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LTL Industry
Pricing Analysis
Presented to
By Tim Lerchbacker
Presentations Purpose
 Three Fold:
 Macro view of current industry
and economic condition –
Capacity, Inflation,
 Historical review of rate
adjustment activity since 1993
 Six Sigma Project – Define
Capacity
 2006 GDP Range from 2.7% to 3.9%,
3.3% likely.
 Industrials projected to grow 7.6%.
 Inventories being rebuilt from start of
the year lean levels.
 More product chasing few trucks.
 Current driver shortage - 20,000, by
2015 from 111,000 to 114,000 short.
Inflation Pressures
 Impacted by 9/11, War, Cost of
Fuel,
 Insurance deductibles escalation,
1999 = $443,000 per incident,
2004 = $2.7 million,
2005 = $3.2 million,
Inflation Trends
Since 1914
Cyclical Inflation
Moore Inflation Predictor
Industry Rate Increases
Trucking Industry Rate Increases
1993 - 2006
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
% rate chg Index (2001 = 100)
Truck Rates vs. Inflation
vs. GDP
Trucking Rates vs. Inflation vs. GDP
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
% Rate Chg. Inflation GDP % chg Prev. Year
Six Sigma - Define
Problem Statement:
23 People making buying or routing decision,
 Potential impact to customers,
 Potential impact to shareholder value.
 Potential impact in inflating GE’s transportation spend,
 Combined B/U LTL spend not leveraged,
Project Objective
To leverage the Companies total
LTL spend across all BU’s to drive:
 Service Improvements – KPI’s,
 Improved SHV – increased
Profitability,
 Cost savings – XX% across all
customers and BU’s.
Dependencies
• Determine what the external and internal customers want,
• Verify the ability of the TSS to meet with, interview, or request
information from internal customers (sales, shipping, critical
stakeholders etc.,) and potentially external customers,
• Verify the internal requirements to get copies of contracts and
rate data back to 2001 or the most current,
• Establish what the mechanism is to review shipping data as
to:
• Origin locations,
• Terms (FOB point,)
• Destination locations,
• Carriers used on a prepaid basis,
• Carriers used on a collect basis,
• Payment terms with the carriers,
• Systems capabilities to route when a sales order is created,
• Sales order mapping from order to shipped / delivered,
• Are sales / shipping orders routed to a carrier’s automated
shipping system electronically,
• Which carriers have automated data entry systems on site,
• Analyze claims history,
• Document shipping hours of operation at the shipping
locations,
• Verify when GE considers a sales order complete for revenue
recognition,
• Ascertain how partial orders are handled,
• Review of shipping dock(s), number of doors, forklifts / pallet
jacks, how non-palletized material is handled (carts, hit the
floor, belt, etc.),
• If managed by a 3PL or contracted provider, review their SOP
document(s) as approved by GE,
• Determine by carrier if GE is a daily stop,
• Determine which carriers GE must call for a pick up,
• Determine how GE measures service provided by its carriers
(current KPI’s),
• Determine what “ready to ship” product characteristics exist
between shipping locations / business units, i.e., density,
average shipment size, average number of pieces, any
insured or declared valuation, etc.,
• Establish if the contracted rates are FAK or class rates, Verify
the expiration date for all existing contracts,
• Determine who, by location, is enabled to route shipments,
• Determine how proof of delivery is feed back to GE and if the
POD is matched with the sales order,
• Determine the frequency with which GE formally meets with
its carriers,
• Determine proximity of carrier to shipping locations,
• Visit carriers local terminals to ascertain probability for
service interruptions due to congestion at the local terminal,
• Review carriers routings to determine how often shipments
are likely to be routed through a break bulk terminal, and
when a shipment is routed through a break-bulk terminal
where the break bulk terminal is, then determine the
likelihood that it will be loaded direct to the destination
terminal or possibly transfer through another break bulk
terminal,
• Determine in contracted carriers provide dedicated customer
service for GE
– Is it local or via a 1-800 number?
– If so, how is this function handled during vacations
and illness?
– Is it 24/7?
