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Sampling Design and
Procedures
Prabesh Ghimire
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 1
Census and Sample
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 2
Census
• Quantitative research method, in which all the members of the
population are enumerated.
• Implies complete enumeration of the study participants
• It is presumed that in such inquiry, when all items are covered,
no elements of chance is left and highest accuracy is obtained.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 3
Advantages of Census
• It provides basis for overall socio-economic planning of the
country.
• Provides complete information about the population
• More reliable and accurate information
• Covers wide range of the study
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 4
Demerits of Census
• Resource intensive (time, human resources, financial
resources)
• Possibilities of error are higher in census investigation
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 5
Sampling
• Statistical procedure of drawing
a sample from a population
• Based on belief that drawn
sample will exhibit the relevant
characteristics of the whole
population
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 6
Applications of Sampling in Public Health
• Random sampling is the basic requirement for establishing
causes-effect relationship
• Good sampling design can provide more reliable estimates.
• Use of appropriate sampling methods help generalize the
findings of health research to the entire population of interest.
• Sampling is useful to assure both internal and external validity
of public health research.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 7
Significance of Sampling
• Necessity: Sometimes it’s simply not possible to study the whole
population due to its size or inaccessibility.
• Practicality: It’s easier and more efficient to collect data from a
sample.
• Cost-effectiveness: There are fewer participant, laboratory,
equipment, and researcher costs involved.
• Manageability: Storing and running statistical analyses on smaller
datasets is easier and reliable.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 8
Target
Population
Study
Population
Sample
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 9
Target/ Reference Population
• The target population is that population to which it is intended to
apply the results.
• Population to which the researchers are interested in
generalizing the study findings.
• Example:
• All mothers of Under-5 Children,
• All pregnant teens,
• All people living with HIV (PLHIV)
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 10
Study Population
• It is the accessible population that researchers draw their
sample from.
• This population is a subset of the target population and is also
known as the accessible population.
• A defined population from which a sample has been selected.
• Mothers of U-5 Children of XYZ municipality
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 11
Sample
• Specific group that you will collect data from.
• The size of the sample is always less than the total size of the
population.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 12
Sampling Frame
• A sampling frame is a list of all the items (sampling units) in the
population from which the sample is drawn
• It’s a complete list of everyone or everything that researchers
want to study.
• The difference between a population and a sampling frame is
that the population is general and the frame is specific.
• Frame is needed so that everyone in the population is identified
so that they will have an equal opportunity for selection in the
study.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 13
Sampling Techniques
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 14
Simple Random Sampling
• Sampling technique where every item in
the population has an even chance and
likelihood of being selected in the sample.
• selection of items entirely depends on
luck or probability, and therefore this
sampling technique is also sometimes
known as a method of chances.
• The sample size in this sampling method
should ideally be more than a few
hundred so that simple random sampling
can be applied appropriately.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 15
Techniques of simple random sampling
• Lottery
• Use of random number table
• Computer generated random number
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 16
Stratified Random Sampling
• For a stratified random sample, the population is divided into
groups or strata.
• To stratify means to classify or to separate people into groups
according to some characteristics, such as
• position, rank, income, education, sex, or ethnic background
• The population is divided to make the elements within a
group/strata as homogenous as possible.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 17
Stratified Random Sampling
Two types
• Proportionate
• the sample size from each stratum is dependent on that size of the
stratum.
• Therefore largest strata are sampled more heavily as they make larger
percentage of the target population.
• Disproportionate
• In disproportionate sampling, the sample selection from each stratum is
independent of it’s size.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 18
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 19
Merits
• Stratified random samples are generally more accurate in
representing the population than are simple random samples.
• Suitable for large and heterogenous population
Demerits
• Because participants are to be chosen randomly from each
stratum, a complete list of the population within each stratum
must be constructed.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 20
Systematic Random Sampling
• In systematic sampling, only the first sample unit is selected at
random and the remaining units are automatically selected at
the fixed equal interval guiding by some rule.
• Suppose N units of population are numbered from 1 to N in
some order.
• Then, the sample interval K = N/n is determined, where n is the
desired sample size.
• The first item in between 1&K is selected at random and every
other elements are automatically selected in the interval of K.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 21
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 22
Systematic Random Sampling
Merits
• This methods is simple and easy.
