National Australia Bank Real Estate Investment Prospects
1. Tai Tran
Victoria Sze
Giang Tran
Hong Nguyen
Susie Huang
Huy Truong
Dylan
Taylor
Fay
Eric
24/8/2009
Public Version
2. One Opportunity
Two Alternatives
Private
Public Equity
Placement
3.
4. Investment Industry Opportunities Risks
โข $100m โข Real Estate in โข Expected return: โข Global crisis
โข Make a decision: Eastern Coast 12% (base case) โข Low to medium
Public Equity or โข Agricultural โข Diversify portfolio liquidity
Private Placement purpose: Farms and risks โข Interest risk
โข Extend influence
over the industry
โข Penetrate
unsaturated
market
โข Cheap labour
5. Public Private
Equity Placement
Strategic
Partner
6.
7. โข Real estate requires
high level of expertise
Expertise โข Timing is everything PRIVATE PLACEMENT
Advantages
1. Macquarie is
โข Avoid information experienced in real
New leakage estate investment
โข Need to expand
Market networks
2. Private placement is
time-saving
3. Confidentiality is
ensured
โข Base scenario: within 4 4. Enter complex
Time months contracts
Frame
8. Australian Real Estate Index
๏ก A 72% fall from
peak
๏ก Projection: hit
bottom on
January 2010
๏ก Take advantage
of cheap price
๏ก Tale advantage
of cheap labour
9. โข Falling short behind in
PRIVATE PLACEMENT
Financial Current Ratio, EBIT
position Advantages
1. Less risky
2. Would not affect
current share price
โข Dilution to total equity 3. Risk separation
Concentration capital = 0.68% 4. Negotiable discount
of 5. Less requirement of
Shareholding regulatory compliance
6. Cost-saving & time-
saving
โข Corporate governance
Regulatory โข Corporate Act Disadvantages
1. Dilution of
Compliance โข Regulation on financial
shareholding is limited
institution
11. โข Bounce back in
Recovery 2010
Forecast
PRIVATE PLACEMENT
Advantages
โข Individual 1. Institutional partner
Global Crisis investors refrain with strong financial
from investing background
2. Stimulus package
given to large
company
โข For large
Government companies
Stimulus
12.
13. Category โขInvestment
Financial
Returns
Value โข$100m
Long- Utilize
โขReal Estate
Diversi- Macquarie
Industry โขAgricultural
purpose fication term expertise
Values & network
โขPrivate
Placement
Finance
โขPartner:
Macquarie Group
Take
โขBase 4 months advantage
Time โขBackup plans: 2 of the
Plan months & 6
months downturn