income Index
The inequality-adjusted income index is part
of the calculation process of the HDI index and
represents the HDI income index adjusted for
inequality in income distribution based on data
from household surveys (UNDP, 2018).
Figure 12: Comparison of the inequality-adjusted income index with MVA per capita and the CIP
index, all measured in 2017.
Source: UNDP IHDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019
Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
Figure 13: Progression of the relationship between the inequality-adjusted income index and MVA
per capita and the CIP index since 2010.
Source: UNDP IHDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019
Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
29
A comparison of the value of the inequality-
adjusted income index with MVA per capita and
the CIP scores indicates a clear relationship be-
tween these indicators (Figure 12). The high val-
ues of the inequality-adjusted income index are
typical for countries with a high MVA per capita
and for economies at the top of the CIP rank-
ing. Moreover, the distribution of the inequality-
adjusted income index also follows the country
classification in accordance with its level of in-
dustrialization. One interesting exception of this
trend is Timor-Leste, which has one of the low-
est MVA per capita values but a high value of
its inequality-adjusted income index which ac-
counts for 0.55. Timor-Leste was not included
in the CIP index and ranking in 2017.
Although the values of the inequality-
adjusted income index have only been available
since 2010, a comparison of their median values
in the time periods 2010–2014 and 2015–2017
indicates a relatively stable pattern of the rela-
tionship with MVA per capita and the CIP scores
(Figure 13). A moderate growth of the index’s
overall value over time is noticeable.
Multidimensional Poverty Index
Another international measure of poverty is
published by UNDP in its Human Development
Reports Series as the Global Multidimensional
Poverty Index (MPI). The MPI includes health,
education and standard of living indicators to
determine a population’s degree of poverty. It
contributes to the measurement of acute poverty
across more than 100 developing countries since
2010, when it replaced the Human Poverty Index
(UNDP and Oxford Poverty, 2019).
The global MPI is disaggregated by age
group and geographic area to display poverty
patterns within countries. It is further broken
down to highlight which particular deprivations
characterize poverty and drive its reduction or in-
tensification. These analyses often play a crucial
role for policymakers.
Figure 14: Comparison of the MPI, reported for the period 2007-2018, with MVA per capita and
the CIP index, measured in 2017.
Source: UNDP MPI 2019 (UNDP and Oxford Poverty, 2019), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO
MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
30
The relationship of the global MPI with
MVA per capita and the CIP scores is depicted
in Figure 14. Although the global MPI covers
developing economies only, both plots support
the findings based on the poverty headcount ratio
at USD 1.90 a day. LDCs, in particular, regis-
tered a decline in the MPI as they experienced
industrial growth. Countries with an MVA per
capita of more than USD 1,000 or a CIP score
above 0.1 have a global MPI that is close to zero.
Figure 14 also highlights that two countries have
very low global MPI values together with a low
MVA per capita and CIP index: Iraq and Mal-
dives.
V
EMPLOYMENT
Employment
Sustained economic growth requires a struc-
tural transformation of the economy towards
activities with higher levels of productivity.
Structural transformation towards inclusive and
sustainable industrial development serves as an
engine to create the competitive job opportuni-
ties necessary in both developed and developing
countries today. Besides quantity, it is the quality
of jobs that matters. When labour productivity
increases, industry upgrades employment oppor-
tunities to higher skilled and higher paid jobs,
accompanied by increases in social protection
and worker security (UNIDO, 2015).
Figure 15: World map of total employment rates reported in 2017.
Source: ILO modelled estimates, November 2018 (ILO, 2019)
The importance of employment as a path-
way to economic development, social inclusion
and well-being has long been recognized. Most
developing economies struggle with high unem-
ployment or underemployment. Many people
can barely sustain themselves from what they
earn. This is why creating new jobs, but also
improving the incomes and working conditions
34
of existing jobs, is extremely important. As
economies develop, jobs are reallocated from
agriculture and other labour-intensive primary
activities to industry and finally to the services
sector. Since the industrial revolution, man-
ufacturing has been at the core of structural
change, consistently creating higher levels of
output and employment, and leading to unprece-
dented growth in incomes (UNIDO, 2013).
Total employment rate
Total employment rate is defined as a mea-
sure of the extent to which available labour re-
sources (people available to work) are being
used. It is calculated as the ratio of the employed
to the working age population. Employment
rates are sensitive to the economic cycle, but are
considerably affected by governments’ higher
education and income support policies in the
longer term and by policies that facilitate the em-
ployment of women and disadvantaged groups.
Data were sourced from the ILO modelled
estimates database and are available from 1991.
The ILO modelled estimates series serve as
a complete set of internationally comparable em-
ployment statistics, including both nationally re-
ported observations and imputed data for coun-
tries with missing data. The imputations are
produced through a series of econometric mod-
els maintained by the ILO. Estimates for coun-
tries with very limited labour market information
have a high degree of uncertainty, however (ILO,
2019).
Figure 15 presents the variance of the total
employment rate across most continents. The
lowest employment rates for 2017 were reported
for the State of Palestine (72.6 per cent), South
Africa (72.7 per cent), North Macedonia (77.6
per cent) or Greece (78.5 per cent). Some coun-
tries had very high employment rates, like Qatar
(99.9 per cent) and Niger (99.7 per cent). Val-
ues above 99 per cent were not reported for any
of the European countries, where the best per-
formers were Iceland (97.3 per cent) and Czech
Republic (97.1 per cent).
Total child labour rate
Child labour is often defined as work that
deprives children of their childhood, their po-
tential and their dignity, and that is harmful to
their physical and mental development. Not
all work carried out by children should be clas-
sified as child labour that must be eliminated.
This includes activities such as helping their
parents around the home, assisting in a fam-
ily business or earning pocket money outside
school hours and during school holidays. Data
on child labour are provided by the Statistical In-
formation and Monitoring Programme on Child
Labour (SIMPOC), which is the statistical arm of
the International Programme on the Elimination
of Child Labour (IPEC).
The challenge of ending child labour remains
formidable. A total of 152 million children — 64
million girls and 88 million boys -– are engaged
in child labour globally, accounting for nearly
one in ten children worldwide. Nearly half of all
children engaged in child labour — 73 million
children in absolute terms -– perform hazardous
work that directly endangers their health, safety,
and emotional development. Children in em-
ployment, a broader measure comprising both
child labour and the permitted forms of employ-
ment involving children of a legal working age,
account for 218 million (ILO, 2017).
Figure 16 presents the relationship be-
tween the child labour and countries’ industrial
development. Data are available from the house-
hold surveys conducted mostly in developing
economies. The largest share of child labour is
reported in the agricultural sector. Child labour
fills the income gap in many countries. As
countries industrialize, income increases and the
share of child labour declines.
35
Figure 16: Comparison of the total child labour rate, reported for 2010-2016, with MVA per capita
and the CIP index, both measured in 2017.
Source: ILOSTAT 2019 (ILO, 2017), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database
(UNIDO, 2019d)
VI
EDUCATION
Education
Education is in every sense one of the fun-
damental factors of development. No country
can achieve sustainable economic development
without substantial investment in human capi-
tal. Education enriches people’s understanding
of themselves and the world. It improves the
quality of their lives and leads to broad social
benefits for individuals and society. Education
raises people’s productivity and creativity and
promotes entrepreneurship and technological ad-
vances. In addition, it plays a crucial role in
securing economic and social progress and im-
proving income distribution.
Figure 17: World map of adjusted net enrolment rate in primary school, most recent available
values.
Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics 2019 (UNESCO, 2019)
There is a two-way relationship between
industrial development and education. Growth
in industrialization creates high demand for
a skilled and trained workforce thereby encour-
aging education among youth, while at the same
time providing revenues that can then be directed
40
towards further developing education. A lack of
job opportunities for youth in developing coun-
tries, however, has forced many to emigrate to
industrialized countries, which has been the root
cause for international human trafficking, one
of the worst humanitarian problems the global
community faces today. Only industrialization
and the creation of employment opportunities
can provide the livelihoods that allow people in
many developing countries to flourish in their
place of origin.
This section presents statistical evidence
based on the main education indicators – the
adjusted net enrolment rate in primary school,
the net enrolment rate in secondary school and
the inequality-adjusted education index.
Adjusted net enrolment rate in primary school
The adjusted net enrolment rate in primary
school is represented as the total number of
pupils of official primary school age who are
enrolled in primary or secondary education. The
indicator is expressed as a percentage of the cor-
responding population. Data are collected annu-
ally by the UNESCO Institute of Statistics from
official responses to its education surveys. While
the net enrolment rate only reflects the number
of pupils in the official primary school age group
at the primary education level, the adjusted net
enrolment rate extends this measure to those of
the official primary school age range who have
reached the secondary education level because
they might have accessed primary education ear-
lier than the official entrance age or might have
skipped a grade due to exceptional performance.
Figure 18: Comparison of the adjusted net enrolment rate in primary school with MVA per capita
and the CIP index, all measured in the period 2015-2017.
Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics 2019 (UNESCO, 2019), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and
UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
The global distribution of the adjusted net
enrolment rate in primary school is presented
in Figure 17. Due to the high sparsity of the
data in recent years, the latest available value
for each country was used. The lowest net ad-
justment enrolment rates in primary school are
generally observed in the sub-Saharan African
region. The countries with the lowest reported
value of the adjusted net enrolment rate in pri-
mary school were South Sudan (32.25 per cent
41
in 2015), Afghanistan (26.77 per cent in 1993)
and Somalia (14.45 per cent in 1980). The best
performing countries were Canada, Singapore
and Viet Nam, all reporting more than 99.9 per
cent enrolment in primary school.
Figure 18 illustrates the relationship between
the adjusted net enrolment rate in primary school
and indicators of industrial development. Both
plots support the positive synergies between edu-
cation and industrialization. The higher variabil-
ity of the adjusted net enrolment rates in primary
school is demonstrated by countries with low
industrial performance, i.e. other developing
economies and least developed countries. The
adjusted net enrolment rates in primary school in
countries with higher MVA per capita values and
CIP scores are exclusively above 90 per cent.
Figure 19: Progression of the relationship between the adjusted net enrolment rate in primary
school and MVA per capita and the CIP index since 1995.
Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics 2019 (UNESCO, 2019), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and
UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
The positive correlation between the ad-
justed net enrolment rate in primary school and
the high level of industrial development has
also been observed in the long-term perspec-
tive. Figure 19 demonstrates how progress in
enrolment in primary education clearly fosters
industrial development and as countries industri-
alize, they require high skilled workers. More-
over, the rapid improvement of the adjusted
net enrolment rate in primary school has been
recorded in LDCs over the last 20 years.
Net enrolment rate in secondary school
Many countries have pledged their commit-
ment to achieve higher levels of education than
universal primary education only and have ex-
tended their target to include the secondary ed-
ucation level. The net enrolment rate is the ra-
tio of pupils of official school age who are en-
rolled in school to the population of the corre-
sponding official school age. Secondary educa-
tion completes the provision of basic education
that began at the primary level, and aims to lay
the foundations for lifelong learning and human
development, by offering more subject- or skill-
oriented instruction provided by more special-
ized teachers. Data are collected annually by
the UNESCO Institute of Statistics from official
responses to its education surveys.