• Determine if contracted carriers have provided escalation
charts with contact information beyond the local terminal,
• Determine internally, how customer shipping status inquiries
are handled,

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LTL Industry Pricing Analysis

  • 2. Presentations Purpose  Three Fold:  Macro view of current industry and economic condition – Capacity, Inflation,  Historical review of rate adjustment activity since 1993  Six Sigma Project – Define
  • 3. Capacity  2006 GDP Range from 2.7% to 3.9%, 3.3% likely.  Industrials projected to grow 7.6%.  Inventories being rebuilt from start of the year lean levels.  More product chasing few trucks.  Current driver shortage - 20,000, by 2015 from 111,000 to 114,000 short.
  • 4. Inflation Pressures  Impacted by 9/11, War, Cost of Fuel,  Insurance deductibles escalation, 1999 = $443,000 per incident, 2004 = $2.7 million, 2005 = $3.2 million,
  • 8. Industry Rate Increases Trucking Industry Rate Increases 1993 - 2006 -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 % rate chg Index (2001 = 100)
  • 9. Truck Rates vs. Inflation vs. GDP Trucking Rates vs. Inflation vs. GDP 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % Rate Chg. Inflation GDP % chg Prev. Year
  • 10. Six Sigma - Define Problem Statement: 23 People making buying or routing decision,  Potential impact to customers,  Potential impact to shareholder value.  Potential impact in inflating GE’s transportation spend,  Combined B/U LTL spend not leveraged,
  • 11. Project Objective To leverage the Companies total LTL spend across all BU’s to drive:  Service Improvements – KPI’s,  Improved SHV – increased Profitability,  Cost savings – XX% across all customers and BU’s.
  • 12. Dependencies • Determine what the external and internal customers want, • Verify the ability of the TSS to meet with, interview, or request information from internal customers (sales, shipping, critical stakeholders etc.,) and potentially external customers, • Verify the internal requirements to get copies of contracts and rate data back to 2001 or the most current, • Establish what the mechanism is to review shipping data as to: • Origin locations, • Terms (FOB point,) • Destination locations, • Carriers used on a prepaid basis, • Carriers used on a collect basis, • Payment terms with the carriers, • Systems capabilities to route when a sales order is created, • Sales order mapping from order to shipped / delivered, • Are sales / shipping orders routed to a carrier’s automated shipping system electronically, • Which carriers have automated data entry systems on site, • Analyze claims history, • Document shipping hours of operation at the shipping locations, • Verify when GE considers a sales order complete for revenue recognition, • Ascertain how partial orders are handled, • Review of shipping dock(s), number of doors, forklifts / pallet jacks, how non-palletized material is handled (carts, hit the floor, belt, etc.), • If managed by a 3PL or contracted provider, review their SOP document(s) as approved by GE, • Determine by carrier if GE is a daily stop, • Determine which carriers GE must call for a pick up, • Determine how GE measures service provided by its carriers (current KPI’s), • Determine what “ready to ship” product characteristics exist between shipping locations / business units, i.e., density, average shipment size, average number of pieces, any insured or declared valuation, etc., • Establish if the contracted rates are FAK or class rates, Verify the expiration date for all existing contracts, • Determine who, by location, is enabled to route shipments, • Determine how proof of delivery is feed back to GE and if the POD is matched with the sales order, • Determine the frequency with which GE formally meets with its carriers, • Determine proximity of carrier to shipping locations, • Visit carriers local terminals to ascertain probability for service interruptions due to congestion at the local terminal, • Review carriers routings to determine how often shipments are likely to be routed through a break bulk terminal, and when a shipment is routed through a break-bulk terminal where the break bulk terminal is, then determine the likelihood that it will be loaded direct to the destination terminal or possibly transfer through another break bulk terminal, • Determine in contracted carriers provide dedicated customer service for GE – Is it local or via a 1-800 number? – If so, how is this function handled during vacations and illness? – Is it 24/7? • Determine if contracted carriers have provided escalation charts with contact information beyond the local terminal, • Determine internally, how customer shipping status inquiries are handled,