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Schroeder, Stork, & Vasti
Miami University
Asset
Management
NASDAQ: SAVE
Contents
Investment Thesis
Company Overview
Industry Overview
Key Drivers
Valuation
Final Thoughts
Appendix
Investment Thesis
Spirit Airlines has been oversold in the broader Airline sector sell-off this past
summer. The fundamentals of the stock’s story are unchanged and present a dip-
buying opportunity for the fund.
Oversold
Spirit is down 36% since June 2nd
United Airlines down 21%
Delta is up 0.80%
Temporary Setbacks
Labor disputes
Negative impact from hurricanes
Ticket price slashing from other
airlines
Growth Drivers
Rising oil prices will give Spirit a
competitive advantage
Price war will drive volume
Large upside potential when
ticket prices normalize
Proposal
• High variability around Q3 earnings and Q4 guidance demands a cautious
approach to increasing the fund’s position
• Buy [redacted] shares in the coming weeks: [redacted] shares before Q3 earnings
and [redacted] shares after Q3 earnings
• Investment horizon: 2 – 3 years
Company Overview
• Founded in current form in 1992
• 470+ daily flights serving most of the
top 25 major US markets
• Plan to add 125 more routes over the
next five years
• On average, the entry of Spirit Airlines
increases airport traffic by 35-40%
• Lowest CASM (cost per average seat
mile) in the major airline industry.
$0.0763 CASM. $0.0560 CASM ex-fuel
• Currently have 104 aircraft, plan to
expand to 160 by 2021
• As of March, 59 aircraft are leased
while 36 are owned
• Shifting away from Airbus A319 to
A231
• A319 has 145 seats while A231 has
228 seats
Company Overview
• The current CEO is Robert L. Fornaro
• B.S. from Rutgers University and a
Masters from Harvard University
• Formerly Chairman and CEO of AirTran
Holdings before it was acquired by
Southwest Airlines
• Has 18 years of airline executive
experience
• Director David Elkins purchased
$67,000 worth of shares on 9-15-17
• Chairman of the Board purchased
$168,900 worth of shares on 9-15-17
• Spirit maintains short-term leases on
airport gates, whereas most airlines
have long term leases
• Maintain leases at over 60 airports
• Currently have 5,742 full time
employees
Company Overview
• Traffic (RSM) up 20.6% yr/yr for
August
• Capacity (ASM) up 21% yr/yr for
August
• Cancelled 1,255 flights due to
Hurricane Irma
• Florida and Caribbean are 45% of the
network
Current Price 35.02 Debt/Equity 0.72
Market Cap (in Billions) 2.43 Quick Ratio 1.48
Dividends - Current Ratio 1.79
Diluted EPS (TTM) 3.45 FCF (TTM) (70.88)
Operating Margin 18.92% Profit Margin 11.14%
Key Financial Figures
Flight Network
• Large presence in Florida
and Northeast
• Operates primarily in large
hubs (big airport to big
airport)
• Adding 6 new nonstop
services on November 9th
Industry Overview
• Capacity expansion and traffic growth
have both been strong in 2017:
(up 6 to 7% year-over-year)
• Capacity in the US has slightly
outpaced traffic growth, putting
downward pressure on fares
• IATA (Int’l Air Transport Association)
increased domestic RPK forecasts for
2017 from 3.4% to 4.7% yr/yr growth
• Spirit and United are currently
engaged in a price war, which has
driven fares down
• Price wars are affecting roughly 50%
of the terminals Spirit operates in
• Unit costs are going up and driving
down margins across the industry due
to higher fuel and labor costs
Industry Overview
• While capacity expansion has driven
prices down, JPM believes the
Spirit/United price war is the main
factor driving seat fares
• Spirit and other ULCCs (Ultra-Low Cost
Carriers) operate mainly in big-to-big
markets (major hub to major hub)
• As their research shows, big-to-big
markets have seen very little capacity
expansion
Trends
• Global PMI and RPK (Revenue
Passenger Kilometers) is rising
• Suggests strong continued
demand for air traffic growth
Key Drivers
• Spirit plans to keep fares low in order to grow passenger volume rather than
RASM
• With the increased volume, Spirit will expand into more large domestic hubs to
compete with higher priced competitors
• This is a winning strategy because Spirit has the lowest CASM of any airline and
can sustain low fares for the short term future
Key Drivers - Oil
• OPEC production cut talks increasing
• Russia requires oil at $72/Barrel to cover govt. spending
• Demand increasing over supply
• Building resistance around $50/Barrel
Key Drivers - Oil
• Weak USD
• Rumblings in Iraq and Kurdistan could disrupt flow of 500 barrels per day after
independence vote
• Trump expected to decertify Iran from 2015 nuclear agreement
• ”The worst deal ever.” - Trump
• Create another level of geopolitical uncertainty
• Oil inventories are decreasing
• Oil rigs in operation is decreasing as well
SWOT Analysis
Strengths
• Cost structure advantage over competitors
• Youngest airline fleet in the industry
• Large cash reserve and business model makes
Spirit resilient in bear markets
Weaknesses
• Heavy exposure in hurricane-impacted areas
(Florida, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic)
• Margins will come under pressure from increased
labor expenses after labor disputes are settled
Opportunities Threats
• Ongoing labor dispute with pilots, possible strike
• Continued price wars with United with no
indication of an end
• Labor issues caused Spirit to miss out on key
bookings during Labor Day weekend which will
negatively impact Q4 earnings
• Growing fleet by 53% over the next four years
(11.4% annualized)
• Higher capacity planes will drive CASM down
further
Valuation Tables
Company Ticker EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT EV/EBITDAR P/E P/B P/Sales
Spirit Airlines SAVE 1.07 4.99 6.44 12.04 9.59 1.62 0.98
Allegiant ALGT 1.83 6.31 8.73 22.46 11.69 4.59 1.48
American AAL 1.04 6.82 9.83 18.96 9.73 6.64 0.62
Delta DAL 1.09 5.37 7.16 16.40 10.50 2.78 0.95
JetBlue JBLU 0.97 4.22 5.76 13.61 9.79 1.56 0.94
Southwest LUV 1.67 7.38 10.10 21.48 16.37 4.09 1.71
United UAL 0.75 4.41 6.52 13.46 7.99 2.22 0.54
High 1.83 7.38 10.10 22.46 16.37 6.64 1.71
Mean 1.22 5.75 8.02 17.73 11.01 3.64 1.04
Median 1.06 5.84 7.94 17.68 10.15 3.43 0.94
Low 0.75 4.22 5.76 13.46 7.99 1.56 0.54
Spirit's Rank* 4 5 6 7 6 6 3
*1 being highest, 7 being lowest
EV/EBITDAR is based on current EV and TTM EBITDAR from Q2 reportings
Valuation
• Based on a comps analysis,
Spirit is slightly undervalued to
fairly valued given current
conditions. However; we
believe that Spirit’s growth
potential and competitive
advantage present significant
upside from the current price.
