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Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
1
Conjunctive use in groundwater
management- concepts and
California's experiences
Jay R. Lund
Civil and Environmental Engineering
University of California, Davis
13 Mars 2020, Montpellier
CaliforniaWaterBlog.com
2
Summary: Conjunctive use in groundwater management-
concepts and California's experiences
The talk reviews concepts and methods in the
conjunctive use of surface and ground
waters. Many of these concepts are illustrated
by the context and examples from California,
which has a diverse range of conditions where
conjunctive use has been applied. The
discussion then shifts to the future of
groundwater management (and overall water
management) in California, with
implementation of a new state law seeking to
eliminate groundwater overdraft by 2040.
2
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
3
Thanks
Everything I know about groundwater I
learned from students:
Manuel Pulido-Velazquez, Julien Harou, Gui
Marques, Mimi Jenkins, Andy Draper, Ken
Kirby, Stacy Tanaka, Christina Connell, Tingju
Zhu, Gracie Yao, and others.
and some reading of the literature.
… I still don’t know much.
4
Overview
1. Concepts for Conjunctive Use of
Surface and Groundwater
2. California Examples
3. Making Groundwater Sustainable in
California
4. Modeling uncertainties and
groundwater policy
3
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
5
Groundwater in Complex
Water Management
1. Drought storage (largest by far!)
2. Seasonal storage
3. Water collection (infiltration)
4. Water reuse (infiltration of applied water)
5. Water treatment/contamination
6. Aquifer mining (overdraft, salt disposal)
7. Conjunctive use (possible mix of above)
6
What is Conjunctive Use of Surface
and Groundwater?
Management of surface and ground-
water together for better performance.
Water supply, water quality, economic,
environmental, institutional
4
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
7
Potential Benefits of Conjunctive Use of
Ground and Surface Waters
Water Supply
1. More water availability and reliability (“buffer”)
2. More effective storage capacity, operational flexibility
3. Less spills and evaporative losses
4. Less imported supplies in drought & emergencies; less groundwater depletion
Water Quality
1. Match sources with demands by quality
2. Better manage water quality
3. Water reuse through soil-aquifer treatment
4. Blending for waters of different qualities
Economic Performance
1. Economic benefits from deliveries and water quality
2. Manage peak demands, reduce conveyance size
3. Phase and reduce capital costs
4. Avoid canal lining; seepage becomes recharge
Environmental Performance
1. Less surface infrastructure damages
2. Less groundwater overdraft and damages
3. Less drainage and salinity problems Can better accommodate environmental demands
Institutional
1. More local control and autonomy, local flexibility in regional systems
2. Better coordinate inter-regional, regional, and local management
8
Strategies for Conjunctive Use
Strategy Problem Period Strategy
Drought
cycling
Droughts, inter-annual
imbalances in water
availability and
demands
Annual to
decadal
Store and use surface water in
wetter years, use more
groundwater in drier years
Seasonal
cycling
Seasonal imbalances in
water availability and
demands
Seasonal,
within year
Greater wet season use and
recharge of surface water, and dry
season use of groundwater
Initial intensive
exploitation
Initial stage of region
development and
conjunctive use
Initial
regional
development
Initial pumping supports early
economic development, deferring
infrastructure investments.
Supplemental
recharge
Increase groundwater
availability
Continuous Increase recharge to increase
groundwater supplies overall
Saline intrusion,
contaminants
dispersion in aquifer
Continuous Reallocation of pumping and
surface water, recharge
management, fresh water injection.
