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Creating Business Agility
by Adopting
Non-Deterministic
Management
By Natty Gur
The most agile organization
Agile: Ability to move quickly and easily
Why people are working together
Ashby’s Law
Ashby’s law
• For a system is to be stable, the number of states of its control
mechanism must be greater than or equal to the number of
states in the system being controlled
• Complex environments need organizations that are sufficiently
complex to match those environments
• Ashby’s Law explains continuous change in companies
Ford & Taylorism
General Motor (GM)
NUMMI
12/1984
Toyota
Toyota Production System & Agile Manifesto
- Individuals and interactions over processes and tools
- Working software over comprehensive documentation
- Customer collaboration over contract negotiation
- Responding to change over following a plan
February 11-13, 2001
Meanwhile in the science world
When science was challenged
The Success of Non-linear
Non-deterministic Sciences
Quantum, complex and chaos theories
are non-linear non-deterministic and
contribute to mankind
• Solid state electronics
• Lasers
• Semiconductors
• Remote controls
• DVD
Chaos Theory & Complex Systems
What we can learn from
Chaos and Complexity
• Quantum was the first step
• Chaos theory
• (Strange) Attractors (Butterfly effect) - breaks the first law of thermodynamics
• Universality - flow come together and then fall apart couple of time before stabilize
• Fractals
• Bifurcations - random change that is going for a long time suddenly change significantly
• Complex systems
• Self organization
• Inter relatedness
• Adaptive nature
• Emergence
Non-linear and Non-deterministic
Management
Non-deterministic and Non-linear theories
can be principles for agile management
•No central control (CAS)
•Self Organized (CAS)
•No-silos - items within the system are repeating each
other and are interlinked (fractal)
•Governed by feedbacks and modules (CAS)
•Focused on emergent(CAS)
•Purpose is essential (CAS)
Leading NDM Practices and Tools
Existing Non-deterministic
Management Systems
New wave of management systems based on the principles of
non-deterministic management
• Morning Star
• Goretex
• Haier
• Holacracy (Zappos)
• Eco-Autonomous
How to bring it all together
Discussion
www.ongalaxies.com/blog
Backup
Existing Tools
• System Thinking
• Elements
• Causal loops
• Flows & stocks
• Computer models
The origin of Agile –
Business Need
Need for business changes increased
•Industrial revolution
•Globalization
•Virtual & data revolutions
•Robotic intelligence revolution
External Complexity
Internal Complexity
Resources
Max resources
available
Up – Order
Down - Entropy
How business changes impact
management
• Scientific management
• Theory Y
• Toyota Production System
• Agile business

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AgileShift - Agile Management

Editor's Notes

  1. Organization is a type of a system
  2. Craftmans Factory Weber
  3. GM surpassed Ford Motor Company in sales in the late 1920s. In 1958 GM operated six divisions at this time, one of which (GMC) only sold trucks. The other five settled into a hierarchy, which consisted, from most- to least-prestigious, Cadillac, Buick, Oldsmobile, Pontiac and Chevrolet. During the 1980s, GM had downsized https://books.google.com/books?id=6BVkKA1MwusC&pg=PT97&lpg=PT97&dq=%22alfred+sloan%22+and+mcgregor+%22theory+y%22&source=bl&ots=gj_eBuulO0&sig=ACfU3U31FJ6VL4SE7AVlRnQdHkacCN-NyQ&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwiimPnU1ZvhAhVSI6wKHXxnCecQ6AEwA3oECAgQAQ#v=onepage&q=%22alfred%20sloan%22%20and%20mcgregor%20%22theory%20y%22&f=false https://hbr.org/1964/09/the-great-gm-mystery
  4. The first meeting with the nerdy dr. and the insight that our adversaries created more complex environment while changing their management and organization system to fit this complexity Chaos Theory – 60-80 CAS – 80-84 Totota PS – 60-75 NUMMI – 1984 Druker - 66
  5. Start with the good Dr. explain who science resolve the issue by using non-deterministic approaches and their value
  6. The Dr. explain main concepts of the systems
  7. Jeff to say “listen very carefully as by following those we are going to imitate out advisories and win I know that you are going to giggle, smiles, etc’ , but those are the main concepts for running organization on non-deterministic science
  8. Start - why I’m telling the story - similarities to DX
  9. Now you start to see the similarities between the story and DX