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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Data Requirements for National Policy
Needs in Turkish Economy
Ertan APAYDIN
MINISTRY of DEVELOPMENT
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
• Main Administrative Bodies in the Economy,
• Main Policy Documents,
• Statistics used in Policy Documents by theme,
• Data Requirements for National Policy Needs in Turkish Economy.
Contents
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Main Administrative Bodies in the
Economy and Policy Documents
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Main Administrative Bodies
Main Bodies for Economic Policy Making and Coordination
High Planning Council Money, Credit and
Coordination Council
Economic and Social
Council
Chairman: Prime Minister
-Deputy Prime Minister
-Minister of Finance
-Minister of Science,
Industry and Trade
-Minister of Energy and
National Resources,
-Minister of Development,
-Minister of Economy,
Chairman: Deputy Prime
Minister
-Minister of Finance
-Minister of Economy
-Governor of CBRT
-Undersecretaries of MoD,
MoF, MoE
Representatives of
-Public Institutions
-Employers
-Workers
-Chambers of Occupation
-And other Civilian Society
Organizations
Economic Coordination
Council
Chairman: Deputy Prime
Minister
-Minister of Finance,
-Minister of Science, Industry
and Trade
-Minister of Energy and
National Resources,
-Minister of Development,
-Minister of Economy,
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Main Policy Documents
5
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Development Plan/Long Term Strategy
Medium Term
Program
SSectoral-Thematic
SStrategies
IInstitutional
SStrategic Plans
NNational Program
PPre-Accession
Economic Pr.
Annual Program
Investment Program
Medium Term Fiscal
Plan
BUDGET
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Tenth Development Plan
(2014-2018)
- Five-year documents (non rolling),
- Five-year macroeconomic policies and targets,
- Guides all macroeconomic, sectoral and regional policies and
implementations,
- Sets the general framework of economic, social and regional
indicative targets,
- Based on findings of the committees formed by
representatives of universities, public institutions, private
sector and NGO’s,
- Prepared by MoD; approved by the Parliament.
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
2012 2013 2018 2014-2018
Main Economic Indicators
GDP Growth (%) 2,2 4,0 5,9 5,5
GDP (Billions of Dollar) 786,3 850,5 1.285,5 8,6
GDP Per Capita (Dollar) 10.504 11.183 15.996 7,4
CPI (12 Monthly Changes) 6,2 5,3 4,5 4,8
Production Factors (%)
Capital Stock 5,6 5,2 6,3 5,7
Employment 2,9 4,2 3,0 2,9
Total Factor Productivity -1,1 -0,5 1,2 1,1
Labor Market
Labor Force Participation Rate 50,0 51,1 53,8 52,6
Employment (Millions of Persons) 24,8 25,9 29,9 2,9
Employment Rate (%) 45,4 46,4 49,9 48,2
Unemployment Rate (%) 9,2 9,2 7,2 8,2
Tenth Development Plan
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
MEDIUM TERM PROGRAM (MTP)
(Law No. 5018 / Art.16)
- Sets priorities, macroeconomic policies, targets and
projections,
- 3-year documents (yearly rolling),
- Program based approach,
- Covers all public sector institutions,
- Consistent with the Development Plan,
- Prepared by MoD with the collaboration of MoF,
Treasury and CBRT in the light of views of public
institutions and NGO’s,
- Approved by the Council of Ministers.
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
MEDIUM TERM FISCAL PLAN (MTFP)
(Law No. 5018 / Art.16)
- Institutional budget appropriation proposal
ceilings ,
- 3-year documents (yearly rolling),
- Based on Medium Term Program,
- Prepared by MoF with the collaboration of MoD
and Treasury,
- Approved by the High Planning Council.
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
ANNUAL PROGRAM
- Sets measures to implement the policies,
- Institutional responsibilities and timetable,
- Prepared by MoD,
- Approved by the Council of Ministers.
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
BUDGET
- Rules regarding the implementation,
- Appropriations,
- Revenue estimations,
- Approved by the Parliament.
13
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
PUBLIC INVESTMENT PROGRAM
- Project based distribution of investment
appropriations,
- Institutional distribution of investment
appropriations,
- Covers whole public sector,
- Indicates the total cost of all projects, as well as
individual projects,
- Indicates the total amount appropriated up to
present of all projects.
