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Thesis Report: A Study on Non-Performing Loan: From the Perspective of the Banking Industry in Bangladesh
1. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
From the Perspective of the Banking Industry in Bangladesh
1 | P a g e
Chittagong Independent University
Contents
PART I
1.0: INTRODUCTION..........................................................................................................................6
1.1: OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY ..................................................................................................6
1.2: Methodology of Study...............................................................................................................6
1.3: Limitations of the study ...........................................................................................................7
PART II
2.0: Review of Related Literature...................................................................................................9
PART III
OVERVIEW OF NPL .....................................................................................................................16
3.0: Non-Performing Loan (NPL)..................................................................................................17
3.1: Classifications of Loans.........................................................................................................17
3.1.1: Unclassified Loans...............................................................................................................17
3.1.2: Classified Loans ...................................................................................................................18
3.2: Provisions against NPL..........................................................................................................20
3.2.1 General Provision.................................................................................................................20
3.2.2 Specific Provisions...............................................................................................................21
3.3: Write off .......................................................................................................................................22
3.4: Symptoms of NPL ......................................................................................................................23
3.5: Causes & Effects of NPL........................................................................................................24
3.6: Adverse effects of Non-Performing Loan in Bangladesh .............................................26
3.7: Monitoring of NPL......................................................................................................................28
PART IV
ANALYSIS ON NON-PERFORMING LOANS IN THE BANKING SECTORS OF
BANGLADESH................................................................................................................................29
4.0: Banking Sector Performance................................................................................................30
4.1: Aggregate Balance Sheet ......................................................................................................35
4.2: Capital Adequacy.....................................................................................................................37
4.3: Asset Quality.............................................................................................................................38
4.4: Overall NPL Scenario of Bangladesh .................................................................................39
4.4.1: Gross NPLs to Total Loans byType of Banks.................................................................39
4.4.2: Ratio of Net NPL to Total Loans by Type of Banks..........................................................40
4.4.3: Amount of NPLs by Type of Banks ..................................................................................41
4.4.4: Gross NPLs to Total Loans by Six State Owned Banks ...............................................42
2. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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4.4.5: Required Provision and Provision Maintained by the Banking Industry .....................44
4.4.6: Comparative Position of Provision Adequacy by Types of Banks...............................45
4.4.7: Writing-off Bad Debts by Types of Bank..........................................................................46
4.4.8: Geographical NPL Distribution..........................................................................................47
4.4.9: The sector-wise NPL distributions....................................................................................48
4.5: Consequences of NPL on Banks' Profitability and Financial Stability......................52
4.5.1: Consequences of NPL on banks' profitability .................................................................53
4.5.2: Consequences of NPL on financial stability....................................................................53
4.6: Non-performing Loans in the South Asian countries ....................................................54
PART V
FINDINGS, RECOMMENDATION & CONCLUSION ........................................................57
5.0: Findings......................................................................................................................................58
6.0: Recommendations...................................................................................................................60
7.0: Conclusion.................................................................................................................................61
8.0: References:................................................................................................................................63
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List of Table
Table 3.1: Rate of General provisions 20
Table 3.2: Rate of Specific provisions 21
Table 3.3: Rate of provisions 22
Table 4.1: Banking Structure And Activities 30
Table 4.2: Capital to Risk Weighted Assets
Ratio by Type of Banks
37
Table 4.3: Gross NPLs to Total Loans by
Type of Banks
39
Table 4.4: Ratio of Net NPL to Total Loans by
Type of Banks
40
Table 4.5: Amount of NPLs by Type of Banks 41
Table 4.6: Gross NPLs to Total Loans 42
Table 4.7 : Required Provision and Provision
Maintained by the Banking Industry
44
Table 4.8 : Comparative Position of Provision
Adequacy by Types of Banks
44
Table 4.9: Writing-off Bad Debts by Types of
Bank
46
Table 4.10: Geographical NPL Distribution of
2018
47
TABLE 4.11 : SECTOR-WISE
NONPERFORMING LOANS
DISTRIBUTION (2018)
48
TABLE 4.12: SECTOR-WISE
NONPERFORMING LOANS
DISTRIBUTION (2013-218)
50
Table 4.13: NPL on Banks' Profitability and
Financial Stability
51
Table 4.14: The position of NPLs in South Asia 54
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List of Graph
Graph 4.2: Capital to Risk Weighted Assets
Ratio by Type of Banks
38
Graph 4.3: Gross NPLs to Total Loans by
Type of Banks
39
Graph 4.4: Ratio of Net NPL to Total Loans by
Type of Banks
41
Graph 4.5: Amount of NPLs by Type of Banks 42
Graph 4.6: Gross NPLs to Total Loans 43
Graph 4.9: Writing-off Bad Debts by Types of
Bank
46
Graph 4.13: NPL on Banks' Profitability and
Financial Stability
52
Graph 4.14: The position of NPLs in South Asia 56
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PART I
INTRODUCTION
6. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
From the Perspective of the Banking Industry in Bangladesh
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1.0: INTRODUCTION
The smooth and adequate flow of the saving-investment process is a requirement for
the economic development of a country. Bangladesh, being a developing country and
with an undeveloped capital market, largely depends on the intermediary role of
commercial banks for mobilizing domestic saving and giving funds to the investor.
Thus, it matters greatly how well our financial sector is performing. Studying the
performance of our financial sector for the last decade or so, we see that our banking
division is profoundly troubled with a high portion of non-performing loans (NPLs). It is
obvious that NPLs decrease banks’ profitability, as banks cannot secure interest
income from their classified loans. NPLs reduce loanable funds by ending recycling.
Banks require to set aside a portion of their income as loan loss reserves to make up
bad debt. A bank with a high percentage of NPLs suffers from erosion of the money if
there is no provision (assume). All those adverse impacts of NPLs on banks’ financial
health such as low profitability and low capital base are clearly shown in the
Bangladesh banking sector. The ratio of NPL to entire loans of all the banks 9.3
percent in June 2017. The ratio further rose to 10.4 percent at the end of June 2018.
1.1: OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY
The objectives of this paper are
I. To assess the present situation of non-performing loans in our banking
sector.
II. To show the scenarios of the “loan default problem’’ in Bangladesh.
III. To find out the effect of NPL on bank’s profitability and Financial Stability
IV. To identify the causes and effects of non-performing loans.
V. To show a comparative analysis of NLP in south Asian Countries
VI. To raise some issues and observations which need to be looked upon
quickly for ensuring a financially sound banking sector.
1.2: Methodology of Study
To perform the objective of report I have collected secondary data from published
sources. The secondary sources of data and information are:
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Sources of Data and Data Collection
Data has been collected from the various secondary sources like research
works of individuals, different publications, journal of different institutions,
Bangladesh Bank Credit Risk Grading manual , Bangladesh Bank annual report
etc.
1.3: Limitations of the study
The limitations of the study are
Lack of previous experience.
This study did not cover primary and unpublished data.
Time constraint.
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PART II
LITERATURE
REVIEW
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2.0: Review of Related Literature
NPL is an important topic regarding banking industry so there are lots of studies on
this topic so it is necessary to understand the conclusions of the studies that have
already been performed by different authors before performing the same study as the
previous studies may help to understand the topic more effectively.
It arises from various sources. Banks should identify them and take the necessary
steps to eliminate the NPL from the industry. However empirical studies show that
there is an adverse effect of NPL on the profitability of banks in all over the world.
Following are some quotes from the article related to NPL.
A study conducted by Ekanayake and Azeez (2015) based on Sri Lankan banking
industry showed that non-performing loans increases when the efficiency of a bank
worsen. In the study of Zelalem (2013), which was conducted on the Ethiopian
commercial banks ROA was used as a proxy for financial performance in other words
performance efficiency. In that study the relationship between NPL and loan to assets
ratio of a bank was all examined and the relationship was shown as negative. Another
study related to NPL conducted by Louzis (2012), showed that the amount of NPLs in
Greek banking industry is significantly influenced by both the management quality of
the banks and the macroeconomic forces of the country. Same conclusion was also
drawn by Mehmood (2013) and his study was performed based on 13 commercial
banks of Pakistan and he chose time period from 2003 to 2012 for conducting his
study.
According to the study of Eurak (2013) which was based on the banking system of
South Europe it was concluded that high interest rate, economic downturn and high
inflation rate are the main reasons of higher non-performing loans in an economy and
the study was also conducted based on 69 banks from ten different countries. Other
factors that influence the credit risk of a bank are the size, performance and solvency
of the bank as these factors are influential to the non-performing loans of the bank.
Wangai et al. (2014) have examined the effect of non-performing loans on financial
performance of microfinance banks (MFBs) in Kenya. A structured questionnaire was
used to collect data from the respondents. The authors assert that credit risk
significantly negatively affected financial performance of MFBs in Nakuru town. They
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have concluded that increase in credit risk would significantly reduce the MFBs’
financial performance. Adebisi and Matthew (2015) have examined the impact of
nonperforming loans on firms’ profitability of banks in Nigeria. The secondary data
obtained from the Annual Report and Statement of Accounts of the NDIC for a period
of seven (7) years (2006- 2012) were analyzed using the regression model. The
authors have found significant negative relationship between the Nonperforming
Loans (NPI) and Return on Assets (ROA); however, they found a positive but
insignificant relationship between the Nonperforming Loan (NPI) and Return on Equity
(ROE) of Nigerian Banks. Somoye (2010) explored the variations of credit risk of NPIs
on bank performances in Nigeria. The study reviewed performances of banks of
Nigeria using banking variables such as total assets, total loans, non-performing loans,
equity capital and profit-before tax etc.
Karim et al. (2010) in their study shows the relationship between NPL and bank
efficiency in Malaysia and Singapore by using the Tobit regression model during the
period of 1998-2007. The outcome stated that higher NPL reduces cost efficiency and
also the lower cost efficiency increases NPL and profitability. The cost efficiency
estimation results indicate an average cost efficiency score of 87.68% for the full
sample. This suggests that banks are wasting 12.32% of their inputs. The results also
indicate that there is no significant differences in the cost efficiency level between
commercial banks in Singapore and Malaysia even though the commercial banks in
Singapore exhibit a higher average cost efficiency score than the commercial banks
in Malaysia. The Tobit regression results clearly indicate that higher non-performing
loan reduces cost efficiency. Likewise, lower cost efficiency increases non-performing
loans. The results are consistent with the studies by Altunbas et al. (2000), Fan and
Shaffer (2004), and Girard one et al. (2004) that found that non-performing loans lead
to inefficiency in the banking sector. In addition, the results also support the hypothesis
of bad management proposed by Berger and DE Young (1997), which suggests that
poor management in the banking institutions results in bad quality loans, and
therefore, escalates the level of non-performing loans.
