Weekly Market Outlook

1. Weekly Market Outlook 09 March 2013
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SNAPSHOT
DATA MATRIX FOR THE WEEK
The passing week turned out to be a splendid one for Indian equity markets, which coming out of the
4th Mar 2013 - 8th Mar 2013 disappointment of the 'Union Budget', rallied for four out of five trading sessions, accumulating gains of around
4%. Value buying at home front and positive global cues, mainly aided the benchmarks in snapping previous
five week's losing streak. The passing week was a recovery week for the Indian markets after slumping in the
Weekly Markets
previous one on budget disappointment. Major indices gained in four out of five sessions, reclaiming their lost
Sensex 19,683 4.04% crucial psychological levels of 19650 (Sensex) and 5950 (Nifty). Though, the global cues too remained sanguine,
aiding the domestic markets but traders, especially the foreign investors seemed returning to the markets after
Nifty 5,946 3.95% Finance Ministry clarified that Income Tax Authorities will not question resident status after the Tax Residency
Certificate (TRC) is produced by foreign institutional investors. There was a recovery in broader indices too and
Gold(US$/oz) 1,577.0 0.11% many beaten down stocks bounced back to buying emerging at lower levels. In the latter part of the week, it was
Re/US$ 54.31 -1.07% the hopes that the Reserve Bank of India will go for another round of rate cuts in its upcoming policy review that
helped the markets remain in fine-fettle.
Dow 14,329 1.70%
5000 Volume* & Volatility Index (Nifty - Feb & Mar 2013) 20
Nasdaq 3,232 1.96%
4000
15
FX Res (US$ Bn) 290.570 -0.46%
4021
1993
1995
3000
1531
1487
10
1110
Net FII / DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr) 2000
982
980
864
Upto 07.03.13 FIIs DIIs 5
1000
220
105
119
121
104
108
113
114
1086
102
96
Total Mar 2013 1972.1 -1716.8 0 0
Total 2013 30,703 -26,814 25-Feb 26-Feb 27-Feb 28-Feb 1-Mar 4-Mar 5-Mar 6-Mar 7-Mar 8-Mar
*NSE Cash Volume (Rs bn) F & O Volume (Rs bn) Volatility Index %
Weekly Sector Movement
Sectors Close %
Auto 10,876 2.45
Bankex 13,979 5.57
CD 7,264 -1.86
CG 9,830 5.33
FMCG 5,764 1.76
Healthcare 8,059 3.06
IT 7,011 3.67
Metal 9,459 3.66
The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Sensex surged 764.71 points or 4.04% to 19683.23 . The BSE Mid-cap
Oil & Gas 9,022 4.37
index was up by 166.20 points or 2.63% to 6487.15 and the Small-cap index up by 138.46 points or 2.23%
PSU 6,996 1.89 to 6333.78. The CNX Nifty was jumped by 226.00 points or 3.95% to 5945.70. On the National Stock
Realty 2,074 7.40 Exchange (NSE), Bank Nifty up by 657.20 points or 5.69% to 12197.25
WEEK AHEAD
Coming week would be data heavy week for the Indian markets with traders eyeing the monthly IIP data on March 12 followed by the inflation numbers, key data
prints which will set the tone for RBI's March 19 policy. India's Industrial production, which includes output at factories, mines and utilities, is expected to have
risen at an annual 1.2 percent in January after unexpectedly falling 0.6 percent in December as eight core sectors contributing around 40 percent of factory
production grew by 3.9 percent in January, its fastest in three months. WPI inflation numbers slated to be announced on March 14 will be a major indicator to
watch for, as any rate cut by RBI will largely depend on it. Traders will also be eyeing the movement in the rupee, which has strengthened due to persistent foreign
capital inflows into the equity market. While, the fourth quarter advance tax numbers too will keep the markets buzzing with stock specific actions. On the global
front, investors would be eyeing slew of economic data, starting from Retail Sales data from March 13,2013 followed by Jobless Claims, Producer Price Index data
and finally the Consumer Price Index and Industrial Production data on March 15,2013. Conclusively we are expecting quite a volatile week ahead with crucial
resistance at around 6045-6060. Any decisive break out above this range with substantial volumes may further sky rocket the spot index towards 6130-6150. On
the flip side 5830 followed by 5705 may provide materialistic cushions. HAPPY TRADING………...
