Qatar stock exchange

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Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Tuesday, 20 October 2015
Stocks Covered Today
Ticker Price 1
st
Target
QGMD 14.75 15.15
UDCD 24.44 25.00
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 11,788.24 0.24 11.3
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 11,900 12,000 12,100
Support 11,760 11,500 11,300
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
The QSE Index inched up again but with
no significance on indicators. Momentum
indicators are growing flatter by the day,
signifying indecision among market
participants. As a result, we have to wait
this movement out and, if positions are
taken, restricted stop-loss levels should be
adhered to.
Expected Resistance Level: 11,900
Expected Support Level: 11,760
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 19 Oct 18 Oct %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 332.5 301.1 10.4
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 618.5 618.0 0.1
Volume (mn) 12.2 12.7 -3.3
Number of Trans. 4,340 3,532 22.9
Companies Traded 40 41 -2.4
Market Breadth 19:19 22:16 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 18,323.12 0.2 57.5
All Share Index 3,134.37 0.1 57.8
Banks 3,147.61 -0.3 53.5
Industrials 3,555.23 0.3 55.3
Transportation 2,473.73 0.5 54.6
Real Estate 2,810.78 0.2 62.5
Insurance 4,685.57 1.8 55.3
Telecoms 1,068.68 0.9 63.1
Consumer 6,850.61 -0.7 56.3
Al Rayan Islamic 4,489.52 0.2 57.8
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
VFQS 15.25 1.7 70.4
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
QCFS 38.00 0.0 17.7
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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QGMD
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 14.75 1.86 12,962
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 14.80 15.15 15.35
Support 14.30 14.00 13.50
Commentary
Overview:
Price broke above the descending
channel; it could be rebounding after a
marginal correction. The MACD is above
zero on the daily chart and the Histogram
is crawling up. In addition, the 100SMA is
acting as a support level.
Expected Target Price: QR15.15 –
QR15.35
A price breakaway above QR14.80
triggers the buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR14.20
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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UDCD
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 24.44 -0.24 46,193
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 24.58 25.00 25.35
Support 23.20 23.00 22.00
Commentary
Overview:
UDCD is in a medium-term uptrend
channel. The name is trading above its
SMAs. The correction the name
experienced in the past week placed the
price at an attractive level. Momentum
indicators are on the positive side.
Expected Target Price: QR25.00 –
QR25.35
A price breakaway above QR24.58
triggers the buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR23.20
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 11,788.24 11,712.12 11,734.50 11,748.33 11,770.71 11,793.09 11,806.92 11,829.30 11,533.85 11,764.66 11,927.91
Total Return 18,323.12 18,204.81 18,239.60 18,261.09 18,295.87 18,330.66 18,352.15 18,386.93 17,927.71 18,285.44 18,372.93
All Share 3,134.37 3,116.46 3,121.75 3,125.02 3,130.32 3,135.61 3,138.88 3,144.18 3,071.86 3,139.80 3,159.52
Al Rayan Islamic 4,489.52 4,452.63 4,464.12 4,471.22 4,482.72 4,494.21 4,501.31 4,512.81 4,412.28 4,530.28 4,443.43
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 44.00 43.63 43.77 43.85 43.98 44.12 44.20 44.33 43.24 44.39 45.63
CBQK 55.50 54.50 54.88 55.12 55.50 55.88 56.12 56.50 56.31 55.60 57.66
DHBK 50.30 49.77 49.96 50.08 50.27 50.46 50.58 50.77 51.03 52.18 53.54
QIBK 119.10 117.43 117.97 118.30 118.83 119.37 119.70 120.23 113.54 110.35 106.79
QIIK 76.00 75.87 75.94 75.99 76.07 76.14 76.19 76.27 75.70 77.43 79.49
Insurance
QATI 96.50 93.83 94.60 95.07 95.83 96.60 97.07 97.83 96.09 97.03 88.13
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 166.30 164.37 165.25 165.79 166.67 167.55 168.09 168.97 168.70 176.02 161.10
Industrials
IQCD 126.50 125.43 125.78 125.99 126.33 126.68 126.89 127.23 128.57 132.80 139.97
QEWS 214.00 210.87 211.86 212.47 213.47 214.46 215.07 216.07 212.28 216.50 206.09
GISS 68.50 67.63 67.94 68.13 68.43 68.74 68.93 69.23 63.52 70.41 81.90
QIGD 47.60 44.77 45.66 46.22 47.12 48.01 48.57 49.47 46.93 49.75 46.36
Real Estate
BRES 45.60 44.57 44.89 45.09 45.42 45.74 45.94 46.27 44.45 47.85 47.48
UDCD 24.44 24.12 24.24 24.31 24.43 24.55 24.62 24.74 24.01 24.13 23.67
ERES 19.68 19.35 19.45 19.52 19.63 19.73 19.80 19.91 18.52 18.23 17.21
MRDS 16.83 16.61 16.72 16.80 16.91 17.02 17.10 17.21 16.44 17.53 18.03
Telecommunication
ORDS 78.00 76.67 77.13 77.41 77.87 78.33 78.61 79.07 74.28 80.54 94.30
VFQS 15.25 14.73 14.92 15.03 15.22 15.41 15.52 15.71 14.13 15.27 16.14
Transportation
QGTS 23.41 22.91 23.09 23.20 23.38 23.56 23.67 23.85 22.33 22.31 22.80
QNNS 96.20 96.20 96.20 96.20 96.20 96.20 96.20 96.20 97.13 97.48 99.17
Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price

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Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening
and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is
lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus
considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative
price direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.

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Contacts:
Saugata Sarkar Sahbi Kasraoui QNB Financial Services SPC
Head of Research Head of HNI Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 PO Box 24025
saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com Doha, Qatar
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