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Podder (2012) found NPL, Advance/Deposit ratio, Total Asset, Equity/Total Asset ratio
as some prominent determinants of profitability of banks during the period 2001-2010
observed on 30 PCBs in Bangladesh.
Beck, Jakubik and Piloiu (2013) studied the macroeconomic determinants of non-
performing loans (NPLs) across 75 countries during the past decade. According to our
dynamic panel estimates, the following variables are found to significantly affect NPL
ratios: real GDP growth, share prices, the exchange rate, and the lending interest rate.
In the case of exchange rates, the direction of the effect depends on the extent of
foreign exchange lending to unhedged borrowers which is particularly high in countries
with pegged or managed exchange rates. In the case of share prices, the impact is
found to be larger in countries which have a large stock market relative to GDP. These
results are robust to alternative econometric specifications.
Haneef et al (2011) investigated the impact of risk management on non- performing
loan and profitability of banking sector of Pakistan with secondary data. The result of
this study reveals that there is no proper mechanism for risk management in banking
sector of Pakistan. Study also concluded that non-performing loans are increasing due
to lack of risk management which threatens the profitability of banks. This study
provides suggestion that banking sector can avoid their nonperforming loans by
adopting methods suggested by state bank of Pakistan. Philippos Papadopoulos and
Xiayan (Jason) Wang (2016) developed a conceptual framework for risk capital
calculation for portfolios of non-performing loans. In general banking practice, loans
that pass a threshold of delinquency are declared non-performing and are provisioned.
Yet there is a residual risk that the provisioning is not sufficient. This risk must be
covered by capital buyers. Their framework builds on tools used in portfolio credit risk
modeling and provides a structured approach to address the risk pro1le that is speci1c
to non-performing loans. Rahman (2011) found that the banks in Bangladesh have
started undertaking a number of quantitative and qualitative measures to understand
the risks involved in credit or chance of default which may come from the failure of
counterparty or obligor (client) to fulfill his/her commitments as per agreed terms and
contractual agreement with the bank. Traditionally, a bank gives emphasis on
collateral in funding to the clients whereas in the concept of modern banking a bank
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keenly feels to measure the business risk over the security risk for ensuring the timely
repayment of invested funds.
Majumder (2014) attempted to find cause and effect behind the NPLs in Bangladesh.
He explained that, the first reason is entrepreneur‘s related and Second reason is
business related. Effects of NPL are such as Stopping Money Cycling, Earning
Reduction, Capital Erosion, Increase in Loan Pricing, Frustration etc. As a result, the
values of security are increased and the risks of financial recession also see a rise.
Lata (2015) attempted to find out the time series scenario of NPLs, its growth,
provisions and relation with banks profitability by using some ratios and a linear
regression model of econometric technique. The empirical results represent that NPL
as percentage of total loans of SCBs is very high and they holds more than 50 % of
total NPLs of the banking industry from FY2006 to FY2013. Moreover, it is one of the
major factors of influencing banks profitability and it has statistically significant
negative impact on Net Interest Income of SCBs for the study periods.
Bhattarai (2016) examined the effect of non-performing loan on the profitability of
Nepalese commercial banks using pooled data of fourteen commercial banks with 77
observations during the period of 2010 to 2015. The study concludes that profitability
of Nepalese commercial is influenced negatively by non-performing loan ratio and
positively by the other covariates like as bank size, cost per loan assets and gross
domestic product growth rate. Rajan and Dhal (2003) have examined the
Nonperforming Loans and Terms of Credit of state owned banks in India. They found
that favorable macroeconomic conditions and financial factors such as banks size,
cost of credit, credit maturity, and credit orientation have significant impact on the
nonperforming loans of Indian commercial banks. Shrestha (2011) has analyzed trend
of NPIs and the effect of NPI on share price of the18 sampled commercial banks of
Nepal using the descriptive statistics, trend and one factor econometric model. The
stratified sampling method was used in selecting the banks for the study. The author
assets that NPI of commercial banks is in decreasing trend, however, the total
performing loan to total deposit ratio in the industry is an increasing trend during study
period. The author further concludes that the real stock price of the commercial banks
has a negative association with the levels of their NPIs.
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Lata (2015) has analyzed time series data and concluded that NPL is one of the
foremost factors that influence banks profitability and it has a considerable negative
impact on Net Interest Income of State-owned Commercial Banks in Bangladesh.
Nonperforming loans in Bangladesh has become a problem that has significant
negative impact on bank profitability. He posits that nonperforming loans is a topic of
great concern in Bangladesh. He states that for the last eight years, loan default as a
percentage of outstanding loans in state owned commercial banks were 50 percent or
above where private commercial banks and foreign commercial banks hold maximum
5 – 10 percent of the total.
Nsobilla (2015) has investigated the effect of NPL on financial performance.
Secondary data was collected from six selected rural Banks of Ghana for the period
of 2004-2013. Applying OLS model, it discovers that the NPL, cost-income ratio, loan
recovered and total revenue variables are found statistically significant on ROA.
Kiran and Jones (2016) have discovered the effect of NPL on the profitability of banks.
The study confirms that except for SBI all other banks show a negative connection
between their gross NPL and net income.
Akter and Roy (2017) found the negative impact of NPL on profitability (Net Interest
Margin). Moreover, Net Profit Margin found also negatively influenced by the NPL as
well while considering 30 banks data of Bangladesh for the year 2008 to 2013. As
lending is the most profitable investment for commercial banks, non-performing loan
has effect on profitability of the commercial banks. In this study, we tried to show the
impact of non-performing loan on banks profitability. It’s time to work with non-
performing loan as the funds that are given to the borrowers as loans must be safe
and are recovered and when due. Banks do business with depositor’s money, if banks
can’t get depositors fund when they want, there might be a vulnerable situation in the
industry. Public may lose confidence from the bank, which may create run on the bank.
As a result profitability of the bank can be negatively affected.
Balango and Rao (2017) showed that there is a significant relationship between
performance (in terms of profitability) and the amount of non-performing loans (in
terms of loan performance and capital adequacy) where non-performing loans have
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significantly negative impact whereas capital adequacy ratio has positive and relatively
insignificant impact on return on asset (ROA).
Matin (2017) In His study the main purpose of overseeing the financial soundness
indicators and identifying the potential bank specific and macroeconomic determinants
of bank profitability in commercial banks in Bangladesh. Considering the trend of the
industry level annual data on banking assets to GDP ratio, Capital to Risk assets ratio,
non-performing loans, return on assets, return on equity and net interest margin for
the period 2000-2015, one would be satisfied with the performance of the commercial
banks in Bangladesh. Amongst them the Assets to GDP ratio, CRAR, ROA and NIM
showed upward trend, while non-performing loans and ROE are on the decrease,
although ROE experienced a wide range of fluctuations during the period under
consideration. The financial soundness indicators compares well with those from
countries like India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, China, Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam. In
the multiple regression analysis on panel data of 47 banks for the period 2010- 15, it
appeared that all the bank specific variables included in the models exerted significant
influence on the three measures of profitability used in the study – ROA, ROE and
NIM. But their effect on the profitability had wide range of variation across different
measures. The Feasible Generalized Least Squares regression model for panel data
has been applied to estimate the effect of the explanatory variables.. The results
indicated that nonperforming loans, loan loss provisions, bank size, cost efficiency and
liquidity had significant negative effect on ROA, while non-traditional activities
measured by non-interest income and off balance sheet activities had significant
positive effect on ROA. In the model for ROE, loan loss provision and cost efficiency
had significant negative effect. The equity capital, loan loss provision, non-interest
income, cost efficiency and liquidity had significant positive effect on NIM, while bank
size and off balance sheet activities had significant negative effect on NIM. The
macroeconomic variables- rate of growth of real GDP and annual inflation rate did not
exhibit any influence on bank profitability.
Islam & Rana ( 2017) in their study considering data period 2005-10 and using panel
data regression model found NPL and operating expenses have a significant effect on
ROA. Results also have shown that elevated NPL may lead to less profit due to the
provision of classified loans.
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Kingu et al. (2018) in their study examined the impact of NPL on bank’s profitability
using information asymmetry theory and bad management hypothesis. The study
establishes that occurrence of NPL is negatively related to the level of profitability in
commercial banks of Tanzania. The study found that an increase in non-performing
loans is associated with a decrease in ROA. These results support information
asymmetry theory and bad management hypothesis, which argue, increased exposure
to credit risk measured by NPLs is normally associated with an increase in operating
costs and lead to decreased profitability.
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PART III
OVERVIEW OF
NPL
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3.0: Non-Performing Loan (NPL)
Non-Performing loan is a loan which the borrower has missed to pay its scheduled
interest payment or payment of the principle amount, generally for at least 90 days. A
nonperforming loan has much higher risk to default than a normal loan. If the borrowers
start to repay again on their non-performing loan, the loan then becomes performing
loan or regular loan; even if they hadn’t repaid the entire missed payment amount. The
timeframe of a loan becoming a non-performing loan depends on the category of the
loan and also might depend on contract. Generally until 90 days from the scheduled
payment day, a loan is considered as a regular loan. If the borrower miss the
scheduled payment and pays that amount within 90 days, the loan will not consider as
non-performing. Therefore, a loan will become nonperforming if-
1. The borrower missed the scheduled payment and at least 90 days has past
from the missed scheduled payment.
2. No mention of any other terms or of day limits from the first missed payment
date about the loan being non-performing.
3. If mentioned in loan contract, the loan will become non-performing according to
the contract agreement.
3.1: Classifications of Loans
Based on characteristics all loans can be primarily classified into 2 groups-
unclassified and classified loans. These 2 groups total includes 5 different types of
loans, which are-
1. Standard Loan (STD)
2. Special Mention Account (SMA)
3. Sub-standard (SS)
4. Doubtful (DF)
5. Bad/Loss (B/L)
3.1.1: Unclassified Loans
I. Standard Loan (STD): Loans which are repaid according to their schedules
are standard loans. These are unclassified loans.
