This document contains 23 figures that graph disease incidence and mortality rates over time for various infectious diseases like measles, pertussis, tuberculosis, and influenza in countries around the world. The graphs show that for many diseases, rates declined significantly prior to the introduction of widespread vaccination programs. Some graphs also show disease outbreaks occurring in highly vaccinated populations or no clear effect from vaccination programs. The document aims to show that vaccines are not solely responsible for declines in infectious disease and that their effectiveness is uncertain.

1. Immunization Graphs:
Natural Infectious Disease Declines; Immunization
Effectiveness; and Immunization Dangers
Prepared by: Raymond Obomsawin Ph.D.
December, 2009

2. FIGURE SET I.
Natural Infectious Disease Declines
Preceding Public Immunization Efforts
Figures one (1) through eleven (11) graphically illustrate that in North America, Europe, and the
South Pacific , major declines in life-threatening infectious diseases occurred historically either
without, or far in advance of public immunization efforts for specific diseases as listed. This
provides irrefutable evidence that vaccines are not necessary for the effective elimination of a
wide range of infectious diseases

3. FIGURE 1 – CANADA
MEASLES
800.00 REPORTED INCIDENCE (1935-1983)
700.00
Note: Incidence data was unavailable
in the period spanning 1959-1968
600.00
500.00
400.00
300.00
Measles Vaccines
Introduced
Live 1963 / Inactivated 1964
200.00
100.00
0.00
1935 1947 1959 1971 1983
Source: Adapted from: Public Health Agency of Canada, Figure 8 – Measles Reported
Incidence Canada. http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/publicat/cig-gci/p04-meas-roug-eng.php

4. FIGURE 2 - ENGLAND & WALES
MEAN ANNUAL MEASLES MORTALITY CASES
1,200.00
CHILDREN UNDER 15 (1850-1965)
1,000.00
800.00
Measles
Vaccination Begins
600.00
400.00
200.00
0.00
1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1965
Source: McKeown, T., The Role of Medicine: Dream, Mirage or Nemesis?; Basil
Blackwell; Oxford, UK; 1979; p. 105; & Waltzkin, H., in The Relevance of Social Science
for Medicine; Springer; 1st edition, Dec. 31, 1980

5. 0.14
FIGURE 3 - ENGLAND
SCURVY & MEASLES
PARALLEL MORTALITY RATES PER 100,000
0.12
(1919-1967)
0.1
0.08
0.06
SCURVY MEASLES
0.04
Measles Vaccination
Begins
0.02
0
1919 1925 1931 1937 1943 1949 1955 1961 1967
Sources: Data for years 1919-1967 Mortality Statistics: Deaths Registered in England &
Wales; UK Office for National Statistics, 1997.

6. FIGURE 4 – CANADA
TUBERCULOSIS MORTALITY
200.00 RATES PER 100,000 (1880-1960)
180.00
160.00
140.00
120.00
100.00
BCG Vaccination
Introduced Between
80.00
1948-1954 (Depending
on Prov. or Terr.)
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
1880 1900 1924 1930 1936 1942 1948 1954 1960
Source: Table based on data at: Timeline of TB in Canada http://www.lung.ca/tb/tbhistory/timeline/;
http://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.com/index.cfm?PgNm=TCE&Params=A1ARTA0008151
Public Health Agency of Canada: http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/publicat/cig-gci/p04-bcg-eng.php; and
PHAC on BCG usage in Canada: http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/tbpc-latb/bcgvac_1206-eng.php

7. FIGURE 5 – UNITED STATES
TUBERCULOSIS MORTALITY
200.00 RATES PER 100,000 INFANTS (1900-1960)
180.00
160.00
140.00
120.00
100.00
No Vaccination for
Tuberculosis
80.00 Adopted in the USA
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960
Source: John H. Dingle; Life and Death in Medicine; Scientific American; 1973; p. 56.

8. FIGURE 6 - NEW ZEALAND
TUBERCULOSIS MORTALITY
1,400.00
RATES PER MILLION (1880-1960)
1,200.00
1,000.00
800.00
600.00
BCG Vaccination
Introduced
400.00
200.00
0.00
1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1953 1960
Source: Director General Annual Mortality Reports Covering 1872-1960, New Zealand
Parliamentary Journals for the Years Specified.

9. FIGURE 7 – UNITED STATES
MEAN ANNUAL PERTUSSIS MORTALITY
16.00 RATES PER 100,000 (1918-1960)
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
Pertussis
Vaccination Introduced
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
1918 1924 1930 1936 1942 1948 1954 1960
Source: Data derived from: Vital Statistics of the United States 1937-1960; and
Historical Statistics of the United States: Colonial Times to 1970 Part 1 Ch. B Vital
Statistics and Health and Medical Care, pp. 44-86H.