42
Figure 20: Comparison of net enrolment rate in secondary school with MVA per capita and the CIP
index, all measured in the period 2015-2017.
Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics 2019 (UNESCO, 2019), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and
UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
Figure 21: Progression of the relationship between net enrolment rate in secondary school and
MVA per capita and the CIP index since 1995.
Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics 2019 (UNESCO, 2019), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and
UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
In comparison to the adjusted net enrol-
ment rate in primary school, the relationship be-
tween industrial development and the net enrol-
ment rate in secondary school is much stronger.
A clear positive correlation pattern is visible in
Figure 20. The countries’ classifications accord-
ing to level of industrial development are per-
ceptibly separated and thus suggest an important
role of industrialization for education. In LDCs
with a low MVA per capita, the enrolment rate is
43
usually reported to be below 50 per cent. By con-
trast, the net enrolment rate in secondary school
in industrialized economies with a high MVA
per capita was above 80 per cent in 2017.
The change in the progression of the net
enrolment rate in secondary school over time
is depicted in Figure 21. An overall improve-
ment in net enrolment rates in secondary school
seems to be positively correlated with industrial
development. The global secondary school en-
rolment rate has increased over the past 20 years.
While LDCs reported enrolment rates close to
zero in the period 1995-2004, a rapid upward
trend has been noted since 2010.
Inequality-adjusted education index
The inequality-adjusted education index is
part of the calculation process of the HDI index
and represents the HDI education index adjusted
for inequality in the distribution of years of
schooling based on data from household surveys
(UNDP, 2018).
Figure 22 depicts a strong relationship be-
tween the inequality-adjusted education index
and industrial development variables. Coun-
tries with high values of MVA per capita and
CIP scores generally also achieve high scores
in the inequality-adjusted education index and
vice versa. Moreover, economies are orga-
nized in accordance with their classification by
level of industrial development, which indicates
a substantial correlation between education and
industrial development.
Figure 22: Comparison of the inequality-adjusted education index with MVA per capita and the
CIP index, all measured in 2017.
Source: UNDP IHDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019
Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
Both plots in Figure 23 reveal a strong rela-
tionship between both variables throughout the
last 20 years, which remains unchanged. Fur-
thermore, the relationship seems to be constantly
increasing over time (1995-2017), regardless of
industrial development group.
44
Figure 23: Progression of the relationship between the inequality-adjusted education index and
MVA per capita and the CIP index since 1995.
Source: UNDP IHDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019
Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
VII
HEALTH
Health
Universal health coverage remains a ma-
jor global challenge. Health is a crucial social
and economic asset – a cornerstone of human
development. Many deaths and injuries could be
prevented with timely and affordable access to
appropriate pharmaceutical products and related
health care services.
Inclusive and sustainable industrial
development prioritizes high-level innova-
tion and scientific research, including the
development of new medical treatments, vac-
cines and medical technologies. Through their
expertise and resources, locally operating phar-
maceutical and medical equipment industries can
play a decisive role in meeting the global health
challenge by developing innovative, safe and
effective pharmaceutical products and working
with other stakeholders to make them available,
affordable and accessible to people who lack
them, especially the most marginalized groups
(UNIDO, 2015).
Figure 24: World map of life expectancy at birth reported in 2017.
Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b)
48
Industrial development has also been asso-
ciated with negative environmental effects such
as pollution, climate change, habitat destruction
and over-exploitation of natural resources, and
thus has a fundamental impact on human health.
Nonetheless, the process of industrialization has
radically changed in recent years. One of the pre-
requisites for industry to flourish in a sustainable
manner is the availability of a guaranteed supply
of affordable and clean energy, together with im-
proved resource efficiency. Many countries have
introduced norms and regulations to ensure that
adverse impacts are minimized, starting with the
planning stage, choice of location and adoption
of best available technologies.
Five indicators linked to human health were
selected for this report to demonstrate their level
of association with industrial development – life
expectancy at birth, infant mortality rate, lifetime
risk of maternal death, prevalence of undernour-
ishment and people using at least basic drinking
water services.
Life expectancy at birth
Life expectancy at birth refers to how long,
on average, a new-born can expect to live if cur-
rent death rates do not change. However, the
actual age-specific death rate of any particular
birth cohort cannot be known in advance. If rates
fall, actual life spans will be higher than the life
expectancy calculated using current death rates.
Life expectancy at birth is one of the most fre-
quently used health status indicators. Increases
in life expectancy at birth can be attributed to
a number of factors, including rising living stan-
dards, improved lifestyle and better education, as
well as greater access to quality health services.
This indicator is measured in number of years.
Figure 25: Comparison of life expectancy at birth with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all
measured in 2017.
Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database
(UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
Life expectancy at birth refers to the average
number of years a new-born is expected to live if
mortality patterns at the time of the child’s birth
remain constant in the future. In other words, it
considers the number of deaths among people
of different ages in a given year, and provides
a snapshot of these overall mortality characteris-
tics of the population for that year.
49
The data used in this report come from the
World Development Indicators (WDI) database.
The figures are taken from various data sources:
(1) the United Nations Population Division.
World Population Prospects: 2019 Revision; or
derived from male and female life expectancy at
birth from sources such as: (2) census reports
and other statistical publications from national
statistical offices, (3) Eurostat: Demographic
Statistics, (4) the United Nations Statistical
Division. Population and Vital Statistics Re-
port (various years), (5) U.S. Census Bureau:
International Database, and (6) Secretariat of the
Pacific Community: Statistics and Demography
Programme.
The regional differences in life expectancy at
birth (in years) between countries are depicted in
Figure 24. In most of African countries, life ex-
pectancy is below 65 years, which is much lower
than that in the rest of the world. More specifi-
cally, the life expectancy in Sierra Leone is 52
years and only 23 years in the Central African
Republic or Chad. By contrast, Algeria reported
a life expectancy of above 73 years. The high-
est life expectancy rate for 2017 was reported
by Hong Kong ROC (85), Japan, China Macao
SAR and Switzerland (all around 84 years).
The close positive relationship between
industrial development and life expectancy at
birth is shown in Figure 25. Countries with
a long life expectancy rate are typically those
with high MVA per capita or CIP scores and vice
versa. On the other hand, a relatively high vari-
ability can be observed within the group of other
developing economies, including countries with
a high life expectancy like Lebanon or Cuba (80
years), as well as countries with a very low life
expectancy at birth, namely Nigeria and Côte
d’Ivoire (54 years).
Looking at the overall trend of life ex-
pectancy at birth and industrial development over
the last 20 years, extremely positive progress has
been made (Figure 26). The improvement is sub-
stantial in all countries, regardless of their stage
of industrial development measured by MVA
per capita or CIP scores. The progress made by
LDCs is obviously notable.
Figure 26: Progression of the relationship between life expectancy at birth and MVA per capita and
the CIP index since 1995.
Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database
(UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
50
Infant mortality rate
The infant mortality rate represents the ratio
of the number of deaths of children under one
year of age in a given year to the number of live
births in that year. The value is expressed per
1,000 live births. The main sources of mortality
data are important registration systems and direct
or indirect estimates based on sample surveys or
censuses.
Estimates of neonatal, infant, and child
mortality tend to vary by source and method for
a given period and place. Years of available esti-
mates also vary by country, making comparisons
across countries and over time difficult. To make
neonatal, infant, and child mortality estimates
comparable and to ensure consistency across
estimates by different agencies, the United
Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality
Estimation (UN IGME), which comprises the
United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), the
World Health Organization (WHO), the World
Bank, the United Nations Population Division,
and other universities and research institutes, de-
veloped and adopted a statistical method that
uses all available information to reconcile dif-
ferences. The method uses statistical models
to obtain a best estimate trend line by fitting
a country-specific regression model of mortality
rates against their reference dates.
Figure 27: Comparison of infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births with MVA per capita and the
CIP index, all measured in 2017.
Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database
(UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
Despite declining infant mortality rates,
marked disparities exist across regions and coun-
tries. The infant mortality rate is typically higher
in economies with lower levels of industrial
development (Figure 27). Although industrial-
ized countries report values very close to zero,
the opposite is visible for LDCs, i.e. the Central
African Republic with 87.6 and Sierra Leone
with 81.7 deaths per 1,000 live births. These
two countries also reported the lowest life ex-
pectancy rates, indicating a close relationship
between these two indicators.
The overall trend since 1995 suggests a sig-
nificant decline in the infant mortality rate as
illustrated in Figure 28. This general trend
has been particularly obvious in countries with
a lower MVA per capita or CIP scores, in which
the overall rate of infant mortality has decreased
by nearly half over the past 20 years.
51
Figure 28: Progression of the relationship between infant mortality rate and MVA per capita and
the CIP index since 1995.
Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database
(UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
Lifetime risk of maternal death
Life time risk of maternal death is the proba-
bility of a 15-year-old female eventually dying
from a maternal cause assuming that current lev-
els of fertility and mortality (including maternal
mortality) do not change in the future, taking
into account competing causes of death.
Figure 29: Comparison of lifetime risk of maternal death with MVA per capita and the CIP index,
all measured in 2015.
Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database
(UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
52
Similarly to the previous variables, lifetime
risk of maternal death is also closely related to
industrial development. The higher risk is con-
nected to the lower value of MVA per capita and
CIP score. The highest lifetime risk of mater-
nal death in 2015 were reported by Sierra Leone
(5.94 per cent), Chad (5.52 per cent), Somalia
(4.64 per cent) and Nigeria (4.51 per cent), i.e.
by countries with the highest infant mortality
rate and lowest life expectancy.
The link between lifetime risk of maternal
death and industrial development has improved
significantly over all time periods since 1995
(Figure 30). For countries with an MVA per
capita of above USD 100 and a CIP score above
0.01, the values of lifetime risk of maternal death
are close to zero in all time periods. A positive
trend is observable in countries with a lower
MVA per capita and CIP scores. In LDCs, life-
time risk of maternal death reduces by approx-
imately half, a trend that is similar to that ob-
served for infant mortality rate.
Figure 30: Progression of the relationship between lifetime risk of maternal death and MVA per
capita and the CIP index since 1995.
Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database
(UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
Prevalence of undernourishment
The prevalence of undernourishment repre-
sents an estimate of the share of the population
whose habitual food consumption is insufficient
to provide the dietary energy levels required to
maintain a normal active and healthy life. It is
expressed in percentages. Data on undernour-
ishment come from the Food and Agriculture
Organization (FAO) and measure food depriva-
tion based on the average food available for hu-
man consumption per person, the level of in-
equality in access to food, and the minimum
calories required by an average person.
Good nutrition is the cornerstone of survival,
health and development. Well-nourished chil-
dren perform better in school, grow into healthy
adults and in turn give their children a better start
in life. Well-nourished women face fewer risks
during pregnancy and childbirth, and their chil-
dren set off on more solid developmental paths,
both physically and mentally.
