1. UNFCCC secretariat, Sustainable Development Mechanisms programme
Robin Rix, Team Lead, Strategy Development
The policy implications of Doha on the
UNFCCC carbon market mechanisms
Bonn, 30 January 2013
2. 2
Continuation of the existing mechanisms
• Doha ended uncertainty over future of mechanisms
• Operations relevant to CP1 were never in doubt
• Now, operations relevant to CP2 are known as well
3. 3
What Doha means for the CDM
• All major CDM functions will continue:
• Registration and issuance
• Accreditation
• Methodology development
• CER flows will be affected in part:
• All Annex I Parties can continue to receive CERs forwarded to
them directly from the CDM registry (primary market)
• Only Annex I Parties with CP2 commitments can transfer or
acquire CERs with each other
4. 4
CP2 CER flows
CDM registry
AI Party with CP2 commitments AI Party without CP2 commitments
5. 5
Other implications of Doha on Kyoto units
• Supply of other CP2 units will be more restricted:
• Constraints on JI: limited to Annex I Parties with CP2
commitments, ERUs cannot be issued until AAUs/RMUs are
issued
• Constraints on carryover from CP1: special accounts,
restrictions on trading/use, political declarations on use (all
but four Annex I Parties)
• Removal of technical obstacles to trading (CPR,
eligibility, ‘paragraph 23’)
• Share of proceeds for adaptation: no change for CDM,
extension to JI and trading
7. 7
Developments under the Convention
• Decision 1/CP.18, paragraphs 41–53
• Recognition of two (competing) principles:
• Parties have the right to develop and implement their own
approaches (including markets)
• … but all such approaches must meet robust standards of
environmental integrity
8. 8
Decision 1/CP.18, paragraphs 41–49
• A framework for various approaches
• Why it is needed
• What mechanisms it will cover
• How it will ensure environmental integrity
• How it will record and track mitigation efforts
• Who will administer it
• To be elaborated in 2013
• Submission deadline of 25 March 2013
• SBSTA agenda in June and November 2013
• COP19 decision in November 2013
9. 9
Decision 1/CP.18, paragraphs 50–53
• The new market-based mechanism
• Key characteristics
• Net decrease in emissions
• Coverage of broad segments
(from projects to sectors)
• Crediting and/or trading
• Ambitious reference levels
• Sustainable development
• Participation by private-sector entities
• Prompt start
• To be elaborated in 2013, parallel process to framework
10. 10
Looking to the future
• Demand remains the critical variable
• Economic uncertainty, suppressed output
• Mitigation targets widely seen as inadequate
• Supply and infrastructure slow and steady progress
• Need to maintain interest and appetite for markets
• Strengthen mechanisms (existing and new) to be ready
for when the world is ready