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Keep Your 3-Legged
Stool Upright!
Successful Project Management
Brian Harrington
MTN-SIM, LLC
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
About the Presenter
Brian Harrington is a Six Sigma Black Belt with 20
years operations research and simulation experience
at Ford Motor Company. He designs and implements
manufacturing process improvements which
incorporate many conflicting objectives such as
robust, flexible, and Lean systems.
Now running his own discrete event simulation specialists firm MTN-SIM LLC, he
continues to deliver high quality complex models for a wide range of
manufacturing, healthcare, and business process improvements. He also acts as a
technical ambassador for SIMUL8 Corporation assisting in teaching, mentoring,
marketing, and consulting projects.
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Housekeeping
1. Audio
2. Q and A
Recording available on: www.simul8.com
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Project Management using Simulation
• The facts
• Factors to consider when managing a project
• Tools to identify key input factors
• Decision making using simulation
• Creating trade-offs and balancing
Money
Time
Quality
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
The Facts…
IBM Institute for Business Value Study
(48 countries, 1400 samples)
60% of projects fail to meet their objective
44% fall short on at least one of their Cost, Quality, Time
objectives
15% miss all of their objectives or are stopped by management
20% Highly successful (“Change Architects”)
35% Moderately successful
45% Below average successful
1
1 Article: “Making Change Work” IBM 2010
Sample size 1,500 practitioners worldwide
2 Article: “Making change work . . . while the work keeps changing” IBM 2014
Sample size 1,380 practitioners worldwide
By Hans-Henrik Jorgensen, Oliver Bruehl and Neele Franke 2014
2
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Cost, Quality, and Time
Small or Large, Projects…
Need to be on Budget!
On Time!
And Strive for Continuous Improve of Quality!
Project Management
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Conflicting Objectives
Sounds good to upper management, but
how is this even possible?
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Enterprise Success Equates to…
 Shorter Development Time
 Beating your Competition to Market
 Delivering Quality
The pressure is on Project Management!
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Simulation- Reduces the Risk
Most successful companies use Discrete Event
Simulation to address such critical factors as:
Cost, Quality, and Time
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
What’s Critical
How do we know what to
focus on when it comes Cost,
Quality, and Time?
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Critical to Quality, Cost, Time
Materials
Machinery/
Equipment
Methods
People
Effect:
Not achieving desired
throughput
Companies need to focus on what is critical to the
business and its customers.
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
CT is Input into a QFD
Quality Functional Deployment
• User Requirements into
Design Parameters
• Correlation Matrix of the
“What’s” & “How’s”
• Prioritizing what is most
important
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Include C,Q,T Metrics into your Simulation
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Simulation metrics
• Throughput (JPH)
– Changeovers
– Batch Builds
• Number of Repairs
– Repair rate
• Number of Scrapped
Units
– Scrap rate
• Cost
– Number of Carriers
– Number of Pallets
– Number of Tugs & Racks
– Number of Robots
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Finance & Income Statement
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Poll Question
Does your company’s managers use
simulation results when comparing
costly proposals?
A.Always (100%)
B.Most of the time (80%)
C.Some of the time (50%)
D.Never
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Cost
Cost Avoidance- Biggest bang for your buck!
• Comparing simulation scenarios
Replication
• Can you replicate these actions elsewhere?
Additional Cost Measures
•Cost per unit
•Material Costs
•Scrap Costs
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Comparing Proposed Solutions
Automated Guided Vehicle System
vs. Tugs and Racks
Large difference in cost per system.
What are the benefits of each system?
Will the company achieve these benefits?
Is there a better place to spend the funds?
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Quality
• Equipment
• Product Design
• Method/Process
• Tests
• Repairs
Where to place quality equipment within your facility,
and how much is necessary?
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Quality Example
Strategically placing a vision detection
system to analysis weld integrity and
random imperfections.
Reduces scrap
Reduces destructive testing
Reduces heavy & light repairs
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Quality within a Bodyshop
Where to place quality equipment within your facility, and how much is
necessary?
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Time
What Discrete Event Simulation does best
The model is an animated database of events taking place at
discrete times; producing realistic behavior and results.