53
Figure 31: Comparison of the prevalence of undernourishment with MVA per capita and the CIP
index, all measured in 2015.
Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database
(UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
Figure 32: Progression of the prevalence of undernourishment and MVA per capita and the CIP
index since 2000.
Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database
(UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
The positive influence of industrial
development on the prevalence of undernour-
ishment is depicted in Figure 31. In general,
a higher prevalence of undernourishment is typ-
ical for countries at lower stages of industrial
development, i.e. in LDCs and other developing
economies. The highest levels of undernourish-
ment in 2015 were reported for countries with
an MVA per capita of less than USD 100, such
as the Central African Republic (60.3 per cent),
54
Zimbabwe (48.2 per cent) and Haiti (47.5 per
cent). By contrast, industrialized and emerging
industrial economies are clustered together and
the prevalence of undernourishment prevails at
around 2.5 per cent for the majority of these
countries.
Improvements in the prevalence of under-
nourishment since 2000 are not as striking
as for the previously mentioned health-related
indicators (Figure 32). This notwithstanding, the
prevalence of undernourishment has experienced
an overall decrease in the last 15 years. The pos-
itive trend is most visible in the case of LDCs.
Figure 32 reveals a similar pattern as that de-
picted in Figure 31, namely that countries with
the highest prevalence of undernourishment are
those with an MVA per capita of around USD
100 or CIP scores with a value of 0.003.
People using at least basic drinking water services
The indicator people using at least basic wa-
ter services encompasses both people who use
basic water services as well as those who use
safely managed water services. Basic drinking
water services is defined as drinking water from
an improved source, provided collection time is
not more than 30 minutes round trip. Improved
water sources include piped water, boreholes
or tube wells, protected dug wells, protected
springs, and packaged or delivered water.
Data on drinking water, sanitation and hy-
giene are produced by the Joint Monitoring
Programme of the World Health Organization
(WHO) and the United Nations Children’s Fund
(UNICEF) based on administrative sources, na-
tional censuses and nationally representative
household surveys.
Global access to safe water and proper hy-
giene education can reduce illness and death
from disease, leading to improved health,
poverty reduction, and higher socio-economic
development. Access to safe drinking water is
also considered to be a human right, not a privi-
lege, for every man, woman, and child. The eco-
nomic benefits of safe drinking water services
include higher economic productivity, more edu-
cation, and health care savings.
Figure 33: Comparison of the percentage of people using at least basic drinking water services with
MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in 2015.
Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database
(UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
55
Figure 33 shows that in countries with
an MVA per capita of above USD 1,000, ba-
sic drinking water services are available for
nearly the entire population, with two excep-
tions, namely Eswatini with 67.6 per cent and
Equatorial Guinea with 49.6 per cent. The avail-
ability of drinking water tends to be problematic
in LDCs where low values of MVA per capita or
CIP scores imply a low percentage of the pop-
ulation using drinking water services and vice
versa. The lowest share of the population using
at least basic drinking water services in 2015
were reported by Eritrea (19.3 per cent), Papua
New Guinea (36.6 per cent) and Uganda (38.9
per cent).
Figure 34: Progression of the percentage of people using at least basic drinking water services and
MVA per capita and the CIP index since 2000.
Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database
(UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
A higher level of industrial development has
always been related to a higher percentage of
the population using at least basic drinking wa-
ter services. Regardless of the country’s stage
of industrial development, the overall access
to basic drinking water services has increased
since 2000. More substantial growth in this re-
gard has been registered by countries at lower
stages of industrial development, as is evident in
Figure 34.
VIII
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59
Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63
Appendix I - List of countries and areas included in
selected groupings
REFERENCES AND
APPENDICES
References
Dodge, Rachel et al. (2012). “The Challenge of Defining Wellbeing”. In: International Journal of
Wellbeing 2.3, pages 222–235 (cited on page 7).
International Labour Organization (2017). Global estimates of child labour: Results and trends,
2012-2016. Geneva: ILO (cited on pages 34, 35).
— (2019). World Employment and Social Outlook: Trends 2019. Geneva: ILO (cited on pages 33,
34).
Llena-Nozal, Ana, Neil Martin, and Fabrice Murtin (2019). The economy of well-being: Creating
opportunities for people’s well-being and economic growth. OECD Statistics Working Paper.
Paris: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (cited on page 7).
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2013). OECD Guidelines on Measuring
Subjective Well-being. Paris (cited on page 7).
— (2017). How’s Life? 2017: Measuring Well-being. Paris, page 340 (cited on page 7).
Stiglitz, Joseph E., Jean-Paul Fitoussi, and Martine Durand (2018). Beyond GDP: Measuring What
Counts for Economic and Social Performance. OECD Publishing, address = Paris, page 144
(cited on page 7).
The World Bank (2019a). Poverty and Equity database. Washington (cited on pages 25–27).
— (2019b). World Development Indicators database. Washington (cited on pages 47–55).
United Nations Development Programme (2016). Human Development Report 2016: Human
Development for Everyone (cited on page 18).
— (2018). Human Development Indices and Indicators 2018, page 119 (cited on pages 17–21, 28,
43, 44).
United Nations Development Programme and Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative
(2019). Global Multidimensional Poverty Index 2019: Illuminating Inequalities (cited on
page 29).
United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (2019). UNESCO Institute for
Statistics (UIS) database (cited on pages 39–42).
United Nations General Assembly (2017). Work of the Statistical Commission pertaining to the
2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. A/RES/71/313, Available at https://undocs.
org/A/RES/71/313 (cited on page 7).
United Nations Industrial Development Organization (2013). Industrial Development Report 2013.
Vienna: UNIDO (cited on page 34).
— (2015). The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development: Achieving the industry-related goals
and targets (cited on pages 33, 47).
— (2019a). CIP 2019 Database. Vienna (cited on pages 14, 18–21, 26–29, 35, 40–44, 48–55).
— (2019b). Competitive Industrial Performance Report 2018. Vienna: UNIDO (cited on page 13).
— (2019c). International Yearbook of Industrial Statistics 2019. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar
Publishing (cited on pages 61, 63).
— (2019d). Manufacturing Value Added 2019 Database. Vienna (cited on pages 12, 13, 18–21,
26–29, 35, 40–44, 48–55).
— (2019e). Statistical Indicators of Inclusive and Sustainable Industrialization: Biennial Progress
Report 2019. Vienna: United Nations Industrial Development Organization (cited on page 11).
60
Upadhyaya, Shyam and David Kepplinger (2014). How industrial development matters to the well-
being of the population - Some statistical evidence. Working Paper. Vienna: United Nations
Industrial Development Organization (cited on page 8).
Methodological Note
The visualization of the indicators of inter-
est and their relationship with level of industrial
development is based on three types of plots.
Maps allow us to study local dependencies as
well as to perform a worldwide comparison. The
most recent values for the year 2017 were se-
lected where possible. In the case of sparse data,
the last reported value for each country was used.
The distribution of values to the classes was done
using the Fisher-Jenks algorithm.
Relationships between the given indicator
and MVA per capita and the CIP index are visu-
alized on scatter plots. Where possible, values
from the same year (2015 or 2017) are com-
pared. In the case of sparse data, the last avail-
able values from the period 2015–2017 are com-
pared with the MVA per capita and CIP scores
reported in the same year. The only exception
is the total child labour rate, which was reported
for the period 2010–2016 and compared with
the industrial development indicators for the
year 2017. The overall trend of the relation-
ship is indicated by the Loess smoothing curve.
The Loess regression is a non-parametric tech-
nique that uses a local weighted regression to fit
a smooth curve through points in a scatter plot.
Loess curves can reveal trends and cycles in data
that might be difficult to model with a paramet-
ric curve. Moreover, countries are differenti-
ated according to colour reflecting their stage of
industrial development (UNIDO, 2019c). The
top three performing countries from each group
(according to the indicator of the interest) are
highlighted in the graph by using labels.
The last type of plots shows the progression
of the relationship throughout a longer time span.
Each country is represented in the given time
period by the median value reported for the rele-
vant years. The overall trend within the period is
again indicated by the Loess smoothing curve.
Appendix
Appendix I - List of countries and areas included in selected groupings 1
INDUSTRIALIZED ECONOMIES
EU2
Austria
Belgium
Czechia
Denmark
Estonia
Finland
France
Germany
Hungary
Ireland
Italy
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Malta
Netherlands
Portugal
Slovakia
Slovenia
Spain
Sweden
United Kingdom
Other Europe
Andorra
Belarus
Iceland
Liechtenstein
Monaco
Norway
Russian Federation
San Marino
Switzerland
East Asia
China, Hong Kong SAR
China, Macao SAR
China, Taiwan Province
Japan
Malaysia
Republic of Korea
Singapore
West Asia
Bahrain
Kuwait
Qatar
United Arab Emirates
North America
Bermuda
Canada
Greenland
United States of America
Others
Aruba
Australia
British Virgin Islands
Cayman Islands
Curaçao
French Guiana
French Polynesia
Guam
Israel
New Caledonia
New Zealand
Puerto Rico
Trinidad and Tobago
United States Virgin Islands
1International Yearbook of Industrial Statistics (UNIDO, 2019c)
2Excluding non-industrialized EU economies.
64
DEVELOPING AND EMERGING INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES
By Development
EMERGING
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES
Argentina
Brazil
Brunei Darussalam
Bulgaria
Chile
Colombia
Costa Rica
Croatia
Cyprus
Egypt
Greece
India
Indonesia
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Kazakhstan
Latvia
Mauritius
Mexico
North Macedonia
Oman
Peru
Poland
Romania
Saudi Arabia
Serbia
South Africa
Suriname
Thailand
Tunisia
Turkey
Ukraine
Uruguay
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)
CHINA
OTHER DEVELOPING
ECONOMIES
Albania
Algeria
Angola
Anguilla
Antigua and Barbuda
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Bahamas
Barbados
Belize
Bolivia (Plurinational State of)
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Botswana
Cabo Verde
Cameroon
Congo
Cook Islands
Côte d’Ivoire
Cuba
Dem. People’s Rep of Korea
Dominica
Dominican Republic
Ecuador
El Salvador
Equatorial Guinea
Eswatini
Fiji
Gabon
Georgia
Ghana
Grenada
Guadeloupe
Guatemala
Guyana
Honduras
Iraq
Jamaica
Jordan
Kenya
Kyrgyzstan
Lebanon
Libya
Maldives
Marshall Islands
Martinique
Micronesia, Fed. States of
Mongolia
Montenegro
Montserrat
Morocco
Namibia
Nicaragua
Nigeria
Pakistan
Palau
Panama
Papua New Guinea
Paraguay
Philippines
Republic of Moldova
Réunion
St. Kitts and Nevis
St. Lucia
St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Seychelles
Sri Lanka
State of Palestine
Syrian Arab Republic
Tajikistan
Tonga
Turkmenistan
Uzbekistan
Viet Nam
Zimbabwe
65
LEAST DEVELOPED
COUNTRIES
Afghanistan
Bangladesh
Benin
Bhutan
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cambodia
Central African Republic
Chad
Comoros
Dem. Rep. of the Congo
Djibouti
Eritrea
Ethiopia
Gambia
Guinea
Guinea-Bissau
Haiti
Kiribati
Lao People’s Dem Rep
Lesotho
Liberia
Madagascar
Malawi
Mali
Mauritania
Mozambique
Myanmar
Nepal
Niger
Rwanda
Samoa
Sao Tome and Principe
Senegal
Sierra Leone
Solomon Islands
Somalia
South Sudan
Sudan
Timor-Leste
Togo
Tuvalu
Uganda
United Republic of Tanzania
Vanuatu
Yemen
Zambia
Vienna International Centre · P.O. Box 300
1400 Vienna · Austria
Tel.: (+43-1) 26026-0
E-mail: unido@unido.org
www.unido.org

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How industrial Development matters for the well-being of the population.