• The use of multiples between
the median and lowest values
is fair given Spirit’s high debt
and risk factors.
EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT EV/EBITDAR
Median 1.06 5.84 7.94 17.68
Implied EV 2,649.51 3,110.98 3,277.25 3,900.46
Minus Net Debt 120.47 120.47 120.47 120.47
Implied Equity Value 2,529.04 2,990.51 3,156.78 3,779.99
Shares Outstanding 69.37 69.37 69.37 69.37
Implied Share Price 36.46$ 43.11$ 45.51$ 54.49$
Low 0.75 4.22 5.76 13.46
Implied EV 1,872.70 2,248.88 2,376.89 2,968.74
Minus Net Debt 120.47 120.47 120.47 120.47
Implied Equity Value 1,752.23 2,128.41 2,256.42 2,848.27
Shares Outstanding 69.37 69.37 69.37 69.37
Implied Share Price 25.26$ 30.68$ 32.53$ 41.06$
Average 30.86 36.90 39.02 47.78
Current Valuation 38.64$
based on TTM figures from GAAP Income Statement
RASM/CASM Spreads
• Spirit will win the price war given their
extremely low CASM by outlasting
competitors such as United
• Spirit will provide greater upside
relative to peers as seat prices rise
Airline RASM* CASM* Spread
Spirit 8.82 7.62 1.20
American 12.91 13.48 (0.57)
Delta 12.60 12.60 -
United 11.11 12.53 (1.42)
Southwest 12.45 11.42 1.03
JetBlue 11.20 10.56 0.64
*RASM and CASM are displayed in cents
source: JPMorgan Equity Research,FY17
Estimates
Q3 Earnings Estimate
• Estimated EPS of $0.68 and Revenue
of $672M for Q3
• Analyst estimates ranging from $0.50
to $0.91 EPS
• High variability surrounding this
quarter due to extraordinary events
• Likely to see a significant downward
revision in Q4 EPS estimates by
management
• Earnings in Q3 and Q4 will likely be
weak due to inclement weather and
labor disputes
• JPM has cut Q4 EPS estimates by 60%
• If price wars persist, earnings could be
negatively impacted for FY2018 as
well
• Spirit will emerge as the winner in the
price war, resulting in higher volume
and market share
• Large upside when seat fares
normalize
Final Thoughts
Spirit Airlines has been oversold in the broader Airline sector sell-off this past summer. While Q3
and Q4 will be difficult, the business model is sound and growing. The fundamentals of the stock’s
story are unchanged and present a dip-buying opportunity for the fund.
Oversold
Spirit is down 36% since June 2nd
United Airlines down 21%
Delta is up 0.80%
Temporary Setbacks
Pilot strike
Negative impact from hurricanes
Ticket price slashing from other
airlines
Growth Potential
Rising oil prices will give Spirit a
competitive advantage
Price war will drive volume
Large upside potential when
ticket prices normalize
Income Statement
In Millions of USD except Per Share Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Est
3 Months Ending 09/30/2015 12/31/2015 03/31/2016 06/30/2016 09/30/2016 12/31/2016 03/31/2017 06/30/2017 09/30/2017
Revenue 574.8 519.8 538.1 584.1 621.3 578.4 591.7 701.7 672.81
+ Sales & Services Revenue 319.8 267.5 272.6 296.4 331.0 300.6 299.8 371.9 351.39
+ Other Revenue 255.0 252.4 265.5 287.7 290.3 277.8 292.0 329.8 321.42
+ Other Operating Income 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -
- Operating Expenses 417.6 399.5 436.8 462.3 486.1 493.0 532.3 568.9 556.35
+ Selling, General & Admin 23.1 20.7 22.9 24.7 25.6 23.4 — — -
+ Selling & Marketing 23.1 20.7 22.9 24.7 25.6 23.4 26.5 29.9 28.44
+ Depreciation & Amortization 19.6 22.3 23.1 25.0 25.3 27.8 31.5 35.3 36.01
+ Other Operating Expense 374.9 356.6 390.8 412.6 435.2 441.8 474.3 503.7 491.90
Operating Income (Loss) 157.2 120.3 101.3 121.8 135.2 85.3 59.4 132.7 116.46
Operating Margin 27.35% 23.15% 18.82% 20.86% 21.76% 14.75% 10.04% 18.92% 17.31%
- Non-Operating (Income) Loss 2.9 2.2 3.2 6.1 7.3 7.6 7.6 8.7 9.03
+ Interest Expense, Net 5.7 2.5 3.2 5.9 7.1 7.5 7.6 8.6 9.03
+ Interest Expense 6.0 4.0 4.7 7.4 8.3 8.5 8.9 10.4 10.85
- Interest Income 0.2 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.8 1.83
+ Other Non-Op (Income) Loss -2.9 -0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 -
Pretax Income 154.4 118.1 98.1 115.7 128.0 77.7 51.8 124.1 107.44
- Income Tax Expense (Benefit) 57.3 43.7 36.1 42.6 46.6 29.2 19.9 45.9 40.12
Income (Loss) from Cont Ops 97.1 74.4 61.9 73.1 81.4 48.5 31.9 78.1 67.31
- Net Extraordinary Losses (Gains) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.88
+ Discontinued Operations 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -
+ XO & Accounting Changes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -
Income (Loss) Incl. MI 97.1 74.4 61.9 73.1 81.4 48.5 31.9 78.1 47.44
- Minority Interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -
