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Reinventing Discovery Michael Nielsen Open Science Summit, July 2010 http://michaelnielsen.org/blog     @michael_nielsen
open data open process open  science open community
27 January 2009
Tim Gowers
mathematician at Cambridge
Fields medallist
attack a hard mathematical problem
completely in the open
comment section  of his blog as the  medium of collaboration
anyone could comment
Polymath Project
density Hales-Jewett theorem
“love to solve”
XXX – rules of  engagement (circle) rules of collaboration
two broad themes
be polite
just a single idea in each comment
even if half-baked
discouraged from doing extensive work in private
Opened conversation up on Feb 1...
37 days
27 contributors
800 comments
170,000 words
“to normal research as driving is to pushing a car”
We had all the expertise to  solve Gowers’s problem
latent
co-ordinated attention in a new way,  activating latent expertise
restructured expert attention
expert attention is often the most important scarce resource in solving creative problems
By restructuring it we can amplify  our collective intelligence... ... extend our problem-solving ability.
explosion in the rate of scientific progress
Failing
Failed
Failed
Failed Failed
Failed
science comment sites?
Failed
scientific social networks? “Facebook for scientists”
Failed
little incentive for scientists to contribute
why share knowledge on a science wiki when: They’re not very good It might help your competitors You won’t get any academic credit for it
When we share results in journal papers, we give something up... ... but we get a  reputational reward in return.
When we contribute to a science wiki  or comment site or otherwise share  ideas, data, & code, we give  something up... ... and we don’t get enough  reputational reward for it to be practical
New media have great potential... ...but unless there’s reward for contribution, the opportunity  cost leads people to do other things
What’s successful.... ...projects such as the  Polymath Project which have  conventional scientific ends (papers)
missingsome big opportunities
How to move to a more open system?
Individually, it’s daunting to act
... benefits of open science come from co-operation with others
we can’t individually cause  mass co-operation
It’s like trying to change the side of the road everyone drives on by changing sides yourself
Sweden, 3 Sep 1967
A very similar situation arose at the dawn of science...
“Exploitation of the mass medium [books] was more common among pseudoscientists and quacks than among Latin-writing  professional scientists, who often witheld their work from the press.” - Elizabeth Eisenstein
Hooke’s Law restoring force on a spring is proportional to extension published in 1676 as an anagram: ceiiinossssttuu revealed in 1678 as the Latin uttensio, sic vis “as the extension, so the force”
if someone else made the same discovery,  Hooke could reveal the anagram, and claim priority, without having shared his initial discovery
Galileo, Huygens and  Newton also employed anagrams
atcgat aacgtt
discoveries were routinely kept secret A secretive culture of discovery was a natural  consequence of a society in which there was  often little personal gain in sharing discoveries.
The scientific advances in the time of  Hooke and Newton motivated patrons  such as the government to subsidize science as a profession.
The public benefit was strongest if  scientific discoveries were freely shared
It took several decades to achieve the required social change... ... a scientific  culture which rewards the sharing of discoveries – in scientific journals! –  with  jobs and prestige for the discoverer.
a discovery not published in a  scientific journal was not truly complete
Michael Faraday William Crookes “Work. Finish. Publish.”
the first open science revolution
achieved by subsidizing  scientists who published their discoveries in journals.
That same subsidy now inhibits the adoption of more effective  technologies... ...because it continues to  incentivize scientists to  share discoveries in older media
One template for change Create new ways of earning a reputation
preprints have begun to attain status as an end in themselves in physics
Preprints could be seen merely as a step toward “real” publication
that’s (slowly) changing
SPIRES keeps track of citations both between arXiv preprints and regular journal articles
SPIRES makes it possible to  demonstrate the impact of your work,  even if it’s not “published”
Many physicists now put even unpublished preprints on their CVs
Make preprints citable,  and the impact measurable new types  of reputation small, but real More open science data code questions ideas
can lead to a more  open scientific system
second open science revolution
Thankyou http://michaelnielsen.org/blog @michael_nielsen
open data open process open  science open community
cosmological census
recruiting online volunteers
classify galaxy images spiral or elliptical?
humans still surpass the best computers
More than 250,000 volunteers... ... have done more than 150 million classifications of 930,000 galaxies
16 scientific papers
Hanny van Arkel “What’s the blue stuff below?”
Hanny van Arkel No-one knew
Hanny van Arkel followup observations
Hanny van Arkel quasar light mirror
Aida Berges From the Dominican Republic, lives in Puerto Rico 500 galaxies per week + forum posts + participates in several side projects
Aida Berges From the Dominican Republic, lives in Puerto Rico “I went to Galaxy Zoo... and my life changed forever… It was like coming home for me.”
broadening who can be a scientist
Society as a whole Bridging institutions Scientific community citizen science open access science blogs news sites ???? Online tools are institution-generating  machines... ... change the  relationship between science and society
open data open process open  science open community
scaled up scientific conversation
Polymath is a small part of  a much bigger transformation
transformation in how  discoveries are made
by new tools for sharing ideas  and data on the network
Newton claimed to have invented  calculus in the 1660s and 1670s,  but didn’t publish until 1693