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Utilised and Required Statistics in
National level
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
 National Accounts
 Foreign Trade and Factors Affecting the Foreign Trade
 Balance of Payment
 Public Balances
 Inflation, Price Statistics includes Agricultural Crop Prices
 Employment, Unemployment and Wages
 Population, Demography, Poverty Statistics
 Banking Sector Statistics (by BRSA) and Selected Monetary
Aggregates and Items in Central Bank Balance Sheet
 ICT Indicators
16
Development Plan MTP Annual Program PEP
Statistics Used in Policy Documents by Theme(1)
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
 World Economic Indicators, Competitiveness Ranking,
Business Climate Indicators, Patent Statistics
 Purchasing Power Parity
 Public Investment
 Debt Stock
 Sectoral Detailed Statistics
 Education and Health Statistics
 Turkey’s Official Development Assistance
 Judicial Statistics
 Regional Statistics
 Social Assistance Expenditures
17
Development Plan MTP Annual Program PEP
Statistics Used in Policy Documents by Theme(2)
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
WHAT WE NEED?(1)
1. The Supply-Use and Input-Output Tables Of The Turkish Economy (1973,
1979, 1985,1990,1998,2002) No data since 2002
2. Gross Domestic Product by Income Approach, No data since 2006
3. GNDI,Public and private sector disposable income, MoD statistics
4. Public and private sector saving rates, MoD statistics
5. A decomposition of private saving by households and by firms,
6. Sectoral breakdown of private sector investments. MoD statistics-10
sectors
7. Greenfield FDI statistics,
8. Sectoral breakdown of private sector capital stock.
18
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
WHAT WE NEED?(2)
9. More detailed statistics, especially in national
account and labor force statistics,
10. More Back- Casted series.
11. More Seasonal and Calendar Adjusted Statistics
12. Harmonizing statistics between different data
producer institutions.
13. Because of data privacy policy, policy makers can
not reach some statistics.
19
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
THANK
YOU
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

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A-13A.ppt

  • 1. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations Data Requirements for National Policy Needs in Turkish Economy Ertan APAYDIN MINISTRY of DEVELOPMENT General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
  • 2. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations • Main Administrative Bodies in the Economy, • Main Policy Documents, • Statistics used in Policy Documents by theme, • Data Requirements for National Policy Needs in Turkish Economy. Contents
  • 3. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations Main Administrative Bodies in the Economy and Policy Documents General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
  • 4. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations Main Administrative Bodies Main Bodies for Economic Policy Making and Coordination High Planning Council Money, Credit and Coordination Council Economic and Social Council Chairman: Prime Minister -Deputy Prime Minister -Minister of Finance -Minister of Science, Industry and Trade -Minister of Energy and National Resources, -Minister of Development, -Minister of Economy, Chairman: Deputy Prime Minister -Minister of Finance -Minister of Economy -Governor of CBRT -Undersecretaries of MoD, MoF, MoE Representatives of -Public Institutions -Employers -Workers -Chambers of Occupation -And other Civilian Society Organizations Economic Coordination Council Chairman: Deputy Prime Minister -Minister of Finance, -Minister of Science, Industry and Trade -Minister of Energy and National Resources, -Minister of Development, -Minister of Economy,
  • 5. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations Main Policy Documents 5
  • 6. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations Development Plan/Long Term Strategy Medium Term Program SSectoral-Thematic SStrategies IInstitutional SStrategic Plans NNational Program PPre-Accession Economic Pr. Annual Program Investment Program Medium Term Fiscal Plan BUDGET
  • 7. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations Tenth Development Plan (2014-2018) - Five-year documents (non rolling), - Five-year macroeconomic policies and targets, - Guides all macroeconomic, sectoral and regional policies and implementations, - Sets the general framework of economic, social and regional indicative targets, - Based on findings of the committees formed by representatives of universities, public institutions, private sector and NGO’s, - Prepared by MoD; approved by the Parliament.