• The selected samples are evenly spread in the population and
therefore minimize chances of clustered selection of subjects
• Sampling frame is not always required
Limitations
• The method may introduce bias when elements are not
arranged in random order.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 23
Systematic Sampling Methods
Interval Sampling
• Select every Nth case at the health facility.
• For example every 5th, 7th, or 10th patient that meets the
inclusion criteria would be selected.
• Some foreknowledge of the volume of cases at the site is
required so that appropriate sampling interval can be selected.
Source: WHO interim global surveillance standards for influenza
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 24
Systematic Sampling Methods
Alternate Day Sampling
• Select all patients meeting the inclusion criteria presenting to a
facility on a certain day or days of the week,
• This can reduce the logistical challenges of surveillance by
confining laboratory specimen and data collection efforts to a
single day.
• In order to remove the bias of the week, the day on which cases
are selected should be systematically alternated from week to
week.
Source: WHO interim global surveillance standards for influenza
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 25
Cluster Sampling
• Cluster sampling is a sampling plan used when mutually
homogeneous yet internally heterogeneous groupings are
evident in a statistical population.
• In this sampling plan, the total population is divided into these
groups (known as clusters) and a simple random sample of the
groups is selected.
• The elements in each cluster are then sampled.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 26
Cluster Sampling
• If all elements in each sampled cluster are sampled, then this is
referred to as a "one-stage" cluster sampling plan.
• If a simple random subsample of elements is selected within
each of these groups, this is referred to as a "two-stage" cluster
sampling plan.
• A common motivation for cluster sampling is to reduce the
research costs given the desired accuracy
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 27
Cluster elements
• The population within a cluster should ideally be as
heterogeneous as possible, but there should be homogeneity
between clusters.
• Each cluster should be a small-scale representation of the total
population.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 28
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 29
Cluster Random Sampling
Merits
• Can be cheaper than other sampling plans – e.g. fewer travel expenses,
administration costs.
• Feasibility: This sampling plan takes large populations into account. Since
these groups are so large, deploying any other sampling plan would be
very costly
• Does not require sampling frame
Limitations
• Complexity
• Design effect- sampling error
• Results may not be generalizable
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 30
Probability Proportionate to Size
• The probability of selecting a cluster is proportional to its size,
so that a large cluster has a greater probability of selection than
a small cluster.
• The advantage here is that when clusters are selected with
probability proportionate to size, the same number of interviews
should be carried out in each sampled cluster so that each unit
sampled has the same probability of selection.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 31
Exercise for PPS
Hypothetical Data for sampling using PPS
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 32
Multi-Stage Sampling
• Multi-stage sampling (also known as multi-stage cluster
sampling) is a more complex form of cluster sampling which
contains more that two stages in sample selection.
• Large clusters of population are divided into smaller clusters in
several stages in order to make primary data collection more
manageable.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 33
Example Multi-Stage Sampling
• Choose 3 provinces in Nepal using SRS (or other probability
sampling)
• Choose 3 district in each province using SRS (or other
probability methods)
• Choose 3 municipalities from each district using SRS (or other
probability methods)
• Choose 100 households from each municipality using SRS or
Systematic random sampling.
• This will result in 2700 households to be included in the sample
group
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 34
Multi-Stage Sampling
Merits
• Cost and speed that the survey can be done in
• Convenience of finding the survey sample, particularly in large
areas
• Sample frame required only for the selected clusters
Limitations
• May not always acquire a representative sample
• The presence of group-level information is required
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 35
Non-Probability Sampling
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 36
Convenience Sampling
• Sometimes known as grab or opportunity sampling or
accidental or haphazard sampling.
• A type of non-probability sampling which involves the sample
being drawn from that part of the population which is close to
hand. That is, readily available and convenient.
• The researcher using such a sample cannot scientifically make
generalizations about the total population from this sample
because it would not be representative enough.
37
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH
Convenience Sampling
• For example, if the interviewer was to conduct a survey at a
health facility.
• The clients that he/she could interview would be limited to those
given there at that given time.
• This type of sampling is most useful for pilot testing..
38
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 39
Judgmental sampling or Purposive
sampling
40
• Also called expert sampling
• The researcher chooses the sample based on who they think
would be appropriate for the study.
• This is used primarily when there is a limited number of people
that have expertise in the area being researched.