  • 1. HOW INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT MATTERS TO THE WELL-BEING OF THE POPULATION Some Statistical Evidence Vienna, 2020
  • 2. Acknowledgement This publication was prepared by Kamila Facevicova and Petra Kynclova under the general supervi- sion of Shyam Upadhyaya, Chief Statistician of UNIDO. The final editing of the report was done by Niki Rodousakis. Copyright c 2020 United Nations Industrial Development Organization The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this document do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries, or its economic system or degree of development. Designations such as "developed", "industrialized" and "developing" are intended for statistical convenience and do not necessarily express a judgment about the stage reached by a particular country or area in the development process. Mention of firm names or commercial products does not constitute an endorsement by UNIDO. Material in this publication may be freely quoted or reprinted, but acknowledgement is requested, together with a copy of the publication containing the quotation or reprint. For reference and citation, please use: United Nations Industrial Development Organization, 2020. How industrial development matters to the well-being of the population: Some statistical evidence. Vienna. All photos c UNIDO, Freepik, unless otherwise stated.
  • 3. Contents I INTRODUCTION II INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT III HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IV POVERTY AND INEQUALITY V EMPLOYMENT VI EDUCATION VII HEALTH VIII REFERENCES AND APPENDICES References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 Appendix I - List of countries and areas included in selected groupings 63
  • 4.
  • 6.
  • 7. Introduction The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, agreed by all UN Member States in 2015, is a global action plan for people, planet and prosperity, which is relevant now and in the future. Building on the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and 169 targets have been established to drive economic prosperity and social well-being while protecting the envi- ronment. The 2030 Agenda aims to leave no one behind and thus represents a shared blueprint for both developed and developing countries (UN, 2017). The United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) is fully committed to contributing to the achievement of the SDGs, while delivering on its mandate to support Member States in achieving inclusive and sustainable industrial development (ISID). SDG 9 calls for building resilient infrastructure, promoting sustainable industrialization and fos- tering innovation. Due to the SDG’s interlinked nature, many of UNIDO’s activities contribute to more than just SDG 9. The main objective of this report is to provide statistical evidence on how closely industrial development is linked to people’s liv- ing conditions and the quality of their lives. Countries’ development is measured by their eco- nomic growth, defined in terms of rising levels of gross domestic product (GDP). The main dis- advantage of using GDP as the main measure of development is that it does not capture important quality of life elements as well as inequalities, which are essential for the assessment of any community’s well-being. It also disregards the effects that economic production and the associ- ated increased demand for energy, food, services and consumer goods have on the environment (Stiglitz et al., 2018). Although ’well-being’ has become a widely used term, promoted by both researchers and policymakers, there is no established definition. Well-being is a very broad concept that can be de- scribed by many dimensions and defining it has been the focus of many research papers (Dodge et al., 2012). Considering the significance of well-being for sustainable development, estab- lishing well-designed measurement frameworks is crucial for policy-making (Llena-Nozal et al., 2019). The OECD Framework for Measuring Well- Being and Progress was introduced to monitor not only the economic performance of countries, but people’s living conditions as well. It builds around three distinct components: 1) material conditions, 2) quality of life, and 3) sustainabil- ity, each with their relevant dimensions. Based on this framework, the biennial OECD report “How’s Life?” (OECD, 2017) presents a compre- hensive set of internationally comparable well- being indicators for OECD and partner countries. At the same time, the OECD created the “Better Life Index” as a communication tool to engage directly with data users. The set of indicators is, however, dominated by subjective perspectives of the surveyed population (OECD, 2013). The development of this framework to mea- sure the level of well-being and its progress is a step towards making such information publicly available and to highlight priority areas for ac- tion followed by a reshaping of national policies. The available information allows researchers to extend the analysis by further indicators and to investigate potential linkages. It is indisputable that the achievement of SDG 9 is linked to meeting the other Goals and targets of the 2030 Agenda. Inclusive and
  • 8. 8 sustainable industrialization drives sustained eco- nomic growth, the creation of decent jobs and in- come (SDG 8); it helps reduce poverty (SDG 1), hunger (SDG 2) and inequalities (SDG 5 and 10), while improving health and well-being (SDG 3), increasing resource and energy effi- ciency (SDG 6, 7, 11, 12) and reducing green- house gas and other polluting emissions, includ- ing from chemicals (SDG 13, 14, 15). There is strong evidence that citizens living in developed industrialized countries enjoy far more prosperous and healthy lives than those who reside in least developed countries (LDCs) (Upadhyaya and Kepplinger, 2014). The former benefit from high levels of education, better so- cial security and health services, sophisticated transport and communication networks, and ac- cess to information, knowledge, technology and financial facilities required by businesses. This report presents empirical evidence on the corre- lation between industrial development and other dimensions of sustainable development, with a view to improving the understanding of these correlations among policymakers at both na- tional and international level. The report does not draw, however, draw on the causal analysis of the variables under study.
  • 10.
  • 11. Industrial Development Industrial development unleashes dynamic and competitive economic performance which generates income and employment, facilitates international trade and increases resource effi- ciency, and is thus a major driver of poverty alleviation and shared prosperity. Although industrialization contributes to the universal objective of economic growth, its impact differs depending on the country’s stage of development. In developed economies, industrial growth is reflected in achieving higher productivity, embracing new technologies, in- telligent production processes and reducing the effects of industrial production on the environ- ment and climate. For developing economies, in- dustrialization implies structural transformation of the economy from traditional sectors such as agriculture and fishery to modern manufacturing industries fuelled by innovation and technology. Such an expansion of the manufacturing sector creates jobs, helps improve incomes and thus reduces poverty, introduces and promotes new technologies and produces essential goods and services for the market. World manufacturing production reached USD 13,543 billion (at constant 2010 prices) in 2018, reducing the global MVA growth rate from 3.8 per cent in 2017 to 3.5 per cent in 2018. This slowdown has primarily been attributed to the increase in trade and tariff barriers between the United States, China and the European Union, exposing the markets to a high level of uncer- tainty, limiting investments and future growth. The deceleration in production was observed in all major country groups. Industrialized economies continued to dom- inate global manufacturing production, how- ever, their share dropped from 67.7 per cent in 2007 to 55.7 per cent in 2017 (Figure 1). This long-term trend illustrates the relocation of manufacturing production from industrialized economies to the developing world. Developing and emerging industrial economies have main- tained a strong pace of manufacturing growth, much higher than that of the world and of indus- trialized economies. MVA in developing and emerging industrial economies is dominated by China which in- creased its MVA share from 13.5 per cent in 2007 to 24.3 per cent in 2017. Emerging industrial economies excluding China accounted for 16.4 per cent of global manufacturing production in 2017, while the share of other developing economies and LDCs was negligible at 2.8 per cent and 0.8 per cent, respectively. China has been heading the list of the ten largest manufacturers worldwide since 2010, with a share of 24.3 per cent in world MVA in 2017, followed by the United States with a share of 15.0 per cent (Figure 1). China’s manufacturing production is inching closer to Europe’s, which accounted for 25.5 per cent in 2017. The remaining countries in the list of top ten manufacturers are Japan, Germany, India, the Republic of Korea, Italy, France, Brazil and Indonesia. Together, these countries accounted for over 70 per cent of global MVA in 2017. Despite being home to over 12 per cent of world population, LDCs only accounted for 0.8 per cent of total worldwide manufacturing pro- duction in 2017. By comparison, industrialized economies with a share of around 17 per cent of global population, accounted for over 55 per cent of global manufacturing output. It is thus crucial for LDCs to expand their capacities to reach an overall higher growth trajectory (UNIDO, 2019e).
  • 12. 12 Figure 1: MVA and its distribution by country groups, billions of constant 2010 US dollars (left). Top 10 largest manufacturing producers in the world in 2017, share of countries’ MVA in global MVA (right). Source: UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) Manufacturing value added per capita A country’s level of industrial development is often reflected by its MVA per capita which measures a countries’ level of manufacturing pro- duction relative to their population size. Value added is a sector’s net output after adding up all outputs and subtracting all intermediate inputs. It is calculated without deducting the depreciation of fabricated assets or the depletion and degra- dation of natural resources. The origin of value added is determined by the International Stan- dard Industrial Classification (ISIC), revision 3. Data are expressed in constant 2010 US dollars and sourced from the UNIDO MVA Database (UNIDO, 2019d). Manufacturing refers to indus- tries that belong to ISIC divisions 15-37. The process of industrialization is facing a number of fundamental challenges, particu- larly because industrial production capacity has been concentrated in a few countries, including China, the United States, Japan and Germany. The regional patterns are depicted in Figure 2 indicating that the highest levels of MVA per capita are attained in North America and Europe. Despite the rapid growth of MVA per capita in developing and emerging industrial economies, they still lag significantly behind industrialized countries. Global MVA per capita has continued to grow, accounting for USD 1,736 in 2017 com- pared to USD 1,251 in 2000. The median value of MVA per capita in 2017 was around USD 500, i.e. the majority of countries in the world achieve only USD 500 compared with USD 5,770 for in- dustrialized economies. Figure 2 shows that the lowest levels of MVA per capita are mostly located in LDCs in Africa and Asia. Somalia (USD 2), Timor-Leste (USD 7) and Sierra Leone (USD 9) registered the lowest MVA per capita in 2017, while Liechten- stein (USD 44,349), Ireland (USD 24,077) and San Marino (USD 15,462) had the highest MVA per capita in 2017.