Dilution Extending surface
supplies with saline
groundwater
Inter-annual Dilute saline groundwater
applications with available surface
water in drier years
Treatment Contaminated surface
water
Continuous Treatment of surface water in
unsaturated and saturated zones
of aquifer
Mixed Combination of above Mixed Integrated mixture of above
strategies
5
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
9
Conjunctive Use Components
Water Source Options
Surplus surface water, Stormwater and floodwater, Reclaimed
wastewater, Reclaimed groundwater, Desalinated seawater, Conserved
urban or agricultural water use, Purchased water (lower economic value)
Managed Recharge Options
Deep percolation from surface use (irrigation, spreading, wetlands),
Deep percolation from conveyance or storage losses, Urban infiltration,
Recharge basins, Induced flood seepage, Injection wells, Stream-aquifer
interaction, In-lieu recharge or water exchanges
Groundwater Withdrawal Options
Well pumping, Aquifer seepage to stream or wetlands, Aquifer seepage
to ocean (to repel salinity)
Coordination – Regulation Options
Surface water prices, Groundwater pricing or taxes, including “net
metering” , Water right allocations for surface or groundwater use,
Agreements among water users and water managers, Water markets,
Single agency management of basin, Water accounting systems
10
Passive vs Active Conjunctive Use
• Conjunctive use requires coordination among many
people – water users, managers, regulators, etc.
• Managing people is hard.
• Active management of all parts is often not possible.
• Passive management approach sets some
conditions, incentives, and infrastructure and then
lets sytem manage itself.
6
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
11
Passive vs Active Conjunctive Use
Passive Management
Facilities • Design for incidental recharge
• Well capacity expansion
Water users • Relative prices and availability of surface and
groundwater
• Groundwater or surface water substitution
• Exchange agreements, contracts, water markets
Active Management
Facilities • Surface facility operations
• Artificial recharge
• Treatment of water to improve conjunctive use
• Pumping
• Coordinated operation of facilities
Water users • Exchange agreements & contracts, water
markets
Coordinated operations • Alternating use and alternating operations
• Managed stream/aquifer interaction
12
Functional Institutional Needs
• Legal authorities
• Rights for surface water and recharged groundwater
• Enforceable water accounting or allocations
• Governance and communication within a larger
management framework
• Formal or informal agreements among water
managers and users
• Enforcement with credible incentives and threats for
behaviors supporting conjunctive use
• Financially and politically stable allocations of
benefits and costs among parties.
7
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
13
Methods of Technical Integration
A wide range of options:
• None
• Institutional leader judgement, with observations
• Rough mass balances
• Detailed mass balances
• Rough basin groundwater flow models
• Detailed basin groundwater flow models
• Dynamic real-time groundwater flow modeling
• Dynamic real-time surface and groundwater flow
modeling
How to support institutionally?
14
Some California Examples
General California Water Management
Conjunctive use examples:
1. Yolo County Irrigation District
2. Sacramento Metro Area
3. Kern County Water Bank
4. Tulare Basin
5. Santa Clara Valley Water Agency
8
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
15
2014
1977
2015
2016
2013
Sacramento Valley Precipitation
Water and People in California
16
9
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
Most annual rainfall variability in US
SOURCE: Dettinger, et al. 2011. “Atmospheric Rivers, Floods and the Water Resources of California.” Water 3(2), 445-478. .
NOTES: Dots represent the coefficient of variation of total annual precipitation at weather stations for 1951-2008. Larger values
have greater year-to-year variability.
Annual coefficient of variation
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000
Cumulative Irrigated Crop Area (1,000 Acres)
Cumulative Jobs and Revenues
Cumulative Jobs
Cumulative
Revenues
Vegetables,
Horticulture
&
Non-Tree
Fruits
Vines
Subtropical
Fruits
Almonds
and
Pistachios
Deciduous
(Orchards)
Processing
Tomato
Other Field, Grain, and Feed
Fresh
Tomato
+
Cucurbits
Onion
+
Garlic
Josue Medellin
10
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
19
Modeled Groundwater Operations
480
490
500
510
520
530
540
550
Oct-21
Oct-24
Oct-27
Oct-30
Oct-33
Oct-36
Oct-39
Oct-42
Oct-45
Oct-48
Oct-51
Oct-54
Oct-57
Oct-60
Oct-63
Oct-66
Oct-69
Oct-72
Oct-75
Oct-78
Oct-81
Oct-84
Oct-87
Oct-90
Groundwater
Storage
(maf/mon)
Base2020 SWM2020 SWM2100
PCM2100 HCM2100
20
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Annual Exceedence Probability