• Usually done for Key Informant Interviews
• Interview to understand the decision maker's perception on
current health policies might purposively require senior officials
of MOHP.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH
Purposive sampling example
• If you want to know more about the opinions and experiences of
disabled adolescents in your community,
• You purposefully select a number of adolescents with different support
needs in order to gather a varied range of data on their disability
experiences.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 41
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 42
Quota Sampling
• In quota sampling the selection of the sample is non-random.
• The population is first segmented into mutually exclusive sub-
groups, just as in stratified sampling.
• Then judgment is used to select participants or units from each
segment based on a specified proportion.
• It is this second step which makes the technique one of non-
probability sampling.
• The problem is that these samples may be biased because not
everyone gets a chance of selection.
43
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH
300 sample required
180 male students 120 female students
Selection by
convenience/
judgement
Selection by
convenience/
judgement
1200 male students 800 female students
60% 40%
60% 40%
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 44
Snowball/ Chain Referral Sampling
• Chain-referral sampling
• In this technique, existing participants provide referrals to recruit
other participants required for a research study.
• It is used when
• potential participants have traits that are hard to find
• It is tough to choose the participants to assemble them as samples for
research
• Useful in sensitive investigations/studies
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 45
Snowball/ Chain Referral Sampling
• Two key steps
• Identify potential participants in the population. Often, only one or two
participants can be found initially.
• Ask those participants to recruit other people (and then ask those
people to recruit.
• Types
• Linear snowball sampling
• Exponential snowball sampling
• non-discriminative: multiple referrals; and each referred person is interviewed
• Discriminative: multiple referral; only one among referred is interviewed
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 46
Applications of Snowball Sampling
• Useful for investigating patients with rare disease
• Identifying drug abusers, criminals
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 47
Source: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/understanding-population-sampling-
approach-from-testing-anup-kale/?articleId=6658186365529886720
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 48
Snowball Sampling
• Merits
• Needs little planning and fewer workforce
• The chain referral process allows the researcher to reach populations
that are difficult to sample
• Demerits
• Researcher has a little control over the sampling method
• Representativeness of the sample is not guaranteed. Researcher has
no idea of the true distribution of the sample
• Sometimes recruitment may be affected if the participants fails to
recruit/identify other participants
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 49
Voluntary Response Sampling
• Similar to a convenience sample, a voluntary response sample
is mainly based on ease of access.
• Instead of the researcher choosing participants and directly
contacting them, people volunteer themselves (e.g. by
responding to a public online survey).
• Voluntary response samples are always at least somewhat
biased, as some people will inherently be more likely to
volunteer than others.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 50
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 51
Other sampling methods
Consecutive Sampling
• Total enumerative sampling where every participants meeting
the inclusion criteria is selected until the required sample size is
achieved.
• Typically better than conveniences sampling in controlling
sampling bias.
• Care needs to be taken with consecutive sampling
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 52
Selection of Sampling Design
(Choosing the best sampling method)
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 53
Sampling frame availability
• We need to check for availability of a sampling frame.
• If sampling frame is available
• Use Simple random or a stratified random sampling.
• If sampling frame is not available, we could still use other
random sampling methods
• for instance, systematic or cluster sampling
• Snowball sampling (non-random) may also be used where
sampling frame is not present.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 54
Population Distribution
• Check if our target population is widely varied in its baseline
characteristics.
• For example, a population with large ethnic subgroups could
best be studied using a stratified sampling method.
• Homogenous population may be studied using simple random
method.
• If the population is geographically dispersed, use cluster
sampling
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 55
Generalizability
• To increase generalizability: select random sampling methods
• In Systematic Random sampling, generalizability may decrease
if baseline characteristics repeat across every nth participant
• In cluster design, if clusters are not representative, results may
not be generalizable
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 56
Research Objectiveness
• A refined research question and goal would help us define our
population of interest.
• If our calculated sample size is small then it would be easier to
get a random sample.
• If, however, the sample size is large, then we should check if
our budget and resources can handle a random sampling
method.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 57
Determination of Sample Size
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 58
For Cross-Sectional Surveys
• Cross sectional studies or cross sectional survey are done to
• estimate a population parameter like prevalence of some disease in a
community or
• finding the average value of some quantitative variable in a population.
• Sample size formula for categorical and quantitative variable
are different.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 59
For Cross-Sectional Surveys
For Proportion (Qualitative Variable)
• Suppose a researcher wants to know proportion of children who are
stunted in a population, then this formula should be used as
proportion is a qualitative variable.