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report For Private circulation Only For Our Clients Only
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2. Weekly Market Outlook
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SENSEX 30-TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK ENDED 15th Mar 2013
SUPPORT CLOSE PRICE RESISTANCE
SCRIP 3rd 2nd 1st 07.03.13 1st 2nd 3rd INCLINATION
Bajaj Auto Ltd 1882 1932 1964 1995.05 2014 2033 2084 Positive
Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. 195 200 203 205.70 208 210 215 Positive
Bharti Airtel Ltd. 310 315 318 320.45 322 324 329 Neutral
Cipla Ltd. 367 376 381 386.10 389 393 401 Positive
Coal India Ltd. 301 308 310 313.00 317 322 328 Neutral
Dr Reddys Laboratories Ltd. 1764 1785 1797 1810.15 1818 1827 1848 Positive
GAIL (India) Ltd. 325 328 330 331.95 334 336 339 Positive
HDFC Bank Ltd. 604 621 631 641.35 648 654 671 Positive
Hero MotoCorp Ltd. 1553 1625 1669 1713.20 1740 1767 1839 Positive
Hindalco Industries Ltd. 96 98 100 101.10 102 103 106 Neutral
Hindustan Unilever Ltd. 415 425 429 433.20 440 447 458 Negative
Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. 740 760 771 781.65 790 798 818 Positive
ICICI Bank Ltd. 1066 1089 1104 1118.35 1127 1136 1159 Positive
Infosys Ltd. 2929 2963 2984 3004.75 3018 3031 3065 Positive
ITC Ltd. 272 281 286 291.75 296 300 310 Positive
Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. 323 336 342 347.35 354 361 373 Positive
Larsen & Toubro Ltd. 1376 1415 1439 1463.45 1478 1493 1532 Positive
Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. 839 860 873 885.00 894 902 923 Neutral
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. 1353 1396 1424 1451.50 1467 1483 1526 Neutral
NTPC Ltd. 146 147 148 148.20 149 150 151 Neutral
Oil & Natural Gas Corpn. Ltd. 304 312 316 320.05 323 326 333 Positive
Reliance Industries Ltd. 800 817 826 835.65 843 850 867 Positive
State Bank Of India 2103 2133 2151 2168.45 2181 2193 2223 Positive
Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd. 92 96 98 100.60 102 103 107 Positive
Sun Pharmaceutical Inds. Ltd. 771 789 800 810.60 818 826 844 Positive
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. 1490 1535 1563 1590.45 1608 1625 1670 Positive
Tata Motors Ltd. 296 301 303 305.95 308 310 315 Neutral
Tata Power Company Ltd. 93 96 97 97.95 99 101 103 Neutral
Tata Steel Ltd. 332 341 346 350.25 354 358 367 Positive
Wipro Ltd. 427 437 443 449.15 454 458 469 Neutral
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3. Weekly Market Outlook
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NSE MIDCAP 50-TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK ENDED 15th March 2013
SUPPORT CLOSE PRICE RESISTANCE Market Cap
SCRIP 3rd 2nd 1st 07.03.13 1st 2nd 3rd (Rs Crore)
Adani Power Ltd. 44 46 47 48.40 49 50 52 11583
Aditya Birla Nuvo Ltd. 1022 1038 1048 1057.05 1064 1070 1086 12001
Allahabad Bank 136 139 141 142.70 144 146 149 7135
Andhra Bank 92 95 97 99.15 100 102 105 5548
Apollo Tyres Ltd. 76 83 87 92.00 95 98 105 4637
Ashok Leyland Ltd. 22 23 23 23.35 24 24 24 6213
Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. 155 160 162 164.00 166 168 172 4776