  • 13. 13 Figure 2: World map of MVA per capita in 2010 constant US dollars, all measured in 2017. Source: UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) Competitive Industrial Performance index The Competitive Industrial Performance (CIP) index represents a composite measure to benchmark industrial competitiveness across economies, providing valuable information on countries’ strengths and weaknesses in national manufacturing industries. By promoting com- petitiveness, economic efficiency in the alloca- tion of scarce resources can be maximized while greater prosperity for the population is gener- ated. An increase in industrial competitiveness can contribute to a country’s overall prosper- ity in many different ways. For example, it can encourage more investment from national and international firms, increase industries’ re- silience to external shocks, including surges in commodity prices or economy-wide reces- sions. Competitiveness is decisive if a coun- try’s industrial sector is to flourish, it determines the pace and quality of the country’s structural change as its economy develops, as well as the extent to which these changes will contribute to society’s well-being. The industrial sector’s con- tribution to prosperity depends on its capacity to produce manufactured goods, to exchange those goods in global markets and to specialize in com- plex production processes (UNIDO, 2019b). The CIP Index is widely used by international development agencies to rank coun- tries within the context of their development priorities. The global manufacturing ranking is based on the analysis of eight indicators reflect- ing three dimensions: 1) the capacity to produce and export manufactured goods, 2) the extent of technological deepening and upgrading, and 3) the impact on the world market. The 2019 edition of the CIP Index assesses 150 economies covering around 99 per cent of
  • 14. 14 global manufactured exports and MVA in 2017. Figure 3 presents the distribution of CIP scores in the world. The countries at the top of the 2017 CIP ranking are Germany (0.515), Japan (0.404), China (0.369), the Republic of Korea (0.365) and the United States (0.355). By con- trast, the economies with the lowest levels of manufacturing capacity include Burundi, Eritrea and Tonga. Figure 3: World map of CIP index scores, all measured in 2017. Source: UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a)
  • 16.
  • 17. Human Development Human development is a concept that goes beyond economic growth and is defined as the process of expanding people’s freedoms and op- portunities and improving their well-being. The human development approach aims to increase the richness of human life rather than the rich- ness of the economy human beings live in. Peo- ple and their opportunities and choices are the main focus of human development. Figure 4: World map of HDI scores, all measured in 2017. Source: UNDP HDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018) Improving people’s lives by expanding their freedoms and opportunities is a principle that is applicable to everyone in the world. The human development approach thus reinforces the pledge to leave no one behind as promoted by the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, which in- corporates human development in a number of dimensions. Significant progress has been made over the past 25 years on many fronts of human development, with people living longer, more people rising out of extreme poverty and fewer
  • 18. 18 people suffering from malnutrition. Human development has enriched human lives —- unfor- tunately, however, not all have benefited equally, and even worse, not everyone has been included (UNDP, 2016). There are many reasons why industrializa- tion is fundamental for human development. First, its is an essential means for incorporat- ing technological progress and innovation and promoting its use. That is, it offers a unique op- portunity for learning, improvement and transfor- mation. Moreover, industrialization empowers people to access productive resources by expand- ing human capabilities through education, skills development, and sociocultural changes as well as to produce goods that are essential for nu- trition, health care, and other human needs to improve the quality of life. The Human Development Index (HDI) de- veloped by UNDP, together with its adjusted version that takes inequality factors into ac- count, belong to the important measure of human development. Human Development Index The Human Development Index (HDI) is a composite index that focuses on three basic di- mensions of human development: (i) the ability to lead a long and healthy life, measured by life expectancy at birth; (ii) the ability to acquire knowledge, measured by mean years of school- ing and expected years of schooling; and (iii) and the ability to achieve a decent standard of living, measured by gross national income per capita. Figure 5: Comparison of the HDI with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in 2017. Source: UNDP HDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) The HDI’s 2018 Update presents values for 189 economies around the world from 1990 up to the most recent data available for 2017. The HDI’s regional patterns are illustrated on the world map in Figure 4. We find clear similarities with the global distribution of MVA per capita (Figure 2). Countries with the highest HDI scores are located in Europe and North America, i.e. industrialized economies. By contrast, LDCs in Africa and Asia are clustered at the bottom of the HDI ranking. The top five countries in the global HDI ranking are Norway (0.953), Switzer-
  • 19. 19 land (0.944), Australia (0.939), Ireland (0.938) and Germany (0.936). The bottom five are all located in Africa, namely – Burundi (0.417), Chad (0.404), South Sudan (0.388), the Central African Republic (0.367) and Niger (0.354). A comparison of HDI scores with MVA per capita in 2017 (Figure 5) reveals a positive as- sociation between both indicators. High HDI scores are observed in industrialized countries with a high MVA per capita. The distribution of HDI values creates clusters of countries cor- responding to country groupings by stage of industrial development. The countries with the highest HDI values belong to the group of industrialized economies, while low HDI values are typically found in LDCs. Samoa is an interesting example, which reported a very high HDI value (0.71) in 2017, normally achieved by the group of other devel- oping economies, and Samoa thus seems to have untapped industrial potential. Similar patterns are also evident when we compare the HDI with the CIP index (Figure 5). HDI scores are positively correlated with the industrial competitiveness of nations. Figure 6: Progression of the relationship between the HDI and MVA per capita and the CIP index since 1995. Source: UNDP HDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) Figure 6 depicts the relationship between HDI scores and MVA per capita (left) and CIP scores (right) in five subsequent time pe- riods since 1995. Both indicators reflect coun- tries’ industrial performance and show improv- ing trends over time. An overall growth in HDI scores is clearly linked to increases in MVA per capita and CIP scores. A change in the distri- bution of HDI scores over the last 20 years is visible. The median values are slowly rising and the values of countries with low HDI scores are increasing more rapidly than those of economies at the top of the HDI ranking. A slowdown in the growth of HDI scores can be observed in recent years. This overall trend can be explained not only by the global financial crisis of 2008-2009, but also by the natural limit of various HDI components, i.e. life expectancy, years of schooling and rates of enrolment cannot grow indefinitely.
  • 20. 20 Inequality-adjusted Human Development Index The Inequality-adjusted Human Development Index (IHDI) adjusts the HDI for inequality in the distribution of each dimension across the pop- ulation. The IHDI combines a country’s average achievements in health, education and income with how those achievements are distributed among the country’s population by “discount- ing” each dimension’s average value according to its level of inequality. The IHDI equals the HDI when there is no inequality across a popula- tion but falls below the HDI scores as inequality rises. In this sense, the IHDI measures the level of human development when inequality is accounted for. The difference between the IHDI and HDI is the human development cost of inequality, also termed loss to human development due to inequality. The IHDI identifies inequalities in the different dimensions, and can inform poli- cies to reduce inequality, and leads to a bet- ter understanding of inequalities across popula- tions and their contribution to the overall human development cost. A recent measure of inequal- ity in the HDI, the coefficient of human inequal- ity, is calculated as an average inequality across all three dimensions of the HDI, namely – the ability to lead a long and healthy life, the ability to acquire knowledge and the ability to achieve a decent standard of living (UNDP, 2018). The IHDI measure corresponds to the ref- erence year 2017. It uses the HDI indicators for 2017, measures of inequality that are based on the most recent household surveys available from 2006 to 2017 and life tables that refer to the period 2015-2020. The development of the IHDI over time is only available from 2010 to 2017. Figure 7: Comparison of the IHDI with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in 2017. Source: UNDP IHDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) The adjustment for inequality seems to re- duce the HDI scores, regardless of the stage of industrial development in accordance with coun- try groups (Figure 7). As is the case for the HDI, the IHDI scores are also closely related to the values of both MVA per capita and CIP, with high values typical for industrialized economies.
  • 21. 21 Figure 8: Progression of the relationship between the IHDI and MVA per capita and the CIP index since 2010. Source: UNDP IHDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) Despite data sparsity for the calculation of IHDI scores and thus limited availability, Figure 8 suggests an overall upward trend over the period 2010-2017. Although the HDI scores are adjusted to corresponding levels of inequality, the link with industrial development indicators remains very strong suggesting positive correla- tion patterns and overall improvement over time. The HDI and IHDI as composite measures of human development are crucial indicators used by policymakers and researchers alike. How- ever, new challenges to human development, particularly inequality and environmental sus- tainability, require concerted measurement and more-in-depth analysis. Data availability is expanding with new opportunities to measure innovation and disaggregation, and possibili- ties to establish new partnerships to track the progress towards achieving the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. For this reason, other indicators should be considered as sup- plementary to human development measures to track countries’ achievement of sustainable development.
  • 22.
  • 24.
  • 25. Poverty and Inequality Economic growth driven by industrial development is often essential for reducing ab- solute poverty. Nevertheless, economic growth may also be associated with increased income inequality, which does not automatically address the entire poverty problem. Figure 9: World map of the poverty headcount ratio at USD 1.90 per day, most recent available values Source: The World Bank’s Poverty and Equity Database (World Bank, 2019a) Inclusive and sustainable industrial development, when adequately linked to formal job markets and health, safety and environmen- tal standards, is widely recognized as having a crucial impact on job creation, sustainable livelihoods, technology and skills development, food security and equitable growth – some of the key requirements for eradicating poverty by 2030. There is evidence that rapid industrializa- tion has lifted several millions of people out of poverty by providing them with jobs and an in- come. Yet progress has been uneven and many remain stuck in a poverty trap, particularly in
  • 26. 26 areas where industrialization levels remain low or have stagnated. Countries, especially in sub- Saharan Africa, are lagging far behind and the share of poor people has actually even increased in some countries. Inclusive and sustainable industrial development can contribute to poverty reduction efforts and ensures that “no one is left behind” by 2030. Poverty headcount ratio at USD 1.90 per day (2011 PPP) When assessing poverty in a given country, and trying to define how best to reduce it, one nat- urally chooses a poverty line considered appro- priate for that country. Poverty lines across coun- tries vary in terms of their purchasing power, and have a strong economic gradient, implying that richer countries tend to adopt higher standards of living in their definition of poverty. But to consis- tently measure global absolute poverty in terms of consumption we need to treat two people with the same purchasing power over commodities the same way—both are either poor or not poor -— even if they live in different countries. Figure 10: Comparison of the poverty headcount ratio at USD 1.90 a day with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in the period 2015-2017 Source: The World Bank’s Poverty and Equity Database (World Bank, 2019a), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) Poverty measures based on international poverty lines attempt to hold the poverty line’s real value constant across countries, as is the case when making comparisons over time. The poverty headcount ratio at USD 1.90 a day is an indicator that expresses the percentage of the population living on less than USD 1.90 a day at 2011 international prices. As a result of revi- sions in PPP exchange rates, poverty rates for individual countries cannot be compared with poverty rates reported in earlier editions (World Bank, 2019a). The distribution of the poverty headcount ra- tio at USD 1.90 a day (2011 PPP) is shown in Figure 9. Since this indicator was only reported for a fraction of countries in 2017, the world map combines the most recent values available for each country. The majority of figures were re- ported for the period of 2013-2017, however, for some of the African countries, only data from be- fore 2010 were available. The map shows clear differences between African and South Amer-
  • 27. 27 ican countries, where the ratio of the popula- tion below the international poverty line is much higher than in the rest of the world. The highest values were reported for Madagascar with 77.6 per cent in 2012, the Democratic Republic of the Congo with 76.6 per cent in 2012 and Burundi with 71.8 per cent in 2013. A comparison of the poverty headcount ratio at USD 1.90 a day (2011 PPP) with the value of MVA per capita and the CIP index is de- picted in Figure 10. It reveals substantially dif- ferent patterns for various levels of industrial development. Industrialized economies and emerging industrial economies have very low poverty headcount ratio values concentrated around a value of zero. Other developing economies and least developed countries, on the other hand, report values of 10 per cent and higher. For instance, in Zambia, 57.5 per cent of the population lived below the international poverty line, and in Malawi, 70.3 per cent did. Figure 10 indicates that as countries industrial- ize the percentage of people living in poverty is decreasing significantly. Figure 11: Progression of the relationship between the poverty headcount ratio at USD 1.90 per day and MVA per capita and the CIP index since 1995. Source: The World Bank’s Poverty and Equity Database (World Bank, 2019a), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) The systematic decline of the overall value of the poverty headcount ratio over the last 20 years is depicted in Figure 11. Major differences are visible over the different time periods, par- ticularly as regards lower MVA per capita val- ues and CIP scores in least developed countries. The percentage of the population living on less than USD 1.90 per day has decreased by half since 1995–1999. In the case of developed coun- tries with an MVA per capita that is higher than USD 1,000 or with a CIP score of more than 0.5, the decline has not been as dramatic. Figure 11 demonstrates that the poverty headcount ratio at USD 1.90 per day decreased over the last 20 years from around 10 per cent to almost zero in countries that have successfully industrialized.