𝑆𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 =
𝑍 1−𝛼/2
2
× 𝑝 1 − 𝑝
𝑑2
Where, Z(1-/2) is standard normal variate (at 5% Type I error, it is 1.96)
p = expected proportion in population based on previous studies or
pilot studies
d = absolute error or precision (has to be decided by researcher)
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 60
If the population is finite
• If the population is finite, we use
𝑆𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 (𝑓𝑖𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑒) =
𝑛
1 + (
𝑛 − 1
𝑁
)
Where,
N= Finite population size
n= sample size calculated using infinite population size formula
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 61
Exercise on Sample Size Calculation
• Suppose you are planning to conduct a household survey to
estimate the prevalence of stunting among under-5 children in
Kageshwori Manohar Municipality. Previous study had shown
that the stunting prevalence in Bagmati province was 22.6%.
Calculate the desired sample size for your study:
i) If the number of U-5 children is unknown
ii) If the number of U-5 children is known (i.e. 9024)
iii) For two-stage cluster sampling.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 62
Exercise on Sample Size Calculation
• Suppose you are planning to conduct a household survey to
estimate the prevalence of anemia among women of
reproductive age in Kathmandu district. In previous studies, the
anemia prevalence in WRA varied as 29.0%, 40.8% and 58%.
Calculate the appropriate sample size for your study.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 63
For Cross-Sectional Surveys
For quantitative variable
• Suppose the same researcher is interested in knowing average systolic
blood pressure of children of the same city.
• Below mentioned formula should be used as blood pressure is a
quantitative variable
𝑆𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 =
𝑍(1−𝛼/2)
2
× 𝑆𝐷2
𝑑2
Where, Z(1-/2) is standard normal variate as mentioned above
SD = Standard deviation of variable. Value of standard deviation can be
taken from previously done study or through pilot study.
d = absolute error or precision (has to be decided by researcher)
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 64
For Case-Control Studies
Formula for sample size calculation for comparison between two groups
when endpoint is quantitative data
𝑆𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 =
(𝑟 + 1)
𝑟
×
𝑆𝐷2
(𝑍𝛼/2 × 𝑍𝛽)2
𝑑2
• Where,
• SD = Standard deviation of variable. (from previously done study or
through pilot study.)
• Z/2 is standard normal variate
• Zß is power of study (0.842 at 80% power, 1.28 for 90% power)
• d is the effect size (difference between mean values)
• r is the ratio of control to cases
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 65
For Case-Control Studies
Formula for sample size calculation for comparison between two groups
when endpoint is quanlitative data
𝑆𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 =
𝑟 + 1
𝑟
×
(𝑍𝛼/2 × 𝑍𝛽)2 𝑝(1 − 𝑝)
(𝑝1 − 𝑝2)
2
• Where,
• p1- p2 Effect size or the difference in proportion of events in two
groups
• p1= proportion in cases
• p2= proportion in controls
• p = pooled prevalence
• 𝑍𝛽= Standard normal variate for power
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 66
For Intervention Studies
Formula for sample size calculation for comparison between two
groups when endpoint is quantitative data
• When the variable is quantitative data like blood pressure, weight, height,
etc., then the following formula can be used for calculation of sample size
for comparison between two groups.
𝑆𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 =
2 𝑆𝐷2 (𝑍𝛼/2 × 𝑍𝛽)2
𝑑2
Where,
• SD = Standard deviation of variable. (from previously done study or
through pilot study.)
• Z(1-/2) is standard normal variate
• Zß is power of study (0.842 at 80% power)
• d = effect size (difference between mean values)
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 67
For Intervention Studies
Formula for sample size calculation for comparison between two
groups when endpoint is qualitative data
• When the endpoint of a clinical intervention study is qualitative, then
the following formula can be used for sample size calculation for
comparison between two groups.