Total
Annual
Supply
-
%Goundwater
Base2020 SWM2020 SWM2100 PCM2100 HCM2100
Conjunctive Use – model results
11
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
21
California’s Water System
• Diverse water supplies
– Mostly in north
– Mostly in wet season
• Diverse water demands
– Mostly central and south
– Mostly in dry season
• Extensive use of aqueducts,
reservoirs, and groundwater
• Delta “hub” for conveyance
• Most storage is groundwater
The Delta
22
Coming changes…
1. Continued demand growth?
2. Demand hardening (urban growth, tree crops)
3. Sea level rise and Delta
4. Climate warming
5. Flood frequency worsens
6. Water markets
7. Greater system integration, new law
Groundwater becomes more important.
12
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
23
Some California Examples
1. Yolo County Irrigation District
2. Sacramento Metro Area
3. Kern County Water Bank
4. Tulare Basin
5. Santa Clara Valley Water Agency
24
Yolo County Irrigation District
1. - 62,000 hectares irrigated farming
2. Most years surface water available
3. Dry years have only groundwater
4. Unlined canals to increase recharge
5. Surface water prices set less than
pumping cost (passive CU)
6. Well balanced aquifers
13
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
25
Sacramento Metro Area
Most local urban agencies coordinate
their surface and groundwater use
26
Kern Water Bank
1. Wet-year recharge + wetland; Dry-year
pumping
2. Facilities owned by local irrigation agencies
3. Water owned by contracting agencies and
users statewide - lose 6% of water
14
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
27
Tulare Basin Overdraft
• 2-3 bcm/year overdraft, ~15% of net use)
• How much net use reduction is needed locally?
Faunt et al., 2009
27
Tulare Basin –
Groundwater Depletion
28
SOURCE: What If California’s Drought Continues? (PPIC, 2015), Figure 3.Data through 2009 from DWR; author estimates after 2009. Projections since 2009
may underestimate depletions since the onset of the latest drought (2012+)..
15
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
29
Santa Clara Valley Water Agency
1. San Jose area; large aquifer, water imports
2. Eliminated overdraft, improves reliability
30
Making Groundwater
Sustainable in California
1. New State Law: Sustainable
Groundwater Management Act (SGMA)
2. Water Balances
3. Institutions
4. Hard problems: water, salinity, nitrate
16
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
31
California Groundwater Law
Anita Milman
32
Uncertainty in Overdraft
Hydrologic variance and modeling variance
Faunt et al., 2009
32
Escriva-Bou et al, in press
17
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
33
Model Uncertainty in Overdraft
Differences between older C2VSIM and CVHM models
Faunt et al., 2009
33
34
Conclusions
1. Groundwater is mighty important
2. Conjunctive use has many forms
and can help in many ways
3. California has many examples
4. Groundwater often behaves very
different from surface water
5. Sustainability is hard and has
uncertainties
18
Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020
presentation J. Lund
35
Some further reading
Escriva-Bou, et al. “Planning for Groundwater Sustainability Accounting
for Uncertainty and Costs: an Application to California's Central Valley,”
Journal of Environmental Management, in press.
Llamas MR, Martínez-Santos P (2005) Intensive groundwater use: silent
revolution and potential source of social conflict. ASCE J Water Resour
Plan Manag 131(5):337–341
Pulido – Velázquez, M., et al. (in prep.), “Conjunctive Management of
Ground and Surface Waters: Concepts, Experiences, and Prospects”
Pulido – Velázquez, M., M.W. Jenkins, and J.R. Lund (2004), “Economic
Values for Conjunctive Use and Water Banking in Southern California,”
Water Resources Research, Vol. 40, No. 3, March.
Vaux HJ (1986) Water scarcity and gains from trade in Kern county,
California. In: Frederick K (ed) Scarce water and institutional change.
