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Winter Weather Outlook 
Prepared for: 
Tovar Snow Professionals 
September 15, 2014
Murray and Trettel Inc. 
Company Profile 
Murray and Trettel Inc. At-A-Glance 
 Founded – 1946 
• John R. Murray 
• Dennis W. Trettel 
 Headquarters – Palatine, Illinois 
 Employees – 21 
 2 Offices – Illinois and Pennsylvania 
 Listed – Dun and Bradstreet
Murray and Trettel Inc. 
Company Profile 
Murray and Trettel Inc. – Expertise 
 Operational Forecast Division 
• Operates 24/7, 365 days a year 
 Environmental Applications Division 
• Weather/ Air Quality Monitoring 
 Forensic Meteorology 
• Research/Climatology 
 Wind Energy 
• Meteorological Instrument Towers 
• Wind Resource Assessment
Murray and Trettel Inc. 
Company Profile 
TYPES OF CLIENTS 
 Any business or government entity that can be 
impacted by the weather is a potential Murray and 
Trettel client. The following is a sample list of some of 
the types of clients currently using our services. 
–Contract Snow Plow Companies 
–Concrete and Asphalt Contractors 
–Radio Broadcasters 
– State/County Highway Departments
Murray and Trettel Inc. 
Company Profile 
TYPES OF CLIENTS (continued) 
–Airports 
– Professional Sports Teams 
–Large Corporate Campuses 
–Railroads 
–Attorneys 
–Car Wash Operators
Murray and Trettel Inc. 
Company Profile 
TYPES OF CLIENTS (continued) 
–General Contractors 
–Landscape Companies 
– Steel Manufacturers 
–Large Industrial Facilities 
– Property Managers 
–Natural Gas Utilities
Murray and Trettel Inc. 
Company Profile 
TYPES OF CLIENTS (continued) 
–Wind Energy 
–Nuclear Power Generating Plants 
– Public Works Departments 
– Park Districts 
–Departments of Transportation 
–Large Metropolitan Cities 
–Water Reclamation Districts
O’Hare Season Snowfall 
30 Year Normal = 36.7 
1994-95 24.1 2004-05 39.4 
1995-96 23.9 2005-06 26.0 
1996-97 40.6 2006-07 35.6 
1997-98 29.6 2007-08 60.3 
1998-99 50.9 2008-09 52.7 
1999-00 30.3 2009-10 54.2 
2000-01 39.2 2010-11 57.9 
2001-02 31.1 2011-12 19.8 
2002-03 28.6 2012-13 30.1 
2003-04 24.8 2013-14 82.0
2013-14 
Snowfall Totals 
North
2013-14 
Snowfall Totals 
South
Winter Outlook 
Method A 
Compare to past 
Spring-Summer Weather 
 June- August 2014 
– Overall Temperatures Near Normal 
– Rainfall much above normal 
– June and August each 7+ inches 
 Look for similar summer weather 
– 1980-81 = 35.0 snow 
– 1981-82 = 59.3 snow 
– 1993-94 = 41.8 snow 
– 2001-02 = 31.1 snow 
 Outlook 2014-15 
– Season Snowfall Total = 36.0
Winter Outlook 
Method B 
Try to determine 
Jet Stream Patterns in Winter Months 
Various Global Oscillations 
–Arctic Oscillation 
–North Atlantic Oscillation 
–El Nino / La Nina 
– Pacific Decadal Oscillation
Winter Outlook 
Various Atmospheric Models 
NCEP CFS version 2 ECMWF model 
NASA GMAO model UKMO model 
Japan Met. Agency model KMA (Korea) SNU model 
Scripps Inst. HCM ESSIC Intermed 
Coupled model 
Lamont-Doherty model COLA CCSM3 model 
POAMA (Austr) model MÉTÉO FRANCE model
Dec 2014 – Feb 2015 
NWS 3-Month Outlook 
Temperature 
Precipitation
Murray and Trettel, Inc. 
