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Are the NBFCs Rejoicing a Possible RBI Rate Cut?
As the market commenced
this morning the financial
sector was seen to draw a lot
of attention. At 9.30 AM, the
Financial Services- NBFC was
up by 1.35 per cent.
This surge was seen to be a
result of the expected Repo
rate cut by the RBI in its next
meet which is scheduled on
7th December, tomorrow.
Why is the Market Expecting a Rate Cut?
After the massive turmoil in the economy due to Modi Government’s bold move
‘Demonetization’, the experts are highly positive of a minimum of 25 bps cut in the
interest rate. According to them this will help in boosting the financial condition of
the country.
Earlier, the banks were in a complaining mode that they do not possess enough
fund to finance the startups, SMEs and corporate and the companies who wanted to
borrow funds were not content about the cost of borrowing.
Demonetization should ease this issue as about Rs 12 lakh crores have already been
deposited in the banking system (unofficial speculative figure). So now the banks
are in better position to lend money at a better cost of borrowing.
What to Expect from the RBI Meet?
The six-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will begin its deliberations
today (6th December 2016) amid widespread expectations of at least 0.25 per cent
cut in policy rate to cushion the impact of demonetization. This would be the
second meeting of the MPC headed by RBI Governor Urjit Patel after the first that
happened in October, when it had cut the repo rate or short term lending rate by
0.25 per cent to 6.25 per cent. Some also believe that RBI might cut the rate as
much as 50 bps to promote further growth.
RBI has reduced repo rate by 1.75 per cent since January of 2015. This will be the
first monetary policy review after demonetization of old Rs 500 and Rs 1,000
currency notes, following which banks witnessed a heavy surge in deposits.
Market Reaction
Bank Nifty share price is in the positive zone though the rise is very low. At
1.40 PM it is trading at 18,510.00, up by 0.21 per cent.
NBFCs also rejoiced the expected rate cut.
SREI Infra share price rose more than 4 per cent and made an intraday high
of Rs 83.50.
Can Fin Homes share price also surged more than 4 per cent. At 1.45 PM the
share is trading at Rs 1,677.35 apiece on NSE, up by 2.12 per cent.
PFS share price is also trading is the green side of the market (up by 1.03 per
cent).
A day’s wait will only tell us how much rate cut we will see.
Disclaimer
The investment advice or guidance provided by way of recommendations, reports or other ways are solely the personal views of the
research team. Users are advised to use the data for the purpose of information and rely on their own judgment while making investment
decision.
Dynamic Equities Pvt. Ltd - SEBI Investment Advisory Reg. No.: INA300002022
Disclosure
Dynamic Equities Pvt. Ltd. is a member of NSE, BSE, MCX SX and a DP with NSDL & CDSL. It is also engaged in Investment
Advisory Services and Portfolio Management Services. Dynamic Commodities Pvt. Ltd., associate company, is a member of MCX &
NCDEX. We declare that our activities were neither suspended nor we have defaulted with any stock exchange authority with whom we
are registered. SEBI, Exchanges and Depositories have conducted the routine inspection and based on their observations have issued
advise letters or levied minor penalty on for certain operational deviations.
Answers to the Best of our knowledge and belief of Dynamic/ its Associates/ Research Analyst: DYNAMIC/its Associates/ Research
Analyst/ his Relative:
Do not have any financial interest / any actual/beneficial ownership in the subject company.
Do not have any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report
Have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months
Have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company.
Have not received any compensation for brokerage services or any products / services or any compensation or other benefits
from the subject company, nor engaged in market making activity for the subject company
Have not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company
Article Written by
Nabarupa Kanjilal

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Are NBFCs Rejoicing Possible RBI Rate Cut

  • 1. Are the NBFCs Rejoicing a Possible RBI Rate Cut? As the market commenced this morning the financial sector was seen to draw a lot of attention. At 9.30 AM, the Financial Services- NBFC was up by 1.35 per cent. This surge was seen to be a result of the expected Repo rate cut by the RBI in its next meet which is scheduled on 7th December, tomorrow. Why is the Market Expecting a Rate Cut? After the massive turmoil in the economy due to Modi Government’s bold move ‘Demonetization’, the experts are highly positive of a minimum of 25 bps cut in the interest rate. According to them this will help in boosting the financial condition of the country. Earlier, the banks were in a complaining mode that they do not possess enough fund to finance the startups, SMEs and corporate and the companies who wanted to borrow funds were not content about the cost of borrowing. Demonetization should ease this issue as about Rs 12 lakh crores have already been deposited in the banking system (unofficial speculative figure). So now the banks are in better position to lend money at a better cost of borrowing. What to Expect from the RBI Meet? The six-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will begin its deliberations today (6th December 2016) amid widespread expectations of at least 0.25 per cent cut in policy rate to cushion the impact of demonetization. This would be the second meeting of the MPC headed by RBI Governor Urjit Patel after the first that happened in October, when it had cut the repo rate or short term lending rate by 0.25 per cent to 6.25 per cent. Some also believe that RBI might cut the rate as much as 50 bps to promote further growth.
  • 2. RBI has reduced repo rate by 1.75 per cent since January of 2015. This will be the first monetary policy review after demonetization of old Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 currency notes, following which banks witnessed a heavy surge in deposits. Market Reaction Bank Nifty share price is in the positive zone though the rise is very low. At 1.40 PM it is trading at 18,510.00, up by 0.21 per cent. NBFCs also rejoiced the expected rate cut. SREI Infra share price rose more than 4 per cent and made an intraday high of Rs 83.50. Can Fin Homes share price also surged more than 4 per cent. At 1.45 PM the share is trading at Rs 1,677.35 apiece on NSE, up by 2.12 per cent. PFS share price is also trading is the green side of the market (up by 1.03 per cent). A day’s wait will only tell us how much rate cut we will see. Disclaimer The investment advice or guidance provided by way of recommendations, reports or other ways are solely the personal views of the research team. Users are advised to use the data for the purpose of information and rely on their own judgment while making investment decision. Dynamic Equities Pvt. Ltd - SEBI Investment Advisory Reg. No.: INA300002022 Disclosure Dynamic Equities Pvt. Ltd. is a member of NSE, BSE, MCX SX and a DP with NSDL & CDSL. It is also engaged in Investment Advisory Services and Portfolio Management Services. Dynamic Commodities Pvt. Ltd., associate company, is a member of MCX & NCDEX. We declare that our activities were neither suspended nor we have defaulted with any stock exchange authority with whom we are registered. SEBI, Exchanges and Depositories have conducted the routine inspection and based on their observations have issued advise letters or levied minor penalty on for certain operational deviations. Answers to the Best of our knowledge and belief of Dynamic/ its Associates/ Research Analyst: DYNAMIC/its Associates/ Research Analyst/ his Relative: Do not have any financial interest / any actual/beneficial ownership in the subject company. Do not have any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report Have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months Have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company. Have not received any compensation for brokerage services or any products / services or any compensation or other benefits from the subject company, nor engaged in market making activity for the subject company Have not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company Article Written by Nabarupa Kanjilal