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Hotel Investment
Decision
Carlos Burgos • Talisa Salvador • Justin Oeltjen
Criteria for Hotel
Investment
Decision
• Positive Cash Flow from
operations
• Appreciation in property value
• Invest at or below
replacement cost
• Cap Rate above 8%
• 10 year investment
Evaluations for
Hotel Investment
Decision
• Market Analysis
• Asset Analysis
• Financial Analysis
• Costs and Benefits Analysis
• Conclusion
The Angler’s
• Located on Washington Avenue (& 6
th
Street) in South Beach
• Close access to beach and Ocean Drive (Demand
Generator)
• Built in 1930s with 2 Buildings, and refurbished in 2005
• 48 Units - All Suites (P&L says 45)
• 133 Total Units – Planned for new resort including adjacent
project
• Parking with up to 62 spaces + Second Pool + 5,000 Sq.
Ft. Rental Space
• Upper Upscale with Luxury Flag (IHG) + Keeping the Resort Name
• Full Service Restaurant & Bar (Serving 133 Units)
• Equity Partnership: Contribution $13,000,000
• Outstanding Debt $14.5 Million + $10 Million USD from New Loan
• $45 Million USD projected Value of combined properties
Asset Analysis
The Angler’s
• Miami Beach very popular (Demand Generator)
• Occupancy in SoBe
• (2009 - 65.89% ➤ 2014 – 76.36%)
• ADR in SoBe
• (2009 - $181.13 ➤ 2014 - $254.90)
• RevPAR in SoBe
• (2009 - $119.35 ➤ 2014 - $194.65)
• PKF Forecast for Miami RevPAR Growth from 2014 to 2018
• Demand is increasing faster than supply
• STR:
• 21 Hotels in the Pipeline (Including Refurbished Properties)
• Many Properties being converted or rebuilt “previously abandoned”
• Extreme Competition in the Upscale to Luxury (STR Scale Segments)
• Competitive Set: Almost all Independent + Crown Plaza (IHG too)
• Market includes very large number of independent properties
• Expansion needed to achieve economies of scale (Competition)
Market Analysis
The Angler’s
• As of April 2012, Hotel had the following Year-to-Date Data:
• Property:
Occ. 73.6% - ADR $245.03 - RevPAR $180.43
• Market:
Occ. 75.4% - ADR $219.92 - RevPAR $165.87
• Compared to Competitive Set, hotel is ahead (with 45 Units only)
• Considered an Upper Upscale Property (STR Scale Segment)
• Contract over 20,473 Sq. Ft. Parcel for $5,100,000 USD
• Loan for $14,500,000 needs to be refinanced
• Bank: Which bank and conditions (rate & term)?
• Actual Cap Rate ($700,000 / $14,500,000) = 4.8% (Undefined)
• Project needs cash injection ($13 Million Cash) Non-Financeable
• New loan plus refinancing existing one (Bank? Board
Members?)
Financial Analysis
The Angler’s
Favorable
• South Beach Hotel Supply is growing, but space is limited
• Renovation Candidate: Value added opportunity
• Hotel is expected to increase RevPAR, although with new project
• Net Operating Margin at 18% vs. 25.9% Host (2012 Forecast)
Unfavorable
• Complex to calculate a Capitalization Rate (Price includes New Project)
• Pipeline
• Projected opening of Phase 2
• F&B performance
Further Investigation
• Terms of the loans
• Management Agreements
• Replacement cost
Verdict
• Property is a risky investment for our client
Cost vs Benefits
Comfort Suites - Atlanta Airport
• Atlanta Airport keeps growing (World Busiest Airport)
• Newest property in the Competitive Set (New Building)
• Demand is increasing faster than Supply
• Occupancy in ATL (2009 - 61.02% ➤ 2014 - 71.59%)
• ADR in ATL (2009 - $76.34 ➤ 2014 - $82.89)
• RevPAR in ATL (2009 - $46.58 ➤ 2014 - $59.34)
• PKF Forecast for ATL ➤ RevPAR Growth from 2014 to 2018
• Only 2 hotels in the Pipeline (1 in same category) for ATL Airport
• Holiday Inn Express & Renaissance
• Competitive Set includes properties in different STR Scale
Segments
• Hyatt Place (Upscale), La Quinta Inn & Quality Inn
(Midscale)
• Fairfield Inn, Country Inn & Comfort Inn (Upper
Midscale)
Market Analysis
Comfort Suites - Atlanta Airport
• Located in the South East part of Atlanta Airport (ATL)
• Close access to the International Terminal (Demand
Generator)
• Built in 2009 on 1.78 Acres and 5 floors & refurbished in 2013
• 81 Units - All Suites with Interior Corridor
• 82 in the floor plan & 79 on STR with 2 rooms removed
• Upper Midscale Flag (Choice Hotels)
• Full Service Restaurant & Bar and 78 parking spots (Park &
Fly)
• In-door swimming pool + Gym + Meeting Space (1424 Sq.