10. FIGURE 8 - ENGLAND & WALES
MEAN ANNUAL PERTUSSIS MORTALITY CASES
CHILDREN UNDER 15 (1850-1965)
1,400.00
Children under 15
1,200.00
1,000.00
800.00
Pertussis
Vaccination Introduced
600.00
400.00
200.00
0.00
1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1965
Source: Thomas McKeown, The Role of Medicine: Dream, Mirage or Nemesis?; Basil
Blackwell; Oxford, UK; 1979; p. 103

11. 0.18
FIGURE 9 - ENGLAND
SCURVY & PERTUSSIS
0.16 PARALLEL MORTALITY RATES PER 100,000
(1919-1967)
0.14
0.12
0.1
0.08
0.06
SCURVY PERTUSSIS
0.04
0.02
Pertussis Vaccination
Begins
0
1919 1925 1931 1937 1943 1949 1955 1961 1967
Sources: Data for years 1919-1967 Mortality Statistics: Deaths Registered in England &
Wales; UK Office for National Statistics, 1997.

12. FIGURE 10 – UNITED STATES
MEAN ANNUAL SCARLET FEVER MORTALITY
12.00 RATES PER 100,000 (1910-1958)
10.00
8.00
6.00
No Vaccination for
Scarlet Fever
Adopted in the USA
4.00
2.00
0.00
1910 1916 1922 1928 1934 1940 1946 1952 1958
Source: Data derived from - Vital Statistics of the United States 1937-1960; and
Historical Statistics of the United States: Colonial Times to 1970 Part 1 Ch. B Vital
Statistics and Health and Medical Care, pp. 44-86H.

13. FIGURE 11 – UNITED STATES
ANNUAL INFLUENZA MORTALITY
RATES PER 100,000 (1933-1965)
180.00
160.00
140.00
120.00
100.00
80.00
Influenza vaccination
60.00
first widely administered
in the U.S. in the
late 1980s.
40.00
20.00
0.00
1933 1937 1941 1945 1949 1953 1961 1965
Source: Doshi, P., Trends in Recorded Influenza Mortality: United States 1900-2004,
American Journal of Public Health, May 2008, vol. 98, no. 5, p. 941.

14. FIGURE SET II.
Immunization Effectiveness
Figures eleven (12) through twenty-four (24) graphically illustrate that immunization is not by
any means a proven and foolproof measure for protection from various infectious disease
conditions. It is often inconsequential epidemiologically, and in some cases it is shown to
actually worsen health-care outcomes.

15. Children Under 2 Yrs of Age
Figure 12
Inactivated Influenza Vaccine
0%
Effective
Source: Cochrane Collaboration Database of Systematic Reviews, (John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.)
2006 (1) Article No. CD004879 – Covers 51 Studies on 260,000 children
Figure 13 Elderly Living in Communities
& Group Homes
Inactivated Influenza Vaccine
Little or No
Effectiveness
Source: Cochrane Collaboration Database of Systematic Reviews, (John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.)
2006 (3) Article No. CD004876 – Covers 64 Studies, over 40 years of infuenza vaccination
and see: http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/full/333/7574/912

16. Figure 14 BCG for Tuberculosis
Note: Tuberculosis higher among two (2)
dose Vaccinated versus Placebo Group
0%
Effective
Source: Randomised controlled trial of single BCG, repeated BCG, or combined BCG and
killed Mycobacterium leprae vaccine for prevention of leprosy and tuberculosis in Malawi;
The Lancet, Volume 348, Issue 9019, Pages 17 - 24, 6 July 1996
Figure 15 BCG for Tuberculosis
Note: In years 0-2.5 the vaccinated had
double the incidence of Tuberculosis
versus Placebo Group
0%
Effective
Source: Double blind randomized controlled trial of BCG’s effectiveness on 250,000 subjects
Tuberculosis Research Centre (ICMR), Chennai, India: Indian Journal of Medical Research,
110, August 1999, pp. 56-69.