𝑆𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 =
2 (𝑍𝛼/2 × 𝑍𝛽)2 𝑝(1 − 𝑝)
(𝑝1 − 𝑝2)
2
Where,
• p1- p2 is the difference in proportion of events in two groups
• p = pooled prevalence
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 68
Practical tips
Use digital technology
• Epi info stat calc
• Gpower
(www.gpower.hhu.de)
• N4 studies- for android/
ios mobile
• OpenEpi
(www.openepi.com)
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 69
References
• Banerjee, A., & Chaudhury, S. (2010). Statistics without tears:
Populations and samples. Industrial psychiatry journal, 19(1),
60–65. https://doi.org/10.4103/0972-6748.77642
• Charan, J., & Biswas, T. (2013). How to calculate sample size
for different study designs in medical research?. Indian journal
of psychological medicine, 35(2), 121–126. doi:10.4103/0253-
7176.116232
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 70

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Sampling design and procedures

  • 1. Sampling Design and Procedures Prabesh Ghimire Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 1
  • 2. Census and Sample Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 2
  • 3. Census • Quantitative research method, in which all the members of the population are enumerated. • Implies complete enumeration of the study participants • It is presumed that in such inquiry, when all items are covered, no elements of chance is left and highest accuracy is obtained. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 3
  • 4. Advantages of Census • It provides basis for overall socio-economic planning of the country. • Provides complete information about the population • More reliable and accurate information • Covers wide range of the study Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 4
  • 5. Demerits of Census • Resource intensive (time, human resources, financial resources) • Possibilities of error are higher in census investigation Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 5
  • 6. Sampling • Statistical procedure of drawing a sample from a population • Based on belief that drawn sample will exhibit the relevant characteristics of the whole population Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 6
  • 7. Applications of Sampling in Public Health • Random sampling is the basic requirement for establishing causes-effect relationship • Good sampling design can provide more reliable estimates. • Use of appropriate sampling methods help generalize the findings of health research to the entire population of interest. • Sampling is useful to assure both internal and external validity of public health research. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 7
  • 8. Significance of Sampling • Necessity: Sometimes it’s simply not possible to study the whole population due to its size or inaccessibility. • Practicality: It’s easier and more efficient to collect data from a sample. • Cost-effectiveness: There are fewer participant, laboratory, equipment, and researcher costs involved. • Manageability: Storing and running statistical analyses on smaller datasets is easier and reliable. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 8
  • 10. Target/ Reference Population • The target population is that population to which it is intended to apply the results. • Population to which the researchers are interested in generalizing the study findings. • Example: • All mothers of Under-5 Children, • All pregnant teens, • All people living with HIV (PLHIV) Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 10
  • 11. Study Population • It is the accessible population that researchers draw their sample from. • This population is a subset of the target population and is also known as the accessible population. • A defined population from which a sample has been selected. • Mothers of U-5 Children of XYZ municipality Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 11
  • 12. Sample • Specific group that you will collect data from. • The size of the sample is always less than the total size of the population. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 12
  • 13. Sampling Frame • A sampling frame is a list of all the items (sampling units) in the population from which the sample is drawn • It’s a complete list of everyone or everything that researchers want to study. • The difference between a population and a sampling frame is that the population is general and the frame is specific. • Frame is needed so that everyone in the population is identified so that they will have an equal opportunity for selection in the study. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 13
  • 15. Simple Random Sampling • Sampling technique where every item in the population has an even chance and likelihood of being selected in the sample. • selection of items entirely depends on luck or probability, and therefore this sampling technique is also sometimes known as a method of chances. • The sample size in this sampling method should ideally be more than a few hundred so that simple random sampling can be applied appropriately. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 15
  • 16. Techniques of simple random sampling • Lottery • Use of random number table • Computer generated random number Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 16
  • 17. Stratified Random Sampling • For a stratified random sample, the population is divided into groups or strata. • To stratify means to classify or to separate people into groups according to some characteristics, such as • position, rank, income, education, sex, or ethnic background • The population is divided to make the elements within a group/strata as homogenous as possible. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 17
  • 18. Stratified Random Sampling Two types • Proportionate • the sample size from each stratum is dependent on that size of the stratum. • Therefore largest strata are sampled more heavily as they make larger percentage of the target population. • Disproportionate • In disproportionate sampling, the sample selection from each stratum is independent of it’s size. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 18
