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Getting Realistic Estimates:
How to Evaluate Software
Project Budget
Prepared by Gregory Entin
Why Realistic
Estimates Matter
“On average, large IT projects run 45% over
budget and 7 percent over time, while delivering
56 percent less value than predicted”
McKinsey report, 2012
Why Realistic Estimates Matter
Pre-requisites for
Realistic Estimates
KNOW YOUR REQUIREMENTS
 Functional
 Non-functional
 Adherence to standards/compliance
Pre-Requisites for Realistic Estimates
Pre-Requisites for Realistic Estimates
• BUDGET
• SCOPE
• TIMELINE
KNOW YOUR CONSTRAINTS
How Estimates Are Done
Image source: https://theconstructor.org/construction/methods-cost-estimation/36532/
• Top-Down / Bottom-Up
• Analogous and Expert Judgment
• Metrics-based / Parametric
• Three-point Estimating
• Use Case Points
How Estimates Are Done
ESTIMATING TECHNIQUES
TOP-DOWN
Estimating Techniques
METRICS-BASED / PARAMETRIC
Estimating Techniques
THREE-POINT ESTIMATES
Estimating Techniques
ANALOGOUS AND EXPERT JUDGMENT
Estimating Techniques
USE CASE POINTS
Estimating Techniques
OPTIMIZATION TECHNIQUES
 Reducing the scope / phased approach
 Considering technology alternatives
 3-rd party solutions
 Low-code platforms
 Open source
How Estimates Are Done
Rough estimates  Detailed estimates 2-3 sprint backlog  Backlog review and refinement  Roadmap planning
Estimates vs Budgets: Agile Approach
QUALITY MANAGEMENT
 Requirement analysis
 Unit testing
 Systematic manual testing
 Automated end-to-end tests
 Security audit and penetration testing
 etc.
How Estimates Are Done
Source: Apexon
TECH DEBT MANAGEMENT
Ongoing effort that starts from the estimating and
budgeting
 Hard-to-find issues
 Hard-to-fix issues
 Instabilities
 Security issues
 Performance issues
How Estimates Are Done
Evaluate the Estimator
INDUSTRY EXPERIENCE STANDARDS, GUIDELINES,
CERTIFICATIONS AWARENESS
Evaluate the Estimator
TECHNOLOGY EXPERTISE QUESTIONS ASKED
Lessons Learned
CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT
IS ESSENTIAL
BE OPTIMISTIC BUT
STILL REALISTIC
FOLLOW THE AGILE
PROCESS
PICK THE RIGHT
DEVELOPMENT PARTNER
Lessons Learned
Thank You!
+1 (847) 559-0864
sales@velvetech.com
www.velvetech.com
601 Skokie Blvd.,
Suite105,
Northbrook, IL 60062

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