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C 1003, ONE BKC, G Block, BKC, Mumbai – 400 051, India.
The Maratha Agitation:
A Changing Tone!
September 24, 2016
Disclaimer
This report contains information obtained by GRID 91 Pvt. Ltd. from public and individual sources. No opinion is provided in respect of the corporate
entities or individuals who are the subjects of the report, nor the validity, comprehensiveness or accuracy of the original source of this information. This
report does not constitute a recommendation as to what action should be taken. It is difficult to verify all aspects of the information obtained due to the
nature of the research and the limitations of public records.
Due care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of information contained in this report. However, given the limitations of obtaining such information as
noted above, no responsibility will be taken by GRID 91 Pvt. Ltd. for the consequences of relying upon information contained in this report. Information
supplied in this report is intended for the sole purpose of the recipient’s evaluation and is not intended for public dissemination.
Page 1 of 9
Meeting of
Maratha leaders
and members of
the various district
committees of the
Maratha agitation
at the Shivaji
Mandir Hall
The Build Up
On September 20, members of the Maratha community held a meeting at Shivaji Mandir Hall
in the Dadar locale of Mumbai. These members have been instrumental in organizing The
Maratha Kranti Morcha (Maratha Revolution Rally) across the state of Maharashtra in the
recent past.
The Maratha Kranti Morcha (Maratha Revolution Rally), which is an amalgamation of several
district and sub district level Maratha committees of the state of Maharashtra is planning on
holding a demonstration of ‘mammoth’ proportions in Mumbai, tentatively on October 22-23
and coincidentally before the commemoration of the Hindu Festival, Diwali. During the
meeting, several Maratha leaders took to the stage to voice their gross dissatisfaction with
leaders in the incumbent government led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-Shiv Sena
coalition as well as against leaders in the opposition party. The Maratha Revolution Rally for
Mumbai is reportedly slated to garner around 2.5 million participants from across the state.
Most of these participants are anticipated to arrive in droves from several districts across
Maharashtra. The Maratha committees on a district and sub-district level have organized
themselves into one singular forum to carry out the future steps of the agitation. The rally in
Mumbai, is supposed to be the last stand with a demand for the Chief Minister Devendra
Fadnavis to be present for the signing of a memorandum on Maratha reservation which will be
handed over to him by the protest leaders. The rally has been called for to be peaceful, as seen
during the previous protests in which protesters held silent marches across several districts in
Maharashtra starting in July 2016 in Aurangabad district. A similar rally has also been called
for in Pune on September 25. During the meeting on September 20, several civilians belonging
to the Maratha community pledged their allegiance to the cause while coming forward to show
their support for the rally in Mumbai.
GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&BeyondGRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond
Page 2 of 9
Leaders Getting Vocal, Participation’s Increasing, There’s a Shift in Tone
Several Maratha leaders, including the orchestrator of the first such rally are members with
varied political affiliations but have combined their forces for the Maratha reservation demand
while political leaders such as Bhai Jagtap, belonging to the main opposition party, the Indian
National Congress (INC) were present for the meeting on September 20. The issue pertaining
to the rural nature of the members of the Maratha community was also raised during the
meeting while local service organizations like the Dabbahwallah’s Union (a local organization
of lunch delivery men that delivers homemade lunch food to millions of professionals across
Mumbai) has also pledged its support to the agitation due to its 100 percent Maratha
membership.
In the last few days, following the
meeting, threatening messages of the
perceived power of the Marathas have
been floating around on social media,
warning of a backlash if the demands of
reservations are not met.
Several top Maratha leaders including
former Chief Ministers Narayan Rane
and Sharad Pawar have blamed the BJP-
led state government for not addressing
the Maratha reservation issue; while
Narayan Rane has also issued a
threatening statement citing that
Marathas are currently fighting the
government by their thoughts, but they
could pick up swords if need be due to the
warrior history of the Maratha caste. Shiv
Sena supremo Uddhav Thackeray held a
press conference on September 21 and addressed the issue of Maratha reservations while
opposing Sharad Pawar, who he has alleged of orchestrating the Maratha agitation, of
convening a special session of the Legislative Assembly for discussions over the demands for
Maratha reservations rather than organizing protest marches.
GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond
Page 3 of 9
The Mumbai Rally - An End to the Movement or Just the Beginning?
