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Data Science:
The Future (and not) of
Digital Analytics?
Tim Wilson
#eMetrics / @tgwilson
@tgwilson / # eMetrics
Source: Flickr / KamiPhuc
October 10, 1993
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Mt. Katahdin
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Source: Google Maps
The end of a
5-month journey
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Source: Google Maps
…which was a
journey on foot.
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Source: Google Maps
Last year, I was on a
different journey.
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Source: Google Maps
Digital Analyst
Fall 2015
Learn R!
End of 2016
These journeys were similar in many
ways.
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Flickr / Ines Hegedus-Garcia
They were both challenging!
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
They were both
rewarding!
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
They both turned out to have destinations
that weren’t as clear as I thought.
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Last year’s journey
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Source: Google Maps
Digital Analyst
Fall 2015
Learn R!
End of 2016
Last year’s journey
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Source: Google Maps
Digital Analyst
Fall 2015
Be a Data Scientist!
End of 2016
`
Last year’s journey
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Source: Google Maps
Digital Analyst
Fall 2015
Become Data Science-y
End of 2016
`
`
Last year’s journey
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Source: Google Maps
Digital Analyst
Fall 2015
Just Getting Started!
End of 2016
`
`
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
But…
WHY?!
Because the Role of the
Digital Analyst Is Evolving
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
The Spectrum of “Analytics”
Digital Analyst
Marketer
Basic Metrics Segmentation Data Science
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Data Science?!
Data Science
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Data Science
Wikipedia sayeth
employs techniques and theories drawn from many fields within the broad areas of:
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
is like boiling water.
PEAK1
Flickr / Revolution_Ferg
MSR Whisperlite
vs.
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
vs.
vs.
Programming Languages
Open Source (Free*)
Supported By Large Communities
Connectable to Digital Analytics
(and Other!) Data Sources
* TANSTAAFL
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Clingmans Dome
The highest point on the Appalachian Trail…
Flickr / David Fulmer
…and where I was during my undergraduate
commencement.
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Just as education arms us with
the power of knowledge…
...“programming” with data is powerful.
Flickr / David Fulmer
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Data Extraction
Flickr / Scott Swigart
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
One GA Account
Many Properties!
Many Views!
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
17
lines of code
38Google Analytics views queried
IN
19
seconds
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Yes!
Is this just an
alternative to Adobe’s
Data Warehouse?
…with more flexibility
…without the mystery
delivery time
Reusability
and
Extensibility
Flickr / Scott Swigart
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Comparisons: (Top) 18 Web Sites
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Totals: Channel vs. Customer Segment
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Anomalies: Channels vs. Segments
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
github.com/gilliganondata
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Data Science
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
My Perspective: Fall 2015
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Do the Analysis Communicate Results
@analyticshero
DATA VISUALIZATION
My Data Science-y Perspective
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Do the Analysis Communicate Results
@analyticshero
DATA VISUALIZATION
To be clear…
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
…many tools offer
powerful data visualization.
Data scientists build visualizations that
are interactive and reactive.
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
bit.ly/ga-explore
bit.ly/ga-explore
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
bit.ly/ga-explore
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
bit.ly/ga-explore
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
bit.ly/ga-explore
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Data Science
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
What is a p-value?
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
“Informally, a p-value is the probability under a
specified statistical model that a statistical
summary of the data (for example, the sample
mean difference between two compared groups)
would be equal to or more extreme than its
observed value.”
– American Statistical Association
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
p-value:
Statistically significant pregnancy test.
This topic is…
@tgwilson / #eMetricsFlickr / Howard Lake
As web analysts, how
often do we use:
A Cross Tabulation with a !2 Test
for Independence?
A 1-Way ANOVA?
An N-Way ANOVA?
A Correlation?
An OLS Regression?
A Holt-Winters Forecast?
Flickr / Neil Piddock @tgwilson / #eMetrics
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
This is hard!
Flickr / Casey Fleser
Which Channels Have a Traffic Correlation?
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Example
Assessing	a	KPI
A	KPI	Gets	Reported
And	It	Includes	Some	Context...
Comparison	to	a	Target
Comparison	to	the	Previous	Period
And...Usually...A	Trend	of	the	Data
Let's	Look	at	Some	Trended	Data
@tgwilson	/	#eMetrics
Consider	the	last	week
@tgwilson	/	#eMetrics
We	have	the	data	of	interest...
@tgwilson	/	#eMetrics
...and	data	for	context.
@tgwilson	/	#eMetrics
Let's	take	our	context	data...
@tgwilson	/	#eMetrics
...and	think	of	it	as	"training"	data.
@tgwilson	/	#eMetrics
We	can	"decompose"	that	data.
@tgwilson	/	#eMetrics
We	can	build	a	forecast	with	it.
@tgwilson	/	#eMetrics
The	forecast	won't	be	perfect
@tgwilson	/	#eMetrics
So	we	add	a	prediction	interval
@tgwilson	/	#eMetrics
We	can	compare!
@tgwilson	/	#eMetrics
Now	we	have	meaningful	context!
@tgwilson	/	#eMetrics
What this can look like in the real world.
@tgwilson | #eMetrics
And…drilling down and summarizing
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Mark Edmondson’s
Pre-/Post- Analysis Using a Bayesian Structural Time-Series Method
@tgwilson / #eMetricsbit.ly/ga-effect
Other Answers from Statistics
CROSS-TABULATION WITH A !2 TEST FOR INDEPENDENCE
Is there a relationship between channel and campaign when it comes
to conversions?
1-WAY ANOVA
Which channels perform significantly differently from each other?
N-WAY ANOVA
Which channel/campaign combinations perform significantly
differently?
REGRESSION
For each additional 100 visits from Paid Search, how much additional
revenue do I predict we will achieve?
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
So, are YOU ready to put data
science(-y-ness) on your career roadmap?
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
STATISTICS
Source: Flickr / Xavi
DATA
VISUALIZATION
COMPUTER
PROGRAMMING
The Measure Slack Team
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
http://join.measure.chat
# r-and-statistics
dartistics.com
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
Flickr / Jeffrey Stylos
Slack/Twitter: @tgwilson
linkedin.com/in/tgwilson
tim@analyticsdemystified.com
Podcast: analyticshour.io
@tgwilson / #eMetrics
2-D Tool: bit.ly/ga-explore
Website: dartistics.com
Slack: join.measure.chat

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