DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT FEBRUARY 18 2022

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18 February 2022
Daily Analysis Report

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Asian Bulle n: Japanese yen trades marginally lower as Japan’s Na onal CPI, Core CPI data miss expecta ons; Asian stock markets in red; gold hovers around $1,890 mark
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand PPI Input stands at 1.1 pct vs 1.6 pct previous release.
• New Zealand PPI Output stands at 1.4 pct vs 1.8 pct previous release.
• Japan Na onal Core CPI stands at 0.2 pct vs 0.5 pct previous release.
• Russian-backed rebels and Ukrainian forces have traded accusa ons that each had fired across the ceasefire line in eastern Ukraine, adding to a growing concern over the prospect
of a wider war – Reuters.
• As Hong Kong ba les a surge of Covid cases, the government has said it plans to make up to 10,000 hotel rooms available for pa ents, and will also make tes ng compulsory from
March for the 7.5 million people who live in the city – Reuters.
• President Joe Biden is expected to ask Congress for a U.S. defense budget exceeding $770 billion for the next fiscal year as the Pentagon seeks to modernize the military, including
ship building and developing capabili es in space – Reuters.
• India on Thursday urged the world's biggest 20 economies (G20) to make joint efforts to ensure increased mul -lateral funding by global ins tu ons including the Interna onal
Monetary Fund to prepare for future pandemics – Reuters.
• The World Health Organiza on said on Thursday countries struggling with surging COVID-19 infec ons may shorten the recommended quaran ne dura on of 14 days in some
situa ons – Reuters.
• The United Kingdom reported 51,899 new cases of COVID-19 on Thursday, leaving the seven-day tally down by 26.6% on the previous week – Reuters.
• Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell won high marks from Wall Street as he dialed up expecta ons late last year for a more hawkish policy stance to quell rising infla on, a survey by
the New York Federal Reserve published Thursday showed – Reuters.
• At least 94 people have died in flooding in Brazil, a er heavy rains caused mudslides that buried homes and washed away cars – Reuters.
• U.S. stocks tumbled on Thursday, with investors hastening a move late in the session toward defensive sectors and safe havens such as U.S. bonds and gold as geopoli cal tensions
between Washington and Russia over Ukraine flared – Reuters.
• The expecta on that the Federal Reserve will start hiking interest rate soon has put limits on Mexico's monetary policy, Bank of Mexico Deputy Governor Jonathan Heath said on
Thursday – Reuters.
• Gold prices jumped to an eight-month high and safe-haven debt rose on Thursday a er U.S. President Joe Biden said there was every indica on Russia planned to a ack Ukraine,
while Moscow accused Washington of ignoring its security demands – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) U.K. Retail Sales, previous -3.7, expected 1.1.
• (0745 GMT/1315 IST) France Final CPI, previous 0.3, expected 0.3.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Current Account, previous 23.6B, expected 24.3B.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) Canada Retail sales, previous 0.7, expected -2.1.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) Canada Core Retail Sales, previous 1.1, expected -2.1.
• (1500 GMT/2030 IST) U.S. Exis ng Home Sales, previous 6.18M, expected 6.10M.
Economic Events Ahead:
• All Day – G 20 Mee ngs.
• Tenta ve – Fed Monetary Policy Report.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.04% to 95.84 points.

3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7215
R2 S2
0.7230
R3 S3
0.7250
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7278
Buy Above 0.7205
0.7230
0.7175
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7172
0.7150
0.7199
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie trades slightly higher on Friday and hovers around $0.7200 mark. Today pair
made intraday high at $0.7200 and low at $0.7176 mark. A day chart is down and H1 chart with triple
EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.7215 on H1 chart requires for
the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7177 will check further supports.
0.7177
0.7140
0.7112
0.7086
FEBRUARY,
2022

4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1372
R2 S2
1.1390
R3 S3
1.1405
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1432
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro exhibits range bound movement and consolidates around $1.1355 mark. The
pair made intraday high at $1.1371 and low at $1.1356 mark. Today triple EMAon a day chart and H1
chart suggest down trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.1372 on H1 chart requires
for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1350 on H1 chart will check further
supports.
EUR / USD
1.1350
1.1330
1.1300
1.1280
Buy Above 1.1378
1.1410
1.1355
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1350
1.1322
1.1372
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FEBRUARY,
2022

5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3618
R2 S2
1.3650
R3 S3
1.3672
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3690
Buy Above 1.3620
1.3648
1.3596
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3590
1.3568
1.3612
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling trades in narrow range ahead of U.K.’s Retail Sales data and stabilizes
above $1.3600 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3620 and low at $1.3599 mark.Aday chart
and H1 chart with triple EMAsuggest up trend for the time being.Asustained close above $1.3618 on
H1 chart will check key resistances.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3590 will check further
supports.
USD
1.3590
1.3572
1.3550
1.3521
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FEBRUARY,
2022

6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2712
R2 S2
1.2730
R3 S3
1.2750
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2772
Buy Above 1.2712
1.2738
1.2690
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2687
1.2665
1.2705
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD enjoys roller coaster movement ahead of Canada’s Retail Sales data and
hovers around 1.2700 mark. Pair made intraday high at 1.2717 and low at 1.2692 mark. Today a day
chart is up and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests down trend for the time being. A sustained close
above 1.2712 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2680
on H1 chart will check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2672
1.2650
1.2626
1.2600
FEBRUARY,
2022

7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
115.30
R2 S2
115.55
R3 S3
115.76
R4
Commentary
S4
115.94
Buy Above 115.30
115.55
115.10
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 114.90
114.65
115.10
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen trades marginally lower on Friday and stabilizes above 115.00 mark.
The pair made intraday high at 115.27 and low at 114.78 mark. The triple EMAon a day chart is up and
H1 chart suggests down trend for the time being.Asustained close above 115.30 on H1 chart requires
for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 114.80 on H1 chart will check further key
supports.
USD /JPY
114.80
114.65
114.30
114.12
FEBRUARY,
2022

8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1904
R2 S2
1909
R3 S3
1915
R4
Commentary
S4
1918
Buy Above 1896
1904
1889
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1886
1878
1892
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold spikes down sharply in Asian hours and currently hovers around $1,890
mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,902 and low at $1,888 mark. A triple EMA on a day chart
and H1 chart suggest up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,901 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,884 will check further supports.
Traders eye U.S. Existing Home Sales Data scheduled later today.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1884
1878
1872
1867
FEBRUARY,
2022

9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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