Ft.)
• Price: $6,800,000 (With SBA Loan of $5,600,000)
• $83,950 per Unit with $1,200,000 Down Payment
Asset Analysis
Comfort Suites - Atlanta Airport
• As of December 2013, Hotel had the following Year-to-Date Data:
• Property:
Occ. 66.4% - ADR $67.62 - RevPAR $44.94
• Comp Set:
Occ. 67.1% - ADR $63.93 - RevPAR $42.88
• Midscale Chains:
Occ. 63.4% - ADR $68.36 - RevPAR $43.32
• Compared to Tract Scale and Competitive Set, hotel is ahead
• Potential to increase NOI and its Positive Cash Flow
• SBA Loan for $5,600,000 and 1% fee
• Type: 7(a) or 504?
• Bank: Which bank and conditions (rate & term)
• Can loan be cancelled with only 1% fee as penalty?
• Capitalization Rate
• ($588,142 / $6,800,000) = 8.6% (Acceptable)
Financial Analysis
Comfort Suites - Atlanta Airport
Favorable
• Stabilized Candidate
• Atlanta Airport Hotel Supply is not growing
• Hotel is expected to increase RevPAR for the coming years
• Cap Rate of 8.6% with positive cash flow (with our debt terms)
Unfavorable
• Property has less than 100 rooms
• Includes Full Service Bar & Restaurant with Upper Midscale Flag (?)
Further Investigation:
• Terms of the SBA Loan with 1% fee (Rate? Term?)
• Can franchise agreement be terminated? Restaurant numbers?
• Total Revenues, Need to compare Net Operating Margin (P&L)
Verdict:
• Property seems like good investment in an attractive market
• More information needed, should be considered a buying candidate
Cost vs Benefits
Conclusion

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Asset Management

  • 1. Hotel Investment Decision Carlos Burgos • Talisa Salvador • Justin Oeltjen
  • 2. Criteria for Hotel Investment Decision • Positive Cash Flow from operations • Appreciation in property value • Invest at or below replacement cost • Cap Rate above 8% • 10 year investment
  • 3. Evaluations for Hotel Investment Decision • Market Analysis • Asset Analysis • Financial Analysis • Costs and Benefits Analysis • Conclusion
  • 4. The Angler’s • Located on Washington Avenue (& 6 th Street) in South Beach • Close access to beach and Ocean Drive (Demand Generator) • Built in 1930s with 2 Buildings, and refurbished in 2005 • 48 Units - All Suites (P&L says 45) • 133 Total Units – Planned for new resort including adjacent project • Parking with up to 62 spaces + Second Pool + 5,000 Sq. Ft. Rental Space • Upper Upscale with Luxury Flag (IHG) + Keeping the Resort Name • Full Service Restaurant & Bar (Serving 133 Units) • Equity Partnership: Contribution $13,000,000 • Outstanding Debt $14.5 Million + $10 Million USD from New Loan • $45 Million USD projected Value of combined properties Asset Analysis
  • 5. The Angler’s • Miami Beach very popular (Demand Generator) • Occupancy in SoBe • (2009 - 65.89% ➤ 2014 – 76.36%) • ADR in SoBe • (2009 - $181.13 ➤ 2014 - $254.90) • RevPAR in SoBe • (2009 - $119.35 ➤ 2014 - $194.65) • PKF Forecast for Miami RevPAR Growth from 2014 to 2018 • Demand is increasing faster than supply • STR: • 21 Hotels in the Pipeline (Including Refurbished Properties) • Many Properties being converted or rebuilt “previously abandoned” • Extreme Competition in the Upscale to Luxury (STR Scale Segments) • Competitive Set: Almost all Independent + Crown Plaza (IHG too) • Market includes very large number of independent properties • Expansion needed to achieve economies of scale (Competition) Market Analysis