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II. Special Mention Account (SMA): When the borrower missed the first
scheduled payment and paid it within 90 days of the scheduled date those are
listed as Special Mention Account (SMA). There are some certain rules for a
loan to be listed in SMA-
1. Regular loan: If any loan was not paid within its expiree date.
2. Continuous and Demand loan: If the loan payment was missed and was
not paid up to 1 month.
3. Term Loan: For monthly installment, from 2 up to 3 installments miss
(not need to be consecutive) will be listed as SMA.
Standard loan and Special Mention Loan (SMA) represents the performing loan
or unclassified loan. Interests from these 2 loans are added to bank income.
3.1.2: Classified Loans
I. Sub-standard (SS): Sub-standard loans are the first stage of a loan being
nonperforming or classified loan. Loans are categorized as sub-standard
when-
1. Continuous Loan: it exits 3 months after expiree date. The time limit of a
continuous loan to be sub-standard loan is from 3 months to up to 6
months.
2. Demand Loan: it exits 3 months after expiree date. The time limit of a
demand loan to be sub-standard loan is from 3 months to up to 6 months.
3. Term Loan:
Up to TK 10 lac monthly installment- from 6 months to up to 9
months (from 6 up to 9 missed installments).
Up to TK 10 lac quarterly installment- first missed schedule of the
installment
Above TK 10 lac monthly installment- from 3 months to up to 6
months(from 3 up to 6 missed installments).
Above TK 10 lac quarterly installment- first missed schedule of
the installment.
4. Short Term Agricultural Credit/ Micro Credit: after a period of 12 months
from the scheduled due date as per the loan agreement.
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The interest charged in sub-standard loans are transferred in separate account
head called ‘Suspense Account’. These interest amounts are not added with
the bank income until and unless the accounts are being regularized.
II. Doubtful (DF): This is the second stage of non-performing loan. Loans are
listed as doubtful when-
1) Continuous Loan: If it exits past 6 months or beyond but less than 9
months from its scheduled payment date.
2) Demand Loan: If it exits past 6 months or beyond but less than 9 months
from the date of expiry or claim by the bank or from the date of creation
of demand loan.
3) Term Loan:
Below TK. 10 lac monthly installment payment- from 9 month to
up to 12 months.
Above TK 10 lac monthly installment payment- from 6 months to
up to 9 months.
4) Short Term Agricultural Credit/ Micro Credit: After 36 months from the
scheduled due date as per the loan agreement.
For doubtful loans the interest is charged as per contract but the interests don’t
include with bank’s income. These interests are includes in the suspense
account.
III. Bad/Loss (B/L): This is the worst case of a non-performing loan. These types
of loans have the highest possibility of being bad debts. Loans are listed as
bad/loss when-
1) Continuous Loan: It exits 9 months or beyond from the scheduled
payment time.
2) Demand Loan: It exits 9 months or beyond from the date of expiry or
claim by the bank or from the date of creation of the demand loan
3) Term Loan:
Below TK. 10 lac monthly installment payment- over 12
months from the missed scheduled payment.
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Above TK. 10 lac monthly Installment payment- over 9
months from the missed scheduled payment.
4) Short Term Agricultural Credit/ Micro Credit: After 60 months from
the scheduled due date as per the loan agreement.
No interests are charged on bad/loss categorized loans.
3.2: Provisions against NPL
Bank generally set aside a particular amount of money for the loan losses. This amount
is determined by the classifications or the commodities on which the loans are been
taken. There are 2 types of loan loss provisions-
i. General Provision
ii. Specific Provision
3.2.1 General Provision
General provisions are balance sheet items representing funds set aside by a
company as assets to pay for anticipated future losses. For banks, a general
provision is considered to be supplementary capital under the first Basel
Accord. General provisions on the balance sheets of financial firms are
considered to be a higher risk asset, because it is implicitly assumed that the
underlying funds will be in default in the future.
In the business world, future losses are inevitable, whether it be for the falling
resale value of an asset, malfunctioning products, lawsuits or a customer that
can no longer pay what it owes. To account for these risks, companies must
ensure they have enough money set aside.
Banks maintain general provisions in following ways-
Table 3.1: Rate of General provisions
Subjects Rate
1. All unclassified SME loans 0.25%
2. All unclassified loans 1%
3. Unclassified consumer financing 5%
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4. Unclassified Housing Finance and Professional Loans
to set up business under Consumer Financing Scheme
2%
5. Unclassified Loans to Brokerage House, Merchant
Banks, Stock dealers
2%
6. Outstanding amount of loans kept in the Special
Mention Account(SMA)
5%
7. Off-balance sheet exposures 1%
3.2.2 Specific Provisions
Specific provisions are created when specific future losses are identified.
Receivables may be logged as such if a certain customer faces serious financial
problems or has a trade dispute with the entity.
The balances may be noted by examining an aged receivable analysis detailing
the time elapsed since creating the document. Long-outstanding balances may
be included in the specific provision for doubtful debts.
However, specific provisions may not be created for the entire amount of the
doubtful receivable. For example, if there is a 50 percent chance of recovering
a doubtful debt for a certain receivable, a specific provision of 50 percent may
be required.
For banks, generic provisions are allocated at the time a loan is approved, while
specific provisions are created to cover loan defaults.
Table 3.2: Rate of Specific provisions
Subject Rate
1. Sub-standard 20%
2. Doubtful 50%
3. Bad/Loss 100%
4. All credits except Bad/Loss for Agricultural and Micro
Credit
5%
5. For Bad/Loss in Agricultural and Micro Credit 100%
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According to (Banking Regulation & Policy Department) BRPD-14 the rate of
provisions are-
Rate of Provision:
Table 3.3: Rate of provisions
Particulars
Short
Term
Agri.
Loan
Consumer
Financing
SMEF Loans to
BHs/MBs
/SDs
All
Other
Credit
sOther
than
HF,LP
HF LP
Un-
Classifi
ed
STD
5%
5%
2% 2% 0.25% 2%
1%
SMA - 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Classifi
ed
SS 5% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20
%
DF 5% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50
%
B/L 100% 100
%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100
%
3.3: Write off
Write off means omitting the bad debts from the balance sheet with 100%
provision; list it in off-balance sheet items and maintaining a manual register
for the loan to monitor its further status. If the loan amount is up to TK 50,000
it can be directly write off to off-balance sheet items and follow the normal
procedure but if the amount is above TK 50,000 bank will place a case against
the defaulter and then start the write off procedure.
For all write off loans there should be 100% provision kept
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before the loan has been omitted and placed in off-balance
sheet items.
The oldest bad debts get the priority to list as write off.
A manual register should be maintained to follow up the write
off loans and to calculate interest on the loan amount. The
interest is 12% on the unrecovered loan amount for above TK
50,000 loans. For up to TK 50,000 loans interest rate is on the
percentage the loan has been taken from bank.
If the bad debt recovers, the full amount goes to income as
100% provision has already been secured for the loan amount.
3.4: Symptoms of NPL
There are some common signs from it can be determined beforehand if a
loan is going to be non-performing or not. Here are some of the symptoms
that might help to identify a non- performing loan before hand-
Warning Signs from Borrowers- Banks always stays in contact
with the loan borrowers. When the borrower misses his/her first
scheduled payment bank call the borrowers to let him/her know the
situation and to know why s/he missed the scheduled payment. If the
borrower don’t receive the calls or don’t co-operate with the bank this
might be a sign of that loan being non-performing.
Warning Signs from Third Parties- Banks sometimes collect
information about the borrowers from third parties. If the borrower is
a company then the bank collects information from the competitors
of them from the same industry. If the borrower is an individual
person bank might collect information from the introducer of that
person.
Warning Sign from Other Banks- Every bank collects a CIB report
of their clients who interested to take loan holders from Bangladesh
Bank. If the bank wants it can check the CIB report of the clients they
want to sanction loan. If the client had taken any loan before from
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other banks, his/her CIB report can be checked if there’s any bad
scheduling (SS,DF,B/L) of his/her previous loan. If the report is good,
the bank might sanction loan to that person/ company.
3.5: Causes of NPL
The non-performing loan has become the main concern for the banking industry in
recent time. Many economist and analyst found that the main reason behind recent
bank failure, continuous loss of SCBs and banking scams all arises from the adverse
impact of NPL. In order to find the solution to the problem the study discover some of
the root causes of NPL in the banking industry which are discussed below:
Corruption: One of the major reasons behind increasing the NPL in the
banking industry is the involvement of the corrupted person in sanctioning
and disbursing loans. If we recall the case of the BASIC bank, it turns into
a bad bank through the corruption of top management.
Lack of Monitoring: Sometimes performing loan becomes defaulted due
to lack of monitoring. If the monitoring system was good, and proper action
was taken from the beginning period when the bank comes to know about
the loan to be defaulted, the NPL amount wouldn’t be as large as it is now.
Borrower Selection: A loan is considered as a bad loan from the beginning
if it is provided to the wrong borrower without correctly evaluating their
information. There are many borrowers who take the loan from banks by
using false documents.
Political Influences: It works in two ways- Firstly, while bank is sanctioning
the loans and secondly interfering when the bank takes steps against the
bad loan.
Lengthy Recovery Procedure: If the recovery procedure through
releasing collateral becomes difficult and legal process consume more time
then banks have no choice but to keep the NPL forcefully in the loan
portfolio.
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Repetition of Rescheduling: Rescheduling of loans is not the ultimate
solution of NPL problem. It rather increases NPL when the bank applies it
repeatedly for the no deserving loan which ultimately encourages the
default culture.
Lending above the Exposure Limit: Crossing lending exposure above the
prescribed limit by BB to a single borrower create huge NPL as the client
become defaulter thus ruin the loan portfolio as well.
Recapitalization Facility: When any state-owned bank faces financial
difficulties and capital shortage, government help them through injecting
capital from taxpayer’s money. These practices de-motivated the govt.
banks to earn money on their own as they think govt. will always be there
for them supporting at the time of distress all the time.
Unskilled Personnel: In our banking industry, many bankers have a little
knowledge about the risk assessment factors that they should apply while
measuring the risk associated with loans and advances.
Failure of Business of the Borrower: Due to lack of business knowledge,
experience in the field of business or other reason borrower’s business
become fail which makes them unable to repay the loan to the banks.
