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Tai Tran
                  Victoria Sze
                   Giang Tran
                 Hong Nguyen
                  Susie Huang
                   Huy Truong
                         Dylan
                        Taylor
                           Fay
                           Eric




24/8/2009
Public Version
One Opportunity
                Two Alternatives



                                     Private
Public Equity
                                   Placement
Investment            Industry           Opportunities           Risks
โ€ข $100m               โ€ข Real Estate in   โ€ข Expected return:      โ€ข Global crisis
โ€ข Make a decision:      Eastern Coast      12% (base case)       โ€ข Low to medium
  Public Equity or    โ€ข Agricultural     โ€ข Diversify portfolio     liquidity
  Private Placement     purpose: Farms     and risks             โ€ข Interest risk
                                         โ€ข Extend influence
                                           over the industry
                                         โ€ข Penetrate
                                           unsaturated
                                           market
                                         โ€ข Cheap labour
Public     Private
Equity   Placement




                     Strategic
                      Partner
โ€ข Real estate requires
              high level of expertise
Expertise   โ€ข Timing is everything      PRIVATE PLACEMENT

                                        Advantages
                                        1. Macquarie is
            โ€ข Avoid information            experienced in real
  New         leakage                      estate investment
            โ€ข Need to expand
 Market       networks
                                        2. Private placement is
                                           time-saving
                                        3. Confidentiality is
                                           ensured
            โ€ข Base scenario: within 4   4. Enter complex
  Time        months                       contracts
 Frame
Australian Real Estate Index
๏‚ก A 72% fall from
  peak
๏‚ก Projection: hit
  bottom on
  January 2010
๏‚ก Take advantage
  of cheap price
๏‚ก Tale advantage
  of cheap labour
โ€ข Falling short behind in
                                              PRIVATE PLACEMENT
  Financial       Current Ratio, EBIT
  position                                   Advantages
                                             1. Less risky
                                             2. Would not affect
                                                current share price
                โ€ข Dilution to total equity   3. Risk separation
Concentration     capital = 0.68%            4. Negotiable discount
     of                                      5. Less requirement of
Shareholding                                    regulatory compliance
                                             6. Cost-saving & time-
                                                saving
                โ€ข Corporate governance
 Regulatory     โ€ข Corporate Act              Disadvantages
                                             1. Dilution of
 Compliance     โ€ข Regulation on financial
                                                shareholding is limited
                  institution
CBA            WBC           ANZ           NAB
ROE              18.33%         19.52         12.3%         13.8%
CURRENT
RATIO              1.48          1.48          1.27          1.27
EBIT
INTEREST
COVERAGE           0.29         0.24           0.18          0.11
D/E                0.44         0.44           0.54          0.47
EPS                3.48         2.06            1.7          2.62
P/E               13.68         13.66         11.62         10.21
โ€ข Bounce back in
 Recovery       2010
 Forecast
                                    PRIVATE PLACEMENT

                                    Advantages
              โ€ข Individual          1. Institutional partner
Global Crisis   investors refrain      with strong financial
                from investing         background
                                    2. Stimulus package
                                       given to large
                                       company
           โ€ข For large
Government companies
 Stimulus
Category    โ€ขInvestment
                                                       Financial
                                                       Returns

           Value         โ€ข$100m




                                                       Long-         Utilize
                           โ€ขReal Estate
                                            Diversi-               Macquarie
              Industry     โ€ขAgricultural
                            purpose         fication    term       expertise
                                                       Values      & network
                         โ€ขPrivate
                          Placement
           Finance
                         โ€ขPartner:
                          Macquarie Group
                                                         Take
            โ€ขBase 4 months                             advantage
 Time       โ€ขBackup plans: 2                             of the
 Plan        months & 6
             months                                    downturn
National Australia Bank Real Estate Investment Prospects
National Australia Bank Real Estate Investment Prospects

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National Australia Bank Real Estate Investment Prospects

  • 1. Tai Tran Victoria Sze Giang Tran Hong Nguyen Susie Huang Huy Truong Dylan Taylor Fay Eric 24/8/2009 Public Version
  • 2. One Opportunity Two Alternatives Private Public Equity Placement
  • 3.
  • 4. Investment Industry Opportunities Risks โ€ข $100m โ€ข Real Estate in โ€ข Expected return: โ€ข Global crisis โ€ข Make a decision: Eastern Coast 12% (base case) โ€ข Low to medium Public Equity or โ€ข Agricultural โ€ข Diversify portfolio liquidity Private Placement purpose: Farms and risks โ€ข Interest risk โ€ข Extend influence over the industry โ€ข Penetrate unsaturated market โ€ข Cheap labour
  • 5. Public Private Equity Placement Strategic Partner
  • 6.
  • 7. โ€ข Real estate requires high level of expertise Expertise โ€ข Timing is everything PRIVATE PLACEMENT Advantages 1. Macquarie is โ€ข Avoid information experienced in real New leakage estate investment โ€ข Need to expand Market networks 2. Private placement is time-saving 3. Confidentiality is ensured โ€ข Base scenario: within 4 4. Enter complex Time months contracts Frame
  • 8. Australian Real Estate Index ๏‚ก A 72% fall from peak ๏‚ก Projection: hit bottom on January 2010 ๏‚ก Take advantage of cheap price ๏‚ก Tale advantage of cheap labour
  • 9. โ€ข Falling short behind in PRIVATE PLACEMENT Financial Current Ratio, EBIT position Advantages 1. Less risky 2. Would not affect current share price โ€ข Dilution to total equity 3. Risk separation Concentration capital = 0.68% 4. Negotiable discount of 5. Less requirement of Shareholding regulatory compliance 6. Cost-saving & time- saving โ€ข Corporate governance Regulatory โ€ข Corporate Act Disadvantages 1. Dilution of Compliance โ€ข Regulation on financial shareholding is limited institution
  • 10. CBA WBC ANZ NAB ROE 18.33% 19.52 12.3% 13.8% CURRENT RATIO 1.48 1.48 1.27 1.27 EBIT INTEREST COVERAGE 0.29 0.24 0.18 0.11 D/E 0.44 0.44 0.54 0.47 EPS 3.48 2.06 1.7 2.62 P/E 13.68 13.66 11.62 10.21
  • 11. โ€ข Bounce back in Recovery 2010 Forecast PRIVATE PLACEMENT Advantages โ€ข Individual 1. Institutional partner Global Crisis investors refrain with strong financial from investing background 2. Stimulus package given to large company โ€ข For large Government companies Stimulus
  • 12.
  • 13. Category โ€ขInvestment Financial Returns Value โ€ข$100m Long- Utilize โ€ขReal Estate Diversi- Macquarie Industry โ€ขAgricultural purpose fication term expertise Values & network โ€ขPrivate Placement Finance โ€ขPartner: Macquarie Group Take โ€ขBase 4 months advantage Time โ€ขBackup plans: 2 of the Plan months & 6 months downturn