Net Income, GAAP 97.1 74.4 61.9 73.1 81.4 48.5 31.9 78.1 47.44
- Preferred Dividends 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -
- Other Adjustments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -
Net Income Avail to Common, GAAP 97.1 74.4 61.9 73.1 81.4 48.5 31.9 78.1 47.44
Net Income Avail to Common, Adj 97.3 73.3 72.6 78.7 86.4 54.1 35.8 79.1
Net Abnormal Losses (Gains) 0.2 -1.1 10.7 5.6 5.1 5.6 3.8 1.0
Net Extraordinary Losses (Gains) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Basic Weighted Avg Shares 71.7 71.5 71.6 70.8 69.7 69.3 69.3 69.4 69.37
Basic EPS, GAAP 1.35 1.04 0.87 1.03 1.17 0.70 0.46 1.13 0.68
Basic EPS from Cont Ops 1.35 1.04 0.87 1.03 1.17 0.70 0.46 1.13 0.68
Basic EPS from Cont Ops, Adjusted 1.36 1.02 1.01 1.11 1.24 0.78 0.52 1.14 0.68
Balance Sheet – Assets
In Millions of USD Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017
3 Months Ending 09/30/2015 12/31/2015 03/31/2016 06/30/2016 09/30/2016 12/31/2016 03/31/2017 06/30/2017
Total Assets
+ Cash, Cash Equivalents & STI 748.9 803.6 902.8 1,014.1 926.0 801.1 918.4 969.6
+ Cash & Cash Equivalents 748.9 803.6 902.8 1,014.1 825.9 700.9 818.1 869.2
+ ST Investments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.1 100.2 100.3 100.5
+ Accounts & Notes Receiv 33.1 28.3 32.5 40.7 35.9 41.1 48.7 48.0
+ Accounts Receivable, Net 33.1 28.3 32.5 40.7 35.9 41.1 48.7 48.0
+ Other ST Assets 136.6 194.4 134.0 129.0 141.6 133.7 179.4 212.9
+ Derivative & Hedging Assets — — — — — — — —
+ Deferred Tax Assets 9.6 — — — — — — —
+ Misc ST Assets 126.9 194.4 134.0 129.0 141.6 133.7 179.4 212.9
Total Current Assets 918.6 1,026.3 1,069.3 1,183.8 1,103.5 975.8 1,146.5 1,230.5
+ Property, Plant & Equip, Net 985.8 844.2 1,048.9 1,238.6 1,390.1 1,465.2 1,604.6 1,789.5
+ Property, Plant & Equip 1,041.3 909.7 1,125.6 1,329.2 1,495.8 1,587.7 1,745.1 1,950.7
- Accumulated Depreciation 55.5 65.5 76.7 90.6 105.7 122.5 140.5 161.2
+ LT Investments & Receivables 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Other LT Assets 372.6 660.0 645.0 607.8 636.0 710.9 687.5 654.3
+ Deferred Tax Assets — — — — — 342.4 — —
+ Misc LT Assets 372.6 660.0 645.0 607.8 636.0 368.4 687.5 654.3
Total Noncurrent Assets 1,358.4 1,504.2 1,693.9 1,846.4 2,026.1 2,176.1 2,292.1 2,443.8
Total Assets 2,276.9 2,530.5 2,763.2 3,030.2 3,129.6 3,151.9 3,438.6 3,674.3
Balance Sheet – L&E
In Millions of USD Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017
3 Months Ending 09/30/2015 12/31/2015 03/31/2016 06/30/2016 09/30/2016 12/31/2016 03/31/2017 06/30/2017
Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity
+ Payables & Accruals 15.8 17.0 23.0 27.7 29.9 15.2 39.6 33.2
+ Accounts Payable 15.8 17.0 23.0 27.7 29.9 15.2 39.6 33.2
+ ST Debt 37.8 49.6 53.0 78.6 84.4 84.4 92.7 95.9
+ ST Borrowings 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ ST Capital Leases — — — — — 0.0 — 0.5
+ Current Portion of LT Debt 37.8 49.6 53.0 78.6 84.4 84.4 92.7 95.4
+ Other ST Liabilities 413.3 399.6 491.6 501.2 456.6 432.4 540.9 556.8
+ Deferred Revenue — 0.0 — — — 0.0 — —
+ Misc ST Liabilities 413.3 399.6 491.6 501.2 456.6 432.4 540.9 556.8
Total Current Liabilities 466.9 466.2 567.6 607.5 570.9 532.0 673.2 685.8
+ LT Debt 500.1 596.7 655.1 836.4 894.8 897.4 991.7 1,090.1
+ LT Borrowings 500.1 596.7 655.1 836.4 894.8 897.4 991.7 1,089.2
+ LT Capital Leases — — — — — 0.0 — 0.9
+ Other LT Liabilities 161.2 242.3 262.8 286.9 319.3 328.0 345.4 390.2
+ Accrued Liabilities — 0.0 — — — 0.0 — —
+ Deferred Revenue — 0.0 — — — 0.0 — —
+ Deferred Tax Liabilities 139.5 221.5 242.6 267.4 299.2 308.1 327.7 373.0
+ Misc LT Liabilities 21.8 20.8 20.2 19.5 20.1 19.9 17.7 17.2
Total Noncurrent Liabilities 661.4 839.0 917.9 1,123.3 1,214.1 1,225.4 1,337.1 1,480.3
Total Liabilities 1,128.2 1,305.2 1,485.5 1,730.9 1,785.1 1,757.3 2,010.3 2,166.1
+ Preferred Equity and Hybrid Capital 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Share Capital & APIC 542.0 544.3 545.4 547.8 549.4 551.0 553.8 555.7
+ Common Stock 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Additional Paid in Capital 542.0 544.3 545.4 547.8 549.4 551.0 553.8 555.7
- Treasury Stock 116.1 116.2 126.8 180.8 218.6 218.7 219.7 219.9
+ Retained Earnings 724.4 798.8 860.7 933.8 1,015.1 1,063.6 1,095.6 1,173.7
+ Other Equity -1.6 -1.5 -1.5 -1.5 -1.4 -1.3 -1.3 -1.3
Total Equity 1,148.7 1,225.3 1,277.8 1,299.3 1,344.6 1,394.6 1,428.3 1,508.2
Total Liabilities & Equity 2,276.9 2,530.5 2,763.2 3,030.2 3,129.6 3,151.9 3,438.6 3,674.3