Willful Default by the Borrower: Most of the people of our country tend
repaying the money as late as possible. When this type of borrower borrows
money from the bank they have the intension not to repay the loan at all or
to pay as late as possible.
Poor Management Quality of Borrowers: If the management quality of
the borrower’s company found to be weak, the risk of loan default increases.
Lack of Proper Action Taken against Defaulters: In our country, loans
are hardly monitored in due time as a result banks remain unaware of the
defaulted loan, even if they come to know it. Delay in taking action or proper
legal action against borrower keep the defaulted loan in the bank’s portfolio
for a long time results from an increase in the aggregate NPL.
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Adverse Economic Conditions: Some borrowers are not willful defaulters
rather they fail to repay loans for some adverse economic factors that affect
their business such as recession, political instability, increasing inflation,
etc.
Fund Diversion: Sometimes borrower takes the loan for one purpose but
uses them for another purpose causing extra risk for banks. Regular
monitoring of the loan is thus essential to ensure their proper utilization.
Delay in Assessing and Distributing Loans: Due to delay in assessing or
disbursing loan, banks failed to provide money to business enterprises at
the time when they need it most. As a result, the business fails as they suffer
from the shortage of funds
Improper Documentation: When the loan becomes defaulted, the bank
fails to track the borrower as they didn’t maintain proper documentation at
the beginning of loan contact thus make it difficult to take proper action
against the defaulters.
Lack of Applicability of Regulation: There are several regulation and
guidelines for managing nonperforming loan such as The Bankruptcy Act,
Money Loan Court Act, etc. but in practice, they are not followed entirely
and efficiently.
3.6: Adverse effects of Non-Performing Loan in
Bangladesh
This study finds some of the major adverse effects of NPL which are given below:
Reduce Capacity to Provide New Loans: Honest borrowers are deprived
of getting the new and adequate amount of loans as NPL reduces the
investable funds of the bank.
Shrinking Profits: NPL reduces interest income with the principal amount
of loan. Again banks need to maintain the provision for NPL which ultimately
reduces net income.
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Rise in Lending Rates: Due to NPL banks lose interest income, but they
need to maintain operating costs to run their business smoothly. As an
incidence of that bank further increases lending rates for new loans.
Deteriorate Economic Growth: Non-performing loan requires provision
and to meet this requirement banks have to cut off their profit with a vast
amount of provisioning requirement. Due to huge profit cuts and the rising
cost of capital resulting from NPL the investment opportunity of banks
decreases, therefore, upsets the economic development.
Decreases Reinvestment of Fund: NPL blocks the money of banks by the
defaulters and restrains the bank from reinvesting that fund that they could
have invested in the more profitable sector.
Credit Crunch: This situation arises when due to the increase of NPL bank
failed to provide sufficient fund at the previous interest rate to new loans.
Hampers Performing Loans: It also negatively affect the performing loans.
From the bad experience of NPL, banks forced to follow the restrictive
lending policy which ultimately adversely affects the performing loans also.
Disruption in Money Cycle: Due to NPL banks failed to provide the
adequate amount of return to its depositors resulting in the withdrawal of
funds by the depositor that ultimately cause the shortage of funds. Thus
disruption in money cycle emerged due to NPL.
Decreases Employment Opportunity: Due to huge NPL, banks face
difficulties to expand their business hence decreases the employment
opportunity. Due to this problem prospective businesses also shrink their
expansion as they don’t get sufficient funds.
Increase the Cost of Banks: As banks need to perform several NPL
management strategies, more supervision and strong monitoring required
which in turns increases the overall costs of the bank.
Reduce the Capital Adequacy Ratio: NPL decreases the capital by
reducing profit and also the increasing NPL leads in increasing risk-
weighted assets thus eventually ruin the capital adequacy ratio.
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3.7: Monitoring of NPL
For any loan which has the tendency of turning into NPL or which is already
listed as NPL needs monitoring very closely by the bank for not being a bad
debt. For this bank do some certain things to monitor their loans, which are-
Verbal communication- Banks maintain verbal communications
with their borrowers through phone calls. If any borrower misses
any scheduled payment bank call the borrower to remind that fact
and try to know why s/he missed the payment date. This
communication helps the bank to know the current situation of the
borrower and also helps to maintain a good relationship with the
client.
Formal Letter- If the loan has already being listed as non-
performing loan, bank sends formal letter to the borrower to let him
know the situation and also the consequences he might face for the
loan being non-performing, also to request him to pay the loan as
soon as possible.
Physical Visit- If above factors doesn’t get responded by the
borrowers; bank sends officers to visit that person/ business place
to know why they are not repaying the loans or the situation of the
business. The officers try to collect some loan amount in their
physical visit and also let the borrower know about the bad effects
of a loan being non-performing. The officers also try to find out why
the person or the company is not paying the loans properly.
If any borrower cannot repay his/her loan, the bank sells the collateral
security in auction and try to recover their loans. If the loan amount is
up to TK 50,000 the bank doesn’t file any case on the borrower. If the
amount is above TK 50,000 the bank file case against the defaulter in
court.
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PART IV
ANALYSIS ON NON-
PERFORMING LOANS IN THE
BANKING SECTORS OF
BANGLADESH
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4.0: Banking Sector Performance
The banking sector in Bangladesh comprises four categories of scheduled banks
state-owned commercial banks (SCBs), state-owned development financial
institutions (DFIs), private commercial banks (PCBs) and foreign commercial banks
(FCBs). Total number of 57 banks operated in 2017. The number of bank branches
increased at the end of June 2017 to 9955 from 9654 of June 2016. Information on the
banking structure and activities by types of banks is shown in Table 4.1.
Table 4.1: Banking Structure And Activities
SCBS DFIS PCBS FCBS Total
2010 Number of
banks
4 4 30 9 47
Number of
branches
3447 1382 2828 72 7729
Total assets 1384.3 295.4 2854.6 320.8 4855.1
Sharein
industry
assets (in
percent)
28.5 6.1 58.8 6.6 100.0
Deposits 1044.9 183.4 2266.5 227.1 3721.9
Share in
deposits (in
percent)
28.1 4.9 60.9 6.1 100.0
2011 Number of
banks
4 4 30 9 47
Number of
branches
3437 1406 3055 63 7961
Total assets 1629.2 328.8 3524.2 385.4 5867.6
Share in
industry
assets (in
percent)
27.8 5.6 60.0 6.6 100
Deposits 1235.6 214.4 2787.5 272.2 4509.7
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Share in
deposits (in
percent)
27.4 4.8 61.8 6.0 100
2012 Number of
banks
4 4 30 9 47
Number of
branches
3478 1440 3339 65 8322
Total assets 1831.9 385.5 4371.5 441.8 7030.7
Share in
industry
assets (in
percent)
26.1 5.5 62.2 6.3 100
Deposits 1377.9 260.4 3430.7 327.0 5396.0
Share in
deposits (in
percent)
25.5 4.8 63.6 6.1 100
2013 Number of
banks
4 4 39 9 56
Number of
branches
3520 1494 3602 69 8685
Total assets 2108.5 454.8 4948.2 488.7 8000.2
Share in
industry
assets (in
percent)
26.4 5.7 61.9 6.1 100
Deposits 1631.2 343.0 3939.3 359.5 6273.0
Share in
deposits (in
percent)
26.0 5.5 62.8 5.7 100
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2014 Number of
banks
4 4 39 9 56
Number of
branches
3553 1500 3917 70 9040
Total assets 2517.1 333.8 5787.1 505.0 9143.0
Share in
industry
assets (in
percent)
27.5 3.7 63.3 5.5 100
Deposits 1952.1 237.6 4449.4 326.0 6965.1
Share in
deposits (in
percent)
28.0 3.4 63.9 4.7 100
2015 Number of
banks
4 4 39 9 56
Number of
branches
3690 1406 4226 75 9397
Total assets 2839.6 291.3 6652.9 530.8 10314.6
Share in
industry
assets (in
percent)
27.5 2.8 64.5 5.2 100
Deposits 2254.8 226.6 5110.4 336.8 7928.6
Share in
deposits (in
percent)
28.4 2.9 64.5 4.3 100
2016 Number of
banks
6 2 40 9 57
Number of
branches
3710 1407 4467 70 9654
Total assets 3209.5 299.5 7560.0 557.6 11626.6
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Share in
industry
assets (in
percent)
27.6 2.6 65.0 4.8 100
Deposits 2535.4 249.4 5788.0 361.1 8933.9
Share in
deposits (in
percent)
28.38 2.79 64.79 4.04 100
2017 Number of
banks
6 2 40 9 57
Number of
branches
3721 1407 4758 69 9955
Total assets 3379.5 317.6 8758.3 603.9 13059.3
Share in
industry
assets (in
percent)
25.88 2.43 67.07 4.62 100
Deposits 2700.6 273.3 6508.2 392.8 9874.9
Share in
deposits (in
percent)
27.35 2.77 65.91 3.98 100
In 2017, the SCBs held 25.88 percent share of the total assets which was 27.61 in
2016. PCBs' share in the total assets increased from 65.03 percent in 2016 to 67.07
percent in 2017. The FCBs held 4.62 percent share in the total assets in 2017, showing
a decline of 0.18 percentage points over the previous year. The DFIs' share in the total
assets declined to 2.43 percent in 2017 from 2.58 percent in 2016 (Table 4.1).
Total deposits of the banks in 2017 rose to BDT 9874.89 billion from BDT 8933.92
billion in 2016, showing an increase of 10.53 percent. The SCBs' share in deposits
decreased from 28.38 percent in 2016 to 27.35 percent in 2017. PCBs' deposits in
2017 amounted to BDT 6508.19 billion or 65.91 percent in the total deposit compared
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to BDT 5788.02 billion or 64.79 percent in 2016. FCBs' deposits in 2017 slightly
increased by BDT 31.65 billion over the year 2016, although its contribution to total
deposits decreased slightly. The DFIs' deposits in 2017 was BDT 273.32 billion against
BDT 249.4 billion in 2016, showing an increase of 9.59 percent over the year
One newly licensed private commercial bank has started its operation in 2016.
