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International Trade Theory
International Trade Theory
 What is international trade?
– Exchange of raw materials and manufactured goods
(and services) across national borders
 Classical trade theories:
– explain national economy conditions--country
advantages--that enable such exchange to happen
 New trade theories:
– explain links among natural country advantages,
government action, and industry characteristics that
enable such exchange to happen
 Implications for International Business
Classical Trade Theories
 Mercantilism (pre-16th century)
– Takes an us-versus-them view of trade
– Other country’s gain is our country’s loss
 Free Trade theories
– Absolute Advantage (Adam Smith, 1776)
– Comparative Advantage (David Ricardo, 1817)
– Specialization of production and free flow of goods
benefit all trading partners’ economies
 Free Trade refined
– Factor-proportions (Heckscher-Ohlin, 1919)
– International product life cycle (Ray Vernon, 1966)
The New Trade Theory
 As output expands with specialization, an
industry’s ability to realize economies of scale
increases and unit costs decrease
 Because of scale economies, world demand
supports only a few firms in such industries (e.g.,
commercial aircraft, automobiles)
 Countries that had an early entrant to such an
industry have an advantage:
– Fist-mover advantage
– Barrier to entry
New Trade Theory
Global Strategic Rivalry
– Firms gain competitive advantage trough:
intellectual property, R&D, economies of
scale and scope, experience
National Competitive Advantage
(Porter, 1990)
Mercantilism/Neomercantilism
 Prevailed in 1500 - 1800
– Export more to “strangers” than we import to amass
treasure, expand kingdom
– Zero-sum vs positive-sum game view of trade
 Government intervenes to achieve a surplus in exports
– King, exporters, domestic producers: happy
– Subjects: unhappy because domestic goods stay
expensive and of limited variety
 Today neo-mercantilists = protectionists: some
segments of society shielded short term
Absolute Advantage
 Adam Smith: The Wealth of Nations, 1776
 Mercantilism weakens country in long run; enriches only a few
 A country
– Should specialize in production of and export products for which it
has absolute advantage; import other products
– Has absolute advantage when it is more productive than another
country in producing a particular product
Rice
CocoaG
G'
K
K'
G: Ghana
K: S. Korea
Comparative Advantage
 David Ricardo: Principles of Political Economy, 1817
 Country should specialize in the production of those
goods in which it is relatively more productive... even
if it has absolute advantage in all goods it produces
 Absolute Advantage is a special case of
Comparative Advantage
Rice
CocoaG
K
K' G'
G: Ghana
K: S. Korea
Heckscher (1919)-Ohlin (1933)
Differences in factor endowments not on differences
in productivity determine patterns of trade
Absolute amounts of factor endowments matter
Leontief paradox:
– US has relatively more abundant capital yet imports
goods more capital intensive than those it exports
– Explanation(?):
• US has special advantage on producing new products
made with innovative technologies
• These may be less capital intensive till they reach mass-
production state
Theory of Relative Factor Endowments
(Heckscher-Ohlin)
 Factor endowments vary among countries
 Products differ according to the types of factors that
they need as inputs
 A country has a comparative advantage in producing
products that intensively use factors of production
(resources) it has in abundance
 Factors of production: labor, capital, land, human
resources, technology
International Product Life-Cycle (Vernon)
 Most new products conceived / produced in the US in 20th
century
 US firms kept production close to their market initially
• Aid decisions; minimize risk of new product introductions
• Demand not based on price; low product cost not an issue
 Limited initial demand in other advanced countries initially
• Exports more attractive than overseas production
 When demand increases in advanced countries, production
follows
 With demand expansion in secondary markets
• Product becomes standardized
• production moves to low production cost areas
• Product now imported to US and to advanced countries
Classic Theory Conclusion
 Free Trade expands the world “pie” for goods/services
Theory Limitations:
 Simple world (two countries, two products)
 no transportation costs
 no price differences in resources
 resources immobile across countries
 constant returns to scale
 each country has a fixed stock of resources and no efficiency
gains in resource use from trade
 full employment
New Trade Theories
 Increasing returns of specialization due to economies
of scale (unit costs of production decrease)
 First mover advantages (economies of scale such that
barrier to entry crated for second or third company)
 Luck... first mover may be simply lucky.
 Government intervention: strategic trade policy
National Competitive Advantage
(Porter, 1990)
 Factor endowments
• land, labor, capital, workforce, infrastructure
(some factors can be created...)
 Demand conditions
• large, sophisticated domestic consumer base: offers an
innovation friendly environment and a testing ground
 Related and supporting industries
• local suppliers cluster around producers and add to
innovation
 Firm strategy, structure, rivalry
• competition good, national governments can create
conditions which facilitate and nurture such conditions
Porter’s Diamond
“So What” for business?