SUMMARY 
Winter Outlook – O’Hare Airport 
 Method A 
Snowfall: 36.0 inches (Average: 36.7) 
Temperature: Dec 2014 – Above Normal 
Jan 2015 – Below Normal 
Feb 2015 – Above Normal 
 Method B 
Snowfall: 39.8 inches (Average 36.7) 
Temperature:Dec 2014 – Above Normal 
Jan 2015 – Below Normal 
Feb 2015 – Below Normal
David James 
Sales and Marketing 
Meteorologist 
Office Direct: 847-934-8150 
Cell: 847-494-2220 
Email:david.james@weathercommand.com

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Tovar Winter Weather Outlook

  • 1. Winter Weather Outlook Prepared for: Tovar Snow Professionals September 15, 2014
  • 2. Murray and Trettel Inc. Company Profile Murray and Trettel Inc. At-A-Glance  Founded – 1946 • John R. Murray • Dennis W. Trettel  Headquarters – Palatine, Illinois  Employees – 21  2 Offices – Illinois and Pennsylvania  Listed – Dun and Bradstreet
  • 3. Murray and Trettel Inc. Company Profile Murray and Trettel Inc. – Expertise  Operational Forecast Division • Operates 24/7, 365 days a year  Environmental Applications Division • Weather/ Air Quality Monitoring  Forensic Meteorology • Research/Climatology  Wind Energy • Meteorological Instrument Towers • Wind Resource Assessment
  • 4. Murray and Trettel Inc. Company Profile TYPES OF CLIENTS  Any business or government entity that can be impacted by the weather is a potential Murray and Trettel client. The following is a sample list of some of the types of clients currently using our services. –Contract Snow Plow Companies –Concrete and Asphalt Contractors –Radio Broadcasters – State/County Highway Departments
  • 5. Murray and Trettel Inc. Company Profile TYPES OF CLIENTS (continued) –Airports – Professional Sports Teams –Large Corporate Campuses –Railroads –Attorneys –Car Wash Operators
  • 6. Murray and Trettel Inc. Company Profile TYPES OF CLIENTS (continued) –General Contractors –Landscape Companies – Steel Manufacturers –Large Industrial Facilities – Property Managers –Natural Gas Utilities
  • 7. Murray and Trettel Inc. Company Profile TYPES OF CLIENTS (continued) –Wind Energy –Nuclear Power Generating Plants – Public Works Departments – Park Districts –Departments of Transportation –Large Metropolitan Cities –Water Reclamation Districts
  • 8. O’Hare Season Snowfall 30 Year Normal = 36.7 1994-95 24.1 2004-05 39.4 1995-96 23.9 2005-06 26.0 1996-97 40.6 2006-07 35.6 1997-98 29.6 2007-08 60.3 1998-99 50.9 2008-09 52.7 1999-00 30.3 2009-10 54.2 2000-01 39.2 2010-11 57.9 2001-02 31.1 2011-12 19.8 2002-03 28.6 2012-13 30.1 2003-04 24.8 2013-14 82.0
  • 11. Winter Outlook Method A Compare to past Spring-Summer Weather  June- August 2014 – Overall Temperatures Near Normal – Rainfall much above normal – June and August each 7+ inches  Look for similar summer weather – 1980-81 = 35.0 snow – 1981-82 = 59.3 snow – 1993-94 = 41.8 snow – 2001-02 = 31.1 snow  Outlook 2014-15 – Season Snowfall Total = 36.0
  • 12. Winter Outlook Method B Try to determine Jet Stream Patterns in Winter Months Various Global Oscillations –Arctic Oscillation –North Atlantic Oscillation –El Nino / La Nina – Pacific Decadal Oscillation
  • 13. Winter Outlook Various Atmospheric Models NCEP CFS version 2 ECMWF model NASA GMAO model UKMO model Japan Met. Agency model KMA (Korea) SNU model Scripps Inst. HCM ESSIC Intermed Coupled model Lamont-Doherty model COLA CCSM3 model POAMA (Austr) model MÉTÉO FRANCE model
  • 14. Dec 2014 – Feb 2015 NWS 3-Month Outlook Temperature Precipitation
  • 15. Murray and Trettel, Inc. SUMMARY Winter Outlook – O’Hare Airport  Method A Snowfall: 36.0 inches (Average: 36.7) Temperature: Dec 2014 – Above Normal Jan 2015 – Below Normal Feb 2015 – Above Normal  Method B Snowfall: 39.8 inches (Average 36.7) Temperature:Dec 2014 – Above Normal Jan 2015 – Below Normal Feb 2015 – Below Normal
  • 16. David James Sales and Marketing Meteorologist Office Direct: 847-934-8150 Cell: 847-494-2220 Email:david.james@weathercommand.com