Cash Flow Statement
In Millions of USD Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017
3 Months Ending 09/30/2015 12/31/2015 03/31/2016 06/30/2016 09/30/2016 12/31/2016 03/31/2017 06/30/2017
Cash from Operating Activities
+ Net Income 97.1 74.4 61.9 73.1 81.4 48.5 31.9 78.1
+ Depreciation & Amortization 19.6 22.3 23.1 25.0 25.3 27.8 31.5 35.3
+ Non-Cash Items 35.3 99.4 74.7 28.5 55.6 29.6 32.0 64.2
+ Stock-Based Compensation 2.3 2.2 1.8 2.1 1.6 1.6 2.8 1.9
+ Deferred Income Taxes 63.4 91.7 21.1 24.7 31.8 8.5 19.5 45.3
+ Other Non-Cash Adj -30.4 5.5 51.8 1.7 22.2 19.5 9.7 17.0
+ Chg in Non-Cash Work Cap -87.1 -89.4 98.4 -23.9 -83.1 -72.2 78.7 -28.1
+ (Inc) Dec in Accts Receiv -2.2 4.8 -4.2 -8.4 4.8 -5.1 -7.5 0.7
+ (Inc) Dec in Inventories 0.0 0.0 — 0.0 0.0 0.0 — —
+ Inc (Dec) in Accts Payable -5.5 0.4 4.7 -1.7 -10.1 0.2 18.9 -2.5
+ Inc (Dec) in Other -79.3 -94.5 97.9 -13.7 -77.8 -67.3 67.3 -26.3
+ Net Cash From Disc Ops — 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash from Operating Activities 64.9 106.7 258.1 102.7 79.2 33.6 174.2 149.6
Cash from Investing Activities
+ Change in Fixed & Intang -143.6 -97.0 -159.8 -143.3 -144.3 -93.7 -112.3 -157.3
+ Disp in Fixed & Intang 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Disp of Fixed Prod Assets — 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Disp of Intangible Assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Acq of Fixed & Intang -143.6 -97.0 -159.8 -143.3 -144.3 -93.7 -112.3 -157.3
+ Acq of Fixed Prod Assets -143.6 -97.0 -159.8 -143.3 -144.3 -93.7 -112.3 -157.3
+ Acq of Intangible Assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Net Change in LT Investment 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Net Cash From Acq & Div 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Other Investing Activities -12.2 -64.8 -52.9 -12.4 -151.0 -68.8 -46.7 -39.7
+ Net Cash From Disc Ops 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash from Investing Activities -155.9 -161.8 -212.8 -155.7 -295.3 -162.5 -158.9 -196.9
In Millions of USD Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017
3 Months Ending 09/30/2015 12/31/2015 03/31/2016 06/30/2016 09/30/2016 12/31/2016 03/31/2017 06/30/2017
Cash from Financing Activities
+ Dividends Paid 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Cash From (Repayment) Debt 112.3 111.0 64.2 216.7 68.0 3.9 105.3 100.4
+ Cash From (Repay) ST Debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Cash From LT Debt 120.0 120.8 73.9 226.6 78.0 38.7 115.5 140.3
+ Repayments of LT Debt -7.7 -9.8 -9.7 -9.9 -10.0 -34.8 -10.2 -39.9
+ Cash (Repurchase) of Equity -23.9 -0.1 -9.5 -52.7 -40.1 -0.1 -1.0 -0.2
+ Increase in Capital Stock 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Decrease in Capital Stock -24.9 -0.1 -9.6 -52.7 -40.1 -0.1 -1.0 -0.2
+ Other Financing Activities -17.9 -1.1 -0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 -2.3 -1.9
+ Net Cash From Disc Ops 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash from Financing Activities 70.5 109.9 53.8 164.2 27.9 3.9 102.0 98.4
Effect of Foreign Exchange Rates 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Changes in Cash -20.4 54.7 99.2 111.3 -188.2 -125.0 117.2 51.0
Cash Paid for Taxes 40.9 0.8 -64.2 28.0 18.0 12.6 2.9 1.5
Cash Paid for Interest 2.1 3.2 3.4 18.4 4.2 13.9 3.9 12.9

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Spirit Airlines Stock Pitch

  • 1. Schroeder, Stork, & Vasti Miami University Asset Management NASDAQ: SAVE
  • 2. Contents Investment Thesis Company Overview Industry Overview Key Drivers Valuation Final Thoughts Appendix
  • 3. Investment Thesis Spirit Airlines has been oversold in the broader Airline sector sell-off this past summer. The fundamentals of the stock’s story are unchanged and present a dip- buying opportunity for the fund. Oversold Spirit is down 36% since June 2nd United Airlines down 21% Delta is up 0.80% Temporary Setbacks Labor disputes Negative impact from hurricanes Ticket price slashing from other airlines Growth Drivers Rising oil prices will give Spirit a competitive advantage Price war will drive volume Large upside potential when ticket prices normalize
  • 4. Proposal • High variability around Q3 earnings and Q4 guidance demands a cautious approach to increasing the fund’s position • Buy [redacted] shares in the coming weeks: [redacted] shares before Q3 earnings and [redacted] shares after Q3 earnings • Investment horizon: 2 – 3 years