Therefore, the number of scheduled banks increased to 57 in 2016 from 56 in 2015
and the number of bank branches increased to 9654 in June 2016 from 9397 in June
2015. At the end of June 2017, total number of bank branches increased further to
9720. Information on the banking structure is shown in Table 4.1.
In 2016, the SCBs held 27.60 percent share of the total assets which was 27.53
percent in 2015. PCBs’ share of the total assets increased from 64.50 percent in 2015
to 65.02 percent in 2016. The FCBs held 4.80 percent share of the total assets in 2016,
showing a decline of 0.35 percentage points over the previous year. The DFIs’ share
of the total assets was 2.58 percent in 2016 against 2.82 percent in 2015.
Total deposits of the banks in 2016 rose to BDT 8933.9 billion from BDT 7928.6 billion
in 2015 showing an overall increase of 12.7 percent. The SCBs’ share in total deposits
slightly decreased from 28.4 percent in 2015 to 28.4percent in 2016. PCBs’ deposits
in 2016 stood at BDT 5788.0 billion or 64.8 percent of the total deposits compared
to BDT 5110.4 billion or 64.5 percent in 2015. FCBs’ deposits in 2016 slightly
increased by BDT 24.4 billion over the year 2015 although, their contribution to total
deposits decreased slightly. The DFIs’ deposits in 2016 was BDT 249.4 billion against
BDT 226.6 billion in 2015 showing an increase of 10.1 percent over the year.
The banking sector of Bangladesh comprises four categories of scheduled banks.
These are the state owned commercial banks (SCBs), the state owned development
financial institutions (DFIs), the private commercial banks (PCBs), and the foreign
commercial banks (FCBs). While the number of banks remained unchanged at 47 in
2011, the number of bank branches increased from 7658 in 2010 to 7961 in 2011
reflecting the opening of new branches by the PCBs. At the end of June 2012, the total
number of bank branches increased further to 8059, with total number of banks
remaining unchanged at 47.
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4.1: Aggregate Balance Sheet
Total industry assets in 2017 showed an increase of 12.34 percent over 2016. During
this period, the SCBs' assets rose by 5.29 percent and that of the PCBs' increased by
15.85 percent. In 2017, loans and advances of BDT 8050.85 billion constituted the
most significant portion (61.6 percent) in the sector's aggregate assets of BDT
13059.26 billion. Moreover, cash in tills including foreign currencies was BDT 117.62
billion; deposits with BB was BDT 810.37 billion; other assets was BDT 2357.83 billion
and investment in government bills & bonds was BDT 1722.59 billion during the same
period.
Loans &
Advances, 6787.94,
58.4%
Govt. bills &
bond, 1862.24, 16.0%
Deposit with
BB
6.3%
Cash in tills, 106.51, 0.9%
Other
Assets, 2133.03, 18.3%
Aggregate Industry Assets (2016)
Loans &
Advances
Govt. bills &
bond
Deposit with
BB
Cash in tills
Other
Assets
Loans &
Advances, 8050.85,
62.7%
Govt. bills &
bond, 1722.59, 13.4%
Deposit with
BB
6.3%
Cash in tills, 117.62, 0.9%
Other
Assets, 2133.03, 16.6%
Aggregate Industry Assets (2017)
Loans &
Advances
Govt. bills &
bond
Deposit with
BB
Cash in tills
Other
Assets
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Deposits continued to be the main sources of funds of the banking industry and
constituted 75.3 percent (BDT 9834.19 billion) of total liability in 2017. Capital and
reserves of the banks were BDT 910.31 billion (7.49 percent) in 2017 as compared to
BDT 859.11 billion (7.40 percent) in 2016.
Deposits, 8892.97,
76.5%
Capital &
Reserve, 859.11,
7.4%
Other
liability, 1874.56,
16.1%
Aggregate Industry Liabilities 2016
Deposits Capital &
Reserve
Other
liability
Deposits, 9834.19,
75.3%
Capital &
Reserve, 910.31,
7.0%
Other
liability, 2314.76,
17.7%
Aggregate Industry Liabilities 2017
Deposits Capital &
Reserve
Other
liability
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The development of a sound banking sector is important for the sustainable
development of an economy. Since banking sector is the main component of the
overall financial system in Bangladesh, the health of the economy is closely related to
the soundness of its banking system. BB has adopted many prudential policies for
maintaining stability in the banking sector. The aggregate micro-prudential soundness
indicators (Capital Adequacy, Asset Quality, Management, Earnings, Liquidity and
Sensitivity to Market Risk) of the banking sector also known as Financial Stability
Indicators are consider for measuring banking sector performance.
4.2: Capital Adequacy
Capital adequacy focuses on the total position of banks' capital and the protection of
depositors and other creditors from the potential losses that a bank might incur. It helps
absorbing all possible financial risks related to credit, market, operation, interest rate,
liquidity, reputation, settlement, strategy, environment & climate change etc. Under
Basel-III, banks in Bangladesh are instructed to maintain the Minimum Capital
Requirement (MCR) at 10.0 percent of the Risk Weighted Assets (RWA) or BDT 4.0
billion as capital, whichever is higher. Under the Supervisory Review Process (SRP),
banks are directed to maintain a level of "adequate" capital which is higher than the
minimum required capital and sufficient to cover for all possible risks in their business.
This higher level of capital for the banks is usually determined and finalized through
SRP and SREP (Supervisory Review Evaluation Process, the central bank's
assessment) dialogue. The aggregate amount of capital of the banking sector was
BDT 280.58 billion as on June 2010 which increased to BDT 945.61 billion at the end
of June 2018.
Table 4.2: Capital to Risk Weighted Assets Ratio by Type of Banks
(In percent)
Bank
types
June
2010
June
2011
June
2012
June
2013
June
2014
June
2015
June
2016
June
2017
June
2018
SCBs 8.9 11.7 8.1 10.8 8.3 6.4 5.9 5.0 2.0
DFIs -7.3 -4.5 -7.8 -9.7 -17.3 -32.0 -33.7 -35.5 -31.9
PCBs 10.1 11.5 11.4 12.6 12.5 12.4 12.4 12.5 12.2
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FCBs 15.6 21.0 20.6 20.2 22.6 25.6 25.4 24.9 23.0
Total 9.3 11.4 10.5 11.5 11.3 10.8 10.8 10.83 10.0
Table 4.2 shows the Capital to Risk Weighted Assets Ratio (CRAR) by type of banks.
It is observed that on June 2018, SCBs, DFIs, PCBs and FCBs maintained CRAR of
2.0, -31.9, 12.2 and 22.2 percent respectively. In 2017, CRAR ratio of SCBs was 5.0,
DFIs, PCBs and FCBs maintained CRAR of -35.5, 12.5, 24.9, and 10.8 percent
respectively. But individually, 4 SCBs, 3 PCBs and 2 DFIs could not maintain the
minimum required CRAR.
Graph 4.2: Capital to Risk Weighted Assets Ratio by Type of Banks
The CRAR of the banking industry as a whole was 10.83 percent at end of June 2017
as against 10.80 percent at the end of 2016. The CRAR of the industry was 10.0
percent at the end of June 2018. Trend of CRAR ratio of Bangladesh banking sector
is downward which are not good.
4.3: Asset Quality
Loans and advances (61.6%) are the major components in the asset composition of
all commercial banks. The high concentration of loans and advances increases the
vulnerability of assets to credit risk. However, investment of banks in bills, bonds,
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
CRAR
SCBs DFIs PCBs FCBs Total
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shares etc. also demonstrates somewhat concentration, which is 13.2 percent to total
assets in 2017.
4.4: Overall NPL Scenario of Bangladesh
The most important indicator to demonstrate the asset quality in the loan portfolio is
the ratio of gross Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) to total loans and net NPLs to net
total loans. At the end of June 2018, the gross NPL of the banking sector stood at 10.4
percent.
4.4.1: Gross NPLs to Total Loans by Type of Banks
Table 4.3 shows that PCBs had the lowest and SCBs had the highest gross NPLs.
PCBs' gross NPLs was 6.0 percent, whereas those of SCBs, FCBs and DFIs were
33.35, 21.7 and 6.6 percent respectively at the end of June 2018.
Table 4.3: Gross NPLs to Total Loans by Type of Banks
(in percent)
Bank
types
June
2010
June
2011
June
2012
June
2013
June
2014
June
2015
June
2016
June
2017
June
2018
SCBs 15 12.6 23.34 23.6 29.6 25.6 30.54 32.2 33.35
DFIs 24.2 24.6 26.8 26.8 32.81 23.2 26.0 23.4 21.7
PCBs 3.2 2.9 4.6 4.5 4.98 4.9 4.6 4.9 6.0
FCBs 3.0 3.0 3.5 5.5 7.30 7.8 9.6 7.0 6.7
Total 7.3 6.1 10.0 8.9 9.7 8.8 9.2 9.3 10.4
The ratio of gross NPLs to total loans indicates a mixed trend in the banking system
during 2010-2018. It declined in 2011 and increased in 2012 (10.0 percent) and again
declined in 2013 (8.9 percent). Afterward, the ratio jumped in 2014 (9.7 percent) and
again declined in 2015 (8.8 percent). But the ratio shows an upward trend in recent
years mainly due to increase in total classified loans, defaulted outstanding and non-
recovery of loans. At the end of June 2018, it stood at 10.4 percent (Graph 4.3).
Graph 4.3: Gross NPLs to Total Loans by Type of Banks
40. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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40 | P a g e
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The high level of NPLs in SCBs and DFIs continued due to substantial loans disbursed
by them was on considerations other than commercial criteria. Poor assessment and
inadequate follow-up and supervision of the loans disbursed by the SCBs and DFIs
eventually consequence the current situation of poor quality assets. However, BB took
various measures (i.e. loan classification, loan rescheduling, provisioning and write-
off) to recovery the loan. Besides, BB has also taken steps with regard to internal
restructuring of these banks to strengthen their loan recovery mechanism and write-
off measures in recent years.