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Nielsen

Editor's Notes

  1. It’s a great pleasure to be here today, to talk about the splendid opportunity open science gives us to accelerate scientific discovery.
  2. I find it helpful to divide my thinking about open science up in three ways: open data, open collaborative processes, and open community.In the talks today we’ve already heard quite a bit about one of these, open data, and so I won’t say much about it in my talk. Instead, I’ll start my talk with a discussion of open process, and how it can accelerate scientific discovery.
  3. So that anyone in the world could comment, and perhaps help solve the problem.In the event, the project spread beyond Gowers blog...
  4. ... also to the blog of another leading mathematician, Terence Tao, of UCLA, another Fields medallist.It also spread to a very active wiki.
  5. By restructuring expert attention we can amplify our collective intelligence, and extend our problem-solving ability.I’ve focused on the Polymath Project, but it’s just one example of many.Another example, also from mathematics is the...
  6. ... MathOverflow site.It’s a question and answer site where mathematicians can ask difficult, research-level questions.Many of the participants in the Polymath Project take part, as do other leading professional mathematicians.They get dozens of questions each day. More than 90% of the questions are adequately solved, sometimes within minutes.Although the site is less than a year old, some of the results are already being included in published papers.It’s another example of a restructuring of expert attention, in this case a kind of market in expert attention.A similar question and answer site has recently been set up for bionformatics...
  7. ... called BioStar. It’s even newer, but is already attracting substantial traffic, and a lot of happy customers.Okay, so that’s a bit about some of the exciting things that are happening in open process.What about....
  8. It’s like trying to change the side of the road everyone drives on by changing side yourself.It just won’t work.Instead, you need something else to happen, such as the government imposed change that took place in Sweden in...
  9. ... 1967. Even then it caused some problems.
  10. I find it helpful to divide my thinking about open science up in three ways: open data, open collaborative processes, and open community.In the talks today we’ve already heard quite a bit about one of these, open data, and so I won’t say much about it in my talk. Instead, I’ll start my talk with a discussion of open process, and how it can accelerate scientific discovery.
  11. This kind of citizen science is just one example of how online tools can be used to create new types of bridging institutions.Other examples include open access, as discussed before, and science blogging.They also include news sites such as Slashdot and Reddit, which, although it’s tempting to be snide about them, do in a fundamental way change the way their readers relate to the news.The real question, of course, is how these institutions can grow and become more powerful, and what new kinds of bridging institutions we can create?Online tools are institution-generating machines, with the potential to change the relationship between science and society.
  12. So with these three opportunities – open data, open process, and open community – an optimist might conclude that we’d see an...