  • 5. Company Overview • Founded in current form in 1992 • 470+ daily flights serving most of the top 25 major US markets • Plan to add 125 more routes over the next five years • On average, the entry of Spirit Airlines increases airport traffic by 35-40% • Lowest CASM (cost per average seat mile) in the major airline industry. $0.0763 CASM. $0.0560 CASM ex-fuel • Currently have 104 aircraft, plan to expand to 160 by 2021 • As of March, 59 aircraft are leased while 36 are owned • Shifting away from Airbus A319 to A231 • A319 has 145 seats while A231 has 228 seats
  • 6. Company Overview • The current CEO is Robert L. Fornaro • B.S. from Rutgers University and a Masters from Harvard University • Formerly Chairman and CEO of AirTran Holdings before it was acquired by Southwest Airlines • Has 18 years of airline executive experience • Director David Elkins purchased $67,000 worth of shares on 9-15-17 • Chairman of the Board purchased $168,900 worth of shares on 9-15-17 • Spirit maintains short-term leases on airport gates, whereas most airlines have long term leases • Maintain leases at over 60 airports • Currently have 5,742 full time employees
  • 7. Company Overview • Traffic (RSM) up 20.6% yr/yr for August • Capacity (ASM) up 21% yr/yr for August • Cancelled 1,255 flights due to Hurricane Irma • Florida and Caribbean are 45% of the network Current Price 35.02 Debt/Equity 0.72 Market Cap (in Billions) 2.43 Quick Ratio 1.48 Dividends - Current Ratio 1.79 Diluted EPS (TTM) 3.45 FCF (TTM) (70.88) Operating Margin 18.92% Profit Margin 11.14% Key Financial Figures
  • 8. Flight Network • Large presence in Florida and Northeast • Operates primarily in large hubs (big airport to big airport) • Adding 6 new nonstop services on November 9th
  • 9. Industry Overview • Capacity expansion and traffic growth have both been strong in 2017: (up 6 to 7% year-over-year) • Capacity in the US has slightly outpaced traffic growth, putting downward pressure on fares • IATA (Int’l Air Transport Association) increased domestic RPK forecasts for 2017 from 3.4% to 4.7% yr/yr growth • Spirit and United are currently engaged in a price war, which has driven fares down • Price wars are affecting roughly 50% of the terminals Spirit operates in • Unit costs are going up and driving down margins across the industry due to higher fuel and labor costs
  • 10. Industry Overview • While capacity expansion has driven prices down, JPM believes the Spirit/United price war is the main factor driving seat fares • Spirit and other ULCCs (Ultra-Low Cost Carriers) operate mainly in big-to-big markets (major hub to major hub) • As their research shows, big-to-big markets have seen very little capacity expansion
  • 11. Trends • Global PMI and RPK (Revenue Passenger Kilometers) is rising • Suggests strong continued demand for air traffic growth
  • 12. Key Drivers • Spirit plans to keep fares low in order to grow passenger volume rather than RASM • With the increased volume, Spirit will expand into more large domestic hubs to compete with higher priced competitors • This is a winning strategy because Spirit has the lowest CASM of any airline and can sustain low fares for the short term future
  • 13. Key Drivers - Oil • OPEC production cut talks increasing • Russia requires oil at $72/Barrel to cover govt. spending • Demand increasing over supply • Building resistance around $50/Barrel
  • 14. Key Drivers - Oil • Weak USD • Rumblings in Iraq and Kurdistan could disrupt flow of 500 barrels per day after independence vote • Trump expected to decertify Iran from 2015 nuclear agreement • ”The worst deal ever.” - Trump • Create another level of geopolitical uncertainty • Oil inventories are decreasing • Oil rigs in operation is decreasing as well
  • 15. SWOT Analysis Strengths • Cost structure advantage over competitors • Youngest airline fleet in the industry • Large cash reserve and business model makes Spirit resilient in bear markets Weaknesses • Heavy exposure in hurricane-impacted areas (Florida, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic) • Margins will come under pressure from increased labor expenses after labor disputes are settled Opportunities Threats • Ongoing labor dispute with pilots, possible strike • Continued price wars with United with no indication of an end • Labor issues caused Spirit to miss out on key bookings during Labor Day weekend which will negatively impact Q4 earnings • Growing fleet by 53% over the next four years (11.4% annualized) • Higher capacity planes will drive CASM down further