4.4.2: Ratio of Net NPL to Total Loans by Type of Banks
Table 4.4: Ratio of Net NPL to Total Loans by Type of Banks
(in percent)
Bank
types
June
2010
June
2011
June
2012
June
2013
June
2014
June
2015
June
2016
June
2017
June
2018
SCBs 1.9 -0.3 12.8 1.7 6.1 9.2 11.1 11.2 11.7
DFIs 16.0 17.0 20.4 19.7 25.5 6.9 10.5 9.7 7.4
PCBs 0.00 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.8
FCBs -1.7 -1.8 -0.9 -0.4 -0.9 -0.2 1.9 0.7 0.8
Total 1.3 0.7 4.4 2.0 2.7 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.7
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Gross NPLs to total loans
SCBs DFIs PCBs FCBs Total
41. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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Table 4.4 show that the ratio of net NPLs (net of provisions and interest suspense) to
net total loans (net of provisions and interest suspense) was 2.7 percent in 2018 for
the banking sector and it was 11.7 percent for SCBs. The table demonstrates that
SCBs' and PCBs’ non-performing portfolios increased in 2018 as compared to that of
the previous year. The net NPLs were 11.7, 7.4, 0.8 and 0.8 percent for the SCBs,
DFIs, PCBs and FCBs respectively at the end of June 2018. Net NPL of the industry
was 2.2 percent at the end of June 2017.
Graph4.4: Ratio of Net NPL to Total Loans by Type of Banks
It reveals from the table that the SCBs and DFIs’ non-performing portfolios were still
high after adjustment of actual provision and interest suspense, whereas the FCBs
had excess provision against their NPLs in 2010-2015.
4.4.3: Amount of NPLs by Type of Banks
Table 4.5: Amount of NPLs by Type of Banks
(In billion BDT)
Bank
types
June
2010
June
2011
June
2012
June
2013
June
2014
June
2015
June
2016
June
2017
June
2018
SCBs 107.6 91.7 215.2 166.1 227.6 272.8 310.3 373.3 428.5
DFIs 49.7 56.5 73.3 83.6 72.6 49.7 56.8 54.3 52.4
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Net NPL to Total Loans
SCBs DFIs PCBs FCBs Total
42. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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PCBs 64.3 72.0 130.4 143.1 184.3 253.3 230.6 294.0 389.8
FCBs 5.5 6.3 8.5 13.0 17.1 18.2 24.1 21.5 22.7
Total 227.1 226.4 427.3 405.8 501.6 594.1 621.8 743.0 893.4
Table 4.5 shows the amount of NPLs of the four types of banks since 2010 to 2018.
The amount of NPLs of the SCBs increased from BDT 107.6 billion in 2010 to BDT
428.5 billion in 2018. The amount of NPLs of the PCBs stood at BDT 389.8 billion in
2018 up from BDT 64.3 billion in 2010. The amount of NPLs of the DFIs increased to
BDT 52.4 billion in 2018 from BDT 49.7 billion in 2010. The amount of NPLs of the
FCBs increased to BDT 22.7 billion in 2018 as against BDT 5.5 billion in 2010.
Graph 4.5: Amount of NPLs by Type of Banks
The table also demonstrates that total NPLs of the banking sector have increased to
BDT 893.4 billion in 2018 as compared to BDT 743.0 billion in 2017 and the amount
of NPLs has increased in SCBs and PCBs and has decreased in DFIs and FCBs in
2017 as compared to that of the previous year. The amount of NPLs of SCBs, DFIs,
PCBs and FCBs Stood at BDT 428.5, 52.4, 389.8 and 22.7 billion respectively at the
end of June 2018.
4.4.4: Gross NPLs to Total Loans by Six State Owned Banks
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Amount of NPLs
SCBs DFIs PCBs FCBs Total
43. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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Table 4.6: Gross NPLs to Total Loans
(In percent)
Banks June
2010
June
2011
June
2012
June
2013
June
2014
June
2015
June
2016
June
2017
June
2018
Agrani
Bank
12.88 11.07 25.30 17.93 16.96 18.96 25.59 17.45 17.67
Sonali
Bank
23.88 17.80 33.31 30.21 25.61 25.08 28.38 35.09 26.14
Basic
Bank
4.83 4.38 8.22 28.75 57.15 51.09 54.13 54.63 56.85
Janata
Bank
5.24 5.83 17.42 11.12 33.72 16.54 14.73 16.54 33.72
Rupali
Bank
11.96 5.94 24.96 16.75 12.15 3.70 19.90 23.40 19.21
BDBL 31.31 30.5 30.86 36.75 31.81 38.29 40.48 46.07 46.53
Graph 4.6: Gross NPLs to Total Loans
Table shows the ratio of nonperforming Loan to Total Loans of State controlled Banks
of Bangladesh. All banks suffer with higher Classified Loan but the condition of basic
banks is very disastrous. In 2018, Gross NPLs to Total Loans of basic bank is 56.85%.,
which is highest in Bangladesh banking History. The NPL Ratio of Basic bank from
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Gross NPLs to Total Loans
Agrani Bank Sonali Bank Basic Bank Janata Bank Rupali Bank BDBL
44. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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2010 is 4.83, 4.38, 8.22, 28.75, 57.15, 51.09%, 54.13%, 54.63%, and 56.85%. BDBL
is also in a dangerous position. From 2015-2018, The NPL ratio of BDBL was 38.29%,
40.48%, 46.07%, 46.53%. In 2018, NPL ratio of Agrani bank was 17.67%, NPL ratio
of sonali bank was decrease from 35.09% to 26.14%, Janata Bank Has 33.72% of
NPL.
4.4.5: Required Provision and Provision Maintained by the Banking
Industry
Table 4.7 : Required Provision and Provision Maintained by the Banking
Industry
(in billion BDT)
All Banks
June
2010
June
2011
June
2012
June
2013
June
2014
June
2015
June
2016
June
2017
June
2018
Amount of
NPLs 227.1 226.4 427.3 405.8 501.6 594.1 621.7 743.0 893.4
Required
Provision 149.2 148.2 242.4 252.4 289.6 308.9 362.1 443.0 528.8
Provision
maintained 142.3 152.7 189.8 249.8 281.6 266.1 307.4 375.3 448.9
Excess(+)/
shortfall(-) -6.9 4.6 -52.6 -2.6 -7.9 -42.8 -54.7 -67.7 -79.9
Provision maintenance
Ratio (%) 95.4 103.0 78.3 99.0 97.2 86.1 84.9 84.7 84.9
Table 4.7 shows the aggregate amount of NPLs, the required loan loss provision and
the actual provision maintained by the banks from 2010 to 2018. The Table show that
45. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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in aggregate, the banks continuously failed to maintain the required level of provision
against their NPLs from 2010 to 2018. Banks maintained 103.0 percent in 2011. But
in the recent years the provision maintenance ratio showed declining trend and in 2018
it stood at 84.9 percent.
4.4.6: Comparative Position of Provision Adequacy by Types of
Banks
Table 4.8 : Comparative Position of Provision Adequacy by Types of Banks
(in billion BDT)
Year Items SCBs DFIs PCBs FCBs
June
2010
Required provision 70.64 19.07 53.31 6.19
Provision maintained 69.87 13.29 51.78 7.39
Provision maintenance ratio (%) 98.9 69.7 97.1 119.4
June
2011
Required provision 69.8 20.6 60.0 7.5
Provision maintained 69.8 14.3 60.0 8.2
Provision maintenance ratio (%) 100.0 69.4 100.0 109.3
June
2012
Required provision 119.2 29.8 84.4 8.9
Provision maintained 81.9 13.6 84.9 9.3
Provision maintenance ratio (%) 68.7 45.7 100.6 104.3
June
2013
Required provision 107.8 38.3 94.8 11.6
Provision maintained 122.3 17.4 97.8 12.3
Provision maintenance ratio (%) 113.5 45.5 103.2 106.0
June
2014
Required provision 124.2 49.3 114.4 12.5
Provision maintained 110.7 19.3 117.9 12.5
Provision maintenance ratio (%) 89.1 39.2 103.1 100.1
June
2015
Required provision 140.4 26.4 126.0 126.0
Provision maintained 94.7 28.4 126.6 16.5
Provision maintenance ratio (%) 67.5 107.6 100.5 102.5
June
2016
Required provision 174.0 27.8 144.2 16.0
Provision maintained 113.2 28.4 149.4 16.4
Provision maintenance ratio (%) 65.1 102.2 103.6 102.5
46. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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June
2017
Required provision 216.9 26.1 184.3 15.6
Provision maintained 134.3 26.2 198.2 16.5
Provision maintenance ratio (%) 61.9 100.4 107.5 105.8
2018
June
Required provision 252.9 25.0 234.6 16.2
Provision maintained 162.0 27.9 242.0 16.9
Provision maintenance ratio (%) 64.1 111.6 103.2 104.3
The main reason for the shortfall in provision was the inability of some SCBs and
PCBs, including those in the problem bank category due to increase in classified loans,
poor quality and inadequacy of collaterals, low profit and provision transfer for write-
offs. On the other hand, the FCBs were in a much better position since they were able
to keep adequate provisions. A comparative position of loan loss provisions of four
types of banks as of end 2010 to 2018 is shown in Table 4.8. Provision maintenance
ratio of SCBs was decreasing from 2013-2018 and other types of bank was increasing
their provision maintained.
4.4.7: Writing-off Bad Debts by Types of Bank
Table 4.9: Writing-off Bad Debts by Types of Bank
(In billion BDT)
Bank
Types
June
2010
June
2011
June
2012
June
2013
June
2014
June
2015
June
2016
June
2017
June
2018
SCBs 70.5 82.4 72.9 107.2 154.8 210.3 220.4 224.4 226.2
DFIs 31.8 32.0 24.5 32.6 34.2 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6
PCBs 69.6 77.1 64.9 109.7 127.7 155.5 189.4 216.7 239.9
FCBs 2.1 2.4 2.6 3.7 4.4 5.1 7.2 8.6 10.3
Total 174.0 193.9 164.9 253.3 321.1 376.5 423.2 455.3 482.0
In order to rectify an unnecessarily and artificially inflated size of the balance sheet, a
uniform guideline for write-off was introduced in 2003. Banks may write off bad/loss
47. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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loans complying with the conditions covered by the guideline. The total amount of
written-off loans by different bank categories is given in Table 4.9.
Graph 4.9: Writing-off Bad Debts by Types of Bank
Out of 40 PCBs 35 PCBs were able to maintain the required provision at the end of
June 2018, but the remaining five banks failed due to their poor asset portfolios and
earning levels. The provision maintenance ratios of PCBs and FCBs show its
increasing trend, whereas that of SCBs and DFIs show the declining trend in the recent
years. Trend shows the increasing amount of writing off bad debts which means NPL
was increasing and it wasn’t unable to recover.
