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© 2006 Shantanu BhagwatNot to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
Asia – Why and why now?
Shantanu Bhagwat
The contents of this presentation and the opinions expressed therein (unless stated otherwise), are the intellectual property of Shantanu Bhagwat and should
not be used, quoted, transmitted or distributed in any form or manner, without the explicit and written consent of the author. © Shantanu Bhagwat, 2007
Email: shantanu20ATgmail.com
3
Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
Its not about Asia, its about growth..
 Its not about costs; it is about revenues
 …not about the “threat”, but the opportunities
 …not a “whether” or an “if” but a “what” and a
“how”?
4
Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
 Markets
 200m ~ 300m “middle-class” in India
 Similar-sized (although less conspicuous) in China
 400m+ mobile subscribers in China
 100m+ in India and still growing at > 50% year-on-year
 Innovation
 Areas of core tech innovation are emerging
 Increasing number of US VCs are building trans-pacific or
US-India teams to leverage the potential
 Migration of technology sectors
 TVs
 Semiconductors/ Consumer Electronics
* At least…
3* reasons for thinking about Asia
5
Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
World’s largest market opportunity?
6
Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
Source: Nokia, “New Horizons”, Q2 ’05 http://sifybroadband.techwhack.com/category/hutch/
New Additions in Apr ’06: 3.9m (5.1m including CDMA); By Dec ’06, total additions were touching 6m+; 85% CAGR (’04 – ’07)
Apr ’03 ~ 2k new subs/ month
India - at an Inflection Point…
Apr ’04 ~ 2m new subs/ month
7
Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
India - at an Inflection Point…
8
Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
* Source: WSTS, IC Insights, Walden International Presentation
Asia – Driver of global growth
Global Semiconductor Sales…
9
Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
Source: http://www.ibef.org/artdisplay.aspx?cat_id=135&art_id=2600
Consumer Markets in Asia
10
Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
* Map http://www.bugbog.com/maps/asia/asia_map.html may not be to scale Source: Prof. Phil Anderson, INSEAD;
Emerging Hotbeds of Innovation*
Beijing
(Telecom, IT)
Shanghai
(Bio-medicine, IC Design)
Songdo
(RFID, New Media)
Pune
(Software)
11
Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
* Data does not include buyouts or PIPE transactions;
** Source & Copyright: Ernst & Young/VentureOne, except B (Thomson MacDonald), E (TSJ Media), and F (Zero2IPO)
Global VC flows
12
Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
VC Activity in Asia (sample)
Jan*
2005 2006
Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct
Jun: Sofinnova to
invest up to 15%
of its fund in Asia
Oct: TVM
announces it may
invest in Asia
from future funds;
Cisco earmarks
$100m for VC
investments in
India
Jul: IDG-Accel
launches new
fund for China
Aug: Mayfield
Partners with GSR
Ventures; NEA
moves in China;
opens office;
Sequoia adds
team in China Nov: Sierra
Ventures partners
with Gobi
Partners; Kleiner
Perkins enters
China
Jan: Intel Capital
announces
$250m “India
Fund”
Mar: NVP
announces
intention to do 5-6
investments
May: Sequoia
announces $150m
India Fund
Jun: IDG
announces
dedicated Indian
Fund; Canaan
Partners begins
investing in India
Jul: DCM says it
will invest
between 25% -
35% of its new
fund (DCM V) in
China and Japan
(and possibly
India); Matrix
closes a $150m
fund for India
Not tracked
during this period
or prior to Jan ‘05
13
Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
Whither Europe?
 Asia: an after-thought vs. a strategy
 Traditional conservatism
 Lack of awareness
 Lack of “cultural bridges”
 Demographics
 But things are changing…
14
Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
Amadeus portfolio cos. in Asia**
…and many others* Map http://www.bugbog.com/maps/asia/asia_map.html may not be to scale;
** List of companies is a sample and not exhaustive
15
Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
More on “Why Asia? Why now?”
 Why Venture Capital has to globalise:
http://global-themes.com/why-vcs-have-to-globalize/
 The VC Stampede to Asia
http://global-themes.com/vc-stampede-to-asia/
 India, China, Outsourcing and Globalization
http://global-themes.com/india-china-outsourcing-
globalization/
 The case for International VC Firms http://global-
themes.com/the-case-for-international-vc-firms/
16
Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat
Thank you!
More on www.global-themes.com
Email: sbhagwat@amadeuscapital.com
The contents of this presentation and the opinions expressed therein (unless stated otherwise), are the intellectual property of Shantanu Bhagwat and should
not be used, quoted, transmitted or distributed in any form or manner, without the explicit and written consent of the author. © Shantanu Bhagwat, 2007
Email: shantanu20ATgmail.com
Questions, Comments?