17. Figure 16 MUMPS OUTBREAK IN HIGHLY
VACCINATED POPULATION
8% 92%
Vaccinated
8%
Unvaccinated
92%
2006
Iowa
Source: Center for Disease Control , MMWR
55 (20); May 26, 2006; pp. 559-63.
Figure 17 CHICKENPOX OUTBREAK IN
HIGHLY VACCINATED POPULATION
14%
86%
Vaccinated
14%
Unvaccinated
86%
2001
Oregon
Source: Pediatrics - Vol. 113;
No. 3; pp. 455-459; (2004)

18. Figure 18 PERTUSSIS OUTBREAK IN
HIGHLY VACCINATED POPULATION
10%
90%
Vaccinated
10%
Unvaccinated
90%
1993
Source: N.Z. Miller; Vaccine Safety Manual;
Ohio
N.A. Press, Sante Fe, New Mexico; p. 140; (2008)
(Refers to CDC & Official Surveillance data)
Figure 19 MEASLES OUTBREAK IN
HIGHLY VACCINATED POPULATION
1%
99%
Vaccinated
1%
Unvaccinated
99%
1985
Texas
Source: New England Journal of Medicine -
Vol. 316; No. 13; pp. 771-774; (1987)

19. FIGURE 20 - NIGERIA
DIPHTHERIA REPORTED CASES
(1973-1982)
1,000.00
800.00
600.00
EPI Begins
Diphtheria Vaccine
400.00
200.00
0.00
1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982
Source: E. Ekanem; A 10-Year Review of Morbidity from Childhood Preventable
Diseases in Nigeria: How Successful is the Expanded Programme of Immunization
(EPI)?; Journal of Tropical Pediatrics, Vol. 34; No. 6; UK; 1988; pp. 323-328.

20. FIGURE 21- NIGERIA
WHOOPING COUGH CASE RATES PER 100,000
(1973-1982)
500.00
400.00
300.00
EPI Begins
Pertussis Vaccine
200.00
100.00
0.00
1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982
Source: E. Ekanem; A 10-Year Review of Morbidity from Childhood Preventable
Diseases in Nigeria: How Successful is the Expanded Programme of Immunization
(EPI)?; Journal of Tropical Pediatrics, Vol. 34; No. 6; UK; 1988; pp. 323-328.

21. FIGURE 22 - DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MEASLES CASE RATES PER 100,000
(1978-1989)
180.00
160.00
140.00
120.00
100.00
80.00
60.00
EPI Begins
Measles Vaccine
40.00
20.00
0.00
1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989
Sources: Data for years 1978-1987 Taken from UNICEF Evaluation Publication No. 6,
Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, May 27, 1988; and Data for years 1988-1989 from
personal communication from PAHO, EPI Unit, Aug. 21, 1990.

22. FIGURE 23 - DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
DIPHTHERIA CASE RATES PER 100,000
(1978-1987)
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
EPI Begins
Diphtheria Vaccine
2.00
1.00
0.00
1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987
Source: Data for years 1978-1987 Taken from UNICEF Evaluation Publication No. 6,
Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, May 27, 1988.

23. FIGURE 24 - DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
PERTUSSIS CASE RATES PER 100,000
(1978-1989)
20.00
18.00
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
EPI Begins
6.00
Pertussis Vaccine
4.00
2.00
0.00
1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989
Sources: Data for years 1978-1987 Taken from UNICEF Evaluation Publication No. 6,
Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, May 27, 1988; and Data for years 1988-1989 from
personal communication from PAHO, EPI Unit, Aug. 21, 1990.

24. FIGURE SET III.
Immunization Dangers
Figures twenty-five (25) through thirty five (35) graphically illustrate that increases in the
number of governmental mandated vaccine doses correlates with significant increases in death
rates for children under the age of five (5); and that the practice is linked to sudden infant death
syndrome; various degenerative diseases, including diabetes; and appears to cause general
immune system impairment in infants and children. Evidence also points to the practice of
immunization as a principal factor in the recent massive increases in neurodegenerative
conditions such as autism in children.

25. FIGURE 25 - COUNTRIES & NUMBER
OF VACCINE DOSES MANDATED TO AGE 5
UNDER AGE 5 MORTALITY RATES FOR 2007
9
8
Under Age 5 Mortality per 1,000 Live Births
7
Mortality Increase Trendline
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Under Age 5 Mortality statistics derived from: World Health Organization – World
Health Statistics 2009 Report http://www.who.int/whosis/whostat/EN_WHS09_Table1.pdf
& Govt. Mandated Vaccines figures derived from: Generation Rescue Inc. 2009
http://www.generationrescue.org/documents/SPECIAL%20REPORT%20AUTISM%202.pdf

26. FIGURE 26 - UNDER AGE 5 INFLUENZA DEATHS
BEFORE AND AFTER U.S. CDC MANDATES
FLU VACCINES IN EARLY CHILDHOOD
90
80
Influenza Deaths Children Under Age 5
70
60
50
40
30
20
10 Latter half of 2002 C DC Mandates
Early Childhood Flu Vaccines in USA
0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Under Age 5 Influenza Mortality statistics derived from: Center for Disease Control
Vital Statistics Reports covering Years 1999-2003 reported in Miller, N.Z., Vaccine
Safety Manual, New Atlantean Press, Sante Fe, New Mexico, 2008, p. 97.