First mover implications
Location Implications
Foreign Investment Decisions
Government Policy implications

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Trade theory

  • 2. International Trade Theory  What is international trade? – Exchange of raw materials and manufactured goods (and services) across national borders  Classical trade theories: – explain national economy conditions--country advantages--that enable such exchange to happen  New trade theories: – explain links among natural country advantages, government action, and industry characteristics that enable such exchange to happen  Implications for International Business
  • 3. Classical Trade Theories  Mercantilism (pre-16th century) – Takes an us-versus-them view of trade – Other country’s gain is our country’s loss  Free Trade theories – Absolute Advantage (Adam Smith, 1776) – Comparative Advantage (David Ricardo, 1817) – Specialization of production and free flow of goods benefit all trading partners’ economies  Free Trade refined – Factor-proportions (Heckscher-Ohlin, 1919) – International product life cycle (Ray Vernon, 1966)
  • 4. The New Trade Theory  As output expands with specialization, an industry’s ability to realize economies of scale increases and unit costs decrease  Because of scale economies, world demand supports only a few firms in such industries (e.g., commercial aircraft, automobiles)  Countries that had an early entrant to such an industry have an advantage: – Fist-mover advantage – Barrier to entry
  • 5. New Trade Theory Global Strategic Rivalry – Firms gain competitive advantage trough: intellectual property, R&D, economies of scale and scope, experience National Competitive Advantage (Porter, 1990)
  • 6. Mercantilism/Neomercantilism  Prevailed in 1500 - 1800 – Export more to “strangers” than we import to amass treasure, expand kingdom – Zero-sum vs positive-sum game view of trade  Government intervenes to achieve a surplus in exports – King, exporters, domestic producers: happy – Subjects: unhappy because domestic goods stay expensive and of limited variety  Today neo-mercantilists = protectionists: some segments of society shielded short term
  • 7. Absolute Advantage  Adam Smith: The Wealth of Nations, 1776  Mercantilism weakens country in long run; enriches only a few  A country – Should specialize in production of and export products for which it has absolute advantage; import other products – Has absolute advantage when it is more productive than another country in producing a particular product Rice CocoaG G' K K' G: Ghana K: S. Korea
  • 8.
  • 9. Comparative Advantage  David Ricardo: Principles of Political Economy, 1817  Country should specialize in the production of those goods in which it is relatively more productive... even if it has absolute advantage in all goods it produces  Absolute Advantage is a special case of Comparative Advantage Rice CocoaG K K' G' G: Ghana K: S. Korea
  • 10.
  • 11. Heckscher (1919)-Ohlin (1933) Differences in factor endowments not on differences in productivity determine patterns of trade Absolute amounts of factor endowments matter Leontief paradox: – US has relatively more abundant capital yet imports goods more capital intensive than those it exports – Explanation(?): • US has special advantage on producing new products made with innovative technologies • These may be less capital intensive till they reach mass- production state
  • 12. Theory of Relative Factor Endowments (Heckscher-Ohlin)  Factor endowments vary among countries  Products differ according to the types of factors that they need as inputs  A country has a comparative advantage in producing products that intensively use factors of production (resources) it has in abundance  Factors of production: labor, capital, land, human resources, technology
  • 13. International Product Life-Cycle (Vernon)  Most new products conceived / produced in the US in 20th century  US firms kept production close to their market initially • Aid decisions; minimize risk of new product introductions • Demand not based on price; low product cost not an issue  Limited initial demand in other advanced countries initially • Exports more attractive than overseas production  When demand increases in advanced countries, production follows  With demand expansion in secondary markets • Product becomes standardized • production moves to low production cost areas • Product now imported to US and to advanced countries
  • 14.
  • 15. Classic Theory Conclusion  Free Trade expands the world “pie” for goods/services Theory Limitations:  Simple world (two countries, two products)  no transportation costs  no price differences in resources  resources immobile across countries  constant returns to scale  each country has a fixed stock of resources and no efficiency gains in resource use from trade  full employment
  • 16. New Trade Theories  Increasing returns of specialization due to economies of scale (unit costs of production decrease)  First mover advantages (economies of scale such that barrier to entry crated for second or third company)  Luck... first mover may be simply lucky.  Government intervention: strategic trade policy
  • 17. National Competitive Advantage (Porter, 1990)  Factor endowments • land, labor, capital, workforce, infrastructure (some factors can be created...)  Demand conditions • large, sophisticated domestic consumer base: offers an innovation friendly environment and a testing ground  Related and supporting industries • local suppliers cluster around producers and add to innovation  Firm strategy, structure, rivalry • competition good, national governments can create conditions which facilitate and nurture such conditions
  • 19. “So What” for business? First mover implications Location Implications Foreign Investment Decisions Government Policy implications