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Asia ICT Presentation, Stockholm

  • 1. © 2006 Shantanu BhagwatNot to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat Asia – Why and why now? Shantanu Bhagwat The contents of this presentation and the opinions expressed therein (unless stated otherwise), are the intellectual property of Shantanu Bhagwat and should not be used, quoted, transmitted or distributed in any form or manner, without the explicit and written consent of the author. © Shantanu Bhagwat, 2007 Email: shantanu20ATgmail.com
  • 2. 3 Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat Its not about Asia, its about growth..  Its not about costs; it is about revenues  …not about the “threat”, but the opportunities  …not a “whether” or an “if” but a “what” and a “how”?
  • 3. 4 Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat  Markets  200m ~ 300m “middle-class” in India  Similar-sized (although less conspicuous) in China  400m+ mobile subscribers in China  100m+ in India and still growing at > 50% year-on-year  Innovation  Areas of core tech innovation are emerging  Increasing number of US VCs are building trans-pacific or US-India teams to leverage the potential  Migration of technology sectors  TVs  Semiconductors/ Consumer Electronics * At least… 3* reasons for thinking about Asia
  • 4. 5 Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat World’s largest market opportunity?
  • 5. 6 Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat Source: Nokia, “New Horizons”, Q2 ’05 http://sifybroadband.techwhack.com/category/hutch/ New Additions in Apr ’06: 3.9m (5.1m including CDMA); By Dec ’06, total additions were touching 6m+; 85% CAGR (’04 – ’07) Apr ’03 ~ 2k new subs/ month India - at an Inflection Point… Apr ’04 ~ 2m new subs/ month
  • 6. 7 Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat India - at an Inflection Point…
  • 7. 8 Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat * Source: WSTS, IC Insights, Walden International Presentation Asia – Driver of global growth Global Semiconductor Sales…
  • 8. 9 Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat Source: http://www.ibef.org/artdisplay.aspx?cat_id=135&art_id=2600 Consumer Markets in Asia
  • 9. 10 Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat * Map http://www.bugbog.com/maps/asia/asia_map.html may not be to scale Source: Prof. Phil Anderson, INSEAD; Emerging Hotbeds of Innovation* Beijing (Telecom, IT) Shanghai (Bio-medicine, IC Design) Songdo (RFID, New Media) Pune (Software)
  • 10. 11 Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat * Data does not include buyouts or PIPE transactions; ** Source & Copyright: Ernst & Young/VentureOne, except B (Thomson MacDonald), E (TSJ Media), and F (Zero2IPO) Global VC flows
  • 11. 12 Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat VC Activity in Asia (sample) Jan* 2005 2006 Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jun: Sofinnova to invest up to 15% of its fund in Asia Oct: TVM announces it may invest in Asia from future funds; Cisco earmarks $100m for VC investments in India Jul: IDG-Accel launches new fund for China Aug: Mayfield Partners with GSR Ventures; NEA moves in China; opens office; Sequoia adds team in China Nov: Sierra Ventures partners with Gobi Partners; Kleiner Perkins enters China Jan: Intel Capital announces $250m “India Fund” Mar: NVP announces intention to do 5-6 investments May: Sequoia announces $150m India Fund Jun: IDG announces dedicated Indian Fund; Canaan Partners begins investing in India Jul: DCM says it will invest between 25% - 35% of its new fund (DCM V) in China and Japan (and possibly India); Matrix closes a $150m fund for India Not tracked during this period or prior to Jan ‘05
  • 12. 13 Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat Whither Europe?  Asia: an after-thought vs. a strategy  Traditional conservatism  Lack of awareness  Lack of “cultural bridges”  Demographics  But things are changing…
  • 13. 14 Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat Amadeus portfolio cos. in Asia** …and many others* Map http://www.bugbog.com/maps/asia/asia_map.html may not be to scale; ** List of companies is a sample and not exhaustive
  • 14. 15 Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat More on “Why Asia? Why now?”  Why Venture Capital has to globalise: http://global-themes.com/why-vcs-have-to-globalize/  The VC Stampede to Asia http://global-themes.com/vc-stampede-to-asia/  India, China, Outsourcing and Globalization http://global-themes.com/india-china-outsourcing- globalization/  The case for International VC Firms http://global- themes.com/the-case-for-international-vc-firms/
  • 15. 16 Not to be distributed without prior consent © 2006 Shantanu Bhagwat Thank you! More on www.global-themes.com Email: sbhagwat@amadeuscapital.com The contents of this presentation and the opinions expressed therein (unless stated otherwise), are the intellectual property of Shantanu Bhagwat and should not be used, quoted, transmitted or distributed in any form or manner, without the explicit and written consent of the author. © Shantanu Bhagwat, 2007 Email: shantanu20ATgmail.com Questions, Comments?

Editor's Notes

  1. Not about cost-cutting and outsourcing Not about the danger from China or the threat from India What should I do and how rather than should I bother and/or If I want to do something… Coming back to Asia….there are at least three reasons to start thinking about Asia
  2. And lets spend a minute…specifically on China and India… CHINA may quite simply be the world’s biggest market opportunity for years
  3. Nothing illustrates the dramatic transformation in India than the mobile comms. industry
  4. And there are a number of other sectors where Asia is the key driver of growth in the industry….take for example semiconductors… IC Shipments in Asia-Pacific crossed the $100bn mark in ‘06
  5. Look at the consumer markets
  6. To market, you add innovation… ADD anecdotal evidence from our portfolio
  7. And then of course you have money….following the market and the innovation…
  8. And a snapshot that illustrates the tremendous amount of activity and interest in Asia – particularly from the United States
  9. Where is Europe in all this? Why is it still slow in waking up to the opportunity and the challenge?
  10. What is the extent of Amadeus’ involvement in Asia?