Resources for the Future, Washington, DC
Zhu, T., et al., “Hydroeconomic Optimization of Integrated Water
Management and Transfers under Stochastic Surface Water Supply,”
Water Resources Research, Vol. 51, Issue 5, pp. 3568–3587, May 2015.
36
Questions?

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Conjunctive Use and Groundwater in California - Jay Lund 2020.pdf

  • 1. 1 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 1 Conjunctive use in groundwater management- concepts and California's experiences Jay R. Lund Civil and Environmental Engineering University of California, Davis 13 Mars 2020, Montpellier CaliforniaWaterBlog.com 2 Summary: Conjunctive use in groundwater management- concepts and California's experiences The talk reviews concepts and methods in the conjunctive use of surface and ground waters. Many of these concepts are illustrated by the context and examples from California, which has a diverse range of conditions where conjunctive use has been applied. The discussion then shifts to the future of groundwater management (and overall water management) in California, with implementation of a new state law seeking to eliminate groundwater overdraft by 2040.
  • 2. 2 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 3 Thanks Everything I know about groundwater I learned from students: Manuel Pulido-Velazquez, Julien Harou, Gui Marques, Mimi Jenkins, Andy Draper, Ken Kirby, Stacy Tanaka, Christina Connell, Tingju Zhu, Gracie Yao, and others. and some reading of the literature. … I still don’t know much. 4 Overview 1. Concepts for Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwater 2. California Examples 3. Making Groundwater Sustainable in California 4. Modeling uncertainties and groundwater policy
  • 3. 3 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 5 Groundwater in Complex Water Management 1. Drought storage (largest by far!) 2. Seasonal storage 3. Water collection (infiltration) 4. Water reuse (infiltration of applied water) 5. Water treatment/contamination 6. Aquifer mining (overdraft, salt disposal) 7. Conjunctive use (possible mix of above) 6 What is Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwater? Management of surface and ground- water together for better performance. Water supply, water quality, economic, environmental, institutional
  • 4. 4 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 7 Potential Benefits of Conjunctive Use of Ground and Surface Waters Water Supply 1. More water availability and reliability (“buffer”) 2. More effective storage capacity, operational flexibility 3. Less spills and evaporative losses 4. Less imported supplies in drought & emergencies; less groundwater depletion Water Quality 1. Match sources with demands by quality 2. Better manage water quality 3. Water reuse through soil-aquifer treatment 4. Blending for waters of different qualities Economic Performance 1. Economic benefits from deliveries and water quality 2. Manage peak demands, reduce conveyance size 3. Phase and reduce capital costs 4. Avoid canal lining; seepage becomes recharge Environmental Performance 1. Less surface infrastructure damages 2. Less groundwater overdraft and damages 3. Less drainage and salinity problems Can better accommodate environmental demands Institutional 1. More local control and autonomy, local flexibility in regional systems 2. Better coordinate inter-regional, regional, and local management 8 Strategies for Conjunctive Use Strategy Problem Period Strategy Drought cycling Droughts, inter-annual imbalances in water availability and demands Annual to decadal Store and use surface water in wetter years, use more groundwater in drier years Seasonal cycling Seasonal imbalances in water availability and demands Seasonal, within year Greater wet season use and recharge of surface water, and dry season use of groundwater Initial intensive exploitation Initial stage of region development and conjunctive use Initial regional development Initial pumping supports early economic development, deferring infrastructure investments. Supplemental recharge Increase groundwater availability Continuous Increase recharge to increase groundwater supplies overall Saline intrusion, contaminants dispersion in aquifer Continuous Reallocation of pumping and surface water, recharge management, fresh water injection. Dilution Extending surface supplies with saline groundwater Inter-annual Dilute saline groundwater applications with available surface water in drier years Treatment Contaminated surface water Continuous Treatment of surface water in unsaturated and saturated zones of aquifer Mixed Combination of above Mixed Integrated mixture of above strategies
  • 5. 5 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 9 Conjunctive Use Components Water Source Options Surplus surface water, Stormwater and floodwater, Reclaimed wastewater, Reclaimed groundwater, Desalinated seawater, Conserved urban or agricultural water use, Purchased water (lower economic value) Managed Recharge Options Deep percolation from surface use (irrigation, spreading, wetlands), Deep percolation from conveyance or storage losses, Urban infiltration, Recharge basins, Induced flood seepage, Injection wells, Stream-aquifer interaction, In-lieu recharge or water exchanges Groundwater Withdrawal Options Well pumping, Aquifer seepage to stream or wetlands, Aquifer seepage to ocean (to repel salinity) Coordination – Regulation Options Surface water prices, Groundwater pricing or taxes, including “net metering” , Water right allocations for surface or groundwater use, Agreements among water users and water managers, Water markets, Single agency management of basin, Water accounting systems 10 Passive vs Active Conjunctive Use • Conjunctive use requires coordination among many people – water users, managers, regulators, etc. • Managing people is hard. • Active management of all parts is often not possible. • Passive management approach sets some conditions, incentives, and infrastructure and then lets sytem manage itself.