Bata India Ltd. 730 756 770 783.55 795 807 833 5035
Bharat Forge Ltd. 188 210 223 236.05 244 252 273 5495
CESC Ltd. 274 283 288 293.65 297 301 310 3669
Crompton Greaves Ltd. 89 93 96 99.05 101 102 107 6354
Dish T V India Ltd. 66 68 70 71.00 72 73 75 7561
DiviS Laboratories Ltd. 992 1012 1020 1028.05 1040 1052 1072 13646
GMR Infrastructure Ltd. 19 19 19 19.55 20 20 20 7610
Godrej Industries Ltd. 276 282 286 290.45 293 295 302 9734
Hexaware Technologies Ltd. 79 84 87 90.05 92 94 99 2672
Hindustan Zinc Ltd. 114 117 118 119.65 121 122 125 50556
Housing Development & Infrastructure Ltd. 62 65 66 67.45 69 70 73 2826
IDBI Bank Ltd 87 89 91 91.75 93 93 96 11730
IFCI Ltd. 25 27 28 28.30 29 30 31 4704
India Cements Ltd. 82 83 83 84.00 85 85 86 2580
Indian Hotels Company Ltd. 55 56 57 57.55 58 59 60 4647
Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd. 57 61 64 66.00 68 69 73 3002
JSW Steel Ltd. 679 706 718 730.15 745 759 786 16291
Jubilant FoodWorks Ltd. 1041 1085 1111 1136.35 1155 1173 1217 7412
Karnataka Bank Ltd. 129 136 141 145.30 148 151 158 2737
Mphasis Ltd. 381 387 391 393.85 397 399 405 8275
MRF Ltd. 11440 11949 12273 12597.20 12782 12966 13475 5343
NHPC Ltd. 19 20 20 20.75 21 22 23 25524
Opto Circuits (India) Ltd. 45 50 52 54.60 56 58 62 1323
Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd 2729 2828 2876 2925.10 2974 3024 3122 24589
Oriental Bank Of Commerce 254 265 270 275.35 281 287 298 8034
Petronet LNG Ltd. 138 143 145 146.95 150 153 158 11021
Piramal Enterprises Ltd. 547 560 567 575.05 580 585 598 9923
Punj Lloyd Ltd. 41 43 45 46.00 47 48 50 1528
Reliance Capital Ltd. 357 368 374 379.60 384 389 400 9324
Reliance Power Ltd 70 72 73 74.10 75 76 77 20786
Sintex Industries Ltd. 52 54 55 56.00 57 57 59 1753
Steel Authority Of India Ltd. 66 68 68 69.10 70 71 73 28542
Sun TV Network Ltd. 312 363 396 428.95 446 464 515 16904
Syndicate Bank 113 117 120 122.20 124 126 130 7356
Tata Chemicals Ltd. 316 321 323 325.30 328 332 337 8287
Tata Global Beverages Ltd 126 129 130 131.65 133 134 137 8141
Tech Mahindra Ltd. 1020 1057 1077 1096.25 1114 1132 1170 14028
Union Bank Of India 220 225 228 230.40 233 235 240 12685
Unitech Ltd. 26 26 27 27.35 28 28 29 7156
United Phosphorus Ltd. 114 119 121 123.70 125 127 131 5475
Vijaya Bank Ltd 49 50 51 51.75 52 53 54 2564
Voltas Ltd. 80 82 82 82.95 84 84 86 2745
Welspun Corp Ltd. 53 56 57 59.00 60 62 65 1551
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4. Weekly Market Outlook
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FORTHCOMING CORPORATE ACTIONS
Ex-Date Company Name NSE- Symbol Purpose
11-Mar-13 Neyveli Lignite Corporation Limited NEYVELILIG Interim Dividend Re 1 Per Share
12-Mar-13 CRISIL Limited CRISIL Annual General Meeting/Dividend Rs 4 Per Share
13-Mar-13 Eicher Motors Limited EICHERMOT Annual General Meeting/Dividend Rs 20 Per Share
13-Mar-13 Gateway Distriparks Limited GDL Interim Dividend
14-Mar-13 Standard Chartered PLC STAN Dividend
14-Mar-13 K.M.Sugar Mills Limited KMSUGAR Annual General Meeting
14-Mar-13 Mudra Lifestyle Limited MUDRA Annual General Meeting
18-Mar-13 Engineers India Limited ENGINERSIN Interim Dividend