  • 28. 28 Inequality-adjusted Income Index The inequality-adjusted income index is part of the calculation process of the HDI index and represents the HDI income index adjusted for inequality in income distribution based on data from household surveys (UNDP, 2018). Figure 12: Comparison of the inequality-adjusted income index with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in 2017. Source: UNDP IHDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) Figure 13: Progression of the relationship between the inequality-adjusted income index and MVA per capita and the CIP index since 2010. Source: UNDP IHDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
  • 29. 29 A comparison of the value of the inequality- adjusted income index with MVA per capita and the CIP scores indicates a clear relationship be- tween these indicators (Figure 12). The high val- ues of the inequality-adjusted income index are typical for countries with a high MVA per capita and for economies at the top of the CIP rank- ing. Moreover, the distribution of the inequality- adjusted income index also follows the country classification in accordance with its level of in- dustrialization. One interesting exception of this trend is Timor-Leste, which has one of the low- est MVA per capita values but a high value of its inequality-adjusted income index which ac- counts for 0.55. Timor-Leste was not included in the CIP index and ranking in 2017. Although the values of the inequality- adjusted income index have only been available since 2010, a comparison of their median values in the time periods 2010–2014 and 2015–2017 indicates a relatively stable pattern of the rela- tionship with MVA per capita and the CIP scores (Figure 13). A moderate growth of the index’s overall value over time is noticeable. Multidimensional Poverty Index Another international measure of poverty is published by UNDP in its Human Development Reports Series as the Global Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI). The MPI includes health, education and standard of living indicators to determine a population’s degree of poverty. It contributes to the measurement of acute poverty across more than 100 developing countries since 2010, when it replaced the Human Poverty Index (UNDP and Oxford Poverty, 2019). The global MPI is disaggregated by age group and geographic area to display poverty patterns within countries. It is further broken down to highlight which particular deprivations characterize poverty and drive its reduction or in- tensification. These analyses often play a crucial role for policymakers. Figure 14: Comparison of the MPI, reported for the period 2007-2018, with MVA per capita and the CIP index, measured in 2017. Source: UNDP MPI 2019 (UNDP and Oxford Poverty, 2019), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
  • 30. 30 The relationship of the global MPI with MVA per capita and the CIP scores is depicted in Figure 14. Although the global MPI covers developing economies only, both plots support the findings based on the poverty headcount ratio at USD 1.90 a day. LDCs, in particular, regis- tered a decline in the MPI as they experienced industrial growth. Countries with an MVA per capita of more than USD 1,000 or a CIP score above 0.1 have a global MPI that is close to zero. Figure 14 also highlights that two countries have very low global MPI values together with a low MVA per capita and CIP index: Iraq and Mal- dives.
  • 32.
  • 33. Employment Sustained economic growth requires a struc- tural transformation of the economy towards activities with higher levels of productivity. Structural transformation towards inclusive and sustainable industrial development serves as an engine to create the competitive job opportuni- ties necessary in both developed and developing countries today. Besides quantity, it is the quality of jobs that matters. When labour productivity increases, industry upgrades employment oppor- tunities to higher skilled and higher paid jobs, accompanied by increases in social protection and worker security (UNIDO, 2015). Figure 15: World map of total employment rates reported in 2017. Source: ILO modelled estimates, November 2018 (ILO, 2019) The importance of employment as a path- way to economic development, social inclusion and well-being has long been recognized. Most developing economies struggle with high unem- ployment or underemployment. Many people can barely sustain themselves from what they earn. This is why creating new jobs, but also improving the incomes and working conditions
  • 34. 34 of existing jobs, is extremely important. As economies develop, jobs are reallocated from agriculture and other labour-intensive primary activities to industry and finally to the services sector. Since the industrial revolution, man- ufacturing has been at the core of structural change, consistently creating higher levels of output and employment, and leading to unprece- dented growth in incomes (UNIDO, 2013). Total employment rate Total employment rate is defined as a mea- sure of the extent to which available labour re- sources (people available to work) are being used. It is calculated as the ratio of the employed to the working age population. Employment rates are sensitive to the economic cycle, but are considerably affected by governments’ higher education and income support policies in the longer term and by policies that facilitate the em- ployment of women and disadvantaged groups. Data were sourced from the ILO modelled estimates database and are available from 1991. The ILO modelled estimates series serve as a complete set of internationally comparable em- ployment statistics, including both nationally re- ported observations and imputed data for coun- tries with missing data. The imputations are produced through a series of econometric mod- els maintained by the ILO. Estimates for coun- tries with very limited labour market information have a high degree of uncertainty, however (ILO, 2019). Figure 15 presents the variance of the total employment rate across most continents. The lowest employment rates for 2017 were reported for the State of Palestine (72.6 per cent), South Africa (72.7 per cent), North Macedonia (77.6 per cent) or Greece (78.5 per cent). Some coun- tries had very high employment rates, like Qatar (99.9 per cent) and Niger (99.7 per cent). Val- ues above 99 per cent were not reported for any of the European countries, where the best per- formers were Iceland (97.3 per cent) and Czech Republic (97.1 per cent). Total child labour rate Child labour is often defined as work that deprives children of their childhood, their po- tential and their dignity, and that is harmful to their physical and mental development. Not all work carried out by children should be clas- sified as child labour that must be eliminated. This includes activities such as helping their parents around the home, assisting in a fam- ily business or earning pocket money outside school hours and during school holidays. Data on child labour are provided by the Statistical In- formation and Monitoring Programme on Child Labour (SIMPOC), which is the statistical arm of the International Programme on the Elimination of Child Labour (IPEC). The challenge of ending child labour remains formidable. A total of 152 million children — 64 million girls and 88 million boys -– are engaged in child labour globally, accounting for nearly one in ten children worldwide. Nearly half of all children engaged in child labour — 73 million children in absolute terms -– perform hazardous work that directly endangers their health, safety, and emotional development. Children in em- ployment, a broader measure comprising both child labour and the permitted forms of employ- ment involving children of a legal working age, account for 218 million (ILO, 2017). Figure 16 presents the relationship be- tween the child labour and countries’ industrial development. Data are available from the house- hold surveys conducted mostly in developing economies. The largest share of child labour is reported in the agricultural sector. Child labour fills the income gap in many countries. As countries industrialize, income increases and the share of child labour declines.
  • 35. 35 Figure 16: Comparison of the total child labour rate, reported for 2010-2016, with MVA per capita and the CIP index, both measured in 2017. Source: ILOSTAT 2019 (ILO, 2017), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
  • 36.
  • 38.
  • 39. Education Education is in every sense one of the fun- damental factors of development. No country can achieve sustainable economic development without substantial investment in human capi- tal. Education enriches people’s understanding of themselves and the world. It improves the quality of their lives and leads to broad social benefits for individuals and society. Education raises people’s productivity and creativity and promotes entrepreneurship and technological ad- vances. In addition, it plays a crucial role in securing economic and social progress and im- proving income distribution. Figure 17: World map of adjusted net enrolment rate in primary school, most recent available values. Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics 2019 (UNESCO, 2019) There is a two-way relationship between industrial development and education. Growth in industrialization creates high demand for a skilled and trained workforce thereby encour- aging education among youth, while at the same time providing revenues that can then be directed
  • 40. 40 towards further developing education. A lack of job opportunities for youth in developing coun- tries, however, has forced many to emigrate to industrialized countries, which has been the root cause for international human trafficking, one of the worst humanitarian problems the global community faces today. Only industrialization and the creation of employment opportunities can provide the livelihoods that allow people in many developing countries to flourish in their place of origin. This section presents statistical evidence based on the main education indicators – the adjusted net enrolment rate in primary school, the net enrolment rate in secondary school and the inequality-adjusted education index. Adjusted net enrolment rate in primary school The adjusted net enrolment rate in primary school is represented as the total number of pupils of official primary school age who are enrolled in primary or secondary education. The indicator is expressed as a percentage of the cor- responding population. Data are collected annu- ally by the UNESCO Institute of Statistics from official responses to its education surveys. While the net enrolment rate only reflects the number of pupils in the official primary school age group at the primary education level, the adjusted net enrolment rate extends this measure to those of the official primary school age range who have reached the secondary education level because they might have accessed primary education ear- lier than the official entrance age or might have skipped a grade due to exceptional performance. Figure 18: Comparison of the adjusted net enrolment rate in primary school with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in the period 2015-2017. Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics 2019 (UNESCO, 2019), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) The global distribution of the adjusted net enrolment rate in primary school is presented in Figure 17. Due to the high sparsity of the data in recent years, the latest available value for each country was used. The lowest net ad- justment enrolment rates in primary school are generally observed in the sub-Saharan African region. The countries with the lowest reported value of the adjusted net enrolment rate in pri- mary school were South Sudan (32.25 per cent
  • 41. 41 in 2015), Afghanistan (26.77 per cent in 1993) and Somalia (14.45 per cent in 1980). The best performing countries were Canada, Singapore and Viet Nam, all reporting more than 99.9 per cent enrolment in primary school. Figure 18 illustrates the relationship between the adjusted net enrolment rate in primary school and indicators of industrial development. Both plots support the positive synergies between edu- cation and industrialization. The higher variabil- ity of the adjusted net enrolment rates in primary school is demonstrated by countries with low industrial performance, i.e. other developing economies and least developed countries. The adjusted net enrolment rates in primary school in countries with higher MVA per capita values and CIP scores are exclusively above 90 per cent. Figure 19: Progression of the relationship between the adjusted net enrolment rate in primary school and MVA per capita and the CIP index since 1995. Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics 2019 (UNESCO, 2019), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) The positive correlation between the ad- justed net enrolment rate in primary school and the high level of industrial development has also been observed in the long-term perspec- tive. Figure 19 demonstrates how progress in enrolment in primary education clearly fosters industrial development and as countries industri- alize, they require high skilled workers. More- over, the rapid improvement of the adjusted net enrolment rate in primary school has been recorded in LDCs over the last 20 years. Net enrolment rate in secondary school Many countries have pledged their commit- ment to achieve higher levels of education than universal primary education only and have ex- tended their target to include the secondary ed- ucation level. The net enrolment rate is the ra- tio of pupils of official school age who are en- rolled in school to the population of the corre- sponding official school age. Secondary educa- tion completes the provision of basic education that began at the primary level, and aims to lay the foundations for lifelong learning and human development, by offering more subject- or skill- oriented instruction provided by more special- ized teachers. Data are collected annually by the UNESCO Institute of Statistics from official responses to its education surveys.