  • 16. Valuation Tables Company Ticker EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT EV/EBITDAR P/E P/B P/Sales Spirit Airlines SAVE 1.07 4.99 6.44 12.04 9.59 1.62 0.98 Allegiant ALGT 1.83 6.31 8.73 22.46 11.69 4.59 1.48 American AAL 1.04 6.82 9.83 18.96 9.73 6.64 0.62 Delta DAL 1.09 5.37 7.16 16.40 10.50 2.78 0.95 JetBlue JBLU 0.97 4.22 5.76 13.61 9.79 1.56 0.94 Southwest LUV 1.67 7.38 10.10 21.48 16.37 4.09 1.71 United UAL 0.75 4.41 6.52 13.46 7.99 2.22 0.54 High 1.83 7.38 10.10 22.46 16.37 6.64 1.71 Mean 1.22 5.75 8.02 17.73 11.01 3.64 1.04 Median 1.06 5.84 7.94 17.68 10.15 3.43 0.94 Low 0.75 4.22 5.76 13.46 7.99 1.56 0.54 Spirit's Rank* 4 5 6 7 6 6 3 *1 being highest, 7 being lowest EV/EBITDAR is based on current EV and TTM EBITDAR from Q2 reportings
  • 17. Valuation • Based on a comps analysis, Spirit is slightly undervalued to fairly valued given current conditions. However; we believe that Spirit’s growth potential and competitive advantage present significant upside from the current price. • The use of multiples between the median and lowest values is fair given Spirit’s high debt and risk factors. EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT EV/EBITDAR Median 1.06 5.84 7.94 17.68 Implied EV 2,649.51 3,110.98 3,277.25 3,900.46 Minus Net Debt 120.47 120.47 120.47 120.47 Implied Equity Value 2,529.04 2,990.51 3,156.78 3,779.99 Shares Outstanding 69.37 69.37 69.37 69.37 Implied Share Price 36.46$ 43.11$ 45.51$ 54.49$ Low 0.75 4.22 5.76 13.46 Implied EV 1,872.70 2,248.88 2,376.89 2,968.74 Minus Net Debt 120.47 120.47 120.47 120.47 Implied Equity Value 1,752.23 2,128.41 2,256.42 2,848.27 Shares Outstanding 69.37 69.37 69.37 69.37 Implied Share Price 25.26$ 30.68$ 32.53$ 41.06$ Average 30.86 36.90 39.02 47.78 Current Valuation 38.64$ based on TTM figures from GAAP Income Statement
  • 18. RASM/CASM Spreads • Spirit will win the price war given their extremely low CASM by outlasting competitors such as United • Spirit will provide greater upside relative to peers as seat prices rise Airline RASM* CASM* Spread Spirit 8.82 7.62 1.20 American 12.91 13.48 (0.57) Delta 12.60 12.60 - United 11.11 12.53 (1.42) Southwest 12.45 11.42 1.03 JetBlue 11.20 10.56 0.64 *RASM and CASM are displayed in cents source: JPMorgan Equity Research,FY17 Estimates
  • 19. Q3 Earnings Estimate • Estimated EPS of $0.68 and Revenue of $672M for Q3 • Analyst estimates ranging from $0.50 to $0.91 EPS • High variability surrounding this quarter due to extraordinary events • Likely to see a significant downward revision in Q4 EPS estimates by management • Earnings in Q3 and Q4 will likely be weak due to inclement weather and labor disputes • JPM has cut Q4 EPS estimates by 60% • If price wars persist, earnings could be negatively impacted for FY2018 as well • Spirit will emerge as the winner in the price war, resulting in higher volume and market share • Large upside when seat fares normalize
  • 20. Final Thoughts Spirit Airlines has been oversold in the broader Airline sector sell-off this past summer. While Q3 and Q4 will be difficult, the business model is sound and growing. The fundamentals of the stock’s story are unchanged and present a dip-buying opportunity for the fund. Oversold Spirit is down 36% since June 2nd United Airlines down 21% Delta is up 0.80% Temporary Setbacks Pilot strike Negative impact from hurricanes Ticket price slashing from other airlines Growth Potential Rising oil prices will give Spirit a competitive advantage Price war will drive volume Large upside potential when ticket prices normalize
  • 21. Income Statement In Millions of USD except Per Share Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Est 3 Months Ending 09/30/2015 12/31/2015 03/31/2016 06/30/2016 09/30/2016 12/31/2016 03/31/2017 06/30/2017 09/30/2017 Revenue 574.8 519.8 538.1 584.1 621.3 578.4 591.7 701.7 672.81 + Sales & Services Revenue 319.8 267.5 272.6 296.4 331.0 300.6 299.8 371.9 351.39 + Other Revenue 255.0 252.4 265.5 287.7 290.3 277.8 292.0 329.8 321.42 + Other Operating Income 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - Operating Expenses 417.6 399.5 436.8 462.3 486.1 493.0 532.3 568.9 556.35 + Selling, General & Admin 23.1 20.7 22.9 24.7 25.6 23.4 — — - + Selling & Marketing 23.1 20.7 22.9 24.7 25.6 23.4 26.5 29.9 28.44 + Depreciation & Amortization 19.6 22.3 23.1 25.0 25.3 27.8 31.5 35.3 36.01 + Other Operating Expense 374.9 356.6 390.8 412.6 435.2 441.8 474.3 503.7 491.90 Operating