4.4.8: Geographical NPL Distribution
Both loans outstanding and NPLs had high geographical concentration in Dhaka and
Chattogram regions. Among different sectors, proportionately higher NPLs in trade
and commerce appeared to be one of the key reasons behind the higher NPLs in the
industry.
Table 4.10: Geographical NPL Distribution of 2018
Division Total Loan NPL
Dhaka 67.2% 67.5%
Chattogram 18.7% 17.5%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
SCBs DFIs PCBs FCBs Total
48. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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Barisal 1.3% 1.1%
KHULNA 4.0% 4.2%
MYMENSINGH 1.4% 2.2%
RAJSHAHI 3.8% 3.4%
RANGPUR 2.3% 2.5%
SYLHET 1.2% 1.6%
From Table, it is observed that loans were mainly concentrated in Dhaka (67.2
percent) followed by Chattogram (18.7 percent). Considering these two regions, they
comprised almost 86 percent of total outstanding loans in banking sector.
Geographical concentration of NPLs also follow this trend as Dhaka had 67.5 percent
while Chattogram had 17.5 percent of classified loans. These statistics indicate that
the current geographical concentration of loans does not seem to be a critical reason
behind the rise in NPLs as NPL concentration matched with the loan concentration in
these regions. Most of the sectors had similar or lower share of total NPLs against
their share of total loans except trade and commerce as of end-June 2018. NPLs in
trade and commerce sector were proportionately higher than their share in total
industry’s loans in 2018.
4.4.9: The sector-wise NPL distributions
Table 4.11 shows a modest concentration of NPL s across different sectors of the
economy in 2018. However, NPL concentration increased in trade and commercial
loans. Compared to 2017, the share of loans to trade and commerce sectors
decreased by 0.7 percentage point in 2018 while the share of NPL to this sector
increased by 4.4 percentage points. Loan disbursement to this sector needs to be
monitored intensively due to its deteriorating asset quality.
TABLE 4.11 : SECTOR-WISE NONPERFORMING LOANS DISTRIBUTION (2018)
49. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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(Amount in billion BDT)
Sl.
No.
Name of
Sector
Total
loans
outstanding
(Amount)
Gross
NPL
(Amount)
Gross
NPL
Ratio
%
share
of
loans
extended
to a
particular
sector
% share
of NPLs
of a
particula
r sector
1 Agriculture 374.5 47.3 12.63% 4.1% 5.0%
2 Industrial
(Manufacturing):
2.1 RMG 1079.2 116.2 10.77% 11.8% 12.4%
2.2 Textile 710.4 62.3 8.77% 7.8% 6.6%
2.3 Ship building and
Ship breaking
135.0 26.8 19.84% 1.5% 2.9%
2.4 Agro-based
Industry
585.6 64.6 11.04% 6.4% 6.9%
2.5 Other Industries
(Large Scale)
1451.6 110.7 7.63% 15.9% 11.8%
2.6 Other Industries
(Small, Medium
and Cottage)
396.1 52.0 13.12% 4.3% 5.5%
3 Industrial (Services):
3.1 Construction 614.3 58.3 9.49% 6.7% 6.2%
3.2 Transport and
Communication
150.9 17.9 11.83% 1.7% 1.9%
3.3 Other Service
Industries
326.6 25.3 7.74% 3.6% 2.7%
4 Consumer Credit:
50. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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4.1 Credit Card 45.3 2.8 6.09% 0.5% 0.3%
4.2 Auto (Car) 25.8 0.6 2.26% 0.3% 0.1%
4.3 Housing Finance 159.3 11.3 7.11% 1.7% 1.2%
4.4 Personal 246.0 9.2 3.73% 2.7% 1.0%
5 Trade and
Commerce
(Commercial
Loans)
2037.3 265.9 13.05% 22.4% 28.3%
6 Credit to NBFI 77.8 2.3 2.97% 0.9% 0.2%
7 Loans to Capital
Market:
7.1 Merchant Banks 23.8 0.4 1.68% 0.3% 0.0%
7.2 Other than
Merchant Banks
19.1 0.1 0.57% 0.2% 0.0%
8 Other Loans 656.4 65.1 9.91% 7.2% 6.9%
Total 9115.1 939.1 10.3% 100.0% 100.0%
The sector-wise share of the loan disbursement consists of eight sectors with
some few sub-sectors. In the 2018, five major sectors (e.g., commercial loans,
working capital, industrial loan, RMG & textile and construction) had availed
around 68% of the total loan disbursement. Regarding the sector-wise share
of loan, there was large variability in different sectors.
TABLE 4.12: SECTOR-WISE NONPERFORMING LOANS DISTRIBUTION
(2013-218)
(Percentage)
Sl. No.
Name of Sector
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
1 Agriculture 14.10% 12.64% 7.8% 8.9% 8.5% 5.0%
51. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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2 Industrial
(Manufacturing):
2.1 RMG & Textile 16.70% 15.64% 11.9% 21% 24.6% 19%
2.2 Ship building
and Ship
breaking
1.30% 1.54% 26.8 2.9% 2.6% 2.9%
2.4 Other
Industries
(Large Scale)
10.80% 12.41% 14.6% 9.8% 8.2% 11.8%
2.5 Other Industries
(Small, Medium
and Cottage)
1.80% 1.43% 2.9% 7.0% 5.8% 5.5%
3 Industrial
(Services):
3.1 Construction 3.9% 4.54% 4.6% 6.4% 5.7% 6.2%
3.2 Transport and
Communication
1.60% 2.00% 2.1% 2.8% 2.0% 1.9%
4 Consumer
Credit:
2.90% 3.00% 3.0% 3.3% 2.7% 2.6%
5 Trade and
Commerce
(Commercial
Loans)
12.60% 17.14% 16.7% 23.4% 23.9% 28.3%
6 Other Loans 6.90% 6.14% 7.8% 7.2% 5.9% 6.9%
Table show percentage share of NPLs of a particular sector during 2013-
2018. The non-performing loan of agriculture sector in decreasing year to
year. In manufacturing industrial sectors, NPL was decrease from 2017 to
2018, but Overall NPL position is very high. We can see that Trade and
commerce sector cover highest percentage of NPL in last Five years and it is
increasing continuously. In 2018, it was 28.3% which is 23.9 in 2017. Table
show a comparative nonperforming loan of Different sector from 2013-2018.
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4.5: Consequences of NPL on Banks' Profitability and
Financial Stability
The recent rising trends of NPLs in the overall banking system in Bangladesh
are major concerned for policymakers and the stakeholders, because high
NPLs give huge stress in the banks to earn profit and weaken the financial
stability. Chart and table show the trends of NPLs and two key profitability
indicators; the Returns on Assets (ROA) and Returns of Equity (ROE) during
the 2010-2018. It is observed from the table that there is a negative
relationship NPLs and ROA /ROE. The negative relationship between NPLs
and banks' profitability is a major concern for the policymakers.
Table 4.13: NPL on Banks' Profitability and Financial Stability
(percentage)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
NPL
Ratio
7.3 6.1 10.0 8.9 9.7 8.8 9.2 9.3 10.4
ROA 1.8 1.5 0.64 0.90 0.64 0.77 0.68 0.74 0.29
ROE 21.0 17.0 8.20 11.10 8.09 10.51 9.42 10.60 4.44
53. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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Graph 4.13: NPL on Banks' Profitability and Financial Stability
4.5.1: Consequences of NPL on banks' profitability
Bank needs to keep higher provision as its NPL increases hence it pressure on,
banks’ profitability.
Returns on Assets (ROA) and Returns of Equity (ROE) tend to fall down
Higher NPL would also compel the banks to extending their efforts in recovering
the loans from those 'bad' borrowers. In this process, the operational expense
(for recovery/ litigation) is assumed to go up
Vicious cycle: NPL results into economic slowdown as the borrowing
firm/individual gradually loses its capability to generate enough earning to pay
back the loan. Further injection of money to overcome the crisis is also halted
as the borrower is marked as a defaulter in the regulator's record. Eventually,
the firm moves into further dire state; and the probability of getting back the
money is getting lower for the lending bank.
Low public confidence: Higher NPL may also lower the public confidence on
the bank. In that case, attracting deposit would get even harder which may
result the cost of deposit (or borrowing) to increase. Once the cost of fund goes
up, the profitability margin tends to shrink.
4.5.2: Consequences of NPL on financial stability
7.3
6.1
10
8.9
9.7
8.8 9.2 9.3
10.4
1.8 1.5
0.64 0.9 0.64 0.77 0.68 0.74 0.29
21
17
8.2
11.1
8.09
10.51
9.42
10.6
4.44
0
5
10
15
20
25
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
NPL ratio ROA ROE
54. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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Due to the irregularity (or stuck) in pay back from the NPLs, there is a strong
tendency of sprouting up the liquidity mismatch that results into a higher liquidity
risk for the bank.
With increasing NPLs, Risk-weighted Assets (RWA) would increase; which, in
turn, would create pressure on maintaining the regulatory capital adequacy
requirement. As the Financial Stability Report (2018) refers, increase in NPLs
would have the most adverse impact on the banking sector's Capital-to-Risk
weighted Asset Ratio (CRAR).
Higher NPL has substantial impact in disturbing the overall resilience of the
banking sector through disorienting the combined risk management efforts of
the banks. FSR (2018) also reveals that under different stress scenarios,
banking system finds itself resilient at interest rate, exchange rate and equity
price shocks but remains vulnerable with credit defaults (i.e., NPLs), especially
default of large borrowers.
Higher NPLs in one or more banks would expose the risk of contagion (also
referred to as systemic risk) to the banking system. Such financial difficulties at
one or more banks may easily spill over to a large number of other banks, and
subsequently, to the financial system as a whole.
Moreover, the high level of NPLs would affect the micro (i.e., bank level) and
macro (i.e., central bank/monetary authority) strategies in the lending sector,
which makes the job of the policymakers even harder.
Bangladesh Bank revised the loan classification and provisioning policy and
made it more stringent through Circular No.14 of 2012 in order to comply with
the international best practices and Basel core principle and with a view to
increasing the stability of the banking sector in the long run. Other relevant
policy supports and intense monitoring are also followed for ensuring a better
macro-prudential regulatory system in managing the non-performing loans in
the banking sector of the country.