18-Mar-13 Coal India Limited COALINDIA Interim Dividend
19-Mar-13 Helios And Matheson Information Tech HELIOSMATH Annual General Meeting/Dividend Rs 1.80 Per Share
19-Mar-13 Zenith Infotech Limited ZENITHINFO Annual General Meeting
19-Mar-13 GlaxoSmithKline Consumer Healthcare GSKCONS Annual General Meeting/Dividend Rs 45 Per Share
21-Mar-13 Deccan Chronicle Holdings Limited DCHL Annual General Meeting
21-Mar-13 Lakshmi Energy and Foods Limited LAKSHMIEFL Annual General Meeting/Dividend Re 0.20 Per Share
21-Mar-13 ACC Limited ACC Annual General Meeting/Dividend Rs 19 Per Share
21-Mar-13 Foseco India Limited FOSECOIND Annual General Meeting And Dividend Rs.7/- Per Share
22-Mar-13 Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited ONGC Second Interim Dividend
26-Mar-13 BF Utilities Limited BFUTILITIE Annual General Meeting
26-Mar-13 Hexaware Technologies Limited HEXAWARE Annual General Meeting/Dividend Rs 1.20 Per Share
2-Apr-13 DIC India Limited DICIND Annual General Meeting/Dividend Rs 4 Per Share
4-Apr-13 GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd GLAXO Dividend Rs. 50 Per Share
4-Apr-13 Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited COLPAL Interim Dividend
5-Apr-13 Sanofi India Limited SANOFI Annual General Meeting/Dividend Rs 29 Per Share
10-Apr-13 Styrolution ABS (India) Limited STYABS Annual General Meeting/ Dividend Rs.4.00 Per Share
12-Apr-13 Castrol India Limited CASTROL Dividend Rs 3.50 Per Share
12-Apr-13 Honeywell Automation India Limited HONAUT Annual General Meeting / Dividend Rs 10 Per Share
12-Apr-13 Clariant Chemicals (India) Limited CLNINDIA Annual General Meeting/Dividend Rs 17.50 Per Share
16-Apr-13 Vesuvius India Limited VESUVIUS Annual General Meeting/ Dividend Rs. 4.50 Per Share
16-Apr-13 Rain Commodities Limited RAINCOM Annual General Meeting/ Dividend Of Rs.1.10 Per Share
16-Apr-13 Abbott India Limited ABBOTINDIA Annual General Meeting And Dividend Rs.17 Per Share
18-Apr-13 Esab India Limited ESABINDIA Annual General Meeting / Dividend Rs 7.50 Per Share
18-Apr-13 SKF India Limited SKFINDIA Annual General Meeting/Dividend Rs 7.50 Per Share
25-Apr-13 Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited RANBAXY Annual General Meeting
4
Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd SEBI Reg.No: BSE: INB 010985834, F&O: INF 010985834
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New Delhi-110002, Phone: 91-11-30211800, 47617800, Fax: 011-30117710, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, IN-DP-NSDL-140-2000
Email: research@moneysukh.com, Website: www.moneysukh.com MCX/TCM/CORP/0740 NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0293

5. Weekly Market Outlook
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EQUITY CALLS PERFORMANCE FOR THE WEEK ENDED 8th Mar 2013
Total No. of Net Calls Profitable Calls Positional/Hold Exit/Stop Loss Success Rate
25 20 2 3 86.96%
NAME DESIGNATION E-MAIL
Varun Gupta Head - Research varungupta@moneysukh.com
Pashupati Nath Jha Research Analyst pashupatinathjha@moneysukh.com
Vikram Singh Research Analyst vikram_research@moneysukh.com
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