  • 20. Merits • Stratified random samples are generally more accurate in representing the population than are simple random samples. • Suitable for large and heterogenous population Demerits • Because participants are to be chosen randomly from each stratum, a complete list of the population within each stratum must be constructed. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 20
  • 21. Systematic Random Sampling • In systematic sampling, only the first sample unit is selected at random and the remaining units are automatically selected at the fixed equal interval guiding by some rule. • Suppose N units of population are numbered from 1 to N in some order. • Then, the sample interval K = N/n is determined, where n is the desired sample size. • The first item in between 1&K is selected at random and every other elements are automatically selected in the interval of K. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 21
  • 23. Systematic Random Sampling Merits • This methods is simple and easy. • The selected samples are evenly spread in the population and therefore minimize chances of clustered selection of subjects • Sampling frame is not always required Limitations • The method may introduce bias when elements are not arranged in random order. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 23
  • 24. Systematic Sampling Methods Interval Sampling • Select every Nth case at the health facility. • For example every 5th, 7th, or 10th patient that meets the inclusion criteria would be selected. • Some foreknowledge of the volume of cases at the site is required so that appropriate sampling interval can be selected. Source: WHO interim global surveillance standards for influenza Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 24
  • 25. Systematic Sampling Methods Alternate Day Sampling • Select all patients meeting the inclusion criteria presenting to a facility on a certain day or days of the week, • This can reduce the logistical challenges of surveillance by confining laboratory specimen and data collection efforts to a single day. • In order to remove the bias of the week, the day on which cases are selected should be systematically alternated from week to week. Source: WHO interim global surveillance standards for influenza Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 25
  • 26. Cluster Sampling • Cluster sampling is a sampling plan used when mutually homogeneous yet internally heterogeneous groupings are evident in a statistical population. • In this sampling plan, the total population is divided into these groups (known as clusters) and a simple random sample of the groups is selected. • The elements in each cluster are then sampled. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 26
  • 27. Cluster Sampling • If all elements in each sampled cluster are sampled, then this is referred to as a "one-stage" cluster sampling plan. • If a simple random subsample of elements is selected within each of these groups, this is referred to as a "two-stage" cluster sampling plan. • A common motivation for cluster sampling is to reduce the research costs given the desired accuracy Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 27
  • 28. Cluster elements • The population within a cluster should ideally be as heterogeneous as possible, but there should be homogeneity between clusters. • Each cluster should be a small-scale representation of the total population. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 28
  • 30. Cluster Random Sampling Merits • Can be cheaper than other sampling plans – e.g. fewer travel expenses, administration costs. • Feasibility: This sampling plan takes large populations into account. Since these groups are so large, deploying any other sampling plan would be very costly • Does not require sampling frame Limitations • Complexity • Design effect- sampling error • Results may not be generalizable Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 30
  • 31. Probability Proportionate to Size • The probability of selecting a cluster is proportional to its size, so that a large cluster has a greater probability of selection than a small cluster. • The advantage here is that when clusters are selected with probability proportionate to size, the same number of interviews should be carried out in each sampled cluster so that each unit sampled has the same probability of selection. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 31
  • 32. Exercise for PPS Hypothetical Data for sampling using PPS Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 32
  • 33. Multi-Stage Sampling • Multi-stage sampling (also known as multi-stage cluster sampling) is a more complex form of cluster sampling which contains more that two stages in sample selection. • Large clusters of population are divided into smaller clusters in several stages in order to make primary data collection more manageable. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 33
  • 34. Example Multi-Stage Sampling • Choose 3 provinces in Nepal using SRS (or other probability sampling) • Choose 3 district in each province using SRS (or other probability methods) • Choose 3 municipalities from each district using SRS (or other probability methods) • Choose 100 households from each municipality using SRS or Systematic random sampling. • This will result in 2700 households to be included in the sample group Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 34
  • 35. Multi-Stage Sampling Merits • Cost and speed that the survey can be done in • Convenience of finding the survey sample, particularly in large areas • Sample frame required only for the selected clusters Limitations • May not always acquire a representative sample • The presence of group-level information is required Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 35
  • 37. Convenience Sampling • Sometimes known as grab or opportunity sampling or accidental or haphazard sampling. • A type of non-probability sampling which involves the sample being drawn from that part of the population which is close to hand. That is, readily available and convenient. • The researcher using such a sample cannot scientifically make generalizations about the total population from this sample because it would not be representative enough. 37 Prabesh Ghimire, MPH