Predicts the facilities capability (Parts per Hour)
Provides insight into system performance (Wait, Blocked)
Optimize operating patterns (Shifts, Planned DT)
Predicts long-term behavior (1 yr. of production)
Includes outliers (Catastrophic delays)
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
We have the Time
Cycle Times
Changeover Time
Breakdown Time
Shift Patterns
Conveyor Speeds
Resource Times
Travel Matrix
Dwell Times
Shelve Life Time
Delays
Conditional Time
Load Time
Unload Time
Simulation Time
Warm-up Time
… The list goes on
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Overall Program Timing
As for project management the simulation
analysis will reduce the overall development
time, it will keep the focus on the critical steps.
Allowing managers to make decisions, accept
implementation bids, and keep the program
moving forward.
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
It’s a Bit of a Juggling Act
“Project management is like juggling three balls
– time, cost and quality. Program management is
like a troupe of circus performers standing in a
circle, each juggling-three balls and swapping balls
from time to time.”
– G. Reiss
1 Project Management Demystified: Today's Tools and Techniques GEOFF REISS
1
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Poll Question
How would you rate your company’s
success with respect to Projects?
A.Highly Successful
B.Moderately Successful
C.Below Average
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Balanced Project Management
Project Managers must keep the project moving forward
On Time
Within Budget
Best in Class Quality
How?
Corporate Strategy
1.Data-backed Decisions
2.“Simulation Milestones” within your strategic timeline
3.“Simulation Sign-Offs”
Simulation studies must be sized
properly to deliver Results at Key
Milestones!
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Keep your eye on the ball
Simulation models can…
Address all three areas of concern
Justify trade-offs within your development plan
Identify interrelationships between key input factors
Provide the muscle to keep your project on target!
Q TC
Q TC
Q
TC
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Questions?
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
Questions?
If you have any questions around this topic,
please email: brian.h@simul8.com
Continue the discussion on the SIMUL8 Users Group
– LinkedIn Group
SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com

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Keep Your 3-Legged Stool Upright! Leading Successful Manufacturing Projects

  • 1. Keep Your 3-Legged Stool Upright! Successful Project Management Brian Harrington MTN-SIM, LLC
  • 2. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com About the Presenter Brian Harrington is a Six Sigma Black Belt with 20 years operations research and simulation experience at Ford Motor Company. He designs and implements manufacturing process improvements which incorporate many conflicting objectives such as robust, flexible, and Lean systems. Now running his own discrete event simulation specialists firm MTN-SIM LLC, he continues to deliver high quality complex models for a wide range of manufacturing, healthcare, and business process improvements. He also acts as a technical ambassador for SIMUL8 Corporation assisting in teaching, mentoring, marketing, and consulting projects.
  • 3. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Housekeeping 1. Audio 2. Q and A Recording available on: www.simul8.com
  • 4. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Project Management using Simulation • The facts • Factors to consider when managing a project • Tools to identify key input factors • Decision making using simulation • Creating trade-offs and balancing Money Time Quality
  • 5. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com The Facts… IBM Institute for Business Value Study (48 countries, 1400 samples) 60% of projects fail to meet their objective 44% fall short on at least one of their Cost, Quality, Time objectives 15% miss all of their objectives or are stopped by management 20% Highly successful (“Change Architects”) 35% Moderately successful 45% Below average successful 1 1 Article: “Making Change Work” IBM 2010 Sample size 1,500 practitioners worldwide 2 Article: “Making change work . . . while the work keeps changing” IBM 2014 Sample size 1,380 practitioners worldwide By Hans-Henrik Jorgensen, Oliver Bruehl and Neele Franke 2014 2
  • 6. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Cost, Quality, and Time Small or Large, Projects… Need to be on Budget! On Time! And Strive for Continuous Improve of Quality! Project Management
  • 7. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Conflicting Objectives Sounds good to upper management, but how is this even possible?
  • 8. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Enterprise Success Equates to…  Shorter Development Time  Beating your Competition to Market  Delivering Quality The pressure is on Project Management!