  • 8. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
  • 9. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations 2012 2013 2018 2014-2018 Main Economic Indicators GDP Growth (%) 2,2 4,0 5,9 5,5 GDP (Billions of Dollar) 786,3 850,5 1.285,5 8,6 GDP Per Capita (Dollar) 10.504 11.183 15.996 7,4 CPI (12 Monthly Changes) 6,2 5,3 4,5 4,8 Production Factors (%) Capital Stock 5,6 5,2 6,3 5,7 Employment 2,9 4,2 3,0 2,9 Total Factor Productivity -1,1 -0,5 1,2 1,1 Labor Market Labor Force Participation Rate 50,0 51,1 53,8 52,6 Employment (Millions of Persons) 24,8 25,9 29,9 2,9 Employment Rate (%) 45,4 46,4 49,9 48,2 Unemployment Rate (%) 9,2 9,2 7,2 8,2 Tenth Development Plan
  • 10. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations MEDIUM TERM PROGRAM (MTP) (Law No. 5018 / Art.16) - Sets priorities, macroeconomic policies, targets and projections, - 3-year documents (yearly rolling), - Program based approach, - Covers all public sector institutions, - Consistent with the Development Plan, - Prepared by MoD with the collaboration of MoF, Treasury and CBRT in the light of views of public institutions and NGO’s, - Approved by the Council of Ministers.
  • 11. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations MEDIUM TERM FISCAL PLAN (MTFP) (Law No. 5018 / Art.16) - Institutional budget appropriation proposal ceilings , - 3-year documents (yearly rolling), - Based on Medium Term Program, - Prepared by MoF with the collaboration of MoD and Treasury, - Approved by the High Planning Council.
  • 12. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations ANNUAL PROGRAM - Sets measures to implement the policies, - Institutional responsibilities and timetable, - Prepared by MoD, - Approved by the Council of Ministers.
  • 13. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations BUDGET - Rules regarding the implementation, - Appropriations, - Revenue estimations, - Approved by the Parliament. 13
  • 14. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations PUBLIC INVESTMENT PROGRAM - Project based distribution of investment appropriations, - Institutional distribution of investment appropriations, - Covers whole public sector, - Indicates the total cost of all projects, as well as individual projects, - Indicates the total amount appropriated up to present of all projects.
  • 15. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations Utilised and Required Statistics in National level General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
  • 16. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations  National Accounts  Foreign Trade and Factors Affecting the Foreign Trade  Balance of Payment  Public Balances  Inflation, Price Statistics includes Agricultural Crop Prices  Employment, Unemployment and Wages  Population, Demography, Poverty Statistics  Banking Sector Statistics (by BRSA) and Selected Monetary Aggregates and Items in Central Bank Balance Sheet  ICT Indicators 16 Development Plan MTP Annual Program PEP Statistics Used in Policy Documents by Theme(1)
  • 17. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations  World Economic Indicators, Competitiveness Ranking, Business Climate Indicators, Patent Statistics  Purchasing Power Parity  Public Investment  Debt Stock  Sectoral Detailed Statistics  Education and Health Statistics  Turkey’s Official Development Assistance  Judicial Statistics  Regional Statistics  Social Assistance Expenditures 17 Development Plan MTP Annual Program PEP Statistics Used in Policy Documents by Theme(2)
  • 18. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations WHAT WE NEED?(1) 1. The Supply-Use and Input-Output Tables Of The Turkish Economy (1973, 1979, 1985,1990,1998,2002) No data since 2002 2. Gross Domestic Product by Income Approach, No data since 2006 3. GNDI,Public and private sector disposable income, MoD statistics 4. Public and private sector saving rates, MoD statistics 5. A decomposition of private saving by households and by firms, 6. Sectoral breakdown of private sector investments. MoD statistics-10 sectors 7. Greenfield FDI statistics, 8. Sectoral breakdown of private sector capital stock. 18
  • 19. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations WHAT WE NEED?(2) 9. More detailed statistics, especially in national account and labor force statistics, 10. More Back- Casted series. 11. More Seasonal and Calendar Adjusted Statistics 12. Harmonizing statistics between different data producer institutions. 13. Because of data privacy policy, policy makers can not reach some statistics. 19
  • 20. General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations THANK YOU General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

Editor's Notes

  1. Input-output table is derived from the supply and use tables based on the assumption of product, industry or mixed technology. Table is a square matrix which the number of rows and columns are equal. There are lots of areas input-output table used. These are: structural analyze and planning of economy, analysis of production, analysis of demand structure, analysis of price and cost, analysis of export and import, analysis of investment, analysis of productivity, analysis of sensitivity and impact analysis.