  • 38. Convenience Sampling • For example, if the interviewer was to conduct a survey at a health facility. • The clients that he/she could interview would be limited to those given there at that given time. • This type of sampling is most useful for pilot testing.. 38 Prabesh Ghimire, MPH
  • 40. Judgmental sampling or Purposive sampling 40 • Also called expert sampling • The researcher chooses the sample based on who they think would be appropriate for the study. • This is used primarily when there is a limited number of people that have expertise in the area being researched. • Usually done for Key Informant Interviews • Interview to understand the decision maker's perception on current health policies might purposively require senior officials of MOHP. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH
  • 41. Purposive sampling example • If you want to know more about the opinions and experiences of disabled adolescents in your community, • You purposefully select a number of adolescents with different support needs in order to gather a varied range of data on their disability experiences. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 41
  • 43. Quota Sampling • In quota sampling the selection of the sample is non-random. • The population is first segmented into mutually exclusive sub- groups, just as in stratified sampling. • Then judgment is used to select participants or units from each segment based on a specified proportion. • It is this second step which makes the technique one of non- probability sampling. • The problem is that these samples may be biased because not everyone gets a chance of selection. 43 Prabesh Ghimire, MPH
  • 44. 300 sample required 180 male students 120 female students Selection by convenience/ judgement Selection by convenience/ judgement 1200 male students 800 female students 60% 40% 60% 40% Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 44
  • 45. Snowball/ Chain Referral Sampling • Chain-referral sampling • In this technique, existing participants provide referrals to recruit other participants required for a research study. • It is used when • potential participants have traits that are hard to find • It is tough to choose the participants to assemble them as samples for research • Useful in sensitive investigations/studies Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 45
  • 46. Snowball/ Chain Referral Sampling • Two key steps • Identify potential participants in the population. Often, only one or two participants can be found initially. • Ask those participants to recruit other people (and then ask those people to recruit. • Types • Linear snowball sampling • Exponential snowball sampling • non-discriminative: multiple referrals; and each referred person is interviewed • Discriminative: multiple referral; only one among referred is interviewed Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 46
  • 47. Applications of Snowball Sampling • Useful for investigating patients with rare disease • Identifying drug abusers, criminals Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 47
  • 49. Snowball Sampling • Merits • Needs little planning and fewer workforce • The chain referral process allows the researcher to reach populations that are difficult to sample • Demerits • Researcher has a little control over the sampling method • Representativeness of the sample is not guaranteed. Researcher has no idea of the true distribution of the sample • Sometimes recruitment may be affected if the participants fails to recruit/identify other participants Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 49
  • 50. Voluntary Response Sampling • Similar to a convenience sample, a voluntary response sample is mainly based on ease of access. • Instead of the researcher choosing participants and directly contacting them, people volunteer themselves (e.g. by responding to a public online survey). • Voluntary response samples are always at least somewhat biased, as some people will inherently be more likely to volunteer than others. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 50
  • 52. Other sampling methods Consecutive Sampling • Total enumerative sampling where every participants meeting the inclusion criteria is selected until the required sample size is achieved. • Typically better than conveniences sampling in controlling sampling bias. • Care needs to be taken with consecutive sampling Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 52
  • 53. Selection of Sampling Design (Choosing the best sampling method) Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 53
  • 54. Sampling frame availability • We need to check for availability of a sampling frame. • If sampling frame is available • Use Simple random or a stratified random sampling. • If sampling frame is not available, we could still use other random sampling methods • for instance, systematic or cluster sampling • Snowball sampling (non-random) may also be used where sampling frame is not present. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 54
  • 55. Population Distribution • Check if our target population is widely varied in its baseline characteristics. • For example, a population with large ethnic subgroups could best be studied using a stratified sampling method. • Homogenous population may be studied using simple random method. • If the population is geographically dispersed, use cluster sampling Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 55
  • 56. Generalizability • To increase generalizability: select random sampling methods • In Systematic Random sampling, generalizability may decrease if baseline characteristics repeat across every nth participant • In cluster design, if clusters are not representative, results may not be generalizable Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 56