  • 9. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Simulation- Reduces the Risk Most successful companies use Discrete Event Simulation to address such critical factors as: Cost, Quality, and Time
  • 10. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com What’s Critical How do we know what to focus on when it comes Cost, Quality, and Time?
  • 11. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Critical to Quality, Cost, Time Materials Machinery/ Equipment Methods People Effect: Not achieving desired throughput Companies need to focus on what is critical to the business and its customers.
  • 12. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com CT is Input into a QFD Quality Functional Deployment • User Requirements into Design Parameters • Correlation Matrix of the “What’s” & “How’s” • Prioritizing what is most important
  • 13. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Include C,Q,T Metrics into your Simulation
  • 14. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Simulation metrics • Throughput (JPH) – Changeovers – Batch Builds • Number of Repairs – Repair rate • Number of Scrapped Units – Scrap rate • Cost – Number of Carriers – Number of Pallets – Number of Tugs & Racks – Number of Robots
  • 15. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Finance & Income Statement
  • 16. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Poll Question Does your company’s managers use simulation results when comparing costly proposals? A.Always (100%) B.Most of the time (80%) C.Some of the time (50%) D.Never SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
  • 17. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Cost Cost Avoidance- Biggest bang for your buck! • Comparing simulation scenarios Replication • Can you replicate these actions elsewhere? Additional Cost Measures •Cost per unit •Material Costs •Scrap Costs
  • 18. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Comparing Proposed Solutions Automated Guided Vehicle System vs. Tugs and Racks Large difference in cost per system. What are the benefits of each system? Will the company achieve these benefits? Is there a better place to spend the funds?
  • 19. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Quality • Equipment • Product Design • Method/Process • Tests • Repairs Where to place quality equipment within your facility, and how much is necessary?
  • 20. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Quality Example Strategically placing a vision detection system to analysis weld integrity and random imperfections. Reduces scrap Reduces destructive testing Reduces heavy & light repairs
  • 21. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Quality within a Bodyshop Where to place quality equipment within your facility, and how much is necessary?
  • 22. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Time What Discrete Event Simulation does best The model is an animated database of events taking place at discrete times; producing realistic behavior and results. Predicts the facilities capability (Parts per Hour) Provides insight into system performance (Wait, Blocked) Optimize operating patterns (Shifts, Planned DT) Predicts long-term behavior (1 yr. of production) Includes outliers (Catastrophic delays)
  • 23. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com We have the Time Cycle Times Changeover Time Breakdown Time Shift Patterns Conveyor Speeds Resource Times Travel Matrix Dwell Times Shelve Life Time Delays Conditional Time Load Time Unload Time Simulation Time Warm-up Time … The list goes on
  • 24. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Overall Program Timing As for project management the simulation analysis will reduce the overall development time, it will keep the focus on the critical steps. Allowing managers to make decisions, accept implementation bids, and keep the program moving forward.
  • 25. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com It’s a Bit of a Juggling Act “Project management is like juggling three balls – time, cost and quality. Program management is like a troupe of circus performers standing in a circle, each juggling-three balls and swapping balls from time to time.” – G. Reiss 1 Project Management Demystified: Today's Tools and Techniques GEOFF REISS 1
  • 26. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Poll Question How would you rate your company’s success with respect to Projects? A.Highly Successful B.Moderately Successful C.Below Average SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
  • 27. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Balanced Project Management Project Managers must keep the project moving forward On Time Within Budget Best in Class Quality How? Corporate Strategy 1.Data-backed Decisions 2.“Simulation Milestones” within your strategic timeline 3.“Simulation Sign-Offs” Simulation studies must be sized properly to deliver Results at Key Milestones!
  • 28. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Keep your eye on the ball Simulation models can… Address all three areas of concern Justify trade-offs within your development plan Identify interrelationships between key input factors Provide the muscle to keep your project on target! Q TC Q TC Q TC
  • 29. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Questions? SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com
  • 30. SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com Questions? If you have any questions around this topic, please email: brian.h@simul8.com Continue the discussion on the SIMUL8 Users Group – LinkedIn Group SIMUL8 Corporation | SIMUL8.com | info@SIMUL8.com