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COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 5
Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Thursday, 19 November 2015
Stock Covered Today
Ticker Price 1
st
Target
MPHC 19.94 19.50
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 10,827.66 0.23 16.6
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 10,900 11,200 11,300
Support 10,600 10,500 10,300
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
Another day passes with marginal
performance by the QSE Index. However,
there is a silver lining to this. Stability in
the Index is better than going in the red.
That being said, we await further
indications to determine the expected path
for the Index.
Expected Resistance Level: 10,900
Expected Support Level: 10,600
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 18 Nov 17 Nov %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 179.6 721.2 -75.1
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 568.7 567.7 0.2
Volume (mn) 4.2 17.1 -75.6
Number of Trans. 2,976 3,156 -5.7
Companies Traded 41 38 7.9
Market Breadth 14:23 17:16 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 16,830.05 0.2 23.3
All Share Index 2,886.05 0.2 21.6
Banks 2,904.52 -0.2 22.8
Industrials 3,225.51 0.2 26.4
Transportation 2,557.64 -0.5 56.4
Real Estate 2,522.94 0.6 28.2
Insurance 4,239.24 0.7 36.4
Telecoms 961.19 0.7 33.4
Consumer 6,473.15 0.9 37.7
Al Rayan Islamic 4,077.12 0.5 22.5
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
QCFS 38.00 0.0 17.7
NLCS 15.41 -0.9 18.8
QIGD 40.30 -0.9 22.4
MCGS 141.00 0.0 23.0
DHBK 46.00 -1.3 23.4
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 5
MPHC
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 19.94 -0.65 73,015
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 20.00 20.40 20.70
Support 19.80 19.50 19.00
Commentary
Overview:
MPHC has been trading through a
downtrend channel in the medium and the
short-term timeframes. Failure to move
higher than QR20.00 level might create
another round of selling.
Expected Target Price: QR19.50 –
QE19.00
A price breach below QR19.80 triggers
the sell recommendation.
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 5
Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 10,827.66 10,717.02 10,749.00 10,768.76 10,800.74 10,832.72 10,852.48 10,884.46 11,477.54 11,605.47 11,858.43
Total Return 16,830.05 16,658.07 16,707.78 16,738.49 16,788.20 16,837.91 16,868.62 16,918.33 17,840.18 18,038.81 18,347.64
All Share 2,886.05 2,861.84 2,868.77 2,873.06 2,880.00 2,886.93 2,891.22 2,898.16 3,053.13 3,094.65 3,153.35
Al Rayan Islamic 4,077.12 4,030.99 4,044.20 4,052.37 4,065.59 4,078.80 4,086.97 4,100.19 4,347.95 4,452.27 4,471.85
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 39.50 38.77 39.03 39.20 39.47 39.73 39.90 40.17 42.75 43.60 45.41
CBQK 50.10 49.10 49.44 49.66 50.00 50.34 50.56 50.90 54.52 55.10 56.74
DHBK 46.00 45.47 45.73 45.90 46.17 46.43 46.60 46.87 49.66 51.12 52.66
QIBK 115.80 114.53 114.99 115.27 115.73 116.19 116.47 116.93 117.03 112.91 108.35
QIIK 72.00 69.93 70.81 71.35 72.23 73.11 73.65 74.53 74.74 76.26 78.91
Insurance
QATI 85.90 77.30 80.05 81.75 84.50 87.25 88.95 91.70 93.71 95.93 90.07
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 141.00 138.60 139.59 140.21 141.20 142.19 142.81 143.80 163.23 170.59 164.81
Industrials
IQCD 112.30 109.37 110.21 110.73 111.57 112.41 112.93 113.77 122.67 128.55 135.96
QEWS 208.50 205.17 206.12 206.71 207.67 208.62 209.21 210.17 211.97 215.03 208.54
GISS 57.20 55.73 56.31 56.66 57.23 57.81 58.16 58.73 62.97 66.57 77.96
QIGD 40.30 39.67 39.93 40.10 40.37 40.63 40.80 41.07 45.58 47.87 46.96
Real Estate
BRES 42.30 41.43 41.68 41.84 42.08 42.33 42.49 42.73 43.78 46.16 47.59
UDCD 22.68 22.24 22.39 22.47 22.62 22.77 22.85 23.00 23.80 24.20 23.67
ERES 17.30 17.13 17.19 17.23 17.29 17.35 17.39 17.45 18.84 18.35 17.65
MRDS 15.83 15.64 15.71 15.75 15.82 15.89 15.93 16.00 16.18 16.94 17.79
Telecommunication
ORDS 72.50 69.97 70.69 71.14 71.87 72.59 73.04 73.77 75.25 77.13 89.64
VFQS 12.64 12.22 12.37 12.46 12.61 12.76 12.85 13.00 13.92 14.67 15.99
Transportation
QGTS 24.89 24.56 24.67 24.74 24.86 24.97 25.04 25.16 23.61 22.81 22.96
QNNS 98.10 96.97 97.39 97.65 98.07 98.49 98.75 99.17 97.93 97.51 99.23
Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock close price
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 5
Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening
and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is
lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus
considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative
price direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 5
Contacts:
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com
QNB Financial Services SPC
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer,
promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or
indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We
therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that
QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy
and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or
contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the
views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included
in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

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19 November Daily technical trader

  • 1. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 5 Daily Technical Trader – Qatar Thursday, 19 November 2015 Stock Covered Today Ticker Price 1 st Target MPHC 19.94 19.50 QSE Index Level % Ch. Vol. (mn) Last 10,827.66 0.23 16.6 Resistance/Support Levels 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 10,900 11,200 11,300 Support 10,600 10,500 10,300 QSE Index Commentary Overview: Another day passes with marginal performance by the QSE Index. However, there is a silver lining to this. Stability in the Index is better than going in the red. That being said, we await further indications to determine the expected path for the Index. Expected Resistance Level: 10,900 Expected Support Level: 10,600 QSE Index (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research QE Summary Market Indicators 18 Nov 17 Nov %Ch. Value Traded (QR mn) 179.6 721.2 -75.1 Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 568.7 567.7 0.2 Volume (mn) 4.2 17.1 -75.6 Number of Trans. 2,976 3,156 -5.7 Companies Traded 41 38 7.9 Market Breadth 14:23 17:16 – QE Indices Market Indices Close 1D% RSI Total Return 16,830.05 0.2 23.3 All Share Index 2,886.05 0.2 21.6 Banks 2,904.52 -0.2 22.8 Industrials 3,225.51 0.2 26.4 Transportation 2,557.64 -0.5 56.4 Real Estate 2,522.94 0.6 28.2 Insurance 4,239.24 0.7 36.4 Telecoms 961.19 0.7 33.4 Consumer 6,473.15 0.9 37.7 Al Rayan Islamic 4,077.12 0.5 22.5 RSI 14 (Over Bought) Ticker Close 1D% RSI RSI 14 (Over Sold) Ticker Close 1D% RSI QCFS 38.00 0.0 17.7 NLCS 15.41 -0.9 18.8 QIGD 40.30 -0.9 22.4 MCGS 141.00 0.0 23.0 DHBK 46.00 -1.3 23.4 QSE Index (30min) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 2. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 5 MPHC Price % Ch. Volume Last 19.94 -0.65 73,015 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 20.00 20.40 20.70 Support 19.80 19.50 19.00 Commentary Overview: MPHC has been trading through a downtrend channel in the medium and the short-term timeframes. Failure to move higher than QR20.00 level might create another round of selling. Expected Target Price: QR19.50 – QE19.00 A price breach below QR19.80 triggers the sell recommendation. (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 3. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 5 Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages Support Levels Resistance Levels Ticker Close 3 rd 2 nd 1 st Pivot 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA QSE Index 10,827.66 10,717.02 10,749.00 10,768.76 10,800.74 10,832.72 10,852.48 10,884.46 11,477.54 11,605.47 11,858.43 Total Return 16,830.05 16,658.07 16,707.78 16,738.49 16,788.20 16,837.91 16,868.62 16,918.33 17,840.18 18,038.81 18,347.64 All Share 2,886.05 2,861.84 2,868.77 2,873.06 2,880.00 2,886.93 2,891.22 2,898.16 3,053.13 3,094.65 3,153.35 Al Rayan Islamic 4,077.12 4,030.99 4,044.20 4,052.37 4,065.59 4,078.80 4,086.97 4,100.19 4,347.95 4,452.27 4,471.85 Banks & Financials Services MARK 39.50 38.77 39.03 39.20 39.47 39.73 39.90 40.17 42.75 43.60 45.41 CBQK 50.10 49.10 49.44 49.66 50.00 50.34 50.56 50.90 54.52 55.10 56.74 DHBK 46.00 45.47 45.73 45.90 46.17 46.43 46.60 46.87 49.66 51.12 52.66 QIBK 115.80 114.53 114.99 115.27 115.73 116.19 116.47 116.93 117.03 112.91 108.35 QIIK 72.00 69.93 70.81 71.35 72.23 73.11 73.65 74.53 74.74 76.26 78.91 Insurance QATI 85.90 77.30 80.05 81.75 84.50 87.25 88.95 91.70 93.71 95.93 90.07 Consumer Goods & Services MCGS 141.00 138.60 139.59 140.21 141.20 142.19 142.81 143.80 163.23 170.59 164.81 Industrials IQCD 112.30 109.37 110.21 110.73 111.57 112.41 112.93 113.77 122.67 128.55 135.96 QEWS 208.50 205.17 206.12 206.71 207.67 208.62 209.21 210.17 211.97 215.03 208.54 GISS 57.20 55.73 56.31 56.66 57.23 57.81 58.16 58.73 62.97 66.57 77.96 QIGD 40.30 39.67 39.93 40.10 40.37 40.63 40.80 41.07 45.58 47.87 46.96 Real Estate BRES 42.30 41.43 41.68 41.84 42.08 42.33 42.49 42.73 43.78 46.16 47.59 UDCD 22.68 22.24 22.39 22.47 22.62 22.77 22.85 23.00 23.80 24.20 23.67 ERES 17.30 17.13 17.19 17.23 17.29 17.35 17.39 17.45 18.84 18.35 17.65 MRDS 15.83 15.64 15.71 15.75 15.82 15.89 15.93 16.00 16.18 16.94 17.79 Telecommunication ORDS 72.50 69.97 70.69 71.14 71.87 72.59 73.04 73.77 75.25 77.13 89.64 VFQS 12.64 12.22 12.37 12.46 12.61 12.76 12.85 13.00 13.92 14.67 15.99 Transportation QGTS 24.89 24.56 24.67 24.74 24.86 24.97 25.04 25.16 23.61 22.81 22.96 QNNS 98.10 96.97 97.39 97.65 98.07 98.49 98.75 99.17 97.93 97.51 99.23 Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock close price
  • 4. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 5 Definitions: Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
  • 5. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 5 Contacts: Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com QNB Financial Services SPC Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 PO Box 24025 Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.