4.6: Non-performing Loans in the South Asian countries
It is evident from the table 4.13 that the banking system of Bangladesh is badly
impacted by NPL. Likewise, countries of South Asia are also experiencing the same
55. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
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problem of lack of recycling fund due to NPL though it varies across the countries. The
position of NPLs in South Asia is given bellow:
Table 4.14: The position of NPLs in South Asia
(percentage)
Country 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Bangladesh 7.3 6.1 10.0 8.9 9.7 8.8 9.2 9.3 10.4
India 2.4 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.8 4.3 7.5 9.3 11.18
Pakistan 14.7 15.7 14.6 13.3 12.3 11.4 10.1 8.4 8.2
Bhutan 5.2 3.9 5.4 7.0 6.8 6.6 7.2 8.4 11.5
Maldives 17 19 20.9 17.6 17.5 14.1 10.6 10.5 9
Sri Lanka 5.4 3.8 3.7 5.6 4.2 3.2 2.6 2.5 3.4
In the 2018, Bhutan experienced a larger share of nonperforming loans to total loans
compared to other countries in South Asia. The percentage of nonperforming loans to
total outstanding loans was 11.5% for Bhutan. On the contrary, Sri Lanka faced the
lowest percentage of non-performing loans to total outstanding loans which stood at
only 3.4% during the same period. Regarding the share of non-performing loans to the
total outstanding loans, there was large variability among countries.
Pondering Ten years standard deviation from 2010 to 2018, largest change took place
in Bangladesh, India and Bhutan. It was increasing year by year. On the other hand,
Pakistan, Maldives decreased their NPL. It would be good indication to have ten years
average percent-wise comparison among the countries because it show real condition
of banking sector among countries. In this regard, the economy of Maldives interrupted
by 13.6% at ten years average ratio of non-performing loans to total outstanding during
2010 to 2018 which was the largest percentage of classified loan compared to other
South Asian countries. In contrast, Sri Lanka was able to maintain lower level of five
years average ratio of NPLs to total outstanding at 3.4% during the same period. The
ten years average ratio of gross NPLs to total outstanding loans for India was 4.7%
which is appreciable. In the case of Bangladesh, the ratio was 7%.
Graph 4.14: The position of NPLs in South Asia
56. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
From the Perspective of the Banking Industry in Bangladesh
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Chittagong Independent University
Regarding all aspects of the measurements, Sri Lanka was in good position. They
maintained both the variability of NPL as well as the level of NPL well below the
internationally acceptable limit. The goal of this study is to find out the impact of
inadequate collateral on NPL although there are lots of determinants of NPL. It would
be good to explore, which determinants are liable for NPL in South Asian countries
especially in case of Maldives and Sri Lanka. If any field survey is undertaken in future
to understand the magnitude and determinants of NPL in those countries, Bangladesh
might be benefited.
0
5
10
15
20
25
Bangladesh India Pakistan Bhutan Maldives Sri Lanka
Chart Title
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
57. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
From the Perspective of the Banking Industry in Bangladesh
57 | P a g e
Chittagong Independent University
PART V
FINDINGS,
RECOMMENDATION &
CONCLUSION
58. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
From the Perspective of the Banking Industry in Bangladesh
58 | P a g e
Chittagong Independent University
5.0: Findings
Non-performing loans are always negative for any banks performance, which
eventually affects the country’s economy. While working with this topic the following
subjects seemed most important about NPL and the profitability of banks.
Increase of the NPL Amount: Over the years, the NPL amount has been
increasing which is negatively affecting country’s banking sector. The main
causes of increasing NPLs are-
Not monitoring the loans properly
Misuse of the political power
A large number of competitors in banking sector
Willful defaulter
Unattractive business industry
Large Number of Banks and Financial Institutions Compared to our Economy:
Right now Bangladesh has 57 banks, which has a lot of branches all over the
country. There are many non-banking financial institutions, leasing companies
etc. which are also playing important role in country’s financial sector. To be in
the competition and to be the leader in the industry, some banks become too
much flexible while giving the loans without taking proper documents of the
borrower whether s/he can repay back the loan or not. Sometime to encourage
people to do business, like SME, some banks also give extra benefits of taking
loans. However, research shows that most of these loans become NPL.
Bank’s Policy of NPL: SCBs is very cautious about giving loans and monitoring
the loans. While disbursing any loan SCBs takes all the needed documents and
check their financial situation properly. After disbursing the loan, the
correspondent officers always monitor the loan and get up to date with the
borrower and the loan situation.
NPL’s Effect on bank’s Performance: NPL ratio effect negatively on overalls
banking profitability. The effects of NPL were-
Decreasing in net profit due to loan loss provision.
Decrease in ROA and ROE in last 10 years due to lower Net Profit
and greater total Asset amount.
59. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
From the Perspective of the Banking Industry in Bangladesh
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Chittagong Independent University
Likewise, countries of South Asia are also experiencing the same problem of
lack of recycling fund due to NPL though it varies across the countries.
60. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
From the Perspective of the Banking Industry in Bangladesh
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Chittagong Independent University
6.0: Recommendations
Non-performing loan as a major problem of the banking industry should be treated
more seriously by all the banks in the industry. This study found some initiatives to
control the adverse impact of NPL on the bank’s performance. The key initiatives
are recommended below to reduce NPL:
Lessen the Interference of Political Parties: BB should apply the quasi-
judicial power to prevent corrupted parties from becoming the BODs of a
bank even if the government appoints any.
Ensuring Accountability of Employees: Employees associated with loan
sanctioning and disbursement procedure should be accountable for his/her
work. Banks should monitor the employees within the office so that any
employee cannot fraudulently provide any loan to any false customer.
Reducing Recapitalization: The Govt. should stop recapitalization
facilities from the taxpayer’s money as it establishes poor professionalism
and accountability among the bank’s personnel.
Adapting Improved Loan Recovery Procedure: Collateral collected
against loans should regularly be checked whether it has sufficient value or
legal ownership so that no delay occurs while selling them for recovery.
Strictly Follow Rules and Regulation Provided by BB for NPL
Management: To prevent the risk of default, banks should strictly follow
guidelines and regulations provided by BB time to time.
Intensify the Internal Risk Management of Banks: Banks should
maintain the database for large credit to identify vulnerabilities associated
with a large amount of credit disbursement, default and recovery.
Proper Lending Practices: Significant amount of loans should be
disbursed to the productive sector so that the borrowers can have the ability
to repay the loan on time. To avoid the risk associated with lending large
amount, banks should provide loan by syndication.
Judicial Use of Rescheduling and Write-off: Bank should provide
rescheduling facility only to those who has proper justification and follows
the guidelines for rescheduling appropriately.
61. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
From the Perspective of the Banking Industry in Bangladesh
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Chittagong Independent University
Punishing Willful Defaulters through Legal Proceedings: The prevailing
corruption practices in our banking industry should be controlled through
applying legal action against convicted defaulters and corrupted persons as
quickly as possible.
Structured and Regular Monitoring: Bank should periodically monitor its
outstanding loans and arrange visits and making reports by the officials
regularly to ensure proper utilization of funds.
Client Profile & Documentation: For safeguarding bank’s interest bank
officials should properly maintain loan documentation and collect sufficient
data of borrower time to time and update them in a regular fashion.
Incentive and Training Programs for Employees: Employees should get
incentive based on their performance for achieving recovery target and
should get training facilities.
7.0: Conclusion
It is clear that a poor banking system cannot help for the economic development in a
country. Before liberation poor banking system was continuing in Bangladesh.Sound
management is the most important and inescapable pre-requisite for the strength and
concrete growth of any financial institution. It is found form the above discussion that
the average recovery performance of private commercial banks is higher than that of
state-owned commercial banks. Both the preventive and resolution measures are
essential for the NPL management strategy. The provision or the write off may not be
the right solution rather it will hamper the profitability and financial soundness of the
banks. The banks should ensure cooperation, sincerity and accountability in the credit
policy and the risk management process. The loan should be sanction with the verbal
direction of higher management only for nepotism or good relation.
Central Banks’ supervisory and monitoring functions have to be strengthened so that
all the banks must comply with credit policy, even in some case the precautionary
advice or alert can help to reduce the NPL possibility. The central banks can
established a central information database of all the clients, so that any bank can find
the credit worthiness or historical loan repayment trend of a client before disbursing
loan.
62. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
From the Perspective of the Banking Industry in Bangladesh
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Chittagong Independent University
Banks should assign high quality person with excellent capability of independent
review to the credit review positions. The management should recruit the appropriate
person to assess the risk involved with the loan and the pre-assessment is very much
important. The experienced personnel should be recruit in the credit assessment
department who can show the exact risk with the loan and the direction towards the
recovery. Sound market competition and appropriate prudential regulation can act as
the vita points as a remedy for reducing NPLs trend. Banking profitability in the long
run depends on a bank’s ability to collect and analyze information and to put optimal
conditions to its loan supply.
The stated global experiences can be a great resource of measures to formulate the
policy regarding NPLs problems. As per the suggested priorities of Jassaud & Kang
(2015) the policymakers should: (i) tighten supervisory policies on provisioning and
write-offs to speed up NPL resolution and restructuring; (ii) remove tax and regulatory
impediments to debt restructuring; and (iii) improve further the insolvency framework
and encourage more out-of court workouts. Finally, facilitating the creation of NPL
AMCs and corporate restructuring vehicles would give banks more instruments to
restructure, while expanding financing for distressed firms. Technology based banking
system has helped the bank management to solve some of the inherent problems.
Digitalization can further help the management in getting required information in order
to take proper decisions while granting loans/advances. The demographic and
economic view of customer can provide sound knowledge/information regarding the
creditworthiness of the customers. So, the bank should evolve appropriate systems to
detect deficiencies in the management of credit operations well before it calls for
classification. In this regard an effective on-site and off-site supervision system should
be in place both in the schedule banks and central banks. Further, timely resolve of
problem loans will improve bank’s balance sheets and support new lending in the
recovery. The securitization is, a very recent financial product, being used in the many
developed and developing countries as a better solution for the NPL problem rather
than just removing from balance sheet as loan loss. Securitization is a structured
finance process which involves pooling and repackaging of cash flow producing
financial assets into securities that are then sold to investors. This can give a better
solution to solve the NPL problems as well as introduction of new financial market in
the economy rather than writing off the NPL from balance sheet.
63. A Study on Non-Performing Loan:
From the Perspective of the Banking Industry in Bangladesh
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Chittagong Independent University
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