  • 6. The Angler’s • As of April 2012, Hotel had the following Year-to-Date Data: • Property: Occ. 73.6% - ADR $245.03 - RevPAR $180.43 • Market: Occ. 75.4% - ADR $219.92 - RevPAR $165.87 • Compared to Competitive Set, hotel is ahead (with 45 Units only) • Considered an Upper Upscale Property (STR Scale Segment) • Contract over 20,473 Sq. Ft. Parcel for $5,100,000 USD • Loan for $14,500,000 needs to be refinanced • Bank: Which bank and conditions (rate & term)? • Actual Cap Rate ($700,000 / $14,500,000) = 4.8% (Undefined) • Project needs cash injection ($13 Million Cash) Non-Financeable • New loan plus refinancing existing one (Bank? Board Members?) Financial Analysis
  • 7. The Angler’s Favorable • South Beach Hotel Supply is growing, but space is limited • Renovation Candidate: Value added opportunity • Hotel is expected to increase RevPAR, although with new project • Net Operating Margin at 18% vs. 25.9% Host (2012 Forecast) Unfavorable • Complex to calculate a Capitalization Rate (Price includes New Project) • Pipeline • Projected opening of Phase 2 • F&B performance Further Investigation • Terms of the loans • Management Agreements • Replacement cost Verdict • Property is a risky investment for our client Cost vs Benefits
  • 8. Comfort Suites - Atlanta Airport • Atlanta Airport keeps growing (World Busiest Airport) • Newest property in the Competitive Set (New Building) • Demand is increasing faster than Supply • Occupancy in ATL (2009 - 61.02% ➤ 2014 - 71.59%) • ADR in ATL (2009 - $76.34 ➤ 2014 - $82.89) • RevPAR in ATL (2009 - $46.58 ➤ 2014 - $59.34) • PKF Forecast for ATL ➤ RevPAR Growth from 2014 to 2018 • Only 2 hotels in the Pipeline (1 in same category) for ATL Airport • Holiday Inn Express & Renaissance • Competitive Set includes properties in different STR Scale Segments • Hyatt Place (Upscale), La Quinta Inn & Quality Inn (Midscale) • Fairfield Inn, Country Inn & Comfort Inn (Upper Midscale) Market Analysis
  • 9. Comfort Suites - Atlanta Airport • Located in the South East part of Atlanta Airport (ATL) • Close access to the International Terminal (Demand Generator) • Built in 2009 on 1.78 Acres and 5 floors & refurbished in 2013 • 81 Units - All Suites with Interior Corridor • 82 in the floor plan & 79 on STR with 2 rooms removed • Upper Midscale Flag (Choice Hotels) • Full Service Restaurant & Bar and 78 parking spots (Park & Fly) • In-door swimming pool + Gym + Meeting Space (1424 Sq. Ft.) • Price: $6,800,000 (With SBA Loan of $5,600,000) • $83,950 per Unit with $1,200,000 Down Payment Asset Analysis
  • 10. Comfort Suites - Atlanta Airport • As of December 2013, Hotel had the following Year-to-Date Data: • Property: Occ. 66.4% - ADR $67.62 - RevPAR $44.94 • Comp Set: Occ. 67.1% - ADR $63.93 - RevPAR $42.88 • Midscale Chains: Occ. 63.4% - ADR $68.36 - RevPAR $43.32 • Compared to Tract Scale and Competitive Set, hotel is ahead • Potential to increase NOI and its Positive Cash Flow • SBA Loan for $5,600,000 and 1% fee • Type: 7(a) or 504? • Bank: Which bank and conditions (rate & term) • Can loan be cancelled with only 1% fee as penalty? • Capitalization Rate • ($588,142 / $6,800,000) = 8.6% (Acceptable) Financial Analysis
  • 11. Comfort Suites - Atlanta Airport Favorable • Stabilized Candidate • Atlanta Airport Hotel Supply is not growing • Hotel is expected to increase RevPAR for the coming years • Cap Rate of 8.6% with positive cash flow (with our debt terms) Unfavorable • Property has less than 100 rooms • Includes Full Service Bar & Restaurant with Upper Midscale Flag (?) Further Investigation: • Terms of the SBA Loan with 1% fee (Rate? Term?) • Can franchise agreement be terminated? Restaurant numbers? • Total Revenues, Need to compare Net Operating Margin (P&L) Verdict: • Property seems like good investment in an attractive market • More information needed, should be considered a buying candidate Cost vs Benefits