  • 6. 6 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 11 Passive vs Active Conjunctive Use Passive Management Facilities • Design for incidental recharge • Well capacity expansion Water users • Relative prices and availability of surface and groundwater • Groundwater or surface water substitution • Exchange agreements, contracts, water markets Active Management Facilities • Surface facility operations • Artificial recharge • Treatment of water to improve conjunctive use • Pumping • Coordinated operation of facilities Water users • Exchange agreements & contracts, water markets Coordinated operations • Alternating use and alternating operations • Managed stream/aquifer interaction 12 Functional Institutional Needs • Legal authorities • Rights for surface water and recharged groundwater • Enforceable water accounting or allocations • Governance and communication within a larger management framework • Formal or informal agreements among water managers and users • Enforcement with credible incentives and threats for behaviors supporting conjunctive use • Financially and politically stable allocations of benefits and costs among parties.
  • 7. 7 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 13 Methods of Technical Integration A wide range of options: • None • Institutional leader judgement, with observations • Rough mass balances • Detailed mass balances • Rough basin groundwater flow models • Detailed basin groundwater flow models • Dynamic real-time groundwater flow modeling • Dynamic real-time surface and groundwater flow modeling How to support institutionally? 14 Some California Examples General California Water Management Conjunctive use examples: 1. Yolo County Irrigation District 2. Sacramento Metro Area 3. Kern County Water Bank 4. Tulare Basin 5. Santa Clara Valley Water Agency
  • 8. 8 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 15 2014 1977 2015 2016 2013 Sacramento Valley Precipitation Water and People in California 16
  • 9. 9 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund Most annual rainfall variability in US SOURCE: Dettinger, et al. 2011. “Atmospheric Rivers, Floods and the Water Resources of California.” Water 3(2), 445-478. . NOTES: Dots represent the coefficient of variation of total annual precipitation at weather stations for 1951-2008. Larger values have greater year-to-year variability. Annual coefficient of variation 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 Cumulative Irrigated Crop Area (1,000 Acres) Cumulative Jobs and Revenues Cumulative Jobs Cumulative Revenues Vegetables, Horticulture & Non-Tree Fruits Vines Subtropical Fruits Almonds and Pistachios Deciduous (Orchards) Processing Tomato Other Field, Grain, and Feed Fresh Tomato + Cucurbits Onion + Garlic Josue Medellin
  • 10. 10 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 19 Modeled Groundwater Operations 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 Oct-21 Oct-24 Oct-27 Oct-30 Oct-33 Oct-36 Oct-39 Oct-42 Oct-45 Oct-48 Oct-51 Oct-54 Oct-57 Oct-60 Oct-63 Oct-66 Oct-69 Oct-72 Oct-75 Oct-78 Oct-81 Oct-84 Oct-87 Oct-90 Groundwater Storage (maf/mon) Base2020 SWM2020 SWM2100 PCM2100 HCM2100 20 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Annual Exceedence Probability Total Annual Supply - %Goundwater Base2020 SWM2020 SWM2100 PCM2100 HCM2100 Conjunctive Use – model results
  • 11. 11 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 21 California’s Water System • Diverse water supplies – Mostly in north – Mostly in wet season • Diverse water demands – Mostly central and south – Mostly in dry season • Extensive use of aqueducts, reservoirs, and groundwater • Delta “hub” for conveyance • Most storage is groundwater The Delta 22 Coming changes… 1. Continued demand growth? 2. Demand hardening (urban growth, tree crops) 3. Sea level rise and Delta 4. Climate warming 5. Flood frequency worsens 6. Water markets 7. Greater system integration, new law Groundwater becomes more important.