27. FIGURE 27 - PERTUSSIS VACCINE &
SUDDEN INFANT DEATH SYNDROME
80%
70%
Post-Pertussis
60%
Vaccination
50% 70% of SIDS
Deaths Occurred
40%
Within 3 Weeks
30%
20%
10%
0%
0.5 1 3 7 14 21
Days Post-Vaccination
2/3 of 103 infants had been vaccinated with pertussis prior to death, of which 6.5% died
within 12 hours; 13% within 24 hours; 26% within 3 days; 37%, 61% & 70% within 1, 2, & 3
weeks respectively. Source: Torch W., Neurology - 32 (4 – Pt. 2) A, 1982, pp. 169-170.
4
FIGURE 28 - MEASLES VACCINE &
3.5
INFLAMMATORY BOWEL DISEASES
3
2.5
2 Unvaccinated
1.5 Vaccinated
1
0.5
0
Ulcerative Colitis Crohn's Disease Source:The Lancet - Vol. 345;
8957; 1995, pp. 1062-1063.

28. Average Incidence First Five (5) years of Life
Fever >40°
Nederlands Vereniging Kritisch Prikken 2004 Survey Findings
Ear
Infections
FIGURE 29
Inflammation
of the Throat Fully Vaccinated
Aggressive
Behaviour No Vaccinations
Events
Convulsions/
Collapse
Antibiotics
Administered
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
Baby Cries
Absolute Incidence N=543
Nederlands Vereniging
Often Kritisch Prikken 2004 Survey Findings
Sickly
Eczema
Asthma/ FIGURE 30
Chronic
Lung Disease
Fully Vaccinated
Allergic
Reactions No Vaccinations
Aggressive
Behaviour
Difficulty
Sleeping
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
Absolute Incidence (Non-Vaccinated in Relation to Vaccinated to N = 312 Per Group

29. BCG Mandated in Schools & Diabetes Rates
Iceland
Luxembourg FIGURE 31
Spain, NO BCG VACCINATIONS
Catalonia
Belgium BCG VACCINATIONS
Netherlands Source: Infectious Disease in Clinical
Spain, Madrid Practice - No. 6, pp. 449-454; (1997)
England
N. Ireland
Scotland
Denmark
Norway
0 5 10 15 20 25
Type 1 per 1000,000 – Children 0-14
Cumulative Incidence IDDM/1,000,000 UK
140
Incidence - Insulin Dependant Diabetes Mellitus FIGURE 32
120 Percentage - Pertussis Immunization Coverage
Source: Journal of Pediatric Endocrinology &
100 Metabolism, 16, pp. 495-508; (2003)
80
60
40
20
0
1978/74 1979/75 1980/76 1981/77 1982/78 1983/79 1984/80 1985/81 1986/82 1987/83 1988/84 1985/86

30. FIGURE 33
http://childhealthsafety.wordpress.com/2009/06/03/japvaxautism/ Figure based on: Kihei
Terada et. al.; Alterations in epidemics and vaccination for measles during a 20 year
period and a strategy for elimination in Kurashiki City, Japan; Kawasaki Medical
School 2002 Mar; 76 (3):pp. 180-4. Correlated with: H. Honda et. al,; No effect of MMR
withdrawal on the incidence of autism: a total population study; Journal of Child
Psychology & Psychiatry; June 2005 (6); pp.572-579

31. 25 20
FIGURE 34
18
20 16
14
15 12
10
Vaccine Mercury
Burden &
10 8
Autism Rate
California, USA
6
1991-1997
5 Surveys 4
2
0 0
Rate 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
Rate of Autism per 10,000
Vaccine Mercury Exposure (x 10 = Micrograms)
Source: Adapted from Blaxil, M., Vaccine Mercury Burden & Autism Risk (US) IOM
7/2001, http://www.healing-arts.org/children/marksslide_files/slide0003.htm

32. VSD: Generation Zero
FIGURE 35
Source: http://www.evidenceofharm.com/UCSD.ppt#363,27,VSD: Generation Zero