  • 42. 42 Figure 20: Comparison of net enrolment rate in secondary school with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in the period 2015-2017. Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics 2019 (UNESCO, 2019), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) Figure 21: Progression of the relationship between net enrolment rate in secondary school and MVA per capita and the CIP index since 1995. Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics 2019 (UNESCO, 2019), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) In comparison to the adjusted net enrol- ment rate in primary school, the relationship be- tween industrial development and the net enrol- ment rate in secondary school is much stronger. A clear positive correlation pattern is visible in Figure 20. The countries’ classifications accord- ing to level of industrial development are per- ceptibly separated and thus suggest an important role of industrialization for education. In LDCs with a low MVA per capita, the enrolment rate is
  • 43. 43 usually reported to be below 50 per cent. By con- trast, the net enrolment rate in secondary school in industrialized economies with a high MVA per capita was above 80 per cent in 2017. The change in the progression of the net enrolment rate in secondary school over time is depicted in Figure 21. An overall improve- ment in net enrolment rates in secondary school seems to be positively correlated with industrial development. The global secondary school en- rolment rate has increased over the past 20 years. While LDCs reported enrolment rates close to zero in the period 1995-2004, a rapid upward trend has been noted since 2010. Inequality-adjusted education index The inequality-adjusted education index is part of the calculation process of the HDI index and represents the HDI education index adjusted for inequality in the distribution of years of schooling based on data from household surveys (UNDP, 2018). Figure 22 depicts a strong relationship be- tween the inequality-adjusted education index and industrial development variables. Coun- tries with high values of MVA per capita and CIP scores generally also achieve high scores in the inequality-adjusted education index and vice versa. Moreover, economies are orga- nized in accordance with their classification by level of industrial development, which indicates a substantial correlation between education and industrial development. Figure 22: Comparison of the inequality-adjusted education index with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in 2017. Source: UNDP IHDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) Both plots in Figure 23 reveal a strong rela- tionship between both variables throughout the last 20 years, which remains unchanged. Fur- thermore, the relationship seems to be constantly increasing over time (1995-2017), regardless of industrial development group.
  • 44. 44 Figure 23: Progression of the relationship between the inequality-adjusted education index and MVA per capita and the CIP index since 1995. Source: UNDP IHDI 2018 (UNDP, 2018), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
  • 46.
  • 47. Health Universal health coverage remains a ma- jor global challenge. Health is a crucial social and economic asset – a cornerstone of human development. Many deaths and injuries could be prevented with timely and affordable access to appropriate pharmaceutical products and related health care services. Inclusive and sustainable industrial development prioritizes high-level innova- tion and scientific research, including the development of new medical treatments, vac- cines and medical technologies. Through their expertise and resources, locally operating phar- maceutical and medical equipment industries can play a decisive role in meeting the global health challenge by developing innovative, safe and effective pharmaceutical products and working with other stakeholders to make them available, affordable and accessible to people who lack them, especially the most marginalized groups (UNIDO, 2015). Figure 24: World map of life expectancy at birth reported in 2017. Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b)
  • 48. 48 Industrial development has also been asso- ciated with negative environmental effects such as pollution, climate change, habitat destruction and over-exploitation of natural resources, and thus has a fundamental impact on human health. Nonetheless, the process of industrialization has radically changed in recent years. One of the pre- requisites for industry to flourish in a sustainable manner is the availability of a guaranteed supply of affordable and clean energy, together with im- proved resource efficiency. Many countries have introduced norms and regulations to ensure that adverse impacts are minimized, starting with the planning stage, choice of location and adoption of best available technologies. Five indicators linked to human health were selected for this report to demonstrate their level of association with industrial development – life expectancy at birth, infant mortality rate, lifetime risk of maternal death, prevalence of undernour- ishment and people using at least basic drinking water services. Life expectancy at birth Life expectancy at birth refers to how long, on average, a new-born can expect to live if cur- rent death rates do not change. However, the actual age-specific death rate of any particular birth cohort cannot be known in advance. If rates fall, actual life spans will be higher than the life expectancy calculated using current death rates. Life expectancy at birth is one of the most fre- quently used health status indicators. Increases in life expectancy at birth can be attributed to a number of factors, including rising living stan- dards, improved lifestyle and better education, as well as greater access to quality health services. This indicator is measured in number of years. Figure 25: Comparison of life expectancy at birth with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in 2017. Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) Life expectancy at birth refers to the average number of years a new-born is expected to live if mortality patterns at the time of the child’s birth remain constant in the future. In other words, it considers the number of deaths among people of different ages in a given year, and provides a snapshot of these overall mortality characteris- tics of the population for that year.
  • 49. 49 The data used in this report come from the World Development Indicators (WDI) database. The figures are taken from various data sources: (1) the United Nations Population Division. World Population Prospects: 2019 Revision; or derived from male and female life expectancy at birth from sources such as: (2) census reports and other statistical publications from national statistical offices, (3) Eurostat: Demographic Statistics, (4) the United Nations Statistical Division. Population and Vital Statistics Re- port (various years), (5) U.S. Census Bureau: International Database, and (6) Secretariat of the Pacific Community: Statistics and Demography Programme. The regional differences in life expectancy at birth (in years) between countries are depicted in Figure 24. In most of African countries, life ex- pectancy is below 65 years, which is much lower than that in the rest of the world. More specifi- cally, the life expectancy in Sierra Leone is 52 years and only 23 years in the Central African Republic or Chad. By contrast, Algeria reported a life expectancy of above 73 years. The high- est life expectancy rate for 2017 was reported by Hong Kong ROC (85), Japan, China Macao SAR and Switzerland (all around 84 years). The close positive relationship between industrial development and life expectancy at birth is shown in Figure 25. Countries with a long life expectancy rate are typically those with high MVA per capita or CIP scores and vice versa. On the other hand, a relatively high vari- ability can be observed within the group of other developing economies, including countries with a high life expectancy like Lebanon or Cuba (80 years), as well as countries with a very low life expectancy at birth, namely Nigeria and Côte d’Ivoire (54 years). Looking at the overall trend of life ex- pectancy at birth and industrial development over the last 20 years, extremely positive progress has been made (Figure 26). The improvement is sub- stantial in all countries, regardless of their stage of industrial development measured by MVA per capita or CIP scores. The progress made by LDCs is obviously notable. Figure 26: Progression of the relationship between life expectancy at birth and MVA per capita and the CIP index since 1995. Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
  • 50. 50 Infant mortality rate The infant mortality rate represents the ratio of the number of deaths of children under one year of age in a given year to the number of live births in that year. The value is expressed per 1,000 live births. The main sources of mortality data are important registration systems and direct or indirect estimates based on sample surveys or censuses. Estimates of neonatal, infant, and child mortality tend to vary by source and method for a given period and place. Years of available esti- mates also vary by country, making comparisons across countries and over time difficult. To make neonatal, infant, and child mortality estimates comparable and to ensure consistency across estimates by different agencies, the United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME), which comprises the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), the World Health Organization (WHO), the World Bank, the United Nations Population Division, and other universities and research institutes, de- veloped and adopted a statistical method that uses all available information to reconcile dif- ferences. The method uses statistical models to obtain a best estimate trend line by fitting a country-specific regression model of mortality rates against their reference dates. Figure 27: Comparison of infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in 2017. Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) Despite declining infant mortality rates, marked disparities exist across regions and coun- tries. The infant mortality rate is typically higher in economies with lower levels of industrial development (Figure 27). Although industrial- ized countries report values very close to zero, the opposite is visible for LDCs, i.e. the Central African Republic with 87.6 and Sierra Leone with 81.7 deaths per 1,000 live births. These two countries also reported the lowest life ex- pectancy rates, indicating a close relationship between these two indicators. The overall trend since 1995 suggests a sig- nificant decline in the infant mortality rate as illustrated in Figure 28. This general trend has been particularly obvious in countries with a lower MVA per capita or CIP scores, in which the overall rate of infant mortality has decreased by nearly half over the past 20 years.
  • 51. 51 Figure 28: Progression of the relationship between infant mortality rate and MVA per capita and the CIP index since 1995. Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) Lifetime risk of maternal death Life time risk of maternal death is the proba- bility of a 15-year-old female eventually dying from a maternal cause assuming that current lev- els of fertility and mortality (including maternal mortality) do not change in the future, taking into account competing causes of death. Figure 29: Comparison of lifetime risk of maternal death with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in 2015. Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
  • 52. 52 Similarly to the previous variables, lifetime risk of maternal death is also closely related to industrial development. The higher risk is con- nected to the lower value of MVA per capita and CIP score. The highest lifetime risk of mater- nal death in 2015 were reported by Sierra Leone (5.94 per cent), Chad (5.52 per cent), Somalia (4.64 per cent) and Nigeria (4.51 per cent), i.e. by countries with the highest infant mortality rate and lowest life expectancy. The link between lifetime risk of maternal death and industrial development has improved significantly over all time periods since 1995 (Figure 30). For countries with an MVA per capita of above USD 100 and a CIP score above 0.01, the values of lifetime risk of maternal death are close to zero in all time periods. A positive trend is observable in countries with a lower MVA per capita and CIP scores. In LDCs, life- time risk of maternal death reduces by approx- imately half, a trend that is similar to that ob- served for infant mortality rate. Figure 30: Progression of the relationship between lifetime risk of maternal death and MVA per capita and the CIP index since 1995. Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) Prevalence of undernourishment The prevalence of undernourishment repre- sents an estimate of the share of the population whose habitual food consumption is insufficient to provide the dietary energy levels required to maintain a normal active and healthy life. It is expressed in percentages. Data on undernour- ishment come from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and measure food depriva- tion based on the average food available for hu- man consumption per person, the level of in- equality in access to food, and the minimum calories required by an average person. Good nutrition is the cornerstone of survival, health and development. Well-nourished chil- dren perform better in school, grow into healthy adults and in turn give their children a better start in life. Well-nourished women face fewer risks during pregnancy and childbirth, and their chil- dren set off on more solid developmental paths, both physically and mentally.