  • 12. 12 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 23 Some California Examples 1. Yolo County Irrigation District 2. Sacramento Metro Area 3. Kern County Water Bank 4. Tulare Basin 5. Santa Clara Valley Water Agency 24 Yolo County Irrigation District 1. - 62,000 hectares irrigated farming 2. Most years surface water available 3. Dry years have only groundwater 4. Unlined canals to increase recharge 5. Surface water prices set less than pumping cost (passive CU) 6. Well balanced aquifers
  • 13. 13 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 25 Sacramento Metro Area Most local urban agencies coordinate their surface and groundwater use 26 Kern Water Bank 1. Wet-year recharge + wetland; Dry-year pumping 2. Facilities owned by local irrigation agencies 3. Water owned by contracting agencies and users statewide - lose 6% of water
  • 14. 14 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 27 Tulare Basin Overdraft • 2-3 bcm/year overdraft, ~15% of net use) • How much net use reduction is needed locally? Faunt et al., 2009 27 Tulare Basin – Groundwater Depletion 28 SOURCE: What If California’s Drought Continues? (PPIC, 2015), Figure 3.Data through 2009 from DWR; author estimates after 2009. Projections since 2009 may underestimate depletions since the onset of the latest drought (2012+)..
  • 15. 15 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 29 Santa Clara Valley Water Agency 1. San Jose area; large aquifer, water imports 2. Eliminated overdraft, improves reliability 30 Making Groundwater Sustainable in California 1. New State Law: Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) 2. Water Balances 3. Institutions 4. Hard problems: water, salinity, nitrate
  • 16. 16 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 31 California Groundwater Law Anita Milman 32 Uncertainty in Overdraft Hydrologic variance and modeling variance Faunt et al., 2009 32 Escriva-Bou et al, in press
  • 17. 17 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 33 Model Uncertainty in Overdraft Differences between older C2VSIM and CVHM models Faunt et al., 2009 33 34 Conclusions 1. Groundwater is mighty important 2. Conjunctive use has many forms and can help in many ways 3. California has many examples 4. Groundwater often behaves very different from surface water 5. Sustainability is hard and has uncertainties
  • 18. 18 Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwaters with California Examples, 2020 presentation J. Lund 35 Some further reading Escriva-Bou, et al. “Planning for Groundwater Sustainability Accounting for Uncertainty and Costs: an Application to California's Central Valley,” Journal of Environmental Management, in press. Llamas MR, Martínez-Santos P (2005) Intensive groundwater use: silent revolution and potential source of social conflict. ASCE J Water Resour Plan Manag 131(5):337–341 Pulido – Velázquez, M., et al. (in prep.), “Conjunctive Management of Ground and Surface Waters: Concepts, Experiences, and Prospects” Pulido – Velázquez, M., M.W. Jenkins, and J.R. Lund (2004), “Economic Values for Conjunctive Use and Water Banking in Southern California,” Water Resources Research, Vol. 40, No. 3, March. Vaux HJ (1986) Water scarcity and gains from trade in Kern county, California. In: Frederick K (ed) Scarce water and institutional change. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC Zhu, T., et al., “Hydroeconomic Optimization of Integrated Water Management and Transfers under Stochastic Surface Water Supply,” Water Resources Research, Vol. 51, Issue 5, pp. 3568–3587, May 2015. 36 Questions?