Income (Loss) 157.2 120.3 101.3 121.8 135.2 85.3 59.4 132.7 116.46 Operating Margin 27.35% 23.15% 18.82% 20.86% 21.76% 14.75% 10.04% 18.92% 17.31% - Non-Operating (Income) Loss 2.9 2.2 3.2 6.1 7.3 7.6 7.6 8.7 9.03 + Interest Expense, Net 5.7 2.5 3.2 5.9 7.1 7.5 7.6 8.6 9.03 + Interest Expense 6.0 4.0 4.7 7.4 8.3 8.5 8.9 10.4 10.85 - Interest Income 0.2 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.8 1.83 + Other Non-Op (Income) Loss -2.9 -0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 - Pretax Income 154.4 118.1 98.1 115.7 128.0 77.7 51.8 124.1 107.44 - Income Tax Expense (Benefit) 57.3 43.7 36.1 42.6 46.6 29.2 19.9 45.9 40.12 Income (Loss) from Cont Ops 97.1 74.4 61.9 73.1 81.4 48.5 31.9 78.1 67.31 - Net Extraordinary Losses (Gains) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.88 + Discontinued Operations 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - + XO & Accounting Changes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - Income (Loss) Incl. MI 97.1 74.4 61.9 73.1 81.4 48.5 31.9 78.1 47.44 - Minority Interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - Net Income, GAAP 97.1 74.4 61.9 73.1 81.4 48.5 31.9 78.1 47.44 - Preferred Dividends 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - Other Adjustments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - Net Income Avail to Common, GAAP 97.1 74.4 61.9 73.1 81.4 48.5 31.9 78.1 47.44 Net Income Avail to Common, Adj 97.3 73.3 72.6 78.7 86.4 54.1 35.8 79.1 Net Abnormal Losses (Gains) 0.2 -1.1 10.7 5.6 5.1 5.6 3.8 1.0 Net Extraordinary Losses (Gains) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Basic Weighted Avg Shares 71.7 71.5 71.6 70.8 69.7 69.3 69.3 69.4 69.37 Basic EPS, GAAP 1.35 1.04 0.87 1.03 1.17 0.70 0.46 1.13 0.68 Basic EPS from Cont Ops 1.35 1.04 0.87 1.03 1.17 0.70 0.46 1.13 0.68 Basic EPS from Cont Ops, Adjusted 1.36 1.02 1.01 1.11 1.24 0.78 0.52 1.14 0.68
  • 22. Balance Sheet – Assets In Millions of USD Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 3 Months Ending 09/30/2015 12/31/2015 03/31/2016 06/30/2016 09/30/2016 12/31/2016 03/31/2017 06/30/2017 Total Assets + Cash, Cash Equivalents & STI 748.9 803.6 902.8 1,014.1 926.0 801.1 918.4 969.6 + Cash & Cash Equivalents 748.9 803.6 902.8 1,014.1 825.9 700.9 818.1 869.2 + ST Investments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.1 100.2 100.3 100.5 + Accounts & Notes Receiv 33.1 28.3 32.5 40.7 35.9 41.1 48.7 48.0 + Accounts Receivable, Net 33.1 28.3 32.5 40.7 35.9 41.1 48.7 48.0 + Other ST Assets 136.6 194.4 134.0 129.0 141.6 133.7 179.4 212.9 + Derivative & Hedging Assets — — — — — — — — + Deferred Tax Assets 9.6 — — — — — — — + Misc ST Assets 126.9 194.4 134.0 129.0 141.6 133.7 179.4 212.9 Total Current Assets 918.6 1,026.3 1,069.3 1,183.8 1,103.5 975.8 1,146.5 1,230.5 + Property, Plant & Equip, Net 985.8 844.2 1,048.9 1,238.6 1,390.1 1,465.2 1,604.6 1,789.5 + Property, Plant & Equip 1,041.3 909.7 1,125.6 1,329.2 1,495.8 1,587.7 1,745.1 1,950.7 - Accumulated Depreciation 55.5 65.5 76.7 90.6 105.7 122.5 140.5 161.2 + LT Investments & Receivables 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 + Other LT Assets 372.6 660.0 645.0 607.8 636.0 710.9 687.5 654.3 + Deferred Tax Assets — — — — — 342.4 — — + Misc LT Assets 372.6 660.0 645.0 607.8 636.0 368.4 687.5 654.3 Total Noncurrent Assets 1,358.4 1,504.2 1,693.9 1,846.4 2,026.1 2,176.1 2,292.1 2,443.8 Total Assets 2,276.9 2,530.5 2,763.2 3,030.2 3,129.6 3,151.9 3,438.6 3,674.3
  • 23. Balance Sheet – L&E In Millions of USD Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 3 Months Ending 09/30/2015 12/31/2015 03/31/2016 06/30/2016 09/30/2016 12/31/2016 03/31/2017 06/30/2017 Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity + Payables & Accruals 15.8 17.0 23.0 27.7 29.9 15.2 39.6 33.2 + Accounts Payable 15.8 17.0 23.0 27.7 29.9 15.2 39.6 33.2 + ST Debt 37.8 49.6 53.0 78.6 84.4 84.4 92.7 95.9 + ST Borrowings 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 + ST Capital Leases — — — — — 0.0 — 0.5 + Current Portion of LT Debt 37.8 49.6 53.0 78.6 84.4 84.4 92.7 95.4 + Other ST Liabilities 413.3 399.6 491.6 501.2 456.6 432.4 540.9 556.8 + Deferred Revenue — 0.0 — — — 0.0 — — + Misc ST Liabilities 413.3 399.6 491.6 501.2 456.6 432.4 540.9 556.8 Total Current Liabilities 466.9 466.2 567.6 607.5 570.9 532.0 673.2 685.8 + LT Debt 500.1 596.7 655.1 836.4 894.8 897.4 991.7 1,090.1 + LT Borrowings 500.1 596.7 655.1 836.4 894.8 897.4 991.7 1,089.2 + LT Capital Leases — — — — — 0.0 — 0.9 + Other LT Liabilities 161.2 242.3 262.8 286.9 319.3 328.0 345.4 390.2 + Accrued Liabilities — 0.0 — — — 0.0 — — + Deferred Revenue — 0.0 — — — 0.0 — — + Deferred Tax Liabilities 139.5 221.5 242.6 267.4 299.2 308.1 327.7 373.0 + Misc LT Liabilities 21.8 20.8 20.2 19.5 20.1 19.9 17.7 17.2 Total Noncurrent Liabilities 661.4 839.0 917.9 1,123.3 1,214.1 1,225.4 1,337.1 1,480.3 Total Liabilities 1,128.2 1,305.2 1,485.5 1,730.9 1,785.1 1,757.3 2,010.3 2,166.1 + Preferred Equity and Hybrid Capital 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 + Share Capital & APIC 542.0 544.3 545.4 547.8 549.4 551.0 553.8 555.7 + Common Stock 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 + Additional Paid in Capital 542.0 544.3 545.4 547.8 549.4 551.0 553.8 555.7 - Treasury Stock 116.1 116.2 126.8 180.8 218.6 218.7 219.7 219.9 + Retained Earnings 724.4 798.8 860.7 933.8 1,015.1 1,063.6 1,095.6 1,173.7 + Other Equity -1.6 -1.5 -1.5 -1.5 -1.4 -1.3 -1.3 -1.3 Total Equity 1,148.7 1,225.3 1,277.8 1,299.3 1,344.6 1,394.6 1,428.3 1,508.2 Total Liabilities & Equity 2,276.9 2,530.5 2,763.2 3,030.2 3,129.6 3,151.9 3,438.6 3,674.3
  • 24. Cash Flow Statement In Millions of USD Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 3 Months Ending 09/30/2015 12/31/2015 03/31/2016 06/30/2016 09/30/2016 12/31/2016 03/31/2017 06/30/2017 Cash from Operating Activities + Net Income 97.1 74.4 61.9 73.1 81.4 48.5 31.9 78.1 + Depreciation & Amortization 19.6 22.3 23.1 25.0 25.3 27.8 31.5 35.3 + Non-Cash Items 35.3 99.4 74.7 28.5 55.6 29.6 32.0 64.2 + Stock-Based Compensation 2.3 2.2 1.8 2.1 1.6 1.6 2.8 1.9 + Deferred Income Taxes 63.4 91.7 21.1 24.7 31.8 8.5 19.5 45.3 + Other Non-Cash Adj -30.4 5.5 51.8 1.7 22.2 19.5 9.7 17.0 + Chg in Non-Cash Work Cap -87.1 -89.4 98.4 -23.9 -83.1 -72.2 78.7 -28.1 + (Inc) Dec in Accts Receiv -2.2 4.8 -4.2 -8.4 4.8 -5.1 -7.5 0.7 + (Inc) Dec in Inventories 0.0 0.0 — 0.0 0.0 0.0 — — + Inc (Dec) in Accts Payable -5.5 0.4 4.7 -1.7 -10.1 0.2 18.9 -2.5 + Inc (Dec) in Other -79.3 -94.5 97.9 -13.7 -77.8 -67.3 67.3 -26.3 + Net Cash From Disc Ops — 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cash from Operating Activities 64.9 106.7 258.1 102.7 79.2 33.6 174.2 149.6 Cash from Investing Activities + Change in Fixed & Intang -143.6 -97.0 -159.8 -143.3 -144.3 -93.7 -112.3 -157.3 + Disp in Fixed & Intang 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 + Disp of Fixed Prod Assets — 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 + Disp of Intangible Assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 + Acq of Fixed & Intang -143.6 -97.0 -159.8 -143.3 -144.3 -93.7 -112.3 -157.3 + Acq of Fixed Prod Assets -143.6 -97.0 -159.8 -143.3 -144.3 -93.7 -112.3 -157.3 + Acq of Intangible Assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 + Net Change in LT Investment 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 + Net Cash From Acq & Div 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 + Other Investing Activities -12.2 -64.8 -52.9 -12.4 -151.0 -68.8 -46.7 -39.7 + Net Cash From Disc Ops 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cash from Investing Activities -155.9 -161.8 -212.8 -155.7 -295.3 -162.5 -158.9 -196.9 In Millions of USD Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 3 Months Ending 09/30/2015 12/31/2015 03/31/2016 06/30/2016 09/30/2016 12/31/2016 03/31/2017 06/30/2017 Cash from Financing Activities + Dividends Paid 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 + Cash From (Repayment) Debt 112.3 111.0 64.2 216.7 68.0 3.9 105.3 100.4 + Cash From (Repay) ST Debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 + Cash From LT Debt 120.0 120.8 73.9 226.6 78.0 38.7 115.5 140.3 + Repayments of LT Debt -7.7 -9.8 -9.7 -9.9 -10.0 -34.8 -10.2 -39.9 + Cash (Repurchase) of Equity -23.9 -0.1 -9.5 -52.7 -40.1 -0.1 -1.0 -0.2 + Increase in Capital Stock 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 + Decrease in Capital Stock -24.9 -0.1 -9.6 -52.7 -40.1 -0.1 -1.0 -0.2 + Other Financing Activities -17.9 -1.1 -0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 -2.3 -1.9 + Net Cash From Disc Ops 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cash from Financing Activities 70.5 109.9 53.8 164.2 27.9 3.9 102.0 98.4 Effect of Foreign Exchange Rates 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net Changes in Cash -20.4 54.7 99.2 111.3 -188.2 -125.0 117.2 51.0 Cash Paid for Taxes 40.9 0.8 -64.2 28.0 18.0 12.6 2.9 1.5 Cash Paid for Interest 2.1 3.2 3.4 18.4 4.2 13.9 3.9 12.9