  • 57. Research Objectiveness • A refined research question and goal would help us define our population of interest. • If our calculated sample size is small then it would be easier to get a random sample. • If, however, the sample size is large, then we should check if our budget and resources can handle a random sampling method. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 57
  • 58. Determination of Sample Size Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 58
  • 59. For Cross-Sectional Surveys • Cross sectional studies or cross sectional survey are done to • estimate a population parameter like prevalence of some disease in a community or • finding the average value of some quantitative variable in a population. • Sample size formula for categorical and quantitative variable are different. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 59
  • 60. For Cross-Sectional Surveys For Proportion (Qualitative Variable) • Suppose a researcher wants to know proportion of children who are stunted in a population, then this formula should be used as proportion is a qualitative variable. 𝑆𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 = 𝑍 1−𝛼/2 2 × 𝑝 1 − 𝑝 𝑑2 Where, Z(1-/2) is standard normal variate (at 5% Type I error, it is 1.96) p = expected proportion in population based on previous studies or pilot studies d = absolute error or precision (has to be decided by researcher) Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 60
  • 61. If the population is finite • If the population is finite, we use 𝑆𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 (𝑓𝑖𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑒) = 𝑛 1 + ( 𝑛 − 1 𝑁 ) Where, N= Finite population size n= sample size calculated using infinite population size formula Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 61
  • 62. Exercise on Sample Size Calculation • Suppose you are planning to conduct a household survey to estimate the prevalence of stunting among under-5 children in Kageshwori Manohar Municipality. Previous study had shown that the stunting prevalence in Bagmati province was 22.6%. Calculate the desired sample size for your study: i) If the number of U-5 children is unknown ii) If the number of U-5 children is known (i.e. 9024) iii) For two-stage cluster sampling. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 62
  • 63. Exercise on Sample Size Calculation • Suppose you are planning to conduct a household survey to estimate the prevalence of anemia among women of reproductive age in Kathmandu district. In previous studies, the anemia prevalence in WRA varied as 29.0%, 40.8% and 58%. Calculate the appropriate sample size for your study. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 63
  • 64. For Cross-Sectional Surveys For quantitative variable • Suppose the same researcher is interested in knowing average systolic blood pressure of children of the same city. • Below mentioned formula should be used as blood pressure is a quantitative variable 𝑆𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 = 𝑍(1−𝛼/2) 2 × 𝑆𝐷2 𝑑2 Where, Z(1-/2) is standard normal variate as mentioned above SD = Standard deviation of variable. Value of standard deviation can be taken from previously done study or through pilot study. d = absolute error or precision (has to be decided by researcher) Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 64
  • 65. For Case-Control Studies Formula for sample size calculation for comparison between two groups when endpoint is quantitative data 𝑆𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 = (𝑟 + 1) 𝑟 × 𝑆𝐷2 (𝑍𝛼/2 × 𝑍𝛽)2 𝑑2 • Where, • SD = Standard deviation of variable. (from previously done study or through pilot study.) • Z/2 is standard normal variate • Zß is power of study (0.842 at 80% power, 1.28 for 90% power) • d is the effect size (difference between mean values) • r is the ratio of control to cases Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 65
  • 66. For Case-Control Studies Formula for sample size calculation for comparison between two groups when endpoint is quanlitative data 𝑆𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 = 𝑟 + 1 𝑟 × (𝑍𝛼/2 × 𝑍𝛽)2 𝑝(1 − 𝑝) (𝑝1 − 𝑝2) 2 • Where, • p1- p2 Effect size or the difference in proportion of events in two groups • p1= proportion in cases • p2= proportion in controls • p = pooled prevalence • 𝑍𝛽= Standard normal variate for power Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 66
  • 67. For Intervention Studies Formula for sample size calculation for comparison between two groups when endpoint is quantitative data • When the variable is quantitative data like blood pressure, weight, height, etc., then the following formula can be used for calculation of sample size for comparison between two groups. 𝑆𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 = 2 𝑆𝐷2 (𝑍𝛼/2 × 𝑍𝛽)2 𝑑2 Where, • SD = Standard deviation of variable. (from previously done study or through pilot study.) • Z(1-/2) is standard normal variate • Zß is power of study (0.842 at 80% power) • d = effect size (difference between mean values) Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 67
  • 68. For Intervention Studies Formula for sample size calculation for comparison between two groups when endpoint is qualitative data • When the endpoint of a clinical intervention study is qualitative, then the following formula can be used for sample size calculation for comparison between two groups. 𝑆𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 = 2 (𝑍𝛼/2 × 𝑍𝛽)2 𝑝(1 − 𝑝) (𝑝1 − 𝑝2) 2 Where, • p1- p2 is the difference in proportion of events in two groups • p = pooled prevalence Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 68
  • 69. Practical tips Use digital technology • Epi info stat calc • Gpower (www.gpower.hhu.de) • N4 studies- for android/ ios mobile • OpenEpi (www.openepi.com) Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 69
  • 70. References • Banerjee, A., & Chaudhury, S. (2010). Statistics without tears: Populations and samples. Industrial psychiatry journal, 19(1), 60–65. https://doi.org/10.4103/0972-6748.77642 • Charan, J., & Biswas, T. (2013). How to calculate sample size for different study designs in medical research?. Indian journal of psychological medicine, 35(2), 121–126. doi:10.4103/0253- 7176.116232 Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 70