  • 53. 53 Figure 31: Comparison of the prevalence of undernourishment with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in 2015. Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) Figure 32: Progression of the prevalence of undernourishment and MVA per capita and the CIP index since 2000. Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) The positive influence of industrial development on the prevalence of undernour- ishment is depicted in Figure 31. In general, a higher prevalence of undernourishment is typ- ical for countries at lower stages of industrial development, i.e. in LDCs and other developing economies. The highest levels of undernourish- ment in 2015 were reported for countries with an MVA per capita of less than USD 100, such as the Central African Republic (60.3 per cent),
  • 54. 54 Zimbabwe (48.2 per cent) and Haiti (47.5 per cent). By contrast, industrialized and emerging industrial economies are clustered together and the prevalence of undernourishment prevails at around 2.5 per cent for the majority of these countries. Improvements in the prevalence of under- nourishment since 2000 are not as striking as for the previously mentioned health-related indicators (Figure 32). This notwithstanding, the prevalence of undernourishment has experienced an overall decrease in the last 15 years. The pos- itive trend is most visible in the case of LDCs. Figure 32 reveals a similar pattern as that de- picted in Figure 31, namely that countries with the highest prevalence of undernourishment are those with an MVA per capita of around USD 100 or CIP scores with a value of 0.003. People using at least basic drinking water services The indicator people using at least basic wa- ter services encompasses both people who use basic water services as well as those who use safely managed water services. Basic drinking water services is defined as drinking water from an improved source, provided collection time is not more than 30 minutes round trip. Improved water sources include piped water, boreholes or tube wells, protected dug wells, protected springs, and packaged or delivered water. Data on drinking water, sanitation and hy- giene are produced by the Joint Monitoring Programme of the World Health Organization (WHO) and the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) based on administrative sources, na- tional censuses and nationally representative household surveys. Global access to safe water and proper hy- giene education can reduce illness and death from disease, leading to improved health, poverty reduction, and higher socio-economic development. Access to safe drinking water is also considered to be a human right, not a privi- lege, for every man, woman, and child. The eco- nomic benefits of safe drinking water services include higher economic productivity, more edu- cation, and health care savings. Figure 33: Comparison of the percentage of people using at least basic drinking water services with MVA per capita and the CIP index, all measured in 2015. Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d)
  • 55. 55 Figure 33 shows that in countries with an MVA per capita of above USD 1,000, ba- sic drinking water services are available for nearly the entire population, with two excep- tions, namely Eswatini with 67.6 per cent and Equatorial Guinea with 49.6 per cent. The avail- ability of drinking water tends to be problematic in LDCs where low values of MVA per capita or CIP scores imply a low percentage of the pop- ulation using drinking water services and vice versa. The lowest share of the population using at least basic drinking water services in 2015 were reported by Eritrea (19.3 per cent), Papua New Guinea (36.6 per cent) and Uganda (38.9 per cent). Figure 34: Progression of the percentage of people using at least basic drinking water services and MVA per capita and the CIP index since 2000. Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2019 (World Bank, 2019b), UNIDO CIP 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019a) and UNIDO MVA 2019 Database (UNIDO, 2019d) A higher level of industrial development has always been related to a higher percentage of the population using at least basic drinking wa- ter services. Regardless of the country’s stage of industrial development, the overall access to basic drinking water services has increased since 2000. More substantial growth in this re- gard has been registered by countries at lower stages of industrial development, as is evident in Figure 34.
  • 56.
  • 57. VIII References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 Appendix I - List of countries and areas included in selected groupings REFERENCES AND APPENDICES
  • 58.
  • 59. References Dodge, Rachel et al. (2012). “The Challenge of Defining Wellbeing”. In: International Journal of Wellbeing 2.3, pages 222–235 (cited on page 7). International Labour Organization (2017). Global estimates of child labour: Results and trends, 2012-2016. Geneva: ILO (cited on pages 34, 35). — (2019). World Employment and Social Outlook: Trends 2019. Geneva: ILO (cited on pages 33, 34). Llena-Nozal, Ana, Neil Martin, and Fabrice Murtin (2019). The economy of well-being: Creating opportunities for people’s well-being and economic growth. OECD Statistics Working Paper. Paris: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (cited on page 7). Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2013). OECD Guidelines on Measuring Subjective Well-being. Paris (cited on page 7). — (2017). How’s Life? 2017: Measuring Well-being. Paris, page 340 (cited on page 7). Stiglitz, Joseph E., Jean-Paul Fitoussi, and Martine Durand (2018). Beyond GDP: Measuring What Counts for Economic and Social Performance. OECD Publishing, address = Paris, page 144 (cited on page 7). The World Bank (2019a). Poverty and Equity database. Washington (cited on pages 25–27). — (2019b). World Development Indicators database. Washington (cited on pages 47–55). United Nations Development Programme (2016). Human Development Report 2016: Human Development for Everyone (cited on page 18). — (2018). Human Development Indices and Indicators 2018, page 119 (cited on pages 17–21, 28, 43, 44). United Nations Development Programme and Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative (2019). Global Multidimensional Poverty Index 2019: Illuminating Inequalities (cited on page 29). United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (2019). UNESCO Institute for Statistics (UIS) database (cited on pages 39–42). United Nations General Assembly (2017). Work of the Statistical Commission pertaining to the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. A/RES/71/313, Available at https://undocs. org/A/RES/71/313 (cited on page 7). United Nations Industrial Development Organization (2013). Industrial Development Report 2013. Vienna: UNIDO (cited on page 34). — (2015). The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development: Achieving the industry-related goals and targets (cited on pages 33, 47). — (2019a). CIP 2019 Database. Vienna (cited on pages 14, 18–21, 26–29, 35, 40–44, 48–55). — (2019b). Competitive Industrial Performance Report 2018. Vienna: UNIDO (cited on page 13). — (2019c). International Yearbook of Industrial Statistics 2019. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing (cited on pages 61, 63). — (2019d). Manufacturing Value Added 2019 Database. Vienna (cited on pages 12, 13, 18–21, 26–29, 35, 40–44, 48–55). — (2019e). Statistical Indicators of Inclusive and Sustainable Industrialization: Biennial Progress Report 2019. Vienna: United Nations Industrial Development Organization (cited on page 11).
  • 60. 60 Upadhyaya, Shyam and David Kepplinger (2014). How industrial development matters to the well- being of the population - Some statistical evidence. Working Paper. Vienna: United Nations Industrial Development Organization (cited on page 8).
  • 61. Methodological Note The visualization of the indicators of inter- est and their relationship with level of industrial development is based on three types of plots. Maps allow us to study local dependencies as well as to perform a worldwide comparison. The most recent values for the year 2017 were se- lected where possible. In the case of sparse data, the last reported value for each country was used. The distribution of values to the classes was done using the Fisher-Jenks algorithm. Relationships between the given indicator and MVA per capita and the CIP index are visu- alized on scatter plots. Where possible, values from the same year (2015 or 2017) are com- pared. In the case of sparse data, the last avail- able values from the period 2015–2017 are com- pared with the MVA per capita and CIP scores reported in the same year. The only exception is the total child labour rate, which was reported for the period 2010–2016 and compared with the industrial development indicators for the year 2017. The overall trend of the relation- ship is indicated by the Loess smoothing curve. The Loess regression is a non-parametric tech- nique that uses a local weighted regression to fit a smooth curve through points in a scatter plot. Loess curves can reveal trends and cycles in data that might be difficult to model with a paramet- ric curve. Moreover, countries are differenti- ated according to colour reflecting their stage of industrial development (UNIDO, 2019c). The top three performing countries from each group (according to the indicator of the interest) are highlighted in the graph by using labels. The last type of plots shows the progression of the relationship throughout a longer time span. Each country is represented in the given time period by the median value reported for the rele- vant years. The overall trend within the period is again indicated by the Loess smoothing curve.
  • 62.
  • 63. Appendix Appendix I - List of countries and areas included in selected groupings 1 INDUSTRIALIZED ECONOMIES EU2 Austria Belgium Czechia Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Hungary Ireland Italy Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom Other Europe Andorra Belarus Iceland Liechtenstein Monaco Norway Russian Federation San Marino Switzerland East Asia China, Hong Kong SAR China, Macao SAR China, Taiwan Province Japan Malaysia Republic of Korea Singapore West Asia Bahrain Kuwait Qatar United Arab Emirates North America Bermuda Canada Greenland United States of America Others Aruba Australia British Virgin Islands Cayman Islands Curaçao French Guiana French Polynesia Guam Israel New Caledonia New Zealand Puerto Rico Trinidad and Tobago United States Virgin Islands 1International Yearbook of Industrial Statistics (UNIDO, 2019c) 2Excluding non-industrialized EU economies.
  • 64. 64 DEVELOPING AND EMERGING INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES By Development EMERGING INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES Argentina Brazil Brunei Darussalam Bulgaria Chile Colombia Costa Rica Croatia Cyprus Egypt Greece India Indonesia Iran (Islamic Republic of) Kazakhstan Latvia Mauritius Mexico North Macedonia Oman Peru Poland Romania Saudi Arabia Serbia South Africa Suriname Thailand Tunisia Turkey Ukraine Uruguay Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of) CHINA OTHER DEVELOPING ECONOMIES Albania Algeria Angola Anguilla Antigua and Barbuda Armenia Azerbaijan Bahamas Barbados Belize Bolivia (Plurinational State of) Bosnia and Herzegovina Botswana Cabo Verde Cameroon Congo Cook Islands Côte d’Ivoire Cuba Dem. People’s Rep of Korea Dominica Dominican Republic Ecuador El Salvador Equatorial Guinea Eswatini Fiji Gabon Georgia Ghana Grenada Guadeloupe Guatemala Guyana Honduras Iraq Jamaica Jordan Kenya Kyrgyzstan Lebanon Libya Maldives Marshall Islands Martinique Micronesia, Fed. States of Mongolia Montenegro Montserrat Morocco Namibia Nicaragua Nigeria Pakistan Palau Panama Papua New Guinea Paraguay Philippines Republic of Moldova Réunion St. Kitts and Nevis St. Lucia St. Vincent and the Grenadines Seychelles Sri Lanka State of Palestine Syrian Arab Republic Tajikistan Tonga Turkmenistan Uzbekistan Viet Nam Zimbabwe
  • 65. 65 LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES Afghanistan Bangladesh Benin Bhutan Burkina Faso Burundi Cambodia Central African Republic Chad Comoros Dem. Rep. of the Congo Djibouti Eritrea Ethiopia Gambia Guinea Guinea-Bissau Haiti Kiribati Lao People’s Dem Rep Lesotho Liberia Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mozambique Myanmar Nepal Niger Rwanda Samoa Sao Tome and Principe Senegal Sierra Leone Solomon Islands Somalia South Sudan Sudan Timor-Leste Togo Tuvalu Uganda United Republic of Tanzania Vanuatu Yemen Zambia
  • 66.
  • 67. Vienna International Centre · P.O. Box 300 1400 Vienna · Austria Tel.: (+43-1) 26026-0 E-mail: unido@unido.org www.unido.org