The document provides a daily analysis report from TP Global FX. It includes key headlines from Asia, economic data from various countries, and technical analysis and trade ideas for several currency pairs. The analysis indicates the Euro strengthened against the dollar after the ECB's hawkish policy statement. Several Asian stock markets were mixed while gold traded slightly lower. Upcoming economic data reports are also highlighted. Technical analysis of currency pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD provide support and resistance levels and potential buy and sell trade ideas.
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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT OCTOBER 29 2021
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29 October 2021
Daily Analysis Report
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Asian Bulle n: Euro strengthened sharply a er ECB’s hawkish Monetary Policy Statement, Asian stock markets mixed, gold slightly lower
Key Headlines:
• Japan Tokyo Core CPI remains unchanged at 0.1 pct.
• Japan unemployment Rate stands at 2.8 pct as earlier.
• Japan Prelim Industrial produc on stands at -5.4 pct vs -3.6 pct previous release.
• Australia PPI q/q stands at 1.1 pct vs 0.7 pct previous release.
• Australia Retail Sales stands at 1.3 pct vs -1.7 pct previous release.
• Wall Street closed higher on Thursday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq boas ng record closing levels thanks partly to gains by Apple and Amazon, while solid
results from companies including Caterpillar and Merck helped ease concerns about slowing economic growth den ng profits – Reuters.
• The dollar held losses to the euro and Bri sh pound late on Thursday as currency traders digested moves in interest rate markets, comments by the European
Central Bank President Chris ne Lagarde and a weaker-than-expected U.S. economic report – Reuters.
• U.S. President Joe Biden presented a social and climate spending plan worth $1.75T on Thursday to Congress and voters – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0530 GMT/1100 IST) France Final GDP, previous 1.1, expected 2.2.
• (0530 GMT/1130 IST) France Consumer Spending, previous 37.8, expected 40.4.
• (0645 GMT/1215 IST) France Prelim CPI, previous -0.2, expected 0.3.
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) Swiss KOF Economic Barometer, previous 110.6, expected 107.8.
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) Spain Flash GDP, previous 1.1, expected 2.9.
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) German Prelim GDP, previous 1.6, expected 2.2.
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Italy Prelim GDP, previous 2.7, expected 2.0.
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) U.K. mortgage approvals, previous 74K, expected 72K.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro CPI Flash es mate, previous 3.4, expected 3.7.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Core CPI Flash es mate, previous 1.9, expected 1.9.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Italy Prelim CPI, previous -0.2, expected 0.4.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Prelim Flash GDP, previous 2.2, expected 2.1.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) Canada GDP m/m, previous -0.1, expected 0.7.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Personal income, previous 0.2, expected -0.2.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Personal Spending, previous 0.8, expected 0.6.
• (1345 GMT/1915 IST) U.S. Chicago PMI, previous 64.7, expected 63.6.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. Revised UoM Consumer Sen ment, previous 71.4, expected 71.4.
Economic Events Ahead:
• No key events scheduled for the day.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.07% to 93.41 points.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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OCTOBER,
2021
Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7572
R2 S2
0.7599
R3 S3
0.7626
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7648
Buy Above 0.7555
0.7590
0.7522
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7515
0.7485
0.7539
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie rises gradually against U.S. dollar and hovers around $0.7550 mark. It made
intraday high at $0.7546 and low at $0.7523 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests
up trend for the time being.Asustained close above $0.7550 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.
Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7530 will check further supports.
0.7515
0.7490
0.7465
0.7437
4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1712
R2 S2
1.1737
R3 S3
1.1768
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1799
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro appreciated sharply after ECB’s Interest Rate decision and hawkish Monetary
Policy Statement. Today pair made intraday high at $1.1690 and low at $1.1673. Today triple EMAon
a day chart is down and H1 chart suggests up trend for the time being. A consistent close above
$1.1687 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1657 on
H1 chart will check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.1657
1.1612
1.1580
1.1555
Buy Above 1.1691
1.1720
1.1669
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1658
1.1628
1.1686
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
OCTOBER,
2021
5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3855
R2 S2
1.3825
R3 S3
1.3862
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3897
Buy Above 1.3806
1.3838
1.3785
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3780
1.3754
1.3800
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling trades marginally higher on Friday and hovers around $1.3800 mark. Today
pair made intraday high at $1.3803 and low at $1.3781 mark.Aday chart and H1 chart with triple EMA
suggest up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1.3805 on H1 chart will check key
resistances.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3780 will check further supports.
USD
1.3780
1.3755
1.3712
1.3680
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
OCTOBER,
2021
6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2368
R2 S2
1.2399
R3 S3
1.2422
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2454
Buy Above 1.2362
1.2385
1.2340
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2331
1.2306
1.2355
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD trades flat on Friday ahead of Canada’s GDP results and stabilizes around
1.2350 mark. The pair made intraday high at 1.2360 and low at 1.2340 mark. Today a day and H1
chart with triple EMA suggest down trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2368 on H1
chart requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2330 on H1 chart will check
key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2330
1.2302
1.2272
1.2250
OCTOBER,
2021
7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
113.62
R2 S2
113.99
R3 S3
114.26
R4
Commentary
S4
114.54
Buy Above 113.72
113.98
113.40
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 113.37
113.08
113.64
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen erases previous gain against U.S. dollar and hovers around 113.50
mark. The pair made intraday high at 113.71 and low at 113.39 mark. The triple EMAon a day chart is
up and H1 chart suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 113.68 on H1
chart requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 113.38 on H1 chart will check
further key supports.
USD /JPY
113.21
113.02
112.80
112.50
OCTOBER,
2021
8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1804
R2 S2
1809
R3 S3
1814
R4
Commentary
S4
1820
Buy Above 1802
1808
1796
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1789
1784
1795
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold starts a new day on a lower note and touches $1,794 mark in Asian hours.
Today pair made intraday high at $1,801 and low at $1,794 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple
EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,801 on H1 chart requires for
the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,792 will check further supports. Later today
U.S. Personal Income and spending data is in focus.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1786
1781
1776
1772
OCTOBER,
2021
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