Daily Technical Trader - Qatar January 24, 2016- English Version

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Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Sunday, 24 January 2016
Stocks Covered Today
Ticker Price 1
st
Target
GISS 38.35 40.00
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 8,689.37 -3.31 9.1
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 9,000 9,150 9,400
Support 8,500 8,300 8,200
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
We mentioned last week that the QSE
Index could be experiencing a V-shape
correction upwards. We also mentioned
that volatility usually accompanies such
corrections. Add to that the close
correlation our markets exhibits in relation
to oil’s price movement. As a result, we
think that the market will move upwards.
We stress that the major trend remains
down.
Expected Resistance Level: 9,000
Expected Support Level: 8,500
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 21 Jan 20 Jan %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 184.1 290.7 -36.7
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 458.4 462.7 -0.9
Volume (mn) 5.4 7.8 -31.1
Number of Trans. 3,457 5,374 -35.7
Companies Traded 40 42 -4.8
Market Breadth 15:21 8:33 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 13,342.60 -1.2 28.7
All Share Index 2,287.29 -1.1 27.6
Banks and Financials 2,338.19 -1.0 29.2
Industrials 2,556.95 -0.9 27.5
Transportation 2,107.59 1.6 28.5
Real Estate 1,805.49 -3.7 30.5
Insurance 3,578.84 -1.0 32.1
Telecoms 928.67 0.5 48.4
Consumer 4,700.39 0.3 23.5
Al Rayan Islamic 3,039.03 -1.4 26.2
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
DBIS 13.00 -2.6 18.0
QIGD 24.55 -0.6 18.7
QNCD 89.50 1.7 19.3
MCGS 77.60 -0.6 19.5
GWCS 44.00 2.3 20.6
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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GISS
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 38.35 -2.91 482,681
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 38.90 40.00 43.50
Support 36.00 34.35 32.85
Commentary
Overview:
GISS is one of the most affected shares
by the recent oil prices slump. As a result,
we expect the name to move in tandem
with the recent bounce in oil prices. That
been said, the general trend remains
down on GISS.
Expected Target Price: QR40.00 –
QR43.50
A price breakaway above QR38.90
triggers the buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR36.00
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 8,584.01 8,499.16 8,547.78 8,577.82 8,626.44 8,675.06 8,705.10 8,753.72 10,120.46 10,832.62 11,398.39
Total Return 13,342.60 13,210.71 13,286.28 13,332.97 13,408.55 13,484.12 13,530.81 13,606.39 15,730.80 16,837.75 17,715.92
All Share 2,287.29 2,266.24 2,278.14 2,285.49 2,297.39 2,309.29 2,316.64 2,328.54 2,698.45 2,884.51 3,040.94
Al Rayan Islamic 3,039.03 2,989.02 3,016.18 3,032.95 3,060.10 3,087.26 3,104.03 3,131.18 3,746.95 4,064.32 4,332.93
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 31.15 30.38 30.82 31.09 31.53 31.97 32.24 32.68 36.41 39.78 42.90
CBQK 38.70 38.17 38.38 38.51 38.72 38.93 39.06 39.27 45.40 50.29 53.07
DHBK 35.60 34.63 34.98 35.19 35.53 35.88 36.09 36.43 43.66 46.96 50.14
QIBK 81.60 80.67 81.20 81.53 82.07 82.60 82.93 83.47 107.17 111.80 108.98
QIIK 59.00 57.67 58.05 58.28 58.67 59.05 59.28 59.67 65.05 70.06 74.65
Insurance
QATI 73.40 73.27 73.34 73.39 73.47 73.54 73.59 73.67 82.78 88.76 90.86
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 77.60 72.53 74.06 75.01 76.53 78.06 79.01 80.53 120.73 143.37 159.05
Industrials
IQCD 88.60 86.53 87.49 88.08 89.03 89.99 90.58 91.53 104.73 114.80 126.74
QEWS 181.80 178.93 180.31 181.16 182.53 183.91 184.76 186.13 205.93 209.15 211.75
GISS 38.35 36.45 37.25 37.75 38.55 39.35 39.85 40.65 50.19 56.70 67.58
QIGD 24.55 22.35 23.08 23.52 24.25 24.98 25.42 26.15 36.48 41.37 45.76
Real Estate
BRES 30.15 28.98 29.65 30.06 30.73 31.40 31.81 32.48 39.04 41.49 45.60
UDCD 18.00 15.87 16.78 17.35 18.27 19.18 19.75 20.67 20.49 22.18 22.97
ERES 12.14 11.61 11.91 12.10 12.41 12.71 12.90 13.21 15.70 17.33 17.55
MRDS 11.29 10.92 11.02 11.09 11.20 11.30 11.37 11.48 14.18 15.18 16.80
Telecommunication
ORDS 74.50 70.43 71.69 72.47 73.73 74.99 75.77 77.03 71.87 73.35 81.28
VFQS 10.17 9.86 10.03 10.13 10.31 10.48 10.58 10.76 11.84 12.96 14.72
Transportation
QGTS 19.50 18.74 19.02 19.18 19.46 19.74 19.90 20.18 23.09 23.17 22.74
QNNS 88.70 85.10 86.13 86.77 87.80 88.83 89.47 90.50 94.46 96.08 97.10
Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price

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Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening
and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is
lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus
considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative
price direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.

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Contacts:
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
QNB Financial Services SPC
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer,
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indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We
therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that
QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy
and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or
contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the
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