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26 May, 2021
Daily Analysis Report
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Asian Bulle n: Kiwi strengthens sharply a er RBNZ’s Policy Rate Decision, most Asian stock markets in green, gold hits fresh 4 – month high at $1,907 mark
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand trade balance stands at 388M vs 39M previous release.
• Japan SPPI stands at 1.0 pct vs 0.7 pct previous release.
• Australia MI leading index stands at 0.2 pct vs 0.5 pct previous release.
• Australia construc on work done q/q stands at 2.4 pct vs -1.5 pct previous release.
• RBNZ keeps interest rate unchanged at 0.25 pct.
• South Korea BSI Manufacturing Index stands at 98 vs 95 previous release.
• RBNZ - Sees infla on at 1.5% in 2Q 2022, sees average OCR star ng to rise from 2Q 2022.
• RBNZ - Sees infla on at 2.6% in 2Q 2021, will maintain s mulatory se ngs un l CPI at midpoint.
• RBNZ - Funding for the lending programme is unchanged.
• RBNZ - We are to maintain s mulatory monetary se ngs un l we are confident that our infla on and employment targets are achieved.
• Fed’s Clarida – U.S. outlook "very very posi ve" and could hit 7%.
• Fed’s clarida - CPI number for April "very unpleasant surprise".
• Fed's Clarida - The benchmark argument for infla on is transitory, if upward pressure persists, the Fed may move to reduce it.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Swiss Credit Suisse Economic Expecta ons, previous 68.3.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. FOMC member Quarles Speaks.
• (1700 GMT/2230 IST) Canada Gov Council Member Lane speaks.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.03% to 89.67 points.
AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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MAY,
2
021
Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7790
R2 S2
0.7837
R3 S3
0.7854
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7878
Buy Above 0.7790
0.7822
0.7755
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7740
0.7710
0.7783
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie strengthens sharply after higher than expected key economic indicators
released in early Asian hours and parity is likely to break key resistance at $0.7790 mark. The pair
made intraday high at $0.7784 and low at $0.7746 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA
confirm bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.7790 on H1 chart requires for
the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7740 will check further supports.
0.7740
0.7715
0.7690
0.7662
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2292
R2 S2
1.2310
R3 S3
1.2349
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2378
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The euro appreciates on Wednesday and stabilizes around $1.2250 mark. Today’s
European Economic Calendar is empty and therefore likely to have range bound movement for
the day. Today pair made intraday high at $1.2260 and low at $1.2241. Today triple EMA on a day
chart and H1 chart suggest upward trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.2292 on
H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.2238 on H1 chart
will check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.2238
1.2190
1.2165
1.2138
Buy Above 1.2272
1.2298
1.2240
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2232
1.2197
1.2265
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
MAY,
2
021
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.4172
R2 S2
1.4187
R3 S3
1.4211
R4
Commentary
S4
1.4254
Buy Above 1.4172
1.4200
1.4138
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.4127
1.4096
1.4165
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The Sterling trades in narrow range on Wednesday and hovers around $1.4150 mark.
The pair made intraday high at $1.4163 and low at $1.4140 mark. A day chart is up but H1 chart
with triple EMA suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1.4172 on H1
chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.4138 will check further
supports.
USD
1.4138
1.4112
1.4082
1.4040
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
MAY,
2
021
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2067
R2 S2
1.2090
R3 S3
1.2140
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2172
Buy Above 1.2070
1.2091
1.2048
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2038
1.2016
1.2065
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar rises gradually against U.S. dollar and consolidates around
1.2050 mark. Later today BOC Gov Council Member Lane’s speech is there, it may bring volatility
to the CAD parity. Today pair made intraday high at 1.2068 and low at 1.2045 mark. Today a day
chart as well as H1 chart with Triple EMA confirm bearish trend for the time being. A sustained
close above 1.2067 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close
below 1.2032 on H1 chart will check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2032
1.2002
1.1978
1.1944
MAY,
2
021
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
108.99
R2 S2
109.30
R3 S3
109.55
R4
Commentary
S4
109.76
Buy Above 108.99
109.25
108.80
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 108.64
108.38
108.87
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen exhibits range bound movement despite robust SPPI data and
consolidates around 108.80 mark. The pair made intraday high at 108.82 and low at 108.72 mark.
The triple EMA on a day chart is up but H1 chart suggests bearish trend for the time being. A
sustained close above 108.99 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent
close below 108.58 on H1 will check further key supports.
USD /JPY
108.58
108.40
108.15
107.87
MAY,
2
021
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1909
R2 S2
1913
R3 S3
1919
R4
Commentary
S4
1925
Buy Above 1909
1916
1902
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1896
1889
1905
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold spiked up sharply in previous session as U.S. released key economic
data with negative numbers and today gold touches $1,907 mark in early Asian hours. The parity
hits highest level since Jan 08, 2021. Today pair made intraday high at $1,907 and low $1,897
mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA confirm the bullish trend for the time being. A
sustained close above $1,909 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent
close below $1,887 will check further supports.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1898
1892
1887
1881
MAY,
2
021
Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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