Taking into account, the call given by the Maratha leaders organizing the protest in Mumbai
for the rally to be peaceful and given that previous rallies by the community have witnessed no
serious incidents of major unrest, the likelihood of the slated rally in Mumbai to be
accompanied with instances of violence should ideally be unlikely however given that the rally
in Mumbai is slated to be the last one in a series of protest marches held by the Maratha Kranti
Morcha, the conclusion of the agitation might witness localized instances of unrest, in the case
that the government decides not to accept the demands of the community or does not appear
to appease the protesting Marathas.
The mass mobilization of members of the Maratha community along the streets of a congested
city like Mumbai is expected to cause severe disruptions to traffic, train travel and continuity
of business at least on the day of the protest rally. Further, the mass movement of people from
districts across Maharashtra may also cause problems to daily commuters and those operating
in Mumbai on the date of the protest.
On the political front, the rally which has
supposedly been logistically and financially
supported by members of the opposition
parties in Maharashtra, can be viewed as a
ploy to destabilize the government. It has
been peaceful thus far because the
architects of the movement have wanted it
to be peaceful however there is increasing
active participation by top leaders, some of
whom have been known to adopt aggressive
political strategies. Their intent might be to
alienate the Maratha community which
constitutes 32 % of the state’s population,
from the BJP, for which the community
voted in sizeable numbers. Several leaders
of the Shiv Sena, and Union and state
ministers of the BJP itself, including
Minister of State for Consumer Affairs
Raosaheb Danve have displayed solidarity
with the march and might even attend with a number of Indian National Congress (INC) and
Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) opposition members. Sources have shared that Raj
Thackeray (President – Maharashtra Navnirman Sena) would hold a special press conference
to speak on the Maratha Reservation and the Dalit Atrocity Act tentatively between October
GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond
Page 4 of 9
1 – 10 and Uddhav Thackeray (President – Shiv Sena) would be speaking on the Maratha issue
during his Dussera Melava (Dussera Rally) speech. According to the proceedings of the
meeting held in Mumbai on September 20, there seems to be scope for the protest to bring
Mumbai to a standstill which carries the likelihood of impacting business continuity within the
city. Moreover, the opposition to the incumbent government on the issue might manifest into
protests outside government buildings and at iconic locations in the city by the end of October.
The situation also has the capacity of spiralling into a law and order problem for the state
administration in the case the protests turn violent if the police attempt to intervene in the
peaceful protest, anticipating any untoward incident. During the protest there are also
possibilities of some miscreants using the large crowds to further their political agenda and
incite violence while security arrangements across the city of Mumbai are liable to be
excessively increased when the protest actually takes place.
What’s Coming Up?
Red: Upcoming protests Blue: Recently held protests
*The date for the Maratha Kranti Morcha’s silent march for Satara has not been decided.
GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond
Page 5 of 9
Pune Maratha silent march slated for September 25
The Maratha agitation will reach Pune on September 25. Over 1 million participants have
pledged their support to the Maratha silent protest march in Pune. The Pune Police has asked
citizens to stay indoors on September 25 due to the proposed march and are reportedly going
to clear 18 roads in the city from where thousands of protesters are supposed to converge
along the arterial Laxmi Road.
Protesters will gather at the Deccan Gymkhana, the rally will then proceed onto Jangli Maharaj
Road and move to the Sambhaji statue near Khanduji Baba Chowk. After offering garlands to
the statue, it will move towards Laxmi Road via Sambhaji Bridge. From there, the protesters
will come out onto Nehru Road and enter Camp through Quarter Gate. Going over Nehru
Memorial Hall and the Blue Nile Hotel, the walkers will finish their protest at Council Hall.
Red line indicates the route of the silent march through Pune on September 25
Below shared is an advisory of the Pune Police dated September 22, warning protesters of not
using any casteist, religious slogans, weapons during the protest march. Further, the Pune
Police has also warned the protesters of not deviating from the prescribed route of the protest
while requesting their utmost cooperation. In the eventuality that these norms are not
followed the Pune Police has threatened of discontinuing the protest march.
GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond
Page 6 of 9
GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond
Page 7 of 9
GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond
Page 8 of 9
Thane Maratha committee meeting to be held on September 25
The Maratha district and sub-district committees will be holding a meeting on September 25,
similar to the one witnessed in Mumbai on September 20, to decide the date on which they
plan to take out a silent protest rally in Thane, approximately 27 kilometres from Mumbai. In
Thane a similar mobilization of around 2 million protesters is expected for the Maratha Kranti
Morcha rally.
Protest rally planned for Nashik district on September 24
According to the organizers approximately 1.5-2 million people are slated to extend their
support to the peaceful protest march. The protest march will begin at 10 AM from Tapovan
and travel through Panchavati Karanja, Victoria Bridge, Ravivar Peth, Tilak road, M G road and
end at the District Collectorate office.
GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond

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The Maratha Agitation: A Changing Tone

  • 1. C 1003, ONE BKC, G Block, BKC, Mumbai – 400 051, India. The Maratha Agitation: A Changing Tone! September 24, 2016 Disclaimer This report contains information obtained by GRID 91 Pvt. Ltd. from public and individual sources. No opinion is provided in respect of the corporate entities or individuals who are the subjects of the report, nor the validity, comprehensiveness or accuracy of the original source of this information. This report does not constitute a recommendation as to what action should be taken. It is difficult to verify all aspects of the information obtained due to the nature of the research and the limitations of public records. Due care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of information contained in this report. However, given the limitations of obtaining such information as noted above, no responsibility will be taken by GRID 91 Pvt. Ltd. for the consequences of relying upon information contained in this report. Information supplied in this report is intended for the sole purpose of the recipient’s evaluation and is not intended for public dissemination.
  • 2. Page 1 of 9 Meeting of Maratha leaders and members of the various district committees of the Maratha agitation at the Shivaji Mandir Hall The Build Up On September 20, members of the Maratha community held a meeting at Shivaji Mandir Hall in the Dadar locale of Mumbai. These members have been instrumental in organizing The Maratha Kranti Morcha (Maratha Revolution Rally) across the state of Maharashtra in the recent past. The Maratha Kranti Morcha (Maratha Revolution Rally), which is an amalgamation of several district and sub district level Maratha committees of the state of Maharashtra is planning on holding a demonstration of ‘mammoth’ proportions in Mumbai, tentatively on October 22-23 and coincidentally before the commemoration of the Hindu Festival, Diwali. During the meeting, several Maratha leaders took to the stage to voice their gross dissatisfaction with leaders in the incumbent government led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-Shiv Sena coalition as well as against leaders in the opposition party. The Maratha Revolution Rally for Mumbai is reportedly slated to garner around 2.5 million participants from across the state. Most of these participants are anticipated to arrive in droves from several districts across Maharashtra. The Maratha committees on a district and sub-district level have organized themselves into one singular forum to carry out the future steps of the agitation. The rally in Mumbai, is supposed to be the last stand with a demand for the Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis to be present for the signing of a memorandum on Maratha reservation which will be handed over to him by the protest leaders. The rally has been called for to be peaceful, as seen during the previous protests in which protesters held silent marches across several districts in Maharashtra starting in July 2016 in Aurangabad district. A similar rally has also been called for in Pune on September 25. During the meeting on September 20, several civilians belonging to the Maratha community pledged their allegiance to the cause while coming forward to show their support for the rally in Mumbai. GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&BeyondGRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond
  • 3. Page 2 of 9 Leaders Getting Vocal, Participation’s Increasing, There’s a Shift in Tone Several Maratha leaders, including the orchestrator of the first such rally are members with varied political affiliations but have combined their forces for the Maratha reservation demand while political leaders such as Bhai Jagtap, belonging to the main opposition party, the Indian National Congress (INC) were present for the meeting on September 20. The issue pertaining to the rural nature of the members of the Maratha community was also raised during the meeting while local service organizations like the Dabbahwallah’s Union (a local organization of lunch delivery men that delivers homemade lunch food to millions of professionals across Mumbai) has also pledged its support to the agitation due to its 100 percent Maratha membership. In the last few days, following the meeting, threatening messages of the perceived power of the Marathas have been floating around on social media, warning of a backlash if the demands of reservations are not met. Several top Maratha leaders including former Chief Ministers Narayan Rane and Sharad Pawar have blamed the BJP- led state government for not addressing the Maratha reservation issue; while Narayan Rane has also issued a threatening statement citing that Marathas are currently fighting the government by their thoughts, but they could pick up swords if need be due to the warrior history of the Maratha caste. Shiv Sena supremo Uddhav Thackeray held a press conference on September 21 and addressed the issue of Maratha reservations while opposing Sharad Pawar, who he has alleged of orchestrating the Maratha agitation, of convening a special session of the Legislative Assembly for discussions over the demands for Maratha reservations rather than organizing protest marches. GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond
  • 4. Page 3 of 9 The Mumbai Rally - An End to the Movement or Just the Beginning? Taking into account, the call given by the Maratha leaders organizing the protest in Mumbai for the rally to be peaceful and given that previous rallies by the community have witnessed no serious incidents of major unrest, the likelihood of the slated rally in Mumbai to be accompanied with instances of violence should ideally be unlikely however given that the rally in Mumbai is slated to be the last one in a series of protest marches held by the Maratha Kranti Morcha, the conclusion of the agitation might witness localized instances of unrest, in the case that the government decides not to accept the demands of the community or does not appear to appease the protesting Marathas. The mass mobilization of members of the Maratha community along the streets of a congested city like Mumbai is expected to cause severe disruptions to traffic, train travel and continuity of business at least on the day of the protest rally. Further, the mass movement of people from districts across Maharashtra may also cause problems to daily commuters and those operating in Mumbai on the date of the protest. On the political front, the rally which has supposedly been logistically and financially supported by members of the opposition parties in Maharashtra, can be viewed as a ploy to destabilize the government. It has been peaceful thus far because the architects of the movement have wanted it to be peaceful however there is increasing active participation by top leaders, some of whom have been known to adopt aggressive political strategies. Their intent might be to alienate the Maratha community which constitutes 32 % of the state’s population, from the BJP, for which the community voted in sizeable numbers. Several leaders of the Shiv Sena, and Union and state ministers of the BJP itself, including Minister of State for Consumer Affairs Raosaheb Danve have displayed solidarity with the march and might even attend with a number of Indian National Congress (INC) and Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) opposition members. Sources have shared that Raj Thackeray (President – Maharashtra Navnirman Sena) would hold a special press conference to speak on the Maratha Reservation and the Dalit Atrocity Act tentatively between October GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond
  • 5. Page 4 of 9 1 – 10 and Uddhav Thackeray (President – Shiv Sena) would be speaking on the Maratha issue during his Dussera Melava (Dussera Rally) speech. According to the proceedings of the meeting held in Mumbai on September 20, there seems to be scope for the protest to bring Mumbai to a standstill which carries the likelihood of impacting business continuity within the city. Moreover, the opposition to the incumbent government on the issue might manifest into protests outside government buildings and at iconic locations in the city by the end of October. The situation also has the capacity of spiralling into a law and order problem for the state administration in the case the protests turn violent if the police attempt to intervene in the peaceful protest, anticipating any untoward incident. During the protest there are also possibilities of some miscreants using the large crowds to further their political agenda and incite violence while security arrangements across the city of Mumbai are liable to be excessively increased when the protest actually takes place. What’s Coming Up? Red: Upcoming protests Blue: Recently held protests *The date for the Maratha Kranti Morcha’s silent march for Satara has not been decided. GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond
  • 6. Page 5 of 9 Pune Maratha silent march slated for September 25 The Maratha agitation will reach Pune on September 25. Over 1 million participants have pledged their support to the Maratha silent protest march in Pune. The Pune Police has asked citizens to stay indoors on September 25 due to the proposed march and are reportedly going to clear 18 roads in the city from where thousands of protesters are supposed to converge along the arterial Laxmi Road. Protesters will gather at the Deccan Gymkhana, the rally will then proceed onto Jangli Maharaj Road and move to the Sambhaji statue near Khanduji Baba Chowk. After offering garlands to the statue, it will move towards Laxmi Road via Sambhaji Bridge. From there, the protesters will come out onto Nehru Road and enter Camp through Quarter Gate. Going over Nehru Memorial Hall and the Blue Nile Hotel, the walkers will finish their protest at Council Hall. Red line indicates the route of the silent march through Pune on September 25 Below shared is an advisory of the Pune Police dated September 22, warning protesters of not using any casteist, religious slogans, weapons during the protest march. Further, the Pune Police has also warned the protesters of not deviating from the prescribed route of the protest while requesting their utmost cooperation. In the eventuality that these norms are not followed the Pune Police has threatened of discontinuing the protest march. GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond
  • 7. Page 6 of 9 GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond
  • 8. Page 7 of 9 GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond
  • 9. Page 8 of 9 Thane Maratha committee meeting to be held on September 25 The Maratha district and sub-district committees will be holding a meeting on September 25, similar to the one witnessed in Mumbai on September 20, to decide the date on which they plan to take out a silent protest rally in Thane, approximately 27 kilometres from Mumbai. In Thane a similar mobilization of around 2 million protesters is expected for the Maratha Kranti Morcha rally. Protest rally planned for Nashik district on September 24 According to the organizers approximately 1.5-2 million people are slated to extend their support to the peaceful protest march. The protest march will begin at 10 AM from Tapovan and travel through Panchavati Karanja, Victoria Bridge, Ravivar Peth, Tilak road, M G road and end at the District Collectorate office. GRID91YourDeriskingPartnersConsulting|Operations|Intelligence&Beyond