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Capital Gains and UK Inequality
New evidence using tax microdata
Dr Arun Advani, University of Warwick, CAGE
Dr Andy Summers, LSE
@arunadvaniecon / @cage_warwick
@summers_ad / @lseinequalities
International
Inequalities Institute
2
HMRC Disclaimer
This work contains statistical data from HMRC which is Crown Copyright. The research datasets used
may not exactly reproduce HMRC aggregates. The use of HMRC statistical data in this work does not
imply the endorsement of HMRC in relation to the interpretation or analysis of the information.
Acknowledgements
The authors thank Helen Hughson for outstanding research assistance; Felix Koenig and Lorenzo
Pessina for foundational work on which this analysis builds; Tim Monteath and Yannis Papadakis for
additional assistance; the entire HMRC Datalab team – especially Yee Wan Yau, Alastair Currie and
James Dainty – for insights and support; and Tahnee Ooms for helpful comments.
Funding
This research was funded by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) through the Centre
for Competitive Advantage in a Global Economy (CAGE) at Warwick (ES/L011719/1) and by LSE
International Inequalities Institute, LSE Law, and Warwick Economics.
3
What are capital gains?
• Profit on selling an asset for more than you bought it
• For example:
• Rental property
• Fine art
• A business
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
54,000 41,000 28,000 15,000 2,000
Gains per person (£millions)
Ranking by gains, 1000 individuals per bin
Minimum gains
within bin
Average gains
within bin
Highest gainersLowest gainers
(above £100k)
4
Gains are very highly concentrated
Distribution of taxable gains (£millions)
All individuals with total net gains over
£100,000
5
A significant minority of gains are persistent
%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
<£20k £20-100k £100-200k £200-500k £500k-1m >£1m
Mean gains per year over previous four years (2013-2016)
% of individuals with gains
over £100,000 in 2017
6
Total (taxable) gains are large and rising
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018
Aggregate gains
(£billions)
Financial Crisis and tax
reforms to capital gains
7
Including gains increases top income shares
% of
total
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Top 1% Top 0.1% Top 0.01%
Income only
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Top 1% Top 0.1% Top 0.01%
Including gains, ranked by income only
Income only
8
Including gains increases top income shares
% of
total
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Top 1% Top 0.1% Top 0.01%
Including gains, ranked by income only
Income only
Including gains, re-ranked
9
Including gains increases top income shares
% of
total
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018
Top 1% share
Income only
Including gains
10
Inequality including gains has been rising
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018
Top 0.1% share
Income only
Including gains
11
Inequality including gains has been rising
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018
Top 0.01% share
Income only
Including gains
12
Inequality including gains has been rising
13
Gains are taxed at lower rates than income
0
10
20
30
40
50
0
10
20
30
40
50
Income Tax
(top rate)
Dividend Rate
(top rate)
CGT
Entrepreneurs'
Relief
CGT Main rate CGT
Residential
property
%
Income Tax
National
Insurance
%
Taxes on income Tax on gains
14
The line between income / gains is blurred
(1) Repackaged earnings from work
• Personal services companies (retained profits on liquidation)
• Executive pay packages (employee share schemes)
• Fund managers (‘carried interest’)
(2) Swapping income for gains
• Business managers (Entrepreneurs Relief)
• Investors (capital growth over income)
15
This mostly benefits business managers
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
54,000 41,000 28,000 15,000 2,000
Carried interest of fund managers
Listed shares (PLCs)
Unlisted shares (private businesses)
Residential property
Other assets incl all Entrepreneurs' Relief gains
Gains per person (£millions)
Ranking by gains, 1000 individuals per bin
Lowest gainers
(above £100k)
Highest gainers
16
Especially ‘super gainers’ (gains >£1mil)
17
The tax system does little to reduce top-end inequality
For more on “How much tax
do the rich really pay?”
15th June, LSE public event
Link https://bit.ly/2XazE1U
Pre/post tax inequality
income only
Pre/post tax inequality
including gains

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The hidden rise (and fall?) of the Top 1%

  • 1. Capital Gains and UK Inequality New evidence using tax microdata Dr Arun Advani, University of Warwick, CAGE Dr Andy Summers, LSE @arunadvaniecon / @cage_warwick @summers_ad / @lseinequalities International Inequalities Institute
  • 2. 2 HMRC Disclaimer This work contains statistical data from HMRC which is Crown Copyright. The research datasets used may not exactly reproduce HMRC aggregates. The use of HMRC statistical data in this work does not imply the endorsement of HMRC in relation to the interpretation or analysis of the information. Acknowledgements The authors thank Helen Hughson for outstanding research assistance; Felix Koenig and Lorenzo Pessina for foundational work on which this analysis builds; Tim Monteath and Yannis Papadakis for additional assistance; the entire HMRC Datalab team – especially Yee Wan Yau, Alastair Currie and James Dainty – for insights and support; and Tahnee Ooms for helpful comments. Funding This research was funded by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) through the Centre for Competitive Advantage in a Global Economy (CAGE) at Warwick (ES/L011719/1) and by LSE International Inequalities Institute, LSE Law, and Warwick Economics.
  • 3. 3 What are capital gains? • Profit on selling an asset for more than you bought it • For example: • Rental property • Fine art • A business
  • 4. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 54,000 41,000 28,000 15,000 2,000 Gains per person (£millions) Ranking by gains, 1000 individuals per bin Minimum gains within bin Average gains within bin Highest gainersLowest gainers (above £100k) 4 Gains are very highly concentrated Distribution of taxable gains (£millions) All individuals with total net gains over £100,000
  • 5. 5 A significant minority of gains are persistent % 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 <£20k £20-100k £100-200k £200-500k £500k-1m >£1m Mean gains per year over previous four years (2013-2016) % of individuals with gains over £100,000 in 2017
  • 6. 6 Total (taxable) gains are large and rising 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 Aggregate gains (£billions) Financial Crisis and tax reforms to capital gains
  • 7. 7 Including gains increases top income shares % of total 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Top 1% Top 0.1% Top 0.01% Income only
  • 8. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Top 1% Top 0.1% Top 0.01% Including gains, ranked by income only Income only 8 Including gains increases top income shares % of total
  • 9. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Top 1% Top 0.1% Top 0.01% Including gains, ranked by income only Income only Including gains, re-ranked 9 Including gains increases top income shares % of total
  • 10. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 Top 1% share Income only Including gains 10 Inequality including gains has been rising
  • 11. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 Top 0.1% share Income only Including gains 11 Inequality including gains has been rising
  • 12. 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 Top 0.01% share Income only Including gains 12 Inequality including gains has been rising
  • 13. 13 Gains are taxed at lower rates than income 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 Income Tax (top rate) Dividend Rate (top rate) CGT Entrepreneurs' Relief CGT Main rate CGT Residential property % Income Tax National Insurance % Taxes on income Tax on gains
  • 14. 14 The line between income / gains is blurred (1) Repackaged earnings from work • Personal services companies (retained profits on liquidation) • Executive pay packages (employee share schemes) • Fund managers (‘carried interest’) (2) Swapping income for gains • Business managers (Entrepreneurs Relief) • Investors (capital growth over income)
  • 15. 15 This mostly benefits business managers 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 54,000 41,000 28,000 15,000 2,000 Carried interest of fund managers Listed shares (PLCs) Unlisted shares (private businesses) Residential property Other assets incl all Entrepreneurs' Relief gains Gains per person (£millions) Ranking by gains, 1000 individuals per bin Lowest gainers (above £100k) Highest gainers
  • 17. 17 The tax system does little to reduce top-end inequality For more on “How much tax do the rich really pay?” 15th June, LSE public event Link https://bit.ly/2XazE1U Pre/post tax